在大多数美国选举中，加拿大从未成为议题。但这一次不同。从密歇根州和新罕布什尔州的广告，到纽约州和爱荷华州的竞选演讲和辩论——再到内华达州和阿拉斯加州的采访——“加拿大”一词反复出现，因为可负担性问题已成为焦点。
In most U.S. elections, Canada never comes up. But not this time. From ads in Michigan and New Hampshire, to stump speeches and debates in New York and Iowa — plus interviews in Nevada and Alaska — the word "Canada" is coming up repeatedly as affordability takes centre stage.
民主党抓住特朗普对加拿大加征关税这一话题，以此为切入点，提出更宏大的论点，指责他不关心美国人的生活成本；共和党则要么为关税辩护，称其旨在保护美国经济——要么与之划清界限。
Democrats are seizing on Trump's Canadian tariffs to prosecute a larger argument about his care for Americans' cost of living, while Republicans are either defending the tariffs for the sake of protecting the U.S. economy — or distancing themselves.
近几天，特朗普本人对加拿大事务表现出了特别的执着。他和其他美国官员本周早些时候暗示可能达成一项贸易协议，但消息人士告诉加广电新闻（CBC News），尽管谈判已加强，但这并不意味着即将达成协议。
In recent days, Trump himself has been especially fixated on Canadian affairs. He and other U.S. officials teased a potential trade deal earlier this week, though sources told CBC News that despite intensified talks, it does not mean an imminent agreement.
但加拿大处于美国中期选举聚光灯下意味着什么？周二的选举结果对加拿大人来说将是福是祸？加广电采访了专家和前官员，探讨加拿大的重要性——以及特朗普若落败可能怪罪加拿大的风险。
But what does it mean for Canada to be in the U.S. midterm spotlight, and will the results on Tuesday be a blessing or a curse for Canadians? CBC's spoke to experts and former officials about Canada's significance — and the risk that Trump could blame Canada if he loses.
加拿大有多重要？民调显示，特朗普与加拿大的争端在两大党的美国选民中都极不受欢迎。
How much does Canada matter? Polls show Trump's dispute with Canada is deeply unpopular among American voters in both major parties.
对于靠近加拿大边境或与加拿大贸易往来密集的美国州份而言，加拿大已“成为关乎柴米油盐的餐桌议题”，加美关系专家、渥太华街策略公司创始人斯科蒂·格林伍德表示。
And for U.S. states close to the Canadian border or which do a lot of trade, Canada has "become a bread-and-butter kitchen table issue," said Scotty Greenwood, a Canada-U.S. relations specialist and founder of Ottawa Street Strategy.
“关税，特别是对加拿大的关税，以及总体关税政策，让美国人的生活成本大幅上升。因此，加拿大已成为一系列美国竞选中的选票议题，”格林伍德说。
"The tariffs, particularly on Canada, but tariff policy in general, makes the cost of living way higher for Americans. And so that's how it's come to pass that Canada is a ballot question in a bunch of U.S. races," Greenwood said.
对共和党的挑战、对民主党的机遇在于，这些州的许多竞选——如密歇根州、缅因州、俄亥俄州、爱荷华州、阿拉斯加州和内华达州——将决定民主党能否夺回众议院和参议院的控制权。
The challenge for Republicans, and opportunity for Democrats, is that many races in those states — like Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Alaska and Nevada — will decide whether the Democrats retake the House of Representatives and Senate.
在这些州，共和党候选人当然清楚加拿大的重要性。以缅因州为例，现任共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯在本月初的一场辩论中表示，她一直是“反对对加拿大加征关税最直言不讳的人”。过去两个月里，特朗普多次调整对加拿大的关税政策，以缓解缅因州居民的压力，而柯林斯则宣称这是她的功劳。特朗普在9月取消了对加拿大水泥和融雪盐的关税，随后在10月又取消了对另一批产品的关税。
Republican candidates in those states are certainly cognizant of Canada. In Maine, for example, incumbent Republican senator Susan Collins said during a debate earlier this month that she has been "the most outspoken opponent of the tariffs with Canada." Over the last two months, Trump has shifted around his Canadian tariffs to give Maine residents relief, and Collins has claimed credit. Trump lifted tariffs on Canadian cement and road salt in September, then scrapped duties on another array of products in October.
但柯林斯的民主党对手特洛伊·杰克逊抓住这一问题发起攻击，驳斥了她的做法，称缅因州居民“不能吃融雪盐”。民调显示，杰克逊领先几个百分点。
But Collins's Democratic opponent, Troy Jackson, has seized on the issue and dismissed her approach, arguing Maine residents "can't eat road salt." Polls suggest Jackson is in the lead by a few points.
曾任缅因州参议员的民主党人艾米莉·凯恩表示，她认为没人预料到加拿大会在参议院竞选中如此突出。虽然柯林斯以前也曾化险为夷，但凯恩补充说，她现在面临的是最大的一次挑战。“唐纳德·特朗普应该为周二晚上的惨败做好准备，”凯恩说。
Emily Cain, a former Maine state senator and Democrat, says she doesn't think anyone expected Canada to feature so prominently in the Senate race. And while Collins has persevered before, Cain added that she is now facing her biggest challenge. "Donald Trump should be bracing for a bad night on Tuesday night," Cain said.
这些中期选举将决定特朗普剩余总统任期内谁控制美国国会 “加拿大不是我们的敌人”：密歇根州共和党参议员候选人在贸易战问题上与特朗普决裂 另一个例子是密歇根州，共和党参议员候选人迈克·罗杰斯正与民主党人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德展开角逐。罗杰斯一直努力与特朗普的关税政策划清界限，他指出，正如柯林斯所言，加拿大不是敌人。
These midterm races will decide who controls U.S. Congress for the rest of Trump's presidency 'Canada is not our enemy': Michigan Republican Senate candidate breaks with Trump on trade war Another example is Michigan, where Republican senate candidate Mike Rogers is squaring off against Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers has worked to distance himself from Trump's tariffs, noting, like Collins, that Canada is not an enemy.
密歇根州共和党政治策略师丹尼斯·伦诺克斯表示，加拿大“并非天天成为谈论话题”，但却是关于特朗普贸易议程的更大辩论中的关键人物。
Dennis Lennox, a Republican political strategist in Michigan, told that Canada is "not coming up every day" in discussions, but is a key figure in the larger debate about Trump's trade agenda.
伦诺克斯还表示，他认为仍有许多美国人愿意给特朗普在关税问题上留有余地，以观望其是否能实现将制造业岗位带回美国的既定目标。
Lennox also said he thinks there are many Americans who are still willing to give Trump leeway on his tariffs to see if they will achieve their stated purpose of bringing manufacturing jobs back to the United States.
“如果看不到特朗普贸易政策带来更多具体成果，美国民众的反对声音就会越来越大，而且会越来越响亮，”伦诺克斯说。特朗普若输掉中期选举，会惩罚加拿大吗？
"If you don't start seeing more concrete results from the Trump trade policy, you're going to see the pushback amongst Americans grow and it's gonna be louder," Lennox said. Could Trump punish Canada if he loses?
在周二选举前夕，特朗普及其代表团经常抨击加拿大。上周，美国总统在一场竞选集会上表示，如果加拿大加入美国，他可以让加拿大保留冰球和国歌。
In the leadup to Tuesday, Trump and his representatives have regularly attacked Canada. Last week, the U.S. president said during a campaign rally that he'd let Canada keep ice hockey and its national anthem if it joined the United States.
上周，美国驻渥太华大使馆还发布了其描述的加拿大官员试图影响中期选举的例子。名单包括安大略省省长道格·福特、工业部长梅兰妮·乔利等人的言论。
Also last week, the U.S. Embassy in Ottawa released what it described as examples of Canadian officials trying to influence the midterm elections. The list included statements from Ontario Premier Doug Ford, Industry Minister Mélanie Joly and others.
当被问及如果特朗普输掉中期选举可能采取报复的可能性时，前顾问约翰·博尔顿表示，没有什么可以排除。
When asked about the possibility of retaliation if Trump loses the midterms, John Bolton, a former adviser, told that nothing can be ruled out. "In Trump's world, there are only two kinds of people.
“在特朗普的世界里，只有两种人：赢家和输家。特朗普是赢家，因此他周二不会输。其他人将要负责。那是他们的错，因为从来都不是他的错，”博尔顿说。
There are winners and losers. Trump is a winner; therefore, he will not lose on Tuesday. Other people will be responsible.
格林伍德表示，如果共和党输掉中期选举，特朗普政府会寻找“事先辩护”，但她不确定这种责任是否会落到加拿大头上。“老实说，我觉得这经不起推敲，”格林伍德说。
It will be their fault because it's never his fault," Bolton said. Greenwood said that the Trump administration will be looking for a "pre-buttle" if the Republicans lose the midterms, but she isn't sure if that blame will fall on Canada.
卡尼表示，加拿大目前“并非处于”同意美国贸易协议的地位。面临高达4000万美元美国关税账单的这家美国进口商正起诉特朗普，以结束对加拿大的部分关税。至于贸易协议的前景，格林伍德表示，即使民主党重新夺得国会两院，特朗普仍有“大量剩余时间和行政权力，尤其是在外交政策和贸易政策方面。”
"I don't think that will pass the smell test, to be honest," Greenwood said. Canada not in a 'position right now' to agree to U.S. trade deal, Carney says Facing a potential $40M US tariff bill, this American importer is suing Trump to end some tariffs on Canada As for the prospect of a trade deal, Greenwood said even if Democrats retake the two chambers of Congress, Trump still has "an awful lot of time left and executive authority left, particularly with respect to foreign policy and trade policy."
“所以，并非选举日之后或新国会于1月宣誓就职后，加美关系就会立刻改变。这将是一条漫长而艰难的道路。”特朗普之后，这些攻击会奏效吗？
"So it's not like everything is going to change for Canada/U.S., the day after election day or the day after the new Congress is sworn in in January. It's going to be a long, tough road." Will the attacks stick after Trump?
伦诺克斯表示，他担心特朗普攻击的长期后果，存在“加拿大将成为党派问题”的风险。“显然，民主党将支持加拿大，而共和党将反对。”
Lennox said he worries about the long-term consequences of Trump's attacks, and there could be a risk that "Canada is going to become a partisan issue…. Obviously the Democrats will be in support of Canada, and the Republicans will be against it."
“根据民调，大多数美国人不同意总统对加拿大的立场，但仍有大量共和党基本盘选民会支持特朗普说的任何话。”据上月发布的尤格夫民调，38%的共和党受访者认为加拿大是美国的“不友好国家”或“敌人”，而民主党受访者中仅有8%。
Most Americans, "according to the polls, disagree with the president's stance vis a vis Canada, but there's still a large segment of Republican-based voters who are going to side with President Trump on whatever he says." According to polling from YouGov that was released last month, 38 per cent of Republican respondents said they consider Canada to be an "unfriendly" or an "enemy" of the United States — in contrast to just eight per cent of Democratic respondents.
皮尤研究中心上月另一项民调也发现，美国人对加拿大的看法略有冷淡，主要集中在年长的共和党人中。
A separate poll from Pew Research also last month found American views of Canada have cooled slightly, mostly among older Republicans.
不过，博尔顿表示，夸大特朗普的长期后果将是“大错特错”，因为他的许多政策在美国民众中，甚至在共和党内部都不占多数支持。
Still, Bolton said it would be a "big mistake" to overstate Trump's long-term consequences, as many of his policies do not have majority support among Americans, nor within the Republican Party.
“我认为那些说‘他总是这样行事，这代表美国对加拿大态度的永久性改变’的人，只是过度解读了特朗普的后果，”博尔顿说。
“I think people who say, 'Well, he acts this way all the time, this represents a permanent change in the American attitude toward Canada' are just over-reading the consequences of Trump," Bolton said.
“他是个异类。美国总统职位上从未出现过像他这样的人，希望以后也永远不会再出现。”
"He is an aberration. There's never been a person like him in the American presidency, hopefully never will be again."