
在华盛顿对德黑兰下一步行动的不确定性日益加剧、距离美国中期选举仅剩数日之际,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示相信与伊朗的战争将很快结束,尽管华盛顿同时在权衡发动又一轮军事打击的可能性。“这件事很快就会了结,”特朗普周五在接受堪萨斯城广播电台KCMO采访时说。然而,他没有透露冲突将如何结束,也没有说明德黑兰是否准备接受华盛顿的条件。
Amid mounting uncertainty over Washington's next move against Tehran and days before the US midterm elections, US President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that the war with Iran will be brought to an end soon, even as Washington weighs the possibility of another round of military strikes." It's going to get wrapped up soon," Trump said in an interview with Kansas City radio station KCMO on Friday. However, he offered no details on how the conflict would end or whether Tehran was prepared to accept Washington's conditions."
“我们需要一个保证,确保永远不会出现核武器,”他补充说,并重申阻止伊朗获得核武器仍是美国立场的核心。伊朗一再否认寻求发展核武器,并坚称其有权为和平目的进行铀浓缩。
We need a guarantee there'll never be a nuclear weapon," he added, reiterating that preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon remains central to the US position. Iran has repeatedly denied seeking to develop nuclear weapons and insists that it has the right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes.
特朗普发表上述言论之际,距离11月3日美国中期选举仅剩数日,其政府对于下一步对德黑兰的行动发出了混杂的信号。虽然这位美国总统表示美国不会在选举前对伊朗发动打击,但报道称他正在考虑在选举后发动一场短暂但猛烈的军事行动。与此同时,副总统JD·万斯开辟了一条与德黑兰的新外交渠道,致信伊朗安全事务负责人穆赫辛·雷扎伊,以试探恢复谈判的前景并阻止另一轮美国打击。
Trump's remarks come just days before the November 3 US midterm elections, with his administration sending mixed signals about its next move against Tehran. While the US President has indicated that the US will not launch strikes against Iran before the elections, reports suggest he is considering a short but intense military campaign afterwards. Meanwhile, Vice-President JD Vance has opened a fresh diplomatic channel with Tehran, sending a letter to Iran's security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, to test the prospects of reviving negotiations and head off another round of US strikes.
周五,随着卡塔尔调解人抵达德黑兰进行讨论,寻求走出冲突的途径,这一外交努力进一步获得动力。最新事态表明,华盛顿在寻求就伊朗核计划获得保证的同时,对外交和军事两种选项都保持开放。
The diplomatic push gained momentum further on Friday as Qatari mediators arrived in Tehran for discussions aimed at finding a way out of the conflict. The latest developments suggest that Washington is keeping both diplomatic and military options open as it seeks assurances over Iran's nuclear programme.WHAT IS IN VANCE'S LETTER TO IRAN?
万斯致伊朗的信中写了什么?万斯信件的具体内容尚未公开,但美国媒体报道称,该信旨在确定华盛顿和德黑兰能否就谈判框架达成一致。
The contents of Vance's letter have not been made public, but reports by US media outlets suggest that it was intended to establish whether Washington and Tehran could agree on a framework for negotiations.
据《华尔街日报》报道,这封信函并未包含具体的和平条款,而是试图确定双方能否缩小分歧,从而阻止特朗普授权发动另一次军事行动。一位了解相关讨论的消息人士告诉该报,目标是确定“德黑兰和华盛顿能否找到足够的共同点,说服特朗普不在未来几周内下达对伊朗发动短暂而猛烈打击的最终命令”。《纽约时报》报道称,万斯提议美伊官员尽早举行会晤,预计由副总统率领美国代表团,就像他在6月早些时候的谈判中所做的那样。
According to The Wall Street Journal, the communication did not contain specific peace terms. Instead, it sought to establish whether both sides could narrow their differences sufficiently to prevent Trump from authorising another military operation.A source familiar with the discussions told the newspaper that the objective was to determine whether "Tehran and Washington could find enough common ground to persuade Trump not to give a final order for a short, intense attack on Iran in the coming weeks".The New York Times reported that Vance had proposed an early meeting between American and Iranian officials, with the vice-president expected to lead the US delegation, as he did during earlier negotiations in June.
这封信于周日通过卡塔尔中间人递交给雷扎伊。据该报援引美国和伊朗官员的话报道,万斯呼吁进行直接谈判,并明确表示伊朗的核计划必须从一开始就纳入讨论。如果德黑兰同意这一提议,会晤最早可能在下周举行,卡塔尔和土耳其被视为可能的举办地。选择雷扎伊作为收信人也值得注意。作为伊朗最高国家安全委员会主席,他是德黑兰安全机构中的重要人物。
The letter was delivered to Rezaei through Qatari intermediaries on Sunday. Vance called for direct negotiations and made clear that Iran's nuclear programme would have to be discussed from the outset, according to US and Iranian officials cited by the newspaper. If Tehran agrees to the proposal, the meeting could take place as early as next week, with Qatar and Turkey being considered as possible venues. The choice of Rezaei as the recipient is also noteworthy. As head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, he is an important figure in Tehran's security establishment.IRAN'S RESPONSEIran has not publicly disclosed its position on the proposed negotiations.
伊朗的回应伊朗尚未公开披露其对拟议谈判的立场。不过,《纽约时报》报道称,这封信“受到了伊朗领导人的欢迎”。伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐也表示,德黑兰仍对外交接触持开放态度。在周三的一则社交媒体帖子中,他表示伊朗“继续给外交一个机会”。预计雷扎伊将于周四对万斯的信函作出正式回应。
However, The New York Times reported that the letter had been "received well by Iran's leaders". Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has also indicated that Tehran remains open to diplomatic engagement. In a social media post on Wednesday, he said Iran "continues to give diplomacy a chance".Rezaei was expected to formally respond to Vance's communication on Thursday.
然而,德黑兰迄今仅确认收到该信函,并未公开宣布就拟议中的会晤作出决定。万斯的参与尤其值得关注,因为有报道称特朗普政府内部在如何应对这场冲突上存在分歧。尽管副总统公开支持美国的军事行动,但据报道他并不倾向于打一场旷日持久的战争。在华盛顿于2月加入以色列对伊朗的打击之前,据说万斯主张给外交更多时间。
However, Tehran has so far acknowledged receiving the letter without publicly announcing a decision on the proposed meeting. Vance's involvement is particularly significant given reports of differences within the Trump administration over how to approach the conflict. Although the vice-president has publicly supported the US military campaign, he has reportedly been less inclined towards a prolonged war. Before Washington joined Israel in attacking Iran in February, Vance was said to have favoured giving diplomacy more time.
据美国媒体报道,他还私下对冲突可能久拖不决表达了担忧。与此同时,德黑兰一再警告称,美以任何新的攻击都将招致更强烈的回应。伊朗表示,其报复行动可能超出常规军事目标,波及整个海湾地区的石油设施、海底电缆、数据中心和人工智能基础设施。此类威胁使地区各国政府陷入两难境地。接纳美国军事资产的国家即使并未直接参与新一轮攻势,也可能面临伊朗报复的风险。
He has also privately expressed concerns about the possibility of the conflict dragging on, according to US media reports. Tehran, meanwhile, has repeatedly warned that any fresh US-Israeli attacks would invite a stronger response. Iran has indicated that its retaliation could extend beyond conventional military targets to include oil installations, undersea cables, data centres and artificial intelligence infrastructure across the Gulf. Such threats have placed regional governments in a difficult position. Countries hosting American military assets could find themselves exposed to Iranian retaliation even if they are not directly involved in a renewed offensive.
这促使地区大国加强与德黑兰的外交接触。周一,沙特和卡塔尔外交官以及巴基斯坦和土耳其官员在德黑兰参加了与伊朗官员的讨论。卡塔尔重返德黑兰寻求新的和平谈判。在为结束战争所作的最新努力中,卡塔尔加大了调解力度,以防止冲突进一步升级。据伊朗国家通讯社伊朗伊斯兰共和国通讯社报道,卡塔尔调解人周五抵达伊朗首都,与伊朗官员就解决与美国的冲突举行讨论。
This has prompted regional powers to intensify their diplomatic engagement with Tehran. Saudi and Qatari diplomats, along with officials from Pakistan and Turkey, participated in discussions with Iranian officials in Tehran on Monday.QATAR RETURNS TO TEHRAN FOR FRESH PEACE TALKSIn the latest bid to end the war, Qatar has stepped up its mediation efforts to prevent the conflict from escalating further. Qatari mediators arrived in the Iranian capital on Friday to hold discussions with Iranian officials on resolving the conflict with the United States, Iran's state news agency IRNA reported.
预计这些会谈将重点讨论结束战争的可能途径,同时努力加强德黑兰与多哈之间的关系,并就最新地区局势发展交换意见。会谈还在与美国官员协调下进行。——完
The meetings are expected to focus on possible ways to end the war, alongside efforts to strengthen relations between Tehran and Doha and exchange views on the latest regional developments. The discussions are also being held in coordination with US officials.- Ends