
德国总理默茨访亚寻求更紧密安全关系 朱利安·赖尔 2026年10月26日德国总理弗里德里希·默茨将会晤新加坡、日本和韩国领导人,德国正寻求调整外交政策,以应对日益加剧的不确定性和对全球供应链的威胁。
Germany's Merz heads to Asia seeking closer security ties Julian Ryall October 26, 2026 Chancellor Friedrich Merz will be meeting the leaders of Singapore, Japan and South Korea as Germany seeks to adjust its foreign policy to rising uncertainty and threats to global supply chains.
自2025年5月上任以来,默茨此次访亚将是他最长的一次外访。德国总理弗里德里希·默茨周一开启为期五天的亚洲之行,首站抵达新加坡,随后计划访问日本和韩国。默茨随行有一个由30名资深商界人士组成的代表团,其中包括德国工业、科技和国防企业以及能源供应商的代表。
Merz's visit to Asia will be his longest foreign trip since he took office in May 2025 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz kicked off a five-day tour of Asia on Monday, traveling to Singapore before his scheduled visits to Japan South Korea Merz is accompanied by an entourage of 30 senior businesspeople, including representatives of Germany's industry, tech and defense companies, and energy suppliers.
与此同时,德国总统弗兰克-瓦尔特·施泰因迈尔正在访问中国。虽然这两次行程官方说法互无关联,但它们似乎都旨在推动柏林的经济和安全关系,正值地缘政治动荡威胁全球供应链之际。
At the same time, Germany's President Frank-Walter Steinmeier is visiting China While the trips are not officially related, they both seem aimed at boosting Berlin's economic and security relationships at a time of geopolitical instability, which threatens global supply chains.
日本需要亲密盟友 在新加坡,默茨将发表一场重要的外交政策演讲,并会晤总理劳伦斯·黄。随后他将于周三前往日本,与首相高市早苗会晤,并出席德日商业峰会。
Japan needs close allies In Singapore, Merz is set to deliver a major foreign policy speech and meet Prime Minister Lawrence Wong. He will then travel to Japan on Wednesday to meet with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and take part in the German-Japanese Business Summit.
东京早稻田大学政治学与国际关系助理教授本·阿西奥内表示,默茨的访问“将受到东京的热烈欢迎”。
Merz's visit "will be very much welcomed in Tokyo," said Ben Ascione, an assistant professor of politics and international relations at Tokyo's Waseda University.
他对德国之声表示:“十多年来,日本一直在寻求建立新的安全盟友和更紧密的贸易伙伴关系。”日本会成为印太地区最值得信赖的大国吗?
"For more than a decade, Japan has been looking to generate new security allies and closer trade partnerships," he told DW. Will Japan become the Indo-Pacific's most trusted power?
观看此视频 ,他补充道:“这种更大范围的外联始于[前首相]安倍晋三时期,但高市早苗非常忠实地遵循这一蓝图,因为印太地区紧张局势加剧,以及[美国总统]唐纳德·特朗普第二届政府带来的更大不确定性。”
To view this video , and "This greater outreach was started under Prime Minister [Shinzo] Abe, but Takaichi is very much following that blueprint because of the growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific region and the greater uncertainty around the second administration of [US President] Donald Trump," he added.
德国和日本面临不同但相互关联的威胁。日益扩张主义的中国在该地区构成的挑战令东京深感忧虑,特别是因为北京正在与俄罗斯以及难以预测的朝鲜政权建立更紧密的关系。中俄曾在日本近海举行联合军事演习,而北京坚决主张台湾必须置于大陆控制之下。
Germany and Japan face different, but connected threats The challenges posed by an increasingly expansionist China in the region are of deep concern to Tokyo particularly as Beijing is forging closer ties with both Russia and the unpredictable regime in North Korea. China and Russia have conducted joint military exercises off Japan, and Beijing is resolute in its insistence that Taiwan be brought under the control of the mainland.
阿西奥内指出,任何关于台湾、南海争议岛屿或该地区其他领土主张的冲突,都将对全球贸易产生重大影响。此类中断也将波及德国。
Ascione points out that any conflict over Taiwan the disputed islands of the South China Sea or territorial claims elsewhere in the region would have a major impact on global trade. Such disruptions would also impact Germany.
日本、韩国和台湾如何对冲美国政策变化 “目前日本和德国面临的主要安全威胁不同,德国聚焦于俄罗斯入侵乌克兰,而日本则密切关注中国、朝鲜和俄罗斯,但我确实认为,德国在高市早苗所认知的中国构成的安全威胁这一问题上,已更多地趋于一致,”阿西奥内表示。
How Japan, South Korea and Taiwan hedge vs. US shifts "Japan and Germany have different primary security threats at the moment, with Germany focused on the Russian invasion of Ukraine and Japan keeping a close watch on China, North Korea and Russia, but I do believe that Germany has come more into line with Takaichi's perception of the security threat that is posed by China," Ascione said.
他补充道:“在如此地缘政治不确定性的时刻,高市早苗将强调基于规则的国际秩序以及自由开放的印太政策的重要性。” “近年来,日本已转向加强韧性建设、供应链韧性,并建立更多、更深层的安全伙伴关系。”
"Takaichi is going to underline the importance of a rules-based order and the policy of a free and open Indo-Pacific at a time of such geopolitical uncertainty," he added. "Japan has in recent years moved towards greater resilience building, supply chain resilience and more and deeper security partnerships."
德国军事资产部署受日本欢迎 根据阿西奥内的说法,继“巴伐利亚”号护卫舰2021年停靠东京,以及德国战机2024年与日本战机进行空中演练后,日本也将“欢迎”德国向该地区部署军事资产。
German military assets welcome in Japan According to Ascione, Japan would also "welcome" Germany deploying its military assets to the region following its Bayern frigate docking in Tokyo in 2021 and its fighter jets conducting air drills with Japanese fighters in 2024.
2021年5月,“巴伐利亚”号成为20年来首艘停靠东京的德国海军军舰,随后与日本部队进行了空中和海上演习。2024年7月,德国“台风”战机同样在日本北部上空与日本战机实施了空中演练。默茨与高市早苗预计将就应对地缘政治威胁交换意见。
The frigate Bayern became the first German Navy warship to dock in Tokyo in 20 years in May 2021 and went on to conduct air and maritime exercises with Japanese units. In July 2024, German Eurofighter Typhoon aircraft similarly carried out air drills with Japanese fighters over northern Japan. Merz and Takaichi are expected to exchange views on responding to geopolitical threats.
爱好和平的日本正在重整军备——原因如下 这将包括确保供应链韧性、保护战略重要产业,以及确保获得技术和组件,例如对一系列先进技术至关重要但仍主要由中国控制的稀土。
Pacifist Japan is rearming — this is why This would include ensuring supply chain resilience, protecting strategically important industries and ensuring access to technologies and components, such as the rare earths that are critical to a range of advanced technologies but remain largely controlled by China.
欧洲国家对韩国向朝鲜示好感到“恼火” 随后,默茨计划访问韩国,届时他将会见总统李在明,并在首尔出席第19届亚太德国工商会议。他还计划访问标志着朝韩边界的非军事区。
European nations 'irritated' by Seoul's outreach to North Korea Merz is then scheduled to visit South Korea, where he will meet with President Lee Jae-myung and open the 19th Asia-Pacific Conference of German Business in Seoul. He is also due to visit the Demilitarized Zone that marks the border between North and South Korea.
韩国朝鲜问题研究所研究员金赛梅认为,安全问题将再次主导首尔的讨论。
Security issues will again dominate discussions in Seoul, believes Saeme Kim, a research fellow at The Asan Institute for Policy Studies.
不过,这位德国领导人可能会就韩国被视为对朝鲜的“示好”努力,以及由此延伸的对俄示好表达关切。
However, the German leader could voice concerns about South Korea's perceived "outreach" efforts towards North Korea and, by extension, Russia.
她说:“最近曾讨论过向俄罗斯出口石油产品的问题,尽管首尔方面表示并未违反制裁。”
"There has been discussion recently about exports of petroleum to Russia, although Seoul says it has not breached sanctions," she said.
韩国为何要求泽连斯基道歉 据该专家称,尽管金正恩政权向乌克兰冲突派遣了军队,韩国仍在试图建立一种与平壤沟通的方式。
Why Seoul wants an apology from Zelenskyy South Korea is trying to set up a way to communicate with Pyongyang according to the expert, despite the regime of Kim Jong Un sending troops to the conflict in Ukraine.
金赛梅说:“不仅是德国,我认为许多欧洲国家都会对李在明政府试图改善与朝鲜和俄罗斯的关系感到恼火。”
"It's not just Germany, I think a lot of European countries will be irritated by the Lee administration trying to improve relations with North Korea and Russia," Kim said.
即使朝鲜政权与中国和俄罗斯建立日益紧密的经济联系,韩方仍继续向朝鲜提供人道主义援助 “政府需要记住,从长远来看,其中一些政策将损害韩国自身的利益,”她说。韩国能从德国统一中吸取教训吗?
The South also continues to provide humanitarian assistance to North Korea, even as the regime forges ever closer economic ties with China and Russia "The government needs to keep in mind that some of these policies are going to be damaging to South Korea's own interests over the long-run," she said. Can South Korea learn from German reunification?
与此同时,梅茨还可就两韩如何相互合作提供见解,借鉴德国1990年统一的经验。
At the same time, Merz could also offer insight into two Koreas trying to work with one another, drawing on the German experience of reuniting in 1990.
“当然,韩国可以吸取一些经验,但差异也很多,”金说。“两韩在技术上仍处于战争状态,首尔还得应对边境上一个有核野心的国家。”梅茨访问非军事区时,将有机会远眺朝鲜。不过,由于朝鲜上月地雷炸伤三名韩国士兵的事件导致的紧张局势持续,他此次边境之行也可能取消。平壤指责韩国策划了该事件。
"There are lessons that South Korea can learn, of course, but there are a lot of differences," Kim said. "The two Koreas are still technically at war and Seoul has to deal with an aspiring nuclear power on its border." Merz will have the opportunity to see the North at a distance when he visits the DMZ. His visit to the border, however, could also be canceled due to lingering tensions over the North Korean mine injuring three South Korean soldiers last month. Pyongyang has accused the South of staging the incident.