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叙利亚民众在危机考验阿萨德下台后复苏之际苦于物价飞涨Syrians grow frustrated as soaring living costs threaten recovery

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Many Syrians say their economic situation has worsened in the last two years amid a cost-of-living crisis

叙利亚民众因生活成本飙升而日益不满,经济复苏前景蒙阴 燃油价格上涨引发不满情绪,考验艾哈迈德·沙拉政府的支持率。

Syrians grow frustrated as soaring living costs threaten recovery Fuel price rises are driving discontent, testing support for Ahmed al-Sharaa's government.

文/雨果·巴切加 上个月,抗议活动在叙利亚各地的广场和街道爆发。民众焚烧轮胎、堵塞道路、高呼口号,对政府再次决定上调燃油价格表示愤怒。这是总统艾哈迈德·沙拉两年前掌权以来规模最大的一次不满情绪宣泄。

By Hugo Bachega Last month, protests erupted in squares and streets across Syria. People burned tyres, blocked roads and chanted slogans, angry at the government's decision to raise fuel prices again. It was the largest show of discontent yet since President Ahmed al-Sharaa came to power two years ago.

一名男子在叙利亚电视频道上表示,他仍然支持当局,但自己的处境已恶化到买不起面包的地步。“说实话,”另一名男子说,“我们开始担心每天清晨会出台什么样的新决定。”

Speaking on a Syrian TV channel, a man said he still supported the authorities but that his situation had deteriorated to the point where he could no longer afford to buy bread. "Honestly," another said, "we have begun to fear what kind of new decision each morning will bring".

此次涨价是民众归咎于日益严重的生活成本危机的一系列措施中的最新一项。对许多叙利亚人来说,自沙拉领导的反政府武装推翻巴沙尔·阿萨德总统、结束其家族长达五十年的残酷统治和长达十三年多的毁灭性内战以来,生活在经济层面反而恶化了。

The increase was the latest in a series of measures people blame for a growing cost-of-living crisis. For many Syrians, life, financially, has worsened since rebels led by Sharaa ousted President Bashar al-Assad, ending five decades of his family's brutal rule and more than 13 years of a devastating civil war.

沙拉被推上总统宝座,此后一直领导叙利亚的过渡进程,并致力于在长期的管理不善、孤立和冲突之后振兴破碎的经济。

Catapulted to the presidency, Sharaa has, since then, led Syria's transition and efforts to revive a broken economy after a long period of mismanagement, isolation and conflict.

这项任务的艰巨性从未令人怀疑。但在庆祝阿萨德被推翻和获得新自由之际,叙利亚人或许过于乐观地希望局势能迅速好转。然而,这种期待并未实现,政府对经济的处理让许多人感到沮丧。

There was never any doubt about how challenging this would be. But as they celebrated Assad's overthrow and their new freedoms, Syrians, perhaps unrealistically, hoped things would quickly improve. That, however, has not materialised, and the handling of the economy has frustrated many here.

从基本账单到日用品,几乎所有东西的成本都上涨了。许多人将燃油价格的进一步意外上涨视为政府与国情脱节的信号。

From essential bills to basic items, the cost of virtually everything has gone up. And many saw a further and unexpected rise in fuel prices as a sign of a government out of touch with its country.

“我们不想要环岛。他们天天建新环岛。民众站在你们一边,现在依然支持你们,”另一名抗议者对着沙拉喊道,“但这会让局势‘爆炸’的。”几天后,在进一步示威的呼声中,涨价决定被撤销。

"We don't want roundabouts. Every day they build a new roundabout. People stood by you and are still with you," another protester said, addressing Sharaa, "but this will [make] things explode". Days later, amid calls for further demonstrations, the increase was revoked.

"We eat more sparingly now. We no longer buy chicken once a week," Fatima Saleh Eid says

在大马士革郊区,我陪同50岁的法蒂玛·萨利赫·埃德(Fatima Saleh Eid)在一个露天市场进行每周一次的采购。她是一名清洁工,靠这份工作补贴家用。

In a suburb of Damascus, I joined Fatima Saleh Eid at an open-air market for her weekly shop. At 50, she works as a cleaner to help support her family.

“我们吃了很多苦,”她说。她的丈夫失业一年后,最近才被一家陶瓷厂录用。他是幸运儿之一,因为许多人都在艰难求职。在一些街道上,男人们聚集在一起,希望能遇到提供日结工作的人;通常情况下,他们的等待都是徒劳的。

"We've suffered a lot," she said. Her husband had recently been hired by a ceramic factory after a year unemployed. He is among the lucky ones, as many are struggling to find work. In some streets, men gather in the hope of meeting someone offering a day job; often, they wait in vain.

政府上台后,作为紧缩政策的一部分,大幅削减了长期存在的补贴。叙利亚人的主食面包价格上涨了十倍。燃料价格目前已与国际平均水平持平,这给农民带来了压力,并推高了运输成本,而部分地区的电费则上涨了百分之几百。

Since coming to power, the government has slashed long-held subsidies as part of an austerity drive. The price of bread, a Syrian staple, has increased tenfold. Fuel prices are now in line with the international average, which has put pressure on farmers and made transportation more expensive, while the cost of electricity has gone up several hundred per cent for some.

作为回应,当局调整了包括养老金在内的公共部门薪酬;不出所料,随着物价持续上涨,增加的薪酬对民众发挥的作用已经消失。

The authorities, in response, have adjusted public sector wages, including pensions; unsurprisingly, the effect of the additional pay for people has been lost as prices keep rising. "We eat more sparingly now.

“我们现在吃得更省了。我们再也买不起鸡肉或肉了。我们只能吃蔬菜,但即使是蔬菜也很贵,”法蒂玛说,“希望(Inshallah)物料能便宜下来。”她说话时,大约十几个各个年龄段的人围了过来。没有人表示异议。一位老者也说他已经不再吃肉了。另一位二十多岁的年轻人告诉我,他的家人再也付不起他患有心脏病的父亲的药费。一位年轻女子说,她和四个孩子每两天才能吃上一顿正餐。

We can't afford chicken anymore nor meat. We only eat vegetables but even [that is] expensive," Fatima said. "Inshallah [God willing] things will get cheaper." As she spoke, around a dozen people, of all ages, gathered around us. Nobody disagreed. One elderly man also said he had stopped eating meat. Another, in his 20s, told me his family were no longer able to pay the medicine for his father, who had a heart condition. One young woman said she and her four children could only afford to have a proper meal every two days.

68岁的退休人员马尔万·巴舒尔(Marwan Bashour)表示,他的月薪约为90美元(合70英镑),这是公共部门的最低工资标准。他说:“这根本不够。”

Marwan Bashour, a 68-year-old pensioner, said his monthly pay was around $90 (£70), which is the public sector minimum wage. "It's not enough at all," he said.

联合国开发计划署表示,去年有90%的叙利亚人生活在贫困之中。马尔万向我讲述了他是如何维持生计的。

The United Nations Development Programme said 90% of Syrians were in poverty last year. Marwan told me how he made ends meet.

“有时我借钱,有时卖家里的东西,”他说,“比如不用的旧锅、盘子,别人送的礼物。甚至连家具都卖过。”

"Sometimes I borrow money, sometimes I sell things from my house," he said, "like an old pot or plates that we never used, gifts that were given to us.

还有其他压力。和许多叙利亚人一样,马尔万过去依靠援助机构的帮助。但对他来说,这种帮助已经停止了,因为资金削减迫使这些组织缩减服务。

I've even had to sell furniture". There have been other pressures too. Like many Syrians, Marwan used to rely on help from aid agencies. But, for him, that has stopped, as organisations have been forced to cut back services because of funding cuts.

Nabil al-Remhein says he has cut back on lighting in his house because of high electricity bills

叙利亚也未能幸免于美伊冲突的影响。政府表示,引发抗议的燃油涨价,部分原因是冲突给能源市场带来的压力。

Syria has also not been immune to the impact of the US-Iran war. The government said the fuel increase that led to the protests was, in part, due to the pressure on energy markets because of the conflict.

我遇到了另一位退休人员纳比勒·雷姆海因,今年63岁。他的四个成年子女都找不到工作。“我们现在一天只吃一顿饭。太悲惨了,”他说。他的脸看起来很疲惫。“不只是我,是全体民众。我们都饿了……我们在不断上涨的物价下窒息。”纳比勒带我去了他家,位于一个狭窄巷道和简陋建筑林立的贫困区。在那里,我见到了他的妻子。她在黑暗中做家务。

I met another pensioner, Nabil al-Remhein, who is 63. None of his four adult children could find work. "We're now having only one meal a day. It's tragic," he said. His face looked tired. "It isn't only me. It's the entire population. We're all hungry... We're suffocating under rising costs." Nabil took me to his house, in a poor area of narrow alleys and modest buildings. There, I met his wife. She was doing her chores in the dark.

“我怕电费账单,”纳比勒说。“我们减少了家里的照明,还[每天]关冰箱大约五个小时。”

"I'm afraid of the electricity bill," Nabil said. "We've cut back on lighting up the house and we [also] turn off the fridge for about five hours a day".

即便如此,他们最近的电费账单约占家庭收入的三分之一。他还没交。

Still, their latest bill was about a third of the family's income. He has not paid it.

Nabil al-Remhein's wife does her chores in the dark in their house

叙利亚专栏作家、伦敦智库查塔姆咨询研究员海德·海德博士表示,“相当大一部分人口”的境况比阿萨德倒台前更糟。

Dr Haid Haid, a Syrian columnist and consulting fellow at the London-based think tank Chatham House, said a "significant portion of the population" was worse off than before Assad's fall.

他告诉我,经济危机是政府面临的“最危险的问题之一”,其中部分是政府自找的。

The economic crisis, he told me, was "one of the most dangerous issues" for the government, and that some of it was of its own making.

“部分[危机]与缺乏[财政]资源以及前政权留下的遗产有关,”他说。

"Part of [the crisis] is related to the lack of [financial] resources and the legacy left by the former regime," he said.

“但这也是新政策的直接影响,这些政策正在推动[叙利亚]走向自由放任和自由市场式经济,却不顾及对民众的影响。”叙利亚经济和工业部的一名发言人告诉我,没有人能接受采访。当然,沙阿已经取得了一些重要的战果。

"But it's also the direct impact of the new policies that are moving [Syria] towards a liberal and free-market sort of economy, which don't take into account the impact on people". A spokesman for the Syrian economy and industry ministry told me no-one was available for an interview. Sharaa has, of course, scored some important gains.

Jobar, on the outskirts of Damascus, still lies in ruins nearly two years after the fall of the Assad regime

阿萨德时代实施的国际制裁已被解除,美国已将该国从其支持恐怖主义国家名单中除名。安全局势依然动荡且令人担忧,但这个国家感觉更加稳定了。

International sanctions imposed in the Assad-era have been lifted, and the US has removed the country from its list of state sponsors of terrorism. Security remains volatile and a source of concern, but the country feels more stable.

这位总统继续巩固权力,并在今年早些时候从库尔德人领导的民兵手中夺回了资源丰富的东北部。(德鲁兹人仍然控制着南部的部分地区,他们希望在那里建立一个自治国;以色列占领了西南部的一部分。)但真正的经济复苏尚未发生。在经历了一场夺走50万人生命、导致一半人口流离失所的战争之后,叙利亚的大片地区依然是一片废墟。

And the president continues to consolidate his power and, earlier this year, retook the resource-rich north-east from a Kurdish-led militia. (The Druze still control areas in the south, where they want to create an autonomous state; Israel occupies parts of the south-west.) But real economic recovery is yet to happen. Large parts of Syria remain in ruins after a war that killed half a million people and displaced half of the population.

由于付不起房租,许多家庭住在部分损毁的建筑里。世界银行表示,重建费用估计为2160亿美元,如果没有外部帮助和投资,叙利亚人将无法进行重建。

Unable to afford rent, many families live in partially destroyed buildings. The World Bank says reconstruction costs are estimated at $216bn and, without foreign help and investment, it will be impossible for Syrians to rebuild.

总部位于巴黎的独立智库阿拉伯经济学家圈负责人、叙利亚经济学家萨米尔·艾塔表示,这场危机是“各项政策的叠加,(政府)没有管理好预期,并制造了不切实际的希望”。

Samir Aita, a Syrian economist who heads the Circle of Arab Economists, a Paris-based independent think-tank, said the crisis was a "combination of policies with the [government] not managing expectations and creating unrealistic hopes".

当我问他对未来有何感受时,他说:“这是不可持续的。如果他们不做出改变,我担心会出现混乱。”经历了多年的冲突,叙利亚人已经精疲力竭,几乎别无选择,却依然抱有希望。

When I asked him about how he felt about the future, he said: "It's unsustainable. If they don't change, I fear chaos." Exhausted after years of conflict, Syrians, left with almost no choice, remain hopeful.

一名叫阿布·马哈茂德的出租车司机对我说:“他们接手的是一个破产的国家,所以人们需要有耐心。事情不会一夜之间发生。”

Abu Mahmoud, a cab driver, told me: "They inherited the country bankrupt, so people need to be patient. Things don't happen overnight."

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