根据CNN报道，埃尔-赛义德以七个百分点的优势领先罗杰斯，并获得了95%的倾向民主党选民的支持。
Mr El-Sayed held a seven-point lead over Mr Rogers and enjoyed the backing of 95 per cent of likely Democratic voters, according to CNN.
但这场争吵如今威胁到民主党在密歇根州的胜利，而该州是共和党翻转一个参议院席位的最佳机会。
But the spat now threatens a Democratic win in Michigan in a state that holds Republicans’ best chance of flipping a senate seat.
“民主党夺回参议院控制权的机会超过50%，”伦敦大学学院政治学教授乔纳森·蒙滕对《每日电讯报》表示。
“The Democrats have a more than 50 per cent chance of winning back control of the Senate,” Jonathan Monten, a political science professor at University College London, told The Telegraph.
“但如果她的背书导致民主党输掉密歇根州参议院竞选，且民主党在全国其他一些参议院竞选中的表现不如预期，这可能会让民主党失去参议院多数席位。
“But if her endorsement costs the Democratic Party the Michigan Senate race, and Democrats don’t do as well as projected in some of the other Senate races around the country, it could cost the Democratic Party a majority of the Senate.
“美国参议院的结构是，如果两党各占50个席位出现平局，由副总统投下决定性一票。因此，这实际上将使共和党重掌参议院控制权。”蒙滕教授表示，关于以色列和巴勒斯坦的辩论正在分裂该党，分歧日益植根于道德问题而非政策分歧。他补充说，共和党内部也出现了类似的裂痕。
“The way the US Senate is structured is that if each party has 50 seats and there’s a tie in the Senate, that the tie-breaking vote is held by the vice president. So it would, in effect, restore Republican control to the Senate.”Prof Monten said the debate over Israel and Palestine was fracturing the party, with divisions increasingly rooted in moral questions rather than policy differences. He added that a similar rift was emerging among Republicans.
“目前尚不清楚为何这会成为如此突出的问题，”他说。“民主党内部有一派认为，支持巴勒斯坦事业有着非常有力的道德理由。”纽曼博士表示，以色列-巴勒斯坦问题是民主党在2028年总统大选前最需要解决的问题。
“It’s not clear why it’s such an outsized issue,” he said. “You have a wing of the Democratic Party that sees a very strong moral case for supporting the Palestinian cause.”Dr Newman said the Israel-Palestine issue was the most important issue the Democrats needed to solve before the 2028 presidential election.
“从2026年的角度来看，现在判断这将如何收场还为时过早，”她说。“但进步派与温和派的断层线，以及其对政策和领导层的各种影响，将是民主党需要跨越的最重要障碍。”然而，西比林战略风险咨询公司首席美洲分析师克莱尔·布雷迪对《每日电讯报》表示，密歇根州的这场争吵不太可能产生更大影响，因为它主要围绕个人恩怨和“自我”。
“From the 2026 vantage point it is too early to tell where this lands,” she said. “But the progressive moderate fault line and the various implications for policy and leadership will be the most important hurdle Democrats need to clear.”However, Claire Brady, the principal Americas analyst at the Sibylline strategic risk consultancy, told The Telegraph the spat in Michigan was unlikely to have a larger impact as it mainly centred around personal grievances and “ego”.
“相反，我们评估认为，在未来几年，民主党整体将采取温和措施重新评估美国与以色列的关系，这一点从许多候选人拒绝接受美国以色列公共事务委员会（AIPAC）的捐款便可见一斑，”她说。
Instead, we assess that the wider Democratic Party will take moderate steps to re-evaluate the US’s relationship with Israel in the coming years, this is underscored by many candidates refusing to take AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee donations),” she said.
“该党目前专注于团结一致对抗特朗普，且民主党建制派拥抱埃尔-赛义德，这削弱了舒默与奥卡西奥-科尔特斯/埃尔-赛义德对决的任何可能性。
“The party’s current focus on unity against Trump, and the Democratic establishment’s embrace of El-Sayed, undermines any prospect of a Schumer vs AOC (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)/El-Sayed showdown.
“然而，舒默的影响力在未来几年可能会减弱，尽管这表明该党正在向更年轻、且已被证明行之有效的政治家迈进，例如州长以及马克·凯利和乔恩·奥索夫等参议员，以引领该党进入新时代，而不仅仅是美国民主社会主义者（DSA）阵营候选人的影响力上升。
“However, Schumer’s influence is likely to wane in the coming years, though this is indicative of a wider party movement towards younger and recently proven politicans such as state governors and the likes of Senator Mark Kelly and Jon Osoff to lead the party into a new era, rather than solely the influence of DSA (Democratic Socialists of America)-aligned candidates.
“尽管如此，随着全国舆论显示美国对以色列的支持正在减弱，这一政策问题在未来几年几乎肯定会受到更严格的审视。”
“Nevertheless, as national sentiment proves that US support for Israel is waning, the policy issue will almost certainly come under more scrutiny in the coming years.”