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Anthropic首次公开募股将亚洲投资者推向替代押注Anthropic IPO Shutout Sends Asia’s Investors Into Proxy Bets

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对于亚洲大部分地区来说,想要分一杯Anthropic备受瞩目的首次公开募股(IPO)的羹,几乎是不可能的任务。这正推动投资者转向一系列替代选择,从这家Claude开发商的上市股东到加密货币衍生品和半导体股票。

For much of Asia, getting a piece of Anthropic’s blockbuster initial public offering may prove nearly impossible. That’s pushing investors toward a collection of proxies, from the Claude maker’s listed shareholders to crypto derivatives and semiconductor stocks.

这家人工智能公司即将进行的股权发行对该公司的估值可能在1.5万亿美元左右。尽管日本和澳大利亚被纳入此次IPO的国际配售部分,但鉴于高昂的需求和各种限制,获得配额可能会很困难。

The AI firm is set for an equity offering that may value the company at around $1.5 trillion. While Japan and Australia are included in the international portion of the IPO, access will likely be difficult given high demand and various restrictions.

对间接敞口的追逐正将投资者引向几个不同的方向。一些人正在寻找持有Anthropic股份的公司或与其估值挂钩的期货产品,而另一些人则在押注能够受益于IPO所资助的人工智能支出的芯片制造商和硬件供应商。

The hunt for indirect exposure is taking investors in several directions. Some are looking to companies with stakes in Anthropic or futures products tied to its valuation, while others are betting on chipmakers and hardware suppliers that could benefit from the AI spending the IPO will help fund.

ACG Management Pte董事总经理罗慧玲(音译)表示:“这将会溢出到芯片板块。这类替代标的可能是覆盖Anthropic的有效方式,因为许多区域和散户投资者在亚洲不可避免地被边缘化了。”亚洲对Anthropic最大的押注是通过该地区的芯片产业进行的。Anthropic大约8000亿美元的算力基建表明,台湾积体电路制造股份有限公司等领先的代工厂,以及SK海力士公司和三星电子公司等存储芯片制造商将从中受益。

“It will spill over to chip names,” said Hui Ling Loh, managing director at ACG Management Pte. “Such proxies could be effective way to cover Anthropic as many regional and retail investors are inevitably sidelined in Asia.”The biggest Anthropic bet in Asia runs through the region’s chip industry. Anthropic’s roughly $800 billion compute buildout points to benefits for leading foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. as well as memory makers like SK Hynix Inc. and Samsung Electronics Co.

IPO文件突显了Anthropic对台积电制造的先进芯片的依赖,并警告称这家台湾供应商的产能限制是一个核心关切。SK海力士和三星也在招股说明书中被确认为人工智能计算中使用的的高带宽内存的主要生产商。

The IPO filing highlights Anthropic’s dependence on advanced chips manufactured by TSMC, warning that supply constraints at the Taiwanese supplier are a key concern. SK Hynix and Samsung are also identified in the prospectus as major producers of high-bandwidth memory used in AI computing.

不太显眼的交易包括SK电信公司,该公司对Anthropic的早期投资已经增长为价值数十亿美元的持股。这家韩国移动通信公司还与这家美国人工智能开发商保持着商业合作关系。

Less obvious trades include SK Telecom Co., whose early investment in Anthropic has grown into a multibillion-dollar holding. The Korean mobile firm also maintains a commercial partnership with the US AI developer.

澳大利亚联邦银行提供了另一条途径,该行在一年多前购买了Anthropic的股份。截至6月底,澳大利亚这家最大的贷款机构将其持股价值评估为超过10亿美元。

Commonwealth Bank of Australia offers another route, having purchased a stake in Anthropic more than a year ago. Australia’s biggest lender put the value of its holding at more than $1 billion as of the end of June.

日本电气股份有限公司提供了另一种联系,该公司于4月成为Anthropic首家日本全球合作伙伴。此后,该公司与该人工智能开发商以及八家日本金融机构一起,加入了为金融业开发人工智能应用的倡议。

NEC Corp. provides a different kind of connection, having become Anthropic’s first Japan-based global partner in April. It has since joined the AI developer and eight Japanese financial institutions in initiatives to develop AI applications for the financial industry.

日本电气股价较6月份的低点上涨了45%,而澳大利亚联邦银行的股价本月迄今已上涨8%。SK电信股价在过去两个交易日内攀升了9%,尽管它们仍远低于6月份的峰值。

NEC shares are up 45% from their June low, while CBA’s stock has risen 8% so far this month. SK Telecom shares have climbed 9% over the past two session, though they’re still well off their June peak.

可以肯定的是,鉴于最近涌现出对昂贵人工智能项目资金来源及其能否获得回报的担忧浪潮,市场将如何接受这场巨大的纳斯达克上市还有待观察。此外,投资边缘标的也会带来来自无关行业的风险。

To be sure, it remains to be seen how the market will receive the giant Nasdaq listing, given the wave of recent concerns over funding for costly AI projects and whether they will ever pay off. Moreover, investing in tangential plays introduces risks from unrelated industries as well.

联合私人银行董事总经理凌韦森(音译)表示:“人们最好还是坚持选择Anthropic的供应商。这是一场备受炒作的亏损企业的IPO,其通往盈利的道路极不确定,同时面临着巨大的竞争压力和发展瓶颈。”除了直接的股权所有权之外,加密货币交易所和在线交易平台已经在交易对Anthropic的押注。5月,OKX推出了不设到期日的Anthropic关联永续期货,币安随后在6月推出了类似产品。

“People are probably better off sticking with Anthropic’s suppliers,” said Vey-Sern Ling, a managing director at Union Bancaire Privee. “It is a hyped-up IPO of a loss-making company with a very uncertain path to profitability, subject to immense competitive pressures and developmental bottlenecks at the same time.”Beyond direct equity ownership, cryptocurrency exchanges and online trading platforms are already trading bets on Anthropic. In May, OKX introduced Anthropic-linked perpetual futures that carry no expiry date, followed by similar products from Binance in June.

在Hyperliquid的EntropyIO平台上,与Anthropic相关的永续期货暗示的估值约为1.88万亿美元。包括PU Prime在内的平台已经推出了差价合约产品,允许交易员在不持有底层资产的情况下投机价格变动。

On Hyperliquid’s EntropyIO venue, Anthropic-linked perpetual futures implied a valuation of about $1.88 trillion. Platforms including PU Prime have introduced contracts-for-difference products that allow traders to speculate on price changes without holding the underlying asset.

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