
AI生成 柏林——德国极右翼政党德国选择党(AfD)十多年前因反对欧盟处理欧元危机的方式而成立,如今随着该党及欧洲各地右翼盟友影响力上升,它正在重新调整其对欧洲的构想。
Germany’s AfD is softening its old anti-euro stance as it grows stronger at home and with right-wing allies across Europe. Alice Weidel’s new plan calls for a looser EU, treaty changes, and possible opt-outs, while leaving open euro membership and a referendum if talks fail.
在9月萨克森-安哈尔特州地方选举取得历史性胜利后,这个在全国民调中最受欢迎的德国政党,如今似乎比以往任何时候都更接近在本十年结束前进入联邦政府。
这一前景引发了辩论:如何在反建制身份与需要被视为国内外潜在盟友可信伙伴之间取得平衡。
Party members are split, but many now say leaving the EU or euro would hurt Germany’s export-led economy and weaken chances of working with the CDU. AI generated BERLIN – The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), founded more than a decade ago in opposition to the European Union’s handling of the euro crisis, is recalibrating its vision for Europe as it and its right-wing allies abroad gain influence.
德国选择党于2013年成立,当时正值民众对欧元区负债累累的成员国获得救助感到愤怒之际,该党最初是一个反对共同货币的运动。
After a historic victory in a regional election in Saxony-Anhalt in September, Germany’s most popular party in nationwide surveys now appears closer than ever to entering government at the national level before the end of the decade.
尽管该党后来将批评扩大到欧盟本身,但真正让它获得支持的首先是对移民的反对——反对者和国内情报机构称,这一立场危险地接近曾给德国近代历史留下创伤的至上主义和排外主义。
The prospect is prompting debate over how to balance an anti-establishment identity with the need to appear as a credible partner to potential allies at home and abroad. Founded in 2013 amid anger over bailouts for heavily indebted fellow members of the euro zone, the AfD began life as a movement opposed to the common currency.
德国选择党否认极端主义指控,许多党员现在认为,更激进右翼观点日益被接受,以及欧洲其他地方志同道合政党的影响力不断增强,使得从内部改革欧盟比彻底放弃欧盟更有成效。
While it later expanded its criticism to the EU itself, it gained traction above all with its opposition to immigration – a line that opponents and the domestic intelligence agency say strays perilously close to the supremacism and xenophobia that scarred Germany’s recent past.
“自第二次世界大战结束以来,按照我们的愿景改革欧盟的前景从未如此之好,”德国选择党联邦议员塞巴斯蒂安·明岑迈尔表示。
The AfD rejects allegations of extremism, and many members now argue that increasing acceptance of more radical right-wing views and the growing sway of like-minded parties elsewhere in Europe make reforming the bloc from within more productive than abandoning it altogether.
但退出欧元区——这一目标曾为德国选择党许多创始人和早期支持者所珍视——已被证明更难处理。
“Never since the end of the Second World War have the prospects for reforming the EU in line with our vision been better,” said AfD national lawmaker Sebastian Muenzenmaier.
较年轻的成员,如29岁的让-帕斯卡尔·霍姆,他是该党青年组织“德国世代”的负责人,认为在欧洲问题上的强硬立场可能会使德国选择党通往联邦权力的最现实道路变得复杂:即最终与总理弗里德里希·默茨领导的保守派基督教民主联盟合作,而后者目前排除了任何结盟的可能。
But the aim of quitting the euro – dear to many of the AfD’s founders and early supporters – has proved harder to address. Younger members such as Jean-Pascal Hohm, the 29-year-old head of the party’s youth wing, Generation Deutschland, argue that hardline positions on Europe could complicate the AfD’s most realistic route to federal power: eventual cooperation with Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservative Christian Democratic Union of Germany, which currently rules out any alliance.
10月,德国选择党联合领导人爱丽丝·魏德尔在斯特拉斯堡的欧洲议会与“主权国家欧洲”党团的盟友一同提交了一份关于“欧洲新政”的战略文件。
In October, AfD co-leader Alice Weidel presented a strategy paper on a New Deal For Europe at the European Parliament in Strasbourg alongside allies in the Europe of Sovereign Nations (ESN) grouping.
该文件将重点从退出欧元区和欧盟转移开,转而聚焦于重新谈判条约以建立一个更松散的联盟。
The paper shifts the emphasis away from quitting the euro zone and the EU, focusing instead on renegotiating treaties to establish a looser union.
它提议为拒绝在国防开支或移民等共同政策的成员设立“选择退出”机制,并更严格地执行预算规则——从而保留了留在欧元区的可能性。
It proposes an “opt-out” mechanism for members who reject common policies on defence spending or immigration, for example, as well as stricter enforcement of budget rules – leaving open the possibility of retaining the euro.
文件提出,如果改革努力失败,德国未来的欧洲方向问题将由公投决定。德国选择党希望建立“祖国欧洲”魏德尔告诉记者,德国选择党和“主权国家欧洲”主张“一个欧洲联盟,一个祖国欧洲”,但拒绝透露她是否仍希望德国退出欧元区或欧盟。
Should reform efforts fail, the paper suggests the issue of Germany’s future European direction would be decided by referendum. AfD hopes for ‘Europe of fatherlands’Weidel told journalists that the AfD and ESN stood for “a European union, a Europe of fatherlands”, but declined to say whether she still wanted Germany to leave the euro zone or the EU.
通过搁置其反对立场,德国选择党将走上欧元区其他地区已取得成功的极右翼政党已经走过的道路。
By setting aside its opposition, the AfD would be following a path already trodden by far-right parties that have had success elsewhere in the euro zone.
法国的国民联盟长期以来一直主张放弃欧元,但在玛丽娜·勒庞的领导下,随着其寻求扩大吸引力,逐渐放弃了这一要求,如今已成为2027年总统选举的热门赢家。
France’s National Rally long campaigned to abandon the euro but gradually dropped that demand under Marine Le Pen as it sought to broaden its appeal, and is now the favourite to win the 2027 presidential election.
在意大利,总理焦尔吉娅·梅洛尼领导的意大利兄弟党自执政以来已收敛了其疑欧言论,选择从欧盟内部推进其目标。
In Italy, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy has reined in its eurosceptic rhetoric since taking office, opting to pursue its objectives from within the EU.
与德国选择党关系密切的奥地利极右翼自由党在迈向分享国家执政联盟权力的过程中,放弃了其大部分反欧洲立场。
Austria’s far-right Freedom Party, which has close ties to the AfD, renounced most of its anti-European positions on its way towards a share of power in national ruling coalitions.
卡塞尔大学政治学教授沃尔夫冈·施罗德表示:“奥地利是德国选择党的蓝图。”
“Austria serves as a blueprint for the AfD,” said Wolfgang Schroeder, a political science professor at Kassel University.
他说:“从这个意义上说,他们放弃这些立场可能只是时间问题。”他还表示,他认为这不会引发重大阻力。
“In that sense, it’s probably just a matter of time before they drop these positions,” he said, adding that he did not think this would trigger significant resistance.
以出口为基础的德国经济受益于欧盟成员国身份。施罗德表示,无论如何,德国经济与全球市场紧密交织并以出口为驱动,退出欧盟或欧元区将是一场灾难。
Export-based German economy benefits from EU membership In any case, Germany’s economy is so intertwined with the global market and driven by exports that leaving the EU or the euro would be a disaster, Schroeder said.
“在这种情况下,像希特勒1933年推行的那种自给自足运动几乎不可能实现,除非有人愿意冒着整个国民经济崩溃的风险。”霍姆所在的德国选择党年轻同事也提出了类似论点,称欧洲不断变化的政治现实,以及来自中国日益激烈的竞争和越来越不可靠的美国,恰恰说明需要在联盟内加强而非减少合作。
“An autarky movement such as the one Hitler developed in 1933 is virtually impossible under these conditions, unless one is willing to risk the collapse of the entire national economy.”Hohm’s younger AfD colleagues make a similar argument, saying Europe’s changing political realities, as well as growing competition from China and a less reliable US, make the case for more, not less, cooperation in the bloc.
霍姆说:“如果我们基本上取消共同货币,每个人都重新各走各的路,那完全是乌托邦式的,而且也会给我们造成巨大损害。”
“If we were to basically cancel the common currency and everyone goes their own way again, that is completely utopian, and that would also do us massive damage,” Hohm said.
“年轻一代欧洲人,无论国籍如何,更常将自己视为欧洲人,也更不愿意继续为祖辈的冲突而争斗。”但在整个政党层面,这个问题远未尘埃落定。
“Young Europeans, regardless of nationality, more often see themselves as Europeans and are less willing to continue fighting the conflicts of their grandparents.”But in the party as a whole, the issue is far from settled.
霍姆在8月的一次大会上提交了一份决议,其中写道:“德国一代致力于欧洲理念……欧洲不仅仅是一个经济区,不仅仅是一个货币联盟,也不仅仅是欧盟。”
Hohm submitted a resolution at a congress in August that read: “Generation Deutschland is committed to the European idea... Europe is more than an economic area, more than a monetary union and more than the European Union.”
尽管该决议的措辞旨在强调欧盟在巩固共同历史和遗产方面的作用,而非经济合作,但由于未能获得足够支持,该决议被撤回。“欧元问题最终比我们预想的更具争议性,”他说。
Although the resolution was phrased to emphasise the EU’s role in reinforcing shared history and heritage, rather than economic cooperation, it was withdrawn after failing to gain sufficient support. “The euro issue turned out to be more controversial than we had expected,” he said.