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联邦债务在2026财年超过GDPFederal debt surpassed GDP for fiscal 2026

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根据经济分析局(BEA)的最新数据,2026财年国家债务已超过全部国内生产总值(GDP)。

The national debt topped the entire gross domestic product (GDP) for fiscal 2026, according to new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

根据经济分析局未经季节性调整的统计数据,从2025年第四季度到今年第三季度,该国经济产出超过32.2万亿美元。

From the fourth quarter of 2025 through the third quarter of this year, the country’s economic output was more than $32.2 trillion, according to the BEA’s non-seasonally adjusted statistics.

根据财政部数据,截至9月30日(第三季度最后一天),公众持有的债务超过32.4万亿美元。公众持有的债务是联邦政府欠外部实体的债务,包括银行、州和地方政府以及外国。

As of Sept. 30, the final day of the third quarter, debt held by the public was more than $32.4 trillion, per the Treasury Department. Debt held by the public is what the federal government owes to outside entities, including banks, state and local governments and foreign nations.

总国家债务(将公众持有的债务与联邦政府欠自身的债务相加)截至周三超过40.5万亿美元。

The total national debt, which combines debt by the public with debt the federal government owes to itself, was more than $40.5 trillion as of Wednesday.

国家债务于8月突破40万亿美元大关,较本世纪初的约5.7万亿美元和特朗普总统第二任期伊始的36.2万亿美元均有大幅上升。

The national debt crossed the $40 trillion threshold in August, up from roughly $5.7 trillion at the turn of the century and $36.2 trillion at the start of President Trump’s second term.

2026财年债务与GDP之比低于100.1%,低于非党派的国会预算办公室(CBO)2月预测的101%。

The debt-to-GDP ratio for fiscal 2026 of less than 100.1 percent is lower than the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) February projection of 101 percent.

但国会预算办公室预测,该比率将在2036年膨胀至120%,超越1946年二战刚结束时创下的106%的纪录。

But the CBO projects that the ratio will balloon to 120 percent in 2036, surpassing the record of 106 percent reached in 1946, just after World War II ended.

国会预算办公室今年早些时候指出:“以GDP百分比衡量,联邦支出在2026年至2036年间超过其50年平均水平,且差距在扩大。收入在2026年仅略微升至50年平均水平之上,并在整个10年期间维持在略高于该历史平均水平的位置。” 国会预算办公室2月预测,特朗普于2025年7月签署成为法律的《一项宏伟美好法案》(One Big Beautiful Bill Act),将在2035年前使国家债务增加4.7万亿美元。该法将国家法定债务上限从之前的36万亿美元提高至41万亿美元。

“Measured as a percentage of GDP, federal outlays exceed their 50-year average by a widening margin from 2026 to 2036 in CBO’s projections,” the CBO noted earlier this year. “Revenues rise just above their 50-year average in 2026 and remain slightly above that historical average throughout the 10-year period.”The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which Trump signed into law in July 2025, will add $4.7 trillion to the national debt through 2035, the CBO projected in February. That law raised the country’s statutory debt limit to $41 trillion, up from $36 trillion previously.

随着伊朗战争导致政府债务攀升和经济前景不明,债券收益率今年飙升,推高了美国人的借贷成本。

Mounting government debt and economic uncertainty amid the Iran war have sent bond yields soaring this year, pushing up borrowing costs for Americans.

10年期美国国债收益率虽较周四有所回落,但仍比美国和以色列发动伊朗冲突前一天高出90多个基点。

The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield, while down from Thursday, is more than 90 basis points higher than it was the day before the U.S. and Israel launched the Iran conflict.

与此同时,长期30年期美国国债收益率截至周五下午晚些时候交投于近5.31%——较战争爆发前一天上涨约68个基点。

The yield on the longer-term 30-year Treasury bond, meanwhile, is trading at nearly 5.31 percent as of late Friday afternoon — an increase of roughly 68 basis points from the day before the war began.

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