
10月27日:周二,全球股市上涨,油价下跌,投资者在权衡结束中东冲突的努力,同时关注美国大型科技股财报——这被视为人工智能交易的关键考验——以及可能塑造短期利率前景的央行会议。
Oct 27 : Global stocks rose and oil prices slipped on Tuesday as investors weighed efforts to end the Middle East conflict ahead of US Big Tech earnings, seen as a key test of AI trade, and central bank meetings that could shape the near-term outlook for interest rates.

据官方媒体报道,伊朗最高领袖会见了该国安全事务负责人,讨论了维护伊朗利益、落实其条件以结束战争以及“非战非和”局面的重要性。
Iran's supreme leader met with the country's security chief and discussed the importance of pursuing Iran's interests and implementing its conditions with the aim of ending the war, and the "no war, nor peace situation", state media reported.
外交斡旋也在进行中,沙特阿拉伯、土耳其和巴基斯坦的代表正在德黑兰。
Diplomatic efforts were also under way, with representatives from Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan in Tehran.
布伦特原油价格反转早盘涨幅,下跌1%,报每桶114.74美元;欧洲斯托克600指数微涨0.1%;标普500指数期货和纳斯达克指数期货分别上涨0.2%和0.3%。
Brent crude prices reversed earlier gains and were down 1 per cent at $114.74 a barrel while Europe's STOXX 600 index edged up 0.1 per cent and S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures were up 0.2 per cent and 0.3 per cent respectively.
在欧洲,银行股成为焦点,欧洲最大贷款机构汇丰控股下跌6.7%,因其财富管理业务增长放缓,导致7-9月季度营收不及预期。其税前利润符合预期。
In Europe, banks were in the spotlight as the continent's largest lender, HSBC, fell 6.7 per cent after missing revenue expectations for the July-September quarter owing to slower growth at its wealth business. Its pretax profit was in line with estimates.
“在本季度之前,银行一直是赢家,因高波动性和人工智能融资而报告创纪录业绩,”瑞讯银行高级市场分析师Ipek Ozkardeskaya表示。
"Banks have been the winners of the latest quarter before this one, reporting record results because of high volatility and because of AI financing," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, a senior market analyst at Swissquote Bank.
“但目前,它们面临压力,因为我们确实看到短期收益率上升幅度大于长期收益率;这基本上正在侵蚀利息收入,”她补充道,并表示与更容易受成本上升影响的行业相比,银行处于更有利的位置。
"But right now, they are coming under pressure because we do see short-term yields rising more than long term; that's basically eating into the income revenue," she said, adding that banks are in a better position than sectors that are more vulnerable to rising costs.
季度财报是全球关注的焦点,投资者正在权衡伊朗冲突(包括更高的成本和利率)对企业业绩的影响。
Quarterly earnings are the central focus globally as investors weigh up the impact of the conflict in Iran, including higher costs and interest rates, on corporate performance.
财报潮 本周在美国,预计超过三分之一的标普500成分股公司将发布财报,周二的业绩显示喜忧参半。
EARNINGS DELUGE In the US this week, more than a third of S&P 500 companies are expected to report, and results on Tuesday pointed to a mixed bag.
可口可乐等公司以及经济风向标联合包裹运送服务公司(UPS)上调了业绩预期,而希尔顿和捷蓝航空的财报则反映出中东冲突导致成本上升。
Companies such as Coca-Cola and economic bellwether United Parcel Service raised forecasts while reports from Hilton and JetBlue reflected rising costs resulting from the Middle East conflict.
本周晚些时候,聚光灯将转向微软、亚马逊和Alphabet等AI超大规模企业,投资者正在寻找迹象,以判断这些公司数十亿美元的投资是否按预期产生回报。
The spotlight later in the week will be on AI hyperscalers including Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet as investors seek signs that these companies' billion-dollar investments are yielding returns as expected.
微软股价在盘前交易中下滑0.8%,而亚马逊和Alphabet录得微幅上涨。
Microsoft shares slipped 0.8 per cent in premarket trading while Amazon and Alphabet registered marginal gains.
“我们对‘卖铲人’交易在中期内保持看涨。我们看到资本支出周期依然强劲,盈利依然稳健,”杰富瑞经济学家Mohit Kumar表示。
"We remain medium-term bullish on the 'picks and shovels' trade. We see capex cycle remaining strong and the earnings remaining robust," said Jefferies economist Mohit Kumar.
“然而,我们确实承认,与任何周期一样,AI交易中会有赢家和输家,许多公司将无法保持盈利,甚至会破产。”大型科技股财报可能决定投资者对备受期待的AI风向标Anthropic首次公开募股(IPO)以及Meta Platforms 950亿美元股权融资的胃口。
"However, we do admit that, as with any cycle, there would be winners and losers in the AI trade and a number of companies will not remain profitable and even go bust." Big Tech earnings could determine appetite for the eagerly awaited public debut of AI bellwether Anthropic and Meta Platforms' $95 billion equity fundraising.
央行预料将维持利率不变 美联储、欧洲央行和日本央行的利率决议将于本周公布,经济学家预计三大央行均将维持利率不变,市场焦点将集中在政策制定者的讲话上,以判断利率前景。
CENTRAL BANKS EXPECTED TO STAY ON HOLD Policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are due this week, with economists expecting all three to stand pat on interest rates, leaving the focus on comments from policymakers to gauge the rates outlook.
美联储官员已释放信号,表明他们不会在周三再次上调短期借贷成本,但通胀担忧依然是焦点,投资者认为暂停加息不会持续太久。交易员预计美联储将在12月加息。
Fed policymakers have telegraphed that they will not raise short-term borrowing costs again on Wednesday, but with inflation concerns still front and centre, investors believe a rpause in rate hikes will not last for long. Traders are pricing in an increase from the Fed in December.
欧元下跌0.2%,报1.114美元,接近两周前触及的5月低点。
The euro eased 0.2 per cent and at $1.114 it was near the May low it hit two weeks ago.
美国10年期国债收益率持稳于4.974%,维持在5%之下;9月时因投资者因AI担忧导致股市动荡而涌入国债避险,收益率曾突破5%。现货金下跌0.1%,报每盎司4010.96美元。
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was steady at 4.974 per cent, staying below 5 per cent, which it breached in September as investors scurried to Treasuries for safety during stock market tumult over AI worries. Spot gold eased by 0.1 per cent to $4,010.96 an ounce.