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中期选举前数日两场关键选情收紧,共和党参议院多数地位面临新的不确定性GOP Senate majority faces fresh uncertainty as 2 key races tighten days before midterms

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共和党参议员达琳·格雷厄姆与民主党对手安妮·安德鲁斯于2026年10月11日在南卡罗来纳州联邦参议员选举辩论中交锋。(来源:SCETV)Republican Sen. Darline Graham and Democratic opponent Annie Andrews clashed during a South Carolina U.S. Senate election debate on Oct. 11, 2026. (Courtesy: SCETV)

周三公布的民调结果显示,在11月3日中期选举仅剩不到一周之际,俄亥俄州和南卡罗来纳州这两场全国最受关注的参议院选战仍然势均力敌。

Two of the country’s most watched Senate races in Ohio and South Carolina remain neck and neck with under a week to go until the Nov. 3 midterm elections, polling results released on Wednesday show.

在这两个州,微弱的差距对民主党人来说是个好兆头,他们正试图击败两位共和党现任参议员:俄亥俄州共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德和南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员达琳·格雷厄姆。如果这两场选战都如民主党人所愿,他们将距离消除共和党目前在参议院53席的多数地位仅一步之遥。

In both states, the tight margins are a welcome sign for Democrats as they try to unseat a pair of Republican incumbents: Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, and Sen. Darline Graham, R-S.C. Should both races go their way, Democrats would find themselves within striking distance of eliminating the current 53-seat Republican majority in the Senate.

在俄亥俄州,萨福克大学的调查结果显示,民主党候选人谢罗德·布朗以47%对44%领先俄亥俄州共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯特德。该民调的误差范围为上下4.4个百分点,使这场选战处于误差范围之内。4%的选民尚未决定,另有3%支持其他候选人。

In Ohio, findings from Suffolk University show Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown leading Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, 47% to 44%. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, putting the race within the margin of error. Four percent of voters were undecided, while 3% backed another candidate.

民主党参议员候选人、联邦参议员谢罗德·布朗(民主党-俄亥俄州)于2024年11月4日在俄亥俄州克利夫兰海茨的竞选办公室向志愿者发表讲话。(斯蒂芬·马图伦/盖蒂图片社)Democratic Senate candidate, U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, addresses volunteers at a campaign office on November 4, 2024, in Cleveland Heights, Ohio. (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

布朗是一位在2024年失去席位的前参议员,他正试图实现政治回归,在公众对生活成本感到不满之际,将自己塑造成一张熟悉的面孔。

Brown, a former senator who lost his seat in 2024, is trying to make a political comeback, pitching himself as a familiar face amid public frustration with the cost of living.

在整个竞选过程中,他一直强调自己作为政策制定者的职业生涯,承诺将这一专长用于解决生活负担能力和数据中心扩张等问题。在输给俄亥俄州共和党参议员伯尼·莫雷诺之前,布朗从2007年到2025年代表俄亥俄州,并担任参议院银行、住房和城市事务委员会主席。

Throughout his campaign, he has highlighted his career as a policymaker, promising to bring that expertise to issues like affordability and data center expansion. Before losing his seat to Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio, Brown represented Ohio from 2007 to 2025, chairing the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee.

在南卡罗来纳州,锡耶纳研究所与《纽约时报》合作进行的民调发现,南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员达琳·格雷厄姆与民主党候选人安妮·安德鲁斯以48%对48%打成平手。在这场选战中,3%的受访者表示他们仍未决定,不到1%的人表示计划投票给某个第三候选人。

In South Carolina, polling from the Siena Research Institute in partnership with the New York Times has found Sen. Darline Graham, R-S.C., in a tie with Annie Andrews, the Democrat in the race, at an even 48% apiece. In that race, 3% of respondents said they were still undecided while less than 1% said they planned to vote for some third candidate.

格雷厄姆是已故南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆的妹妹,于今年7月被任命担任该席位,她在初选中击败众多共和党挑战者后,正寻求赢得完整的六年任期。

Graham, the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., who was appointed to the seat in July, is looking to secure a full six-year term after beating out a crowded field of Republican challengers in the primary.

尽管格雷厄姆是政坛新人,但她获得了总统唐纳德·特朗普的支持,而且她竞选的这个州在2024年以17.8个百分点的优势倒向了总统。

Although new to the political scene, Graham has the backing of President Donald Trump and is running in a state that went the president’s way by a 17.8% margin in 2024.

格雷厄姆的对手安德鲁斯则称她缺乏经验,是林赛·格雷厄姆的延伸——林赛·格雷厄姆是特朗普在参议院的关键盟友之一。

Andrews, Graham’s opponent, has framed her as inexperienced and an extension of Lindsey Graham — one of Trump’s key allies in the Senate.

参议员达琳·格雷厄姆(共和党-南卡罗来纳州)于2026年8月24日在南卡罗来纳州艾肯的格林边界俱乐部竞选活动上发表讲话。(肖恩·雷福德/盖蒂图片社)Sen. Darline Graham, R-S.C., speaks during a campaign event at the Green Boundary Club on Aug. 24, 2026, in Aiken, S.C. (Sean Rayford/Getty Images)

就安德鲁斯本人而言,她倡导的政策立场包括将堕胎权写入法律、提高持枪要求以及扩大医疗保健的可及性。

For her own part, Andrews has championed policy positions like enshrining access to abortion, increased requirements for gun ownership and expanding access to healthcare.

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