南卡罗来纳州参议院选情胶着：民调显示，在南卡罗来纳州这场距离选举日不到一周的竞选中，参议员达琳·格雷厄姆（共和党-南卡罗来纳州）与民主党参议院候选人安妮·安德鲁斯势均力敌。
South Carolina Senate race deadlocked: Survey Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) and Democratic Senate hopeful Annie Andrews are deadlocked in the Palmetto State race with less than a week before Election Day, according to a new survey.
《纽约时报》与锡耶纳大学周三发布的民调显示，在南卡罗来纳州可能投票的选民中，两位候选人的支持率均为48%。自1998年以来，该州从未将民主党人送入国会参议院。
The New York Times/Siena University poll, released Wednesday, shows both candidates with 48 percent support among likely voters in South Carolina — which has not elected a Democrat to the upper chamber of Congress since 1998.
在接受调查的选民中，73%表示他们“几乎确定”或至少有一定可能在下周二投票。另有22%表示他们已经提前投票。与此同时，3%表示他们不太可能或完全不可能投票，2%表示不确定或未回答该问题。
Among those surveyed, 73 percent said they were “almost certain” or at least somewhat likely to vote next Tuesday. Another 22 percent said they voted early. Meanwhile, 3 percent said they were less likely or not at all likely to cast a ballot, while 2 percent were unsure or did not answer the question.
调查发现，当被问及如果选举在今天举行，他们更可能支持民主党人还是共和党人时，43%的受访者表示支持民主党人，51%表示支持共和党候选人。其余6%表示会选择其他候选人或不确定。
When asked if they were more likely to back a Democrat or Republican if the election were held today, 43 percent of respondents said Democrat while 51 percent said the GOP candidate, the survey found. The remaining 6 percent said they would choose another candidate or were unsure.
据广告追踪公司AdImpact称，近几周来，共和党人已将对格雷厄姆的支出增加到2000万美元以上，以支持她在这场事关重大的竞选中接替其兄长、已故参议员林赛·格雷厄姆（共和党）突然去世后留下的席位。
In recent weeks, Republicans have increased their spending to more than $20 million to back Graham in the high-stakes race to succeed her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham (R), after his sudden death, according to ad tracking firm AdImpact.
格雷厄姆被任命完成其兄长的剩余任期，她在整个竞选过程中一直难以筹款，其支持主要来自共和党外部。联邦选举委员会的文件显示，截至10月14日，达琳·格雷厄姆仅筹得120万美元，而安德鲁斯筹得2380万美元。
The incumbent, who was appointed to finish her brother’s term, has struggled to raise money throughout the campaign, and her support has come mainly from outside Republicans. Federal Election Commission filings show Darline Graham raised just $1.2 million as of Oct. 14, compared with Andrews’s $23.8 million.
特朗普总统已访问该州以提振支持率，最近一次是在上周。共和党全国委员会宣布，总统将于周四重返该州，此时距离中期选举仅剩几天。
President Trump has visited the state to boost support, most recently last week, and the Republican National Committee announced the president will return to the state on Thursday, just a few days ahead of the midterms.
曾在特别初选中与格雷厄姆竞争的众议员拉尔夫·诺曼（共和党-南卡罗来纳州）上周表示，尽管他会信守投票给格雷厄姆的承诺，但他的家人不会支持她。
Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.), who ran against Graham in the special primary, said last week that while he would keep his promise to vote for Graham, his family would not be supporting her.
“我不会和她一起参加活动，这一点我已经说得相当清楚，”诺曼在接受电台采访时说。“我承认败选时，给她打了电话表示祝贺，但那是唯一一次我和她说话。”民主党人此前在南卡罗来纳州也曾吃过亏，尤其是在2020年的参议院选举中，民调显示林赛·格雷厄姆与前民主党全国委员会主席杰米·哈里森（民主党）之间的竞争十分激烈。哈里森最终以10个百分点的差距落败。
“I would not do an event with her, and I made that pretty clear,” Norman said during a radio interview. “When I conceded the race, I called her and congratulated her, but that’s the only time I’ve spoken with her.”Democrats have been burned before in South Carolina, namely in the 2020 Senate race, where polls suggested a close contest between Lindsey Graham and former Democratic National Committee Chair Jaime Harrison (D). Harrison went on to lose by 10 points.
这场势均力敌的选战只是共和党在努力维持参议院多数席位之际所打的众多战役之一。
The close race is just one battle the GOP is fighting as it struggles to maintain its Senate majority.
据《国会山报》的合作伙伴、无党派选举预测机构Decision Desk HQ（DDHQ）称，民主党人在参议院最有可能翻转的席位是北卡罗来纳州、阿拉斯加州、得克萨斯州和俄亥俄州——这恰好是他们夺回参议院控制权所需的四个席位。
According to nonpartisan election forecaster Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), a partner of The Hill, the likeliest flips for Democrats in the Senate are North Carolina, Alaska, Texas and Ohio — amounting to the four seats they need to take back control of the chamber.
该党在艾奥瓦州和缅因州的胜算也超过40%，在南卡罗来纳州和堪萨斯州的胜算超过30%。DDHQ认为达琳·格雷厄姆有67%的胜算。
The party also has a greater than 40 percent chance in Iowa and Maine, and a greater than 30 percent chance in South Carolina and Kansas. DDHQ gives Darline Graham a 67 percent chance to win.
《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院的这项民调于10月19日至26日在南卡罗来纳州的707名选民中进行。误差幅度为4.3个百分点。
The Times/Siena poll was conducted Oct. 19-26 among 707 voters in South Carolina. The margin of error is 4.3 percentage points.