新闻 圣安东尼奥——约翰尼·加西亚请求哈基姆·杰弗里斯来到这个深红的得克萨斯州，帮助夺回一个共和党席位。在中期选举后，众议院民主党领袖可能比以往更需要加西亚。
The News SAN ANTONIO — Johnny Garcia asked Hakeem Jeffries to join him here in deep-red Texas to help flip a GOP seat. After the midterms, the House Democratic leader may need Garcia even more.
即使没有这位前副治安官，杰弗里斯也能夺回多数党地位。加西亚下周将在一个特朗普2024年领先10个百分点的选区中努力获胜。但加西亚获胜对杰弗里斯而言可能至关重要，原因有二：证明特朗普的中期国会选区重划适得其反，并组建一个更易治理的民主党多数派。
Jeffries can win back the majority without the former deputy sheriff, who’s trying to prevail next week in a district that President Donald Trump won by 10 points in 2024. But a Garcia win could prove essential to Jeffries for two other reasons: to prove that Trump’s mid-decade congressional redistricting has backfired, and to create a Democratic majority that’s easier to govern.
共和党重划选区的举动在其他红州也出现裂痕——一个共和党主要超级政治行动委员会已退出佛罗里达州民主党众议员贾里德·莫斯科维茨的连任竞选，此前该委员会曾让该选区变得更红。然而，民主党化解特朗普这一权力博弈的希望在得克萨斯州尤为强烈，共和党最初梦想在那里获得五个众议院席位。
Cracks in the GOP redistricting maneuver are showing in other red states, too — a top party super PAC has pulled out of Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz’s reelection race in Florida after making his district redder. Yet Democrats’ hopes of neutralizing the Trump power play are particularly strong in Texas, where Republicans initially dreamed of gaining five House seats.
这要归功于两位民主党现任议员在更保守的选区表现强于预期，也归功于像加西亚这样的候选人，他与共和党对手势均力敌。加西亚也明确表示，他将成为杰弗里斯的可靠一票——至少在潜在的议长竞选中是这样。
That’s thanks to two Democratic incumbents running more strongly than expected in more conservative districts, but also to candidates like Garcia, who’s running neck-and-neck against his GOP rival. Garcia is also making clear that he’d be a reliable vote for Jeffries — in a potential speakership race, at least.
这位纽约州民主党人“一直在少数党地位上做艰苦工作，显然他来到圣安东尼奥表明这场竞选对我们夺回众议院多数党地位有多重要，”加西亚告诉Semafor。“当他宣誓就任美国众议院议长时，我将站在我们领袖一边。”杰弗里斯可能面临一个躁动的进步派基本盘，甚至在他夺得众议院最高权力之槌前就准备挑战他的领导地位。但像加西亚这样的紫色选区候选人不认为他是那种两极分化人物——他的前任南希·佩洛西甚至在2018年中期选举前就已变成这种人物。
The New York Democrat has “been doing the tough work in the minority, and obviously him coming down to San Antonio is indicative of just how much this race is that important to us winning back the House majority,” Garcia told Semafor. “I’m going to stand with our leader when he is sworn in as the speaker for the US House of Representatives.”Jeffries may face a fractious progressive base ready to challenge his leadership even before he claims the House’s top gavel. But purple-district candidates like Garcia don’t see him as the type of polarizing figure that his predecessor Nancy Pelosi had become even before the 2018 midterms.
共和党试图将杰弗里斯打造成今年民主党候选人的类似累赘，但未能奏效（民主党试图将共和党人与议长迈克·约翰逊捆绑的做法也未奏效）。加西亚是几位毫不介意公开支持杰弗里斯的摇摆选区候选人之一。
GOP attempts to turn Jeffries into a similar liability for Democratic candidates this year haven’t panned out (nor have Democratic bids to hitch Republicans to Speaker Mike Johnson). Garcia is one of several swing-seat candidates with no problem backing Jeffries.
事实上，加西亚邀请杰弗里斯前来，正是出于任何有志成为未来议长的人都会乐见的常规原因：他能吸引关注，并带来筹款影响力。
In fact, Garcia asked Jeffries to come for the conventional reasons that would please any aspiring future speaker: for the attention he draws and the fundraising clout he brings.
“我只是说：‘我们的社区需要你来圣安东尼奥。他们非常想见你。’他说：‘不用多说，我肯定去。’”加西亚在卡尔瓦里浸信会教堂的周日礼拜上，于杰弗里斯发言前登台回忆道。两人正在该选区巡访教会，第35国会选区以西班牙裔为主，黑人约占6.6%，加西亚希望赢下该选区。
“I just said, ‘Our community needs you here in San Antonio. They would love to see you.’ He said, ‘Say no more. I got you,’” Garcia recalled onstage, speaking before Jeffries during Sunday service at Calvary Baptist Church. He and Jeffries were touring churches in the majority-Hispanic, roughly 6.6% Black 35th Congressional District, which Garcia hopes to win.
化解新版选区地图的影响 在竞选途中，杰弗里斯和加西亚较少谈论两人的关系。他们更倾向于聚焦生活成本问题，以及民主党对共和党重划选区的强力反击；在加西亚自己的初选中，党内曾介入以防止一名因涉嫌发表反犹太言论而受指责的候选人获胜。
Negating the new map On the trail, Jeffries and Garcia talked less about their relationship. They preferred to focus on cost-of-living issues and the party’s aggressive pushback to GOP redistricting; in Garcia’s own primary, the party intervened in Garcia’s primary to ward off a win by a candidate accused of antisemitic remarks.
“我们来这里最重要的原因之一，是德克萨斯州共和党人、唐纳德·特朗普以及全国各地的‘让美国再次伟大’极端分子试图通过操纵国会选区地图来操控中期选举，但这一图谋失败了，因为我们有像约翰尼·加西亚这样的优秀公民领袖决定挺身而出参选，”杰弗里斯在礼拜结束后对记者表示。
“One of the most important reasons why we’re here, in terms of the failed effort by Texas Republicans and Donald Trump and MAGA extremists across the country to rig the midterm elections by gerrymandering the congressional map, is that we’ve had great civic leaders like Johnny Garcia make the decision to step forward and run,” Jeffries told reporters after the church service.
2024年，第35选区及南德克萨斯州多个以西班牙裔为主的选区选民向右转。但民主党相信，特朗普下滑的支持率，以及西班牙裔选民对其激进移民执法政策的反弹，将在今年拖累共和党。
Voters in majority-Hispanic districts like the 35th and several in South Texas moved to the right in 2024. But Democrats are confident that Trump’s sagging approval numbers, and a backlash to his aggressive immigration enforcement among Hispanic voters, will drag down Republicans this year.
Garcia 正在拥抱中间立场，他告诉 Semafor，拜登政府“在边境问题上搞错了”，而特朗普实现了“边境平静，尽管有边境危机”，尽管特朗普因强硬执法制造了更多问题。
Garcia is embracing centrism, telling Semafor that the Biden administration “got it wrong on the border” and that Trump managed “calm on the border with the border crisis,” despite creating more problems with heavy-handed enforcement.
随后，他回避了一个关于“全民医保”的问题，然后补充道：“选区里的人完全受够了，我们将在 11 月 3 日看到这个精心设计的选区划分变成愚蠢的选区划分。”
He later sidestepped a question on “Medicare for All,” before adding that “folks in this district are just completely fed up, and we’re going to see on November 3rd this gerrymander turn into a dummy-mander.”
共和党人仍认为他们能赢下该选区以及得克萨斯州其他重新划分的选区。“得克萨斯人不需要 Hakeem Jeffries 告诉我们怎么投票，”共和党提名人 Carlos De La Cruz 在一份声明中说：“我每天交谈的家庭都在问如何负担得起食品杂货并保持社区安全。这就是这场竞选的重点。”
Republicans still think they can win the district and the other redrawn districts in Texas. “Texans don’t need Hakeem Jeffries to tell us how to vote,” GOP nominee Carlos De La Cruz said in a statement: “The families I talk to every day are asking how to afford groceries and keep their neighborhoods safe. That’s what this campaign is about.”
得克萨斯州和佛罗里达州并非民主党领导人强调共和党重新划分选区可能适得其反的唯一州份。据 DelBene 发言人透露，该党的众议院竞选负责人、众议员 Suzan DelBene（民主党-华盛顿州）本周将前往俄亥俄州，与众议员 Marcy Kaptur（民主党-俄亥俄州）一起竞选，并为众议员 Emilia Sykes（民主党-俄亥俄州）参加筹款活动。
Texas and Florida aren’t the only states where Democratic leaders are highlighting a potential GOP remapping misfire. The party’s House campaign chief, Rep. Suzan DelBene, D-Wash., will be in Ohio this week to campaign with Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, and to attend a fundraiser for Rep. Emilia Sykes, D-Ohio, according to a DelBene spokesperson.
本周期，俄亥俄州共和党重新划分了 Kaptur 的选区，但民主党对她的前景持乐观态度。
Ohio Republicans redrew Kaptur’s seat this cycle, but Democrats are bullish on her chances.
存在分歧的空间Garcia 的支持将有助于 Jeffries 度过通往议长之位途中可能出现的动荡，但左翼派系是否会发动类似于保守派反叛导致 Kevin McCarthy 失去议长木槌那样大规模的造反，尚不确定。
Room for Disagreement Garcia’s support would help Jeffries weather possible turbulence on his path to the speakership, but it’s not a given that the left flank of the caucus will mount a rebellion at the scale of the conservative backlash that stripped Kevin McCarthy’s gavel.
像 Melat Kiros 这样的进步派人士已发出信号，除非领导层采纳更偏左的政策，否则他们对 Jeffries 的投票可能存在变数，但大多数民主党人对大规模倒戈持怀疑态度。
Progressives like Melat Kiros have signaled their votes for Jeffries might be up for grabs unless their leadership embraces more left-leaning policies, but most Democrats are skeptical about major defections.
一些红州民主党人依然与全国党领袖保持距离。得克萨斯州特哈诺音乐人鲍比·普利多正在一个特朗普2024年曾以18个百分点优势赢下的选区参选，他告诉Semafor（注：美国新闻网站），尽管收到了许多邀请，但他不想要除亚利桑那州民主党参议员鲁本·加列戈以外的全国民主党人前来助选，他称加列戈是“我的朋友”。“我喜欢哈基姆，但你得明白，这里的人已经对两党都感到幻灭了，”普利多说。
And some red-state Democrats are still keeping their distance from national party leaders. Tejano musician Bobby Pulido, who’s running in a Texas district that Trump won by 18 points in 2024, told Semafor that — though he’s gotten many offers — he didn’t want visits from national Democrats besides Sen. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., whom he called a “friend of mine.”“I love Hakeem, but you’ve got to understand, the people here have become disillusioned with both parties,” Pulido said.
尼古拉斯的观点 在很多方面，杰弗里斯在竞选途中展现的姿态是其政党在这届中期选举期间的一个缩影。民主党在红州正获得支持，并逐步重建在2024年大选后支离破碎的全国品牌，但要重获选民信任，还有更长的路要走。
Nicholas’s view In many ways, Jeffries’ posture on the trail is a microcosm of his party during these midterms. Democrats are gaining traction in red states and increasingly rebuilding a national brand shredded after the 2024 election, but there’s more ground to regain voters’ trust.
如果他能以很少的波折当选议长——很可能在加西亚等中间派的帮助下——杰弗里斯和他这一代众议院民主党领袖将面临更大的挑战。四年来，他们一直享有在少数党地位下执政的便利，在反对特朗普和国会共和党人中找到了团结。获胜意味着要就将什么提上议程做出艰难得多的决定。
If he can make it to the speakership with few speed bumps, likely with the help of centrists like Garcia, Jeffries and his generation of House Democratic leaders will have a bigger challenge. They’ve had the luxury for four years of governing from the minority, where they’ve found unity in opposing Trump and congressional Republicans. Winning means making much tougher decisions about what to put on the floor.
《得克萨斯论坛报》报道，本周期西班牙裔选民回流民主党的趋势可能并不持久。《华盛顿邮报》剖析了杰弗里斯的领导风格。
Notable Hispanic voters’ shift back towards Democrats this cycle might not be durable, the Texas Tribune reported. The Washington Post broke down Jeffries’ leadership style.