
罗伯·吉利斯 多伦多 —— 在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发动贸易战之初,加拿大总理马克·卡尼曾称加拿大是“非欧洲国家中最欧洲化的国家”。如今,他正接待欧洲领导人,寻求建立前所未有的联盟,但拟议的欧盟“准成员”称谓遭遇阻力,即便欧盟最高官员力挺该提议。
ROB GILLIES TORONTO — Prime Minister Mark Carney called Canada “the most European of non-European countries” early in U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war. Now, he’s hosting European leaders to pursue an unprecedented alliance, but the proposed EU “associate member” designation faces resistance even as the EU’s top official champions it.
欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩和欧盟理事会主席安东尼奥·科斯塔将于周四在蒙特利尔与卡尼会晤,进行为期两天的峰会,旨在深化贸易、国防和经济联系,因为加拿大和欧洲都在寻求减少对华盛顿的依赖,以应对不断变化的世界秩序。
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President António Costa will join Carney in Montreal on Thursday for a two-day summit aimed at deepening trade, defense and economic ties as Canada and Europe seek to reduce their dependence on Washington in a changing world order.
在峰会前向记者通报情况的欧盟官员表示,拟议的伙伴关系可能使加拿大与欧盟的关系比以往任何一项与非欧洲国家的安排都更紧密。但其架构甚至名称仍未敲定,一些成员国对冯德莱恩上月提出的“准成员”称谓提出质疑。
European Union officials who briefed reporters ahead of the summit said the proposed partnership could bring Canada closer to the bloc than any previous arrangement with a non-European country. But its structure and even its name remain unsettled, with some member states questioning the “associate member” designation proposed last month by von der Leyen.
抵达蒙特利尔时,冯德莱恩在社交媒体上发文表示,欧洲希望让加拿大比以往任何时候都更接近欧盟,“作为欧盟准成员”,丝毫没有放弃该提议的迹象。欧洲对外关系委员会特别顾问阿南德·桑达尔表示,法国和德国等国对该称谓不满,它可能无法在峰会上存续。卡尼周二表示,峰会将启动未来一年的进一步谈判。
Arriving in Montreal, von der Leyen showed no sign of abandoning the proposal, posting on social media that Europe wanted to bring Canada closer than ever before “as Associate Member of the EU.”Anand Sundar, a special adviser at the European Council on Foreign Relations, said France and Germany are among the countries unhappy with the designation and that it may not survive the summit. Carney said Tuesday the summit would launch further negotiations over the next year.
“具体的名称或称呼并不重要,”卡尼说。“重要的是它将给加拿大人的生活带来什么样的改变,给年轻加拿大人在学习、工作和旅行方面带来什么样的机会,给加拿大企业带来什么样的新机遇,给加拿大研究人员带来什么样的深度机遇,以及让加拿大整体成为一个更加独立、更加主权的国家,以便我们能按自己的选择生活。”
“It doesn’t matter about specific names or nomenclature,” Carney said. “What matters is the difference that it will make to lives of Canadians, young Canadians in terms of opportunities to study, work and travel, our Canadian businesses in terms of new opportunities, Canadian researchers in terms of depths of opportunity, and Canada as a whole becoming a more independent, more sovereign nation, so we can live our lives as we choose.”
卡尼已排除正式加入欧盟的可能性,因为那将要求加拿大使其法律法规与欧盟集团保持一致。加拿大官员表示,加拿大不会承担欧盟成员国相关的预算义务,尽管它可以为特定项目提供资助。卡尼表示,任何加强伙伴关系都将面临加拿大议会的表决。
Carney has ruled out formally joining the EU, which would require Canada to align its laws and regulations with the bloc’s. Canadian officials said Canada would not assume the EU’s membership-related budget obligations, although it could contribute to specific programs. Carney has said any enhanced partnership would face a vote in Canada’s Parliament.
这次峰会将检验卡尼关于新全球秩序的愿景。今年1月,他在瑞士达沃斯的世界经济论坛上警告说,美国主导的国际秩序正在瓦解,并敦促中等强国联合起来对抗经济胁迫。
The summit puts Carney’s vision for a new global order to the test. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in January, he warned that the U.S.-led international order was breaking down and urged middle powers to unite against economic coercion.
特朗普曾暗示加拿大拟议的欧盟安排可能是一种“敌对行为”,并威胁如果他认为该安排不友好,将对欧洲征收关税。周三,当被问及可能的报复时,一位加拿大政府高级官员告诉记者,更紧密的关系并非针对美国,而是反映了长期以来的共同利益。
Trump has suggested Canada’s proposed EU arrangement could be a “hostile act” and threatened tariffs on Europe if he considered it unfriendly. Asked Wednesday about possible retaliation, a senior Canadian government official told reporters the closer relationship was not directed against the United States but reflected longstanding shared interests.
预计峰会将启动“面向未来的联盟”,这是一个在贸易、国防、关键矿产、技术和研究等方面加强合作的框架。冯德莱恩表示,该联盟将帮助加拿大和欧洲共同应对一个竞争日益加剧的世界。
The summit is expected to launch an “Alliance for the Future,” a framework for closer cooperation on trade, defense, critical minerals, technology and research. Von der Leyen said the alliance would help Canada and Europe respond together to a world of growing rivalries.
拟议的关系可能包括加拿大部长与欧盟委员之间的定期会晤,以及通过欧盟“伊拉斯谟+”计划为学生提供更多机会,该计划支持国际学习和教育交流。
The proposed relationship could include regular meetings between Canadian ministers and European commissioners and expanded opportunities for students through the EU’s Erasmus+ program, which supports international study and educational exchanges.
欧盟委员和加拿大内阁部长将举行特定领域的会议,从周四的商业论坛开始,随后于周五举行正式领导人会谈。官员们希望发展更广泛的伙伴关系,以期在2027年获得批准。
European commissioners and Canadian Cabinet ministers will hold sector-specific meetings, beginning with a business forum Thursday before formal leaders’ talks Friday. Officials hope to develop the broader partnership for possible endorsement in 2027.
欧洲对外关系委员会高级政策研究员托比亚斯·格尔克表示,术语上的分歧不太可能阻碍更紧密的合作。
Tobias Gehrke, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, said the disagreement over terminology was unlikely to derail closer cooperation.
格尔克说:“没有捷径能让欧洲和加拿大迅速减少对美国经济和军事的依赖——尤其是因为华盛顿可能会进行报复。但政治窗口期现在已全面打开,可以迈出比以往设想大得多的一步。”加拿大长期以来一直寻求通过欧洲来减少对其体量大得多的南方邻国的依赖。
“There is no magic shortcut to rapidly reducing Europe’s and Canada’s reliance on the U.S. economy and military — not least since Washington might retaliate,” Gehrke said. “But the political window is now wide open to take a much bigger step than was previously conceivable.”Canada has long looked to Europe to reduce its dependence on its much larger southern neighbor.
多伦多大学历史学家罗伯特·博斯韦尔说:“正是不想单独面对美国这一想法在推动这一进程。”
“It was the idea of not being alone with the Americans that drove it,” said Robert Bothwell, a University of Toronto historian.
卡尼与欧洲有着深厚的个人渊源。这位加拿大央行前行长曾于2013年至2020年担任英格兰央行行长。他担任总理后,选择巴黎和伦敦作为首次外访目的地,而非华盛顿,打破了惯例。他说,这些国家反映了加拿大建国时的原住民、法裔和英裔人民。
Carney has deep personal ties to Europe. The former Bank of Canada governor led the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020. He chose Paris and London for his first foreign trip as prime minister rather than Washington, a break with tradition. He said the countries reflected Canada’s founding Indigenous, French and British peoples.
蒙特利尔麦吉尔大学政治学教授丹尼尔·贝兰表示,特朗普的政策正在加速加拿大加强与美国以外国家关系的努力。
Daniel Béland, a political science professor at McGill University in Montreal, said Trump’s policies are accelerating Canada’s efforts to strengthen ties beyond the United States.
贝兰说:“特朗普政府的政策和言辞显然正在推动加拿大和欧盟设想一个没有强有力美国领导力的世界,并据此采取行动。”
“The policies and rhetoric of the Trump administration are clearly pushing both Canada and the EU to imagine a world without strong U.S. leadership and to act accordingly,” Béland said.
渥太华正在审查采购72架额外美国制造的F-35战斗机的计划,并考虑将瑞典的“鹰狮”战机作为替代方案。加拿大已承诺先购买16架F-35。
Ottawa is reviewing plans to buy 72 additional American-made F-35 fighter jets and considering Sweden’s Saab Gripen as an alternative. Canada has committed to an initial 16 F-35s.
加拿大是参与欧盟1500亿欧元(约1670亿美元)“SAFE”国防采购计划的唯一非欧洲国家,这使得加拿大企业能够参与欧洲的联合军事采购。
Canada is the only non-European country participating in the EU’s 150-billion-euro ($167-billion) SAFE defense procurement program, allowing Canadian companies to take part in joint European military purchases.
但更深层次的国防合作面临障碍。桑达尔表示,法国正在推行严格的“欧洲制造”规则,这可能限制加拿大企业未来参与欧盟国防开支的机会,而德国则倾向于允许集团外国家更广泛地参与。他表示,关于欧盟未来七年预算的谈判,对加拿大的影响可能比蒙特利尔宣布的任何内容都更大。
But deeper defense cooperation faces obstacles. Sundar said France is pushing for strict “Made in Europe” rules that could limit Canadian companies’ access to future EU defense spending, while Germany favors broader participation by countries outside the bloc. He said negotiations over the EU’s next seven-year budget could matter more to Canada than anything announced in Montreal.
双方已拥有一项全面的自由贸易协定,即《加欧全面经济贸易协定》(CETA),该协定取消了大多数关税。大部分条款自2017年起生效,尽管部分欧盟成员国尚未批准。
The two sides already have a sweeping free trade agreement, known as CETA, that eliminated most tariffs. Most provisions have been in force since 2017, although some EU member states have yet to ratify it.
2025年,美国占加拿大商品出口的71.7%。卡尼希望在未来十年内将对其他国家的出口翻一番。
The United States accounted for 71.7% of Canada’s merchandise exports in 2025. Carney wants to double exports to other countries over the next decade.
加拿大和欧盟正在数字贸易和关键矿产领域寻求更紧密合作,包括可能由欧洲投资银行提供融资。加拿大官员周三表示,他们正在探索稳定矿产价格和鼓励投资的途径。
Canada and the EU are pursuing closer cooperation on digital trade and critical minerals, including possible European Investment Bank financing. Canadian officials said Wednesday they were exploring ways to stabilize mineral prices and encourage investment.
盖尔克表示,欧洲与中国日益加剧的贸易对抗正在推动对加拿大关键矿产的需求。加拿大拥有欧洲所需的资源和采矿专业知识,而欧洲则提供工业需求、技术和资本。
Gehrke said Europe’s growing trade confrontation with China is driving demand for Canadian critical minerals. Canada has the resources and mining expertise Europe needs, while Europe offers industrial demand, technology and capital.
桑达尔表示,不断变化的国际秩序为欧洲提供了一个成为更有影响力的全球大国的机会。
Sundar said the shifting international order presents Europe with an opportunity to become a more influential global power.
他说:“特朗普的掠夺性行为正让欧盟得以将自己定位为另一个地缘政治锚点。”
“Trump’s predatory behavior is allowing the EU to position itself as an alternative geopolitical anchor,” he said.