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马六甲州选举:候选人名单确认,安华的希盟与慕尤丁的土团党在4个议席避免交锋Melaka state election: Anwar's PH, Muhyiddin's Bersatu avoid clashes in 4 seats as candidates confirmed

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希望联盟主席安瓦尔·易卜拉欣(左)与土著团结党主席慕尤丁·亚辛。(图片来源:脸书/安瓦尔·易卜拉欣、慕尤丁·亚辛)Pakatan Harapan chairman Anwar Ibrahim (left) and Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia president Muhyiddin Yassin. (Photos: Facebook/Anwar Ibrahim, Muhyiddin Yassin)

吉隆坡:第16届马六甲州选举的竞选活动于周六(10月31日)正式开始,选举委员会在提名日确认候选人后宣布,所有28个席位将进行竞争。

KUALA LUMPUR: The campaign for the 16th Melaka state election officially began on Saturday (Oct 31) with all 28 seats to be contested, the Election Commission announced after candidates were confirmed on nomination day.

11月14日选举的候选人阵容揭示了潜在政治联盟的线索,特别是首相安瓦尔·伊布拉欣领导的希望联盟(PH)和前首相慕尤丁·亚辛领导的土著团结党(Bersatu)在四个席位上避免直接竞争。

The line-up for the Nov 14 election offers clues about potential political alliances, notably with Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim’s Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition and former premier Muhyiddin Yassin’s Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu) avoiding direct contests in four seats.

分析人士向《频道新闻亚洲》(CNA)表示,提名结果显示PH和Bersatu正在非正式合作,尽管至少有一个成员党内部存在反对声音,因此双方并未明确承认这一点。

Analysts told CNA the nominations show PH and Bersatu are informally cooperating, although some internal pushback from at least one component party means they have not explicitly admitted it.

分析人士表示,未来的合作取决于Bersatu能否帮助PH在马六甲赢得部分马来选票,并遏制“马来海啸”,他们指的是国民阵线(BN)与国民联盟(PN)的合作伙伴关系在最近的州选举中取得了压倒性胜利。

Future cooperation depends on whether Bersatu can help PH win some of the Malay votes in Melaka and stem the “Malay tsunami”, the analysts said, referring to how the Barisan Nasional (BN) and Perikatan Nasional (PN) partnership has swept to resounding victories in recent state elections.

与此同时,BN被普遍预计将保留对马六甲的控制权,此前BN在柔佛和森美兰与反对派联盟PN一起开展了成功的竞选活动,各联盟继续在2028年2月前举行的第16届大选前测试他们的联盟。

This comes as BN is widely expected to retain control of Melaka after successful campaigns alongside the opposition coalition PN in Johor and Negeri Sembilan, as the coalitions continue to test their alliance ahead of the 16th General Election, due by February 2028.

无空缺席位:共有79名候选人竞逐马六甲的28个席位——其中11个选区将进行两强争夺,11个选区将进行三角争夺,六个选区将进行四角争夺。

NO WALKOVERS A total of 79 candidates are vying for the 28 seats in Melaka – which will see straight fights in 11 constituencies, 11 three-cornered contests, and six four-cornered contests.

PH将竞逐24个席位,而Bersatu已在七个席位派出候选人。

PH will contest in 24 seats, while Bersatu has fielded candidates in seven seats.

BN是安瓦尔联邦团结政府的合作伙伴,将与PN合作竞逐23个席位,PN将竞逐剩余的五个席位。

BN, Anwar’s partner in the federal unity government, will contest 23 seats in a partnership with PN, which will contest the remaining five seats.

BN成员党马来西亚华人公会(MCA)曾威胁要破坏这一联盟,因为该党在初步谈判后表示对分配给它的席位数量不满意。

BN component party the Malaysian Chinese Association (MCA) had threatened to derail the alliance after it said it was unsatisfied with the number of seats it was allocated following initial negotiations.

这场争端似乎在两个联盟的最后时刻谈判后得以解决,当时国阵最终又获得了两个议席——万里望和哥打拉沙马那——供其竞选。

This dispute appeared to have been resolved following eleventh-hour talks between the two coalitions, when MCA was eventually given two more seats – Bandar Hilir and Kota Laksamana – to contest.

国阵与国盟的合作始于伊斯兰党——国盟的关键成员党——号召其支持者在7月的柔佛州选举中支持国阵。随后在8月的森美兰州选举中,国阵与国盟的合作从希盟手中夺取了该州的控制权,并在州立法议会中取得了三分之二超级多数。“伪合作”土著团结党曾是国盟的成员党,在因国盟运作问题与伊斯兰党决裂后,正试图开辟自己的政治道路。

The BN-PN partnership began when Parti Islam Se-Malaysia (PAS) – a lynchpin PN component party – called on its supporters to support BN at the Johor state election in July This was followed by the Negeri Sembilan state election in August when the BN-PN partnership wrested control of the state from PH and claimed a supermajority in the legislative assembly. “PSEUDO COOPERATION”Bersatu, an erstwhile PN component party, is trying to forge its own political path after falling out with PAS over the running of PN.

周四,土团党主席慕尤丁和其他议员签署了一项协议,同意在关键议会投票中支持安华政府,引发了土团党可能在马六甲州选举中与希盟合作的猜测。

On Thursday, Bersatu president Muhyiddin and other lawmakers signed an agreement to support Anwar's government on key parliamentary votes, raising speculation that Bersatu could work with PH in the Melaka election.

但慕尤丁表示,信任与供给协议并不代表选举契约,周五本地媒体报道称,希盟在与土团党就“希盟加”安排的讨论破裂后,决定单独参选。

But Muhyiddin said the confidence and supply agreement did not signal an electoral pact, and on Friday local media reported that PH had decided to go solo after discussions on a PH Plus arrangement with Bersatu fell through.

尽管如此,希盟避免在土团党将竞选的四个议席——林鲁、双溪乌浪、班底昆多和万损——派出候选人。

Still, PH has avoided fielding candidates in four seats – Lendu, Sungai Udang, Pantai Kundor and Bemban – that Bersatu will contest.

纳桑达拉战略研究院高级研究员阿兹米·哈桑表示,“希盟和土团党之间正在进行某种伪合作”。

Azmi Hassan, a senior fellow at the Nusantara Academy for Strategic Research, said “there is some sort of pseudo cooperation” going on between PH and Bersatu.

他对本台表示:“确实,目前正在进行某种试探(尽管)行动党表示(希盟)不应该与土团党合作,因为后者曾‘背刺’。”

“True enough, there is some testing right now (even though) DAP says (PH) should not have worked together with Bersatu because of backstabbing,” he told CNA.

阿兹米指的是希盟成员党民主行动党(行动党)曾反对与土团党合作,因为后者在2020年2月策划了一场被称为“喜来登政变”的政治操作。

Azmi was referring to how the Democratic Action Party (DAP), a PH component party, had opposed cooperation with Bersatu after the latter orchestrated a political manoeuvre known as the “Sheraton Move” in February 2020.

土著团结党(Bersatu)原本是希望联盟(PH)的关键组成部分,该联盟在2018年大选中获胜,终结了国民阵线(BN)的长期统治。但土著团结党于2020年退出希望联盟,引发联邦政府倒台,并最终导致时任首相马哈迪·莫哈末辞职。

Bersatu was originally a key component of the PH coalition that won the 2018 General Election, ending BN’s long rule. But Bersatu withdrew from PH in 2020, triggering the collapse of the federal government and the eventual resignation of then-premier Mahathir Mohamad.

阿兹米补充说:“我认为希望联盟仍在试图弄清土著团结党能否赢得马来选票。”

“I think Pakatan Harapan is still trying to figure out whether Bersatu can deliver the Malay votes,” Azmi added.

塔斯马尼亚大学亚洲研究教授詹姆斯·钦说:“土著团结党和希望联盟都在试图弄清未来合作的利弊。”“很明显,土著团结党和希望联盟之间存在非正式谅解。”

“Both Bersatu and Pakatan Harapan are trying to figure out the benefits of working with each other in the future.”James Chin, an Asian studies professor at the University of Tasmania, said “it is quite obvious that there is an informal understanding between Bersatu and PH”.

他对CNA说:“这并不令人惊讶,因为土著团结党已经与伊斯兰党(PAS)彻底决裂。”

“This is not surprising because Bersatu has burnt its bridges with PAS,” he told CNA.

“(希望联盟和土著团结党)对峙的地方是因为他们在(议席)谈判上无法达成一致。除此之外,很明显他们在互相支持。”钦说,这种伙伴关系是否延续到下届大选,取决于希望联盟和土著团结党在马六甲的表现。

“The places where (PH and Bersatu are) confronting each other is because they couldn't agree (on seat negotiations). Other than that, it's obvious that they're supporting each other.”Whether this partnership continues to the next general election depends on how well PH and Bersatu fare in Melaka, Chin said.

他补充说:“所谓的‘马来海啸’在(国阵核心政党)巫统(UMNO)和伊斯兰党之间正按轨道进行,有望至少赢得24个议席。”

“The so-called Malay tsunami between (BN lynchpin party) UMNO and PAS is on track to get at least 24 seats,” he added.

“如果他们要失去任何议席,将是在华裔地区输给行动党(DAP)。即使看统计数据,我也看不出任何其他政党能取得进展。” 候选人名单 周六,选举委员会表示,马来西亚人民党(Bersama)也将在马六甲角逐16个议席,而马来西亚土著权力党将角逐一个议席。三个议席将由独立候选人角逐。

“If they're going to lose any seats, it will be to DAP in the Chinese areas. Even when looking at the statistics, I cannot see any other party making headway.”CANDIDATE BREAKDOWN On Saturday, the Election Commission said Parti Bersama Malaysia (Bersama) will also contest 16 seats in Melaka, while Parti Bumiputera Perkasa Malaysia (Putra) will contest one seat. Three seats will be contested by independent candidates.

马六甲州选的候选人中,65人为男性,14人为女性。最年轻的24岁,最年长的66岁。

Sixty-five of the candidates for the Melaka election are men and 14 are women. The youngest is 24, while the oldest is 66.

在为期14天的竞选期后,近69万名登记选民将能在马六甲投下选票。

Close to 690,000 registered voters will be able to cast their ballots in Melaka after a 14-day campaigning period.

马六甲看守首席部长阿布·劳夫·尤索于9月23日宣布正式解散州立法议会,为原本最迟须于2027年2月举行的选举铺平道路。解散前,国阵联盟领导马六甲州政府。

Melaka caretaker chief minister Ab Rauf Yusoh announced the official dissolution of the state legislative assembly on Sep 23, paving the way for an election that was otherwise due by February 2027. Before the dissolution, the BN coalition had led the Melaka state government.

2021年州选举中,国阵赢得28个席位中的21席,希盟获得5席,国盟取得2席。

In the 2021 state election, BN won 21 of the 28 seats, while PH secured five seats and PN claimed two seats.

2023年阿布·劳夫出任首席部长并改组行政议会,以反映2022年大选导致悬峙议会后希盟与国阵在联邦层面的合作伙伴关系,希盟随即加入州政府。

PH joined the state government in 2023 when Ab Rauf became chief minister and reshuffled the executive council to reflect the PH-BN partnership at the federal level following the 2022 general election that had resulted in a hung parliament.

然而,希盟于7月因抗议一项允许委任官委议员的宪法修正案,撤回对州政府的支持。

PH, however, withdrew its support for the state government in July in protest against a constitutional amendment allowing for the appointment of nominated assemblymen.

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