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国会山报

民调:特朗普不支持率升至60%,创历史新高Trump disapproval hits record 60 percent in new survey

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特朗普总统President Trump

一项新民调显示,特朗普总统的不支持率在周日攀升至历史新高,距离大选日不足 48 小时。

A new poll shows President Trump’s disapproval rating reached a record high on Sunday, less than 48 hours before Election Day.

NBC 新闻的民调发现,60% 的受访者不认可特朗普的工作表现,创下其两个任期以来的新高。他的支持率为 40%。

The NBC News poll found that 60 percent of respondents do not approve of Trump’s job performance, a new high across both of his terms as president. His approval rating hit 40 percent.

该媒体的民调专家发现,大约四分之三的选民对经济状况不满,近三分之二的人呼吁改变特朗普在经济方面的方向,其中 50% 要求 “大幅度” 改变,根据 NBC 新闻的民调数据,这也是历史新高。

The outlet’s pollsters saw that roughly 3 in 4 voters are dissatisfied with the state of the economy and almost two-thirds call for a change from Trump’s direction on the economy, with 50 percent calling for “a great deal” of change, also a record high according to NBC News’s polling data.

在个人财务状况方面,表示不满的受访者占 51%,表示满意的占 49%,两者差距微弱。这在 NBC 新闻 30 年来询问受访者个人财务状况的民调中也是首次出现,即便在 2009 年大萧条期间提问时,满意与不满意的差距也有 56 比 44。

There is a narrow divide between the 51 percent respondents saying they are dissatisfied with their personal financial situation versus the 49 percent who say they are satisfied. This marked another first for NBC News polling in the 30 years it has asked respondents about their personal financial situations, even with a 56-44 gap when respondents were asked during the 2009 Great Recession.

根据民调,64% 的受访者(包括三分之一的特朗普选民)认为他未达到他们的预期,34% 认为他达到了预期。

Sixty-four percent of respondents, including one-third of Trump voters, say he has fallen short of their expectations, with 34 percent saying he has met expectations, according to the poll.

与共和党民调专家、公众舆论策略公司的比尔·麦金特夫共同进行此次调查的民主党民调专家、哈特研究公司的杰夫·霍维特对 NBC 新闻表示,特朗普的总统任期 “可以概括为两年前的承诺与两天后的危险”。霍维特强调了特朗普 2024 年竞选时降低成本、应对通胀的承诺,但选民因伊朗战争推高物价而日益担忧。

Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, told NBC News that Trump’s presidency “can be summarized as the promise of two years ago and the peril of two days from now.”Horwitt emphasized Trump’s 2024 campaign pledge to lower costs and tackle inflation, but voters have grown concerned over high prices driven up by the Iran war.

53% 的共和党人对经济状况不满意,37% 认为共和党未兑现特朗普的承诺。总体而言,46% 的非 “让美国再次伟大” 派共和党人表示不认可特朗普对总统职务的处理,20% 表示希望在中期选举后看到民主党控制国会。

Fifty-three percent of Republicans are not satisfied with the state of the economy and 37 percent say the GOP has not met Trump’s promises. Forty-six percent of non-MAGA Republicans overall say they disapprove of Trump’s handling of the presidency, and 20 percent say they prefer to see Democrats control Congress after the midterms.

在自认为是“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)选民的受访者中,总统的支持率为93%。

The president holds a 93 percent approval rating among respondents who identify themselves as MAGA voters.

民主党似乎有望在周二的中期选举后控制众议院。《国会山报》的选举合作伙伴Decision Desk HQ周一估计,民主党赢得众议院控制权的几率为84%,夺取参议院控制权的概率为64%。

Democrats appear poised to take control of the House following Tuesday’s midterms. The Hill’s election partner Decision Desk HQ estimated Monday that Democrats have an 84-percent chance of winning the House and a 64-percent probability they’ll take the Senate.

特朗普在一档定于周一播出的“空军一号播客”访谈中警告称,如果民主党赢得国会控制权,他将成为“否决先生”。

Trump warned in a “Pod Force One” interview set to air on Monday that he will be “Mr. Veto” if Democrats win control of Congress.

NBC新闻的这项民调于10月28日至30日进行,共包含1000名受访者。误差范围为3.1个百分点。

The NBC News survey was conducted Oct. 28-30 and included 1,000 respondents. The margin of error is 3.1 percentage points.

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