
唐纳德·特朗普总统在竞选集会上有几段惯用的“独角戏”。他最近夸赞了参议员乔恩·赫斯特德(Jon Husted,共和党-俄亥俄州)的体格。他仍然点名批评前总统乔·拜登和副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯。
President Donald Trump has his favorite riffs during campaign rallies. He’s recently complimented the physique of Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio. He still calls out former President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.
但在最近几周,特朗普把众议员伊尔汗·奥马尔(Ilhan Omar,民主党-明尼苏达州)加入了他的“高频点名名单”。国土安全部和司法部目前正在调查奥马尔涉嫌的移民欺诈和财务披露报告问题。
But in recent weeks, the president spun Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., into heavy rotation on his playlist. The Department of Homeland Security and Justice Department are now probing Omar for alleged immigration fraud and financial disclosure reports.
“她所做的是使用假名和其他造假手段,”特朗普抱怨奥马尔道。“她用假名宣誓就职。我推测她必须立即辞去国会议员职务。”
"What she did was use a fake name and other things that are fake," the president groused about Omar. "She used the fake name to be sworn in. I assume she must immediately resign from Congress."
特朗普辩称民主党人“刚刚承认了她的席位(将失守)”。事实并非如此。
Trump argued that Democrats "just conceded her seat." They didn’t.
总统还宣称“她将无法合法地成为那群尊贵政客中的一员”。这也不准确。
And the president declared that "she will not be legally allowed to be a member of that august body of politicians." Not accurate.
总统无权决定谁能在国会任职。宪法第一条第五款赋予众议院和参议院这一权力。它规定两院有权“自行判断其议员的选举、资格和资历”。宪法接着规定,两院可“惩罚其议员的扰乱秩序行为,并经三分之二多数同意,开除议员”。我们提及这些职责,是因为众议院可能需要审查奥马尔的“资格”。特别是《纽约时报》报道称,这位明尼苏达州民主党人在2016年奥巴马执政时期的司法部曾面临审查。此外,该调查称联邦方面发现证据表明,她可能缔结了欺诈婚姻。
The president doesn’t decide who gets to sit in Congress. Article I, Section 5 of the Constitution grants that power to the House and Senate. It charges both bodies with authority to "be the Judge of the Elections, Returns and Qualifications of its own Members." The Constitution goes on to say that the House and Senate may "punish its Members for Disorderly Behavior; and, with the Concurrence of two thirds, expel a Member." We bring up those responsibilities because it’s possible that the House may need to tangle with the "qualifications" of Omar. Especially since the New York Times reported that the Minnesota Democrat faced scrutiny by the Obama-era Justice Department in 2016. Moreover, that inquiry says the feds found evidence that she may have entered into a fraudulent marriage.
如果属实,可能会引发关于奥马尔公民身份的质疑。进而质疑她是否有资格在国会任职。特别是如果查明她是通过虚假手段入籍成为公民的。
If that’s the case, there could be questions about Omar’s citizenship. And thus, whether she’s even permitted to serve in Congress. Especially if it’s found she was naturalized as a citizen via bogus means.
共和党多年来一直在追查奥马尔。民主党人则担心,这可能成为一种分散注意力的棘手麻烦。尤其是如果他们在下周的中期选举后夺回众议院控制权的话。
Republicans have been after Omar for years. Across the aisle, Democrats are concerned this could be a distracting headache. Especially if they seize control of the House after the midterms next week.

对奥马尔的调查始于2016年,当时她竞选州议会议员。前总统贝拉克·奥巴马当时在任。调查延续到了拜登政府时期。联邦政府于2021年终止了调查。
The inquiry into Omar began in 2016 when she ran for the state legislature. Former President Barack Obama was in office. The investigation continued into the Biden administration. The feds terminated the inquiry in 2021.
特朗普政府在10月突击搜查奥马尔住所——扣押电子设备和文件——后,奥巴马为这位女众议员辩护。
After the Trump administration raided Omar’s home in October — seizing electronics and documents — Obama defended the congresswoman.
“美国民主的一项基本原则是,政府不能仅仅因为个人的政治信仰或言论而有选择性地针对他们,”这位前总统说。“但这正是特朗普政府正在对伊尔汗·奥马尔众议员做的事。”
"It is a basic principle of American democracy that the government can’t selectively target individuals simply because of their political beliefs or what they say," the former president said. "But that’s exactly what the Trump administration is doing to Congresswoman Ilhan Omar."
奥巴马说,目前的调查让她的生活“彻底颠倒”,并将其描述为一种“恐吓某人”的企图。有争议的网红兼直播主哈桑·皮克询问奥马尔在调查期间这一周过得如何。
Obama said the current inquiry flipped her life "upside down" and characterized it as an effort to "intimidate someone." Controversial influencer and livestreamer Hasan Piker asked Omar about how her week was going amid the investigation.
“符合我的预期,”奥马尔回答。“这有点像是我习以为常的事。”
"It tracks for me," replied Omar. "That’s kind of what I’m used to."
奥马尔的一位发言人说,她“已多次明确否认这一毫无根据、令人作呕的阴谋论。”但有迹象表明奥马尔十年前曾受到审查,这使得很难将此事描述为源自博客圈的疯狂右翼臆测。
A spokeswoman for Omar said that she "has repeatedly and unequivocally denied this baseless, disgusting conspiracy theory." But indications that Omar faced scrutiny ten years ago make it harder to characterize this as wild, right-wing conjecture emanating from the blogosphere.
“谁下令结案?”福克斯新闻撰稿人保罗·毛罗问道。“据报道,两届政府都曾就此立案调查。我们现在知道有多少烟雾了。”奥马尔于2016年竞选州议会议员。她的竞选团队发布了一封美国检察官的信,信中称“未在调查”奥马尔,也没有要求对她进行调查。那么,她是否获得了清白?还是旧调查的消息火上浇油?
"Who ordered [the investigation] closed?" asked Fox contributor Paul Mauro. "Reportedly, both administrations had opened cases into this. We now know how much smoke there is." Omar campaigned for the state legislature in 2016. Her campaign released a letter from the U.S. attorney saying it "wasn’t investigating" nor requesting an inquiry into Omar. So was she cleared? Or does word of the old probe pour petrol on the flames?

“奥马尔会谈论并说:‘他们已经调查过这件事。什么结果也没有,’”明尼苏达大学政治学教授凯瑟琳·皮尔逊说。“但我认为这也是共和党将利用的一个攻击点。所以我认为双方都会试图利用这一点为自己谋利。” 约翰·纳格尔是奥马尔下周选票上的共和党对手。纳格尔将这项新调查视为一个政治楔子。
"Omar will talk about and say, ‘They've looked into this. Nothing came about it,’" said University of Minnesota political science professor Kathryn Pearson. "But I think it's also a talking point that Republicans will use. So I think sort of both sides will try to use that to their advantage." John Nagel is Omar’s Republican opponent on the ballot next week. Nagel views the new investigation as a political wedge.
“考虑到对她住所的搜查,人们应该记住这一点。这是一个非常严重的指控,”纳格尔说。“就我而言,索马里在她的生活中排在第一位。而我们不过是她的提款机罢了。” 至少有一名共和党人已准备好将奥马尔逐出众议院。
"With the raid on her home, people should keep this in mind. It's a very serious accusation," Nagel said. "As far as I'm concerned, Somalia comes first in her life. And we are nothing more than a piggy bank for her." At least one Republican is ready to bounce Omar from the House.
“如果证据显示她不是美国人,她必须立即被移除,并可能入狱,”众议员兰迪·法恩(共和党-佛罗里达州)说。“我认为,一个外国人可能真的在国会任职,这对美国人来说应该是令人恐惧的。” 但另一位众议院共和党人呼吁谨慎。
"If the evidence shows that she is not an American, she has to be removed immediately and probably put in prison," said Rep. Randy Fine, R-Fla. "I think the idea that a foreigner might be actually serving in Congress should be terrifying to Americans." But another House Republican urges caution.
“我们只需要所有的事实,”众议员克里斯·史密斯(共和党-新泽西州)说。“我希望调查是彻底、公正且绝对光明正大的。” 然后还有正当程序的问题。
"We just need all the facts," said Rep. Chris Smith, R-N.J. "I hope that the investigation is thorough, fair, and absolutely aboveboard." And then there is the question of due process. "The Ethics Committee should commence an investigation.
“伦理委员会应该启动调查。驱逐一名在任议员需要三分之二的众议院票数。我非常怀疑民主党人会同意。如果没有调查结果,当然更不会同意,”众议员迈克·劳勒(共和党-纽约州)告诉福克斯新闻。“我认为至少伦理委员会应在我们复会后立即推进调查。” 当议员们在中期选举后重返华盛顿时,这可能演变成众议院真正的“马蜂窝”。
It takes two-thirds of the House to expel a sitting Member. I would highly doubt the Democrats would agree. And certainly not without findings," Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., told Fox. "I think at a minimum, the Ethics Committee should move forward with an investigation immediately upon our return." This could develop into a real hornet’s nest for the House when lawmakers descend on Washington after the midterms.
更不用说当新一届国会于1月开幕时,关于让奥马尔就职的问题。如果民主党赢得众议院,众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)——或许将成为议长——是否会被迫应对共和党若动议排除奥马尔而引发的让她就职的问题?
That’s to say nothing of questions about seating Omar when the new Congress starts in January. If Democrats win the House, would House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y. — perhaps as speaker — be forced to grapple with the question of seating Omar if Republicans move to exclude her?
事实上,这种排除动议正好发生在新任议长于1月3日让全体众议员宣誓就职之前。议长将让434名议员宣誓。随后就有关相关议员的潜在问题进行表决。如果民主党赢得众议院多数,新当选的温和派众议院民主党人可能会在是否让奥马尔就职的问题上进行他们的首次正式全院表决。
In fact, such a motion to exclude comes right before the new speaker swears in the entire House on Jan. 3. The speaker would swear in 434 members. Then takes votes related to the potential member in question. If Democrats win the House, new, moderate House Democrats might take their first formal floor vote on whether to seat Omar.
考虑到这些新议员所在的摇摆选区的政治性质,投票反对奥马尔可能对他们中的一些人有利。但民主党高层会施压新议员在这种棘手问题上与党团保持一致投票吗?
Voting against Omar might be good for some of these new members, considering the political nature of their battleground districts. But would the Democratic brass pressure new members to vote with the caucus on such a nettlesome issue?
投票让奥马尔就职的民主党人会给共和党一个立即的机会,针对代表摇摆选区的新当选议员建立攻击案由。一票决定排除或驱逐奥马尔,将成为整个两年国会周期中最重要的点名表决之一。
Democrats who vote to seat Omar give Republicans an immediate opportunity to build a case against newly-christened members representing swing districts. A vote to exclude or expel Omar would go down as one of the most important roll calls of the entire two-year Congress.
我们甚至还没探讨初进众议院的进步派和民主社会主义者,如果温和派民主党人不支持他们的同事,他们可能会如何愤怒。这可能会在民主党内部造成严重分裂。
We haven’t even explored how progressives and Democratic Socialists — new to the House — might rage at moderate Democrats for not supporting their colleague. That could produce a serious schism among Democrats.
这件事不会就此了结。奥马尔是个避雷针。共和党认为可以继续利用这一点。特朗普总统有他最爱拿奥马尔说事的段子。众议院共和党人也很可能如此。
This isn’t going away. Omar is a lightning rod. The GOP believes it can continue to milk this. President Trump has his favorite riffs about Omar. And it’s possible that House Republicans may as well.