伊奥娜常驻纽约市。自2024年加入《每日电讯报》以来，她报道过重大国际新闻，包括俄乌战争、中东冲突和美国政治。格林尼治时间下午6：57 在深蓝州纽约的北部角落，唐纳德·特朗普找到了他最坚定忠诚的盟友之一。
Iona is based in New York City. Since joining The Telegraph in 2024, she has covered major international stories, including the Russia-Ukraine war, conflicts in the Middle East and US politics 6:57pm GMT In the northern corner of the deep-blue state of New York, Donald Trump has found one of his most stubbornly loyal allies.
贴纸业大亨、Maga说唱歌手兼前拳击手安东尼·康斯坦蒂诺是共和党候选人中的一匹黑马，这场竞选原本是共和党稳操胜券的席位之争，如今却成了中期选举中出人意料的战场。
Sticker mogul, Maga rapper and former boxer Anthony Constantino is the wildcard GOP candidate in the race for a once-safe Republican Party seat that has turned into an unexpected battleground for the midterms.
过去150年的大部分时间里，纽约州第21国会选区一直被视为共和党的据点。如今，在国会控制权将由少数几个席位决定之际，该选区却面临倒向民主党的风险。
For much of the last 150 years, New York’s 21st congressional district has been considered a Republican stronghold. It is now at risk of swinging blue at a time when control of Congress will be decided by a handful of seats.
康斯坦蒂诺的核心信息是：民主党人正在“摧毁”纽约，他们是该州“大规模人口外流”的唯一责任方，选民应当动员起来终结“左翼思想的统治”。
Mr Constantino’s central message is that Democrats are “destroying” New York, they are single-handedly responsible for the state’s “mass exodus”, and voters should mobilise to end the “domination of Leftist thinking”.
与一些共和党候选人不同，康斯坦蒂诺并未与特朗普保持距离。在接受《每日电讯报》采访时，这位获特朗普支持、有望成为共和党新星的商人将自己塑造成他所认为的贪婪职业政客的对立面。
Mr Constantino, unlike some Republican candidates, has not distanced himself from Mr Trump In an interview with The Telegraph, the Trump-backed businessman and potential rising GOP star cast himself as an antidote to what he sees as greedy career politicians.
“我只是又一个政治门外汉，和总统是同一类人，”他说，“我们需要更多愿意为国家变得更好而做出牺牲的人参与政治。”44岁的康斯坦蒂诺在2024年总统竞选期间，在其贴纸工厂屋顶竖起一块12英尺高的“投票给特朗普”标牌，由此引起白宫注意。他的竞选活动自筹资金，风格古怪。
“I’m just another political outsider that is cut from the same cloth as the president,” he said. “We need more people involved in politics that are sacrificing to make the country better.”Mr Constantino, 44, who caught the White House’s attention by erecting a 12ft-high “Vote for Trump” sign atop his sticker factory’s roof during the 2024 presidential race, has run a self-funded and eccentric campaign.
他有着鲜明的特朗普式派头和作秀天赋。他说话即兴，不加稿子，有时语出惊人。他出过一张名为《感谢你，特朗普总统》的说唱专辑，还曾与一只用来代替其民主党对手的充气鸡进行辩论。特朗普是“非常好的朋友”康斯坦蒂诺40岁时曾在墨西哥短暂从事职业拳击生涯，他曾是民主党人，于2024年转投共和党。
He has a distinct Trumpian flair and showmanship. He speaks off the cuff, with unscripted and sometimes outlandish statements. He put out a rap album entitled Thank You President Trump and debated an inflatable chicken put in place of his Democratic opponent. Trump ‘a very good friend’Mr Constantino, who at the age of 40 embarked on a brief pro boxing career in Mexico, was a former Democrat who switched parties in 2024.
即便特朗普的支持率跌至历史低点，拖累全国各选区共和党候选人的选情，康斯坦蒂诺仍拒绝与特朗普保持距离。在周四的一段视频讲话中，总统感谢了他的忠诚，称他是“我非常好的朋友”。
Even as Mr Trump’s approval ratings sank to historic lows, dragging down Republicans on the ballot in races across the country, Mr Constantino refused to distance himself. In a video message on Thursday, the president thanked him for his loyalty, describing him as a “very good friend of mine”.
但特朗普的大力背书以及派遣副总统JD·万斯为康斯坦蒂诺站台助选，或许更能说明共和党感受到了弱势。
But Mr Trump’s emphatic endorsement and deployment of JD Vance, the vice-president, to stump for Mr Constantino is perhaps more of an indication that the GOP senses weakness.
在这个横跨阿迪朗达克山脉、一直延伸到加拿大边境的深度乡村选区，共和党选民比民主党多出逾8万人。2024年，特朗普和已连任六届、即将退休的现任议员埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克在该选区以超过20个百分点的优势获胜。
In the deeply rural district that stretches across the Adirondack mountains and up to the Canadian border, Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 80,000. Mr Trump and Elise Stefanik, the retiring six-term incumbent, won it by more than 20-point margins in 2024.
上个月，康斯坦蒂诺在一场集会上，一只充气鸡被用来扮演他的对手。然而，民主党人已觊觎该选区数月之久。
Mr Constantino at a rally last month where an inflatable chicken posed as his opponent Yet, the Democrats have been eyeing it for months.
锡耶纳大学最近的一项民调显示，康斯坦蒂诺落后其民主党对手、当地奶农布莱克·根德比恩四个百分点。
A recent Siena University poll showed Mr Constantino trailing four points behind his Democratic rival, Blake Gendebien, a local dairy farmer.
无党派的《库克政治报告》也已将该选区的评级从“稳固共和党”调整为“倾向共和党”，如今又调整为“略偏共和党”。民主党竞选机构本月将第21选区纳入其“红转蓝”计划。
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has also shifted the race’s rating from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican” and now “lean Republican”. The Democrat campaign apparatus added the 21st district to its Red to Blue programme this month.
在全国范围内，共和党人正投入大量资金和资源，争夺三十多个历史上属于“安全”席位的众议院选区。
Across the country, Republicans are pouring money and resources into fighting more than three dozen House races in historically “safe” seats.
在席位分布接近的国会中，民主党人需要在中期选举中至少净增四个参议院席位才能夺回控制权。预计他们将赢得众议院。
In the closely divided Congress, Democrats need to net at least four Senate seats in the midterms to take back control. They are expected to win the House.
该党历来难以在乡村选区竞争。但能源成本上升带来的经济压力严重冲击了农业腹地，引发了民众对特朗普政策的不满。在第21选区，与加拿大持续的贸易战加剧了当地的困境。“这是一个混乱的环境”前纽约州众议员马克·莫利纳罗说：“我认为安东尼·康斯坦蒂诺会赢。”“他抓住了人们正在拥抱的一种民粹主义……他不按常规出牌，因为他是新人，而且他全身心投入、倾其所有资金投身其中。”“存在一种不安情绪；这是一个混乱的环境，但这就是中期选举的本质，”他补充道。
The party has traditionally struggled to compete in rural districts. But economic strain, driven by rising energy costs, has hit agricultural heartlands hard, creating discontent over Mr Trump’s policies. In the 21st district, the ongoing trade war with Canada has added to local troubles. ‘It’s a chaotic environment’“I think Anthony Constantino wins,” said Marc Molinaro, a former New York representative,. “He has tapped into a populism that people are embracing… He is unconventional, because he is new, and he’s jumped into it with all of his heart and all of his money.”“There is an uneasiness; it’s a chaotic environment, but that’s the nature of a midterm,” he added.
康斯坦蒂诺先生获得了共和党众议院议长迈克·约翰逊等重量级人物，以及拳击巨星迈克·泰森和美国全国步枪协会的支持。
Mr Constantino has won the endorsements of heavy-hitters like GOP House speaker Mike Johnson, as well as boxing superstar Mike Tyson and the National Rifle Association.
前拳击冠军迈克·泰森到场支持康斯坦蒂诺先生。尽管康斯坦蒂诺此前在接受采访时称自己为“纽约上州的特朗普”，但他坚称自己是在吸引每一位“有常识”的选民。
Former boxing champion Mike Tyson turned out to support Mr Constantino Despite previously referring to himself as “The Trump of upstate New York” in an interview, Mr Constantino insists he is appealing to every “common-sense” voter.
他已自掏1700万美元（1300万英镑）投入竞选，并大力宣扬自己不受任何特殊利益集团牵制。“不附带任何条件。安东尼·康斯坦蒂诺不属于任何人，只属于你们，”他的一则广告这样写道。
He has poured $17m (£13m) of his own money into his campaign and champions the fact he is beholden to no special interests. “No strings attached. Anthony Constantino is nobody’s man but yours,” one of his adverts reads.
他以特朗普式的方式，在采访的大部分时间里都在攻击他的政治对手和批评者。谈到他的政策时，实质内容则较少。
In Trumpian fashion, he spent most of the interview attacking his political opponents and critics. There was less substance when it comes to his policies.
康斯坦蒂诺此前曾称纽约市首位穆斯林市长佐赫兰·马姆达尼为“想当恐怖分子的人”。没有证据表明马姆达尼与恐怖主义有关联。
Mr Constantino has previously called Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s first Muslim mayor, a “wannabe terrorist”. There is no evidence Mr Mamdani has ties to terrorism.
当被问及这一说法时，他重复了这一说法，称这位年轻市长是“恐怖分子2.0”。
Asked about this claim, he repeated it, calling the young mayor a “terrorist 2.0”.
与纽约州共和党的争执他在共和党内引起了不满，并且仍在与拒绝支持他的纽约州共和党争执不休。
Row with NY’s Republican Party He has ruffled feathers in the Republican Party and is still feuding with New York’s state GOP, which has refused to endorse him.
康斯坦蒂诺表示他并不在意，并斥之为一个失败的组织。“它自满懈怠；就像任何存在已久的组织一样，它会退化。它输给民主党人已经太久了。”一位要求匿名的纽约共和党内部人士表示，第21选区较为传统的共和党人当中存在合理的担忧。“他们会出来投票给他，但很多人会希望他更传统一些。”康斯坦蒂诺没有打算顺从。“我畅所欲言……我认为该对人们说的话，我就说出来，”他说。
Mr Constantino said he did not care, dismissing it as a failing organisation. “It’s complacent; like any organisation that has been around for a long time, it can deteriorate. It’s been losing to Democrats for too long.”A New York GOP insider, who requested anonymity, said there were legitimate concerns among the more traditional Republicans of the 21st district. “They will show up and vote for him, but a lot of them will wish he was more conventional.”Mr Constantino has no plans to conform. “I speak freely…I say what I think is important to be said to people,” he said.
他也永远不会抛弃特朗普。“我们需要更多像特朗普总统和我这样已经取得成功的人进入政坛，他们显然正在做出牺牲，为我们的国家而战。”
Nor will he ever abandon Mr Trump. “We need more people in politics like President Trump and myself that are already successful that are clearly sacrificing to fight for our country.”