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从“国家队”干预到玉兰债:投资者关注的5个数字From ‘national team’ intervention to Yulan bonds: 5 figures investors are watching

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本周,中国股市陷入熊市,促使有国家背景的“国家队”向交易所交易基金(ETF)注入了约1700亿元人民币(折合255.2亿美元);渣打银行第三季度净利润大增46%,超出预期;美国联邦储备委员会维持利率不变,这也使得香港的基准利率保持不变。

This week, China’s stock market slipped into a bear market, prompting the state-backed “national team” to pour about 170 billion yuan (US$25.52 billion) into exchange-traded funds (ETFs); Standard Chartered beat forecasts with a 46 per cent jump in third-quarter net profit; and the US Federal Reserve held rates steady, which also left Hong Kong’s base rate unchanged.

与此同时,一种被称为“玉兰债”的离岸人民币债券结构在迪拜首次亮相,香港的住宅租金则延续了创纪录的涨势。以下是本周吸引了最多市场关注的一些数字。

Meanwhile, an offshore yuan bond structure known as Yulan made its debut in Dubai, and residential rents in Hong Kong extended a record-breaking run. Here are some of the figures that have drawn the most market attention this week.

高盛估计,有国家背景的中国投资者——即所谓的“国家队”——本月买入了约1700亿元人民币跟踪主要指数的ETF,而美国银行更为保守的估计则认为购买额超过了1100亿元人民币。

Goldman Sachs estimated that state-backed Chinese investors – the so-called national team – bought roughly 170 billion yuan of ETFs tracking key indices this month, while a more conservative estimate by Bank of America put purchases at more than 110 billion yuan.

在沪深300指数跌入熊市且科创50指数较7月份的高峰下跌超过40%之后,买盘有所加码,一些媒体估计,抛售抹去了大约3.5万亿美元的市值。

The buying stepped up after the CSI 300 Index fell into a bear market and the Star Market 50 Index lost more than 40 per cent from its July peak, with some media outlets estimating that the sell-off erased about US$3.5 trillion in market value.

分析人士表示,此举旨在稳定市场并防范系统性风险,而不是点燃持续的反弹,对真正复苏的希望依然寄托在内需和企业盈利的反弹上。

Analysts said the support was aimed at stabilising the market and warding off systemic risks rather than igniting a sustained rally, with hopes for a genuine recovery still resting on rebounds in domestic demand and corporate earnings.

该行的第三季度净利润增长46%至15亿美元,由于财富管理和跨境贷款的强劲增长,使这家香港三家发钞行之一免受与房地产和地缘政治紧张局势相关的拨备影响。

The bank’s third-quarter net profit rose 46 per cent to US$1.5 billion, as strong growth in wealth management and cross-border lending buffered one of Hong Kong’s three note-issuing banks from provisions tied to property and geopolitical tensions.

在业绩公布后,该行股价在周三一度飙升高达8.7%,随后收窄涨幅,当日收盘上涨7.6%,报219.80港元。

Shares surged as much as 8.7 per cent on Wednesday after the results were released, before paring gains to close the day 7.6 per cent higher at HK$219.80.

美国联邦储备委员会周三将联邦基金目标区间维持在3.75%至4%,香港金融管理局(金管局)周四将该市的基准利率维持在4.25%不变,当地主要贷款机构也维持其利率不变。

The US Federal Reserve held its federal funds target range at 3.75 to 4 per cent on Wednesday, and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) kept the city’s base rate at 4.25 per cent on Thursday, with major local lenders leaving their rates unchanged.

金管局警告称,利率前景存在“相当大的不确定性”,并指出美国和香港利率之间显着的差距可能会通过套息交易逐渐削弱港元,并敦促公众在房地产、投资或借贷决策中谨慎管理利率风险。

The HKMA warned of “considerable uncertainty” over the interest rate outlook, noting that the marked gap between rates in the US and Hong Kong could gradually weaken the Hong Kong dollar through carry trades, and urged the public to manage interest rate risk carefully in property, investment or borrowing decisions.

中国银行迪拜分行在纳斯达克迪拜敲响了以玉兰债结构发行的两年期离岸债券上市钟,定价为20亿元人民币。

Bank of China Dubai rang the listing bell at Nasdaq Dubai for a two-year offshore bond issued under the Yulan structure, priced at 2 billion yuan.

订单簿获得超过五倍的超额认购,该交易较最初的价格指引收窄了50个基点,主权账户认购了超过30%的份额,在错综复杂的地区地缘政治背景下,提供了全球对人民币资产的胃纳依然坚挺的最新证据。

The order book was more than five times oversubscribed, the deal tightened 50 basis points from initial price guidance, and sovereign accounts took more than 30 per cent of the allocation, providing fresh evidence – against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East – that global appetite for yuan assets remains firm.

差饷物业署的数据显示,9月份私人住宅售价指数环比上升0.19%至320.8,今年前九个月累计涨幅达到7.08%,而租金指数则连续第11个月攀升至另一个历史新高。10月份的一手市场销售量超过1700套,创下五个月来的新高。

Data from the Rating and Valuation Department showed the private home price index rose 0.19 per cent month-on-month to 320.8 in September, for a cumulative gain of 7.08 per cent in the first nine months of the year, while the rental index climbed for an 11th consecutive month to another record high. Primary market sales exceeded 1,700 units in October, a five-month high.

分析人士表示,在人才流入的支撑下,预计租金将继续保持上升轨迹,但在今年反弹之后,价格进一步上涨的空间有限。

Analysts said they expected rents would remain on an upwards trajectory, underpinned by talent inflows, but saw limited room for further price gains after this year’s rebound.

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