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法国世界报

“加拿大和欧洲必须联合起来,以免被碾压”'Canada and Europe must combine to avoid being crushed'

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在莎士比亚的《暴风雨》中,一个寻求避雨的角色对另一个角色说:“苦难使人结识奇怪的同伴。”如今,曾经保护欧洲的安全 canopy 已被撕裂,欧盟正拼命寻求庇护。他们跨越大西洋,找到了一个同样感到孤立无援的国家。

In Shakespeare's The Tempest, one character seeking shelter from the storm says to another: "Misery acquaints a man with strange bedfellows." Now that the security canopy that once protected Europe has been ruptured, the EU is desperately seeking shelter. They have reached across the Atlantic to a country also feeling friendless and alone.

加拿大正与隔壁的帝国陷入关税战,而这个帝国曾经的善意忽视和友好情谊,已被一位决心将加拿大对美国市场和技术的依赖武器化的总统所颠覆。与欧洲不同——欧洲选择接受15%的关税作为进入美国市场的代价——8月下旬,总理马克·卡尼拒绝了一项本会让美国人控制加拿大经济主权的协议。该国现在正为捍卫这一主权而与一个规模十倍于己的对手作战。

Canada is locked in a tariff war with a next-door empire whose benign neglect and genial friendship have been overturned by a president determined to weaponize Canada's dependency on US markets and technology. Unlike Europe, which chose to accept a 15% tariff as the price of entry to the US market, in late August, Prime Minister Mark Carney walked away from a deal that would have handed Americans control of Canada's economic sovereignty. The country is now in a battle to defend that sovereignty against an opponent 10 times its size.

卡尼认定,有些时候,一个民族别无选择,只能战斗。他的欧洲伙伴或许更为谨慎,但也得出了同样的结论。他们无法控制那些正在撕毁国际秩序的掠夺性霸权——中国、俄罗斯和美国——因此必须联合起来以免被碾碎。

Carney has decided that there are times when a population has no choice but to fight. His European partners may be more cautious, but they've come to the same conclusion. They cannot control the predatory hegemons – China, Russia and America – tearing up the international order, so they must combine to avoid being crushed.

10月29日和30日,世界秩序崩溃后两个孤苦的幸存者将在蒙特利尔会面,共商生存大计。他们相信,正如卡尼所说,生存意味着“专注于你能控制的事情”。但各方究竟控制着什么,仍是一个未解的问题。算力是现代主权和地缘政治影响力的货币。美国掌握全球75%的算力,中国占15%。加拿大不到1%,欧洲仅有可怜的5%。

On October 29 and 30, the two orphaned survivors of the collapse of the world order will meet in Montreal to plan survival. They believe, as Carney has said, that survival means "focusing on what you can control." It's an open question what either party controls. Computing power is the currency of modern sovereignty and geopolitical influence. America holds 75% of global compute, China 15%. Canada has less than 1% and Europe a paltry 5%.

在一个由中国和美国主导的全球经济中,他们茫然无措,而两国都依赖于一个被俄罗斯和伊朗挟持的全球能源体系。投资项目为了抢在实际成功之前宣布成功,以此防止悲观情绪蔓延,欧洲和加拿大领导人已通过半官方的消息渠道放出风声,称他们将在蒙特利尔竭力争取达成雄心勃勃的意向性声明。贯穿其整个战略的主线是一项计划:首先减少对美国人的地缘战略依赖,其次减少对中国人的依赖。

They are at sea in a global economy dominated by China and America, and both are dependent on a global energy system held hostage by Russia and Iran. Investment projects In order to forestall pessimism by announcing success before it has actually occurred, European and Canadian leaders have let it be known, through semi-official leaks, that they will beg ambitious declarations of intent at Montreal. The red thread running through their entire strategy is a plan to reduce geostrategic dependency on the Americans, first of all, and second, the Chinese.

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