
上周,美国初次申请失业救济金的人数维持在近57年低位附近,劳动力市场保持韧性。
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits hovered near 57-year lows last week amid labor market resilience.
美国劳工部周四表示,截至10月24日当周,经季节性调整的州失业救济金初请人数下降1,000人,至19.4万人。路透社调查的经济学家此前预测最近一周的申请人数为19.9万人。
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 194,000 for the week ended October 24, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 199,000 claims for the latest week.
自9月中旬以来,初请人数大多保持在20万人以下,距离7月中旬触及的18.9万人仅一步之遥,后者是1969年以来的最低读数。
Claims have stayed mostly below 200,000 since mid-September and are within striking distance of the 189,000 level touched in mid-July, which was the lowest reading since 1969.
经济学家认为劳动力市场仍处于“低招聘、低裁员”状态。他们表示,国内需求保持韧性带来的强劲利润使裁员人数维持在历史低位附近。但经济学家称,美国与伊朗之间持续的战争令雇主不愿增加人手。
Economists view the labor market as remaining in a "low-hire, low-fire" state. They said strong profits as domestic demand remains resilient were keeping layoffs near historic lows. But the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran was making employers hesitant to increase headcount, economists said.
这份申请报告显示,作为招聘状况替代指标的、在首次领取救济金一周后继续领取失业金的人数,在截至10月17日当周经季节性调整后下降2.1万人,至170.1万人。
The claims report showed the number of people receiving unemployment benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, dropped 21,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.701 million during the week ended October 17.
所谓的持续申领数据涵盖政府为统计10月失业率而调查家庭的当周。9月失业率为4.2%,本月可能保持稳定甚至小幅下降,因为世界大型企业联合会周二的调查显示,消费者对10月劳动力市场更为乐观。
The so-called continuing claims covered the week during which the government surveyed households for October's unemployment rate. The jobless rate was at 4.2% in September, and could remain steady or even edge down this month as a Conference Board survey on Tuesday showed consumers more optimistic about the labor market in October.
在特朗普政府打击移民的背景下,劳动力队伍缩减是失业率保持低位的关键因素。美联储周三将基准隔夜利率维持在3.75%-4.00%区间,同时承认通胀“仍然高企”。
A reduction in the labor force amid the Trump administration's immigration crackdown is a key factor in keeping the unemployment rate low. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday left its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 3.75%-4.00% range while acknowledging that inflation "remains elevated."
经济学家预计美国央行将在12月加息。美联储主席凯文·沃什承认劳动力市场稳定,他对记者表示,“在美联储双重使命的就业方面,状况相当积极。”
Economists expect the US central bank to raise rates in December. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh acknowledged the labor market stability, telling reporters that "on the employment side of the Fed's dual mandate, conditions are quite positive."