
在世界杯比赛中,若打平则进入加时赛,随后依靠点球大战决出胜负。
In the World Cup, they play overtime, then rely on penalty kicks to settle ties.
国家冰球联盟(NHL)则安排短暂的加时赛,之后进行点球大战。NHL 比赛过去允许以平局结束。但在季后赛中,双方会一直打下去,直到分出胜负。在 2020 年季后赛中,坦帕湾闪电队在惊人的五个加时赛后,才以 3 比 2 战胜哥伦布蓝衣队。换句话说,他们打了将近三场完整比赛的时间。这相当于棒球比赛打了 26 局。
The National Hockey League plays a short overtime, followed by a shootout. NHL games used to end in ties. In the playoffs, the teams keep going – until there’s a winner. In the 2020 playoffs, the Tampa Bay Lightning finally topped the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 after a staggering five overtimes. In other words. They played nearly THREE total games. That’s the equivalent of 26 innings in baseball.
说到美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB),比赛若打平则进入延长赛,并一直打下去,直到某队领先且主队完成了该局下半局的进攻。MLB 几年前修改了规则,在第十局开始时在二垒安排一名“幽灵跑者”。这是为了打破平局、尽早结束比赛。要是美国参议院也有打破平局的办法就好了。
Speaking of Major League Baseball, teams play extra innings. And keep playing until one team is ahead and the home team has completed an at-bat in the bottom of the inning. MLB modified its rules a few years ago, introducing a "ghost runner" on second base to start the 10th inning. That’s an effort to end the tie and finish the game sooner. If only there were a method to settle a tie in the U.S. Senate.
是的,在点名表决出现平票时,身兼参议院议长的副总统可以投下决定性一票。事实上,如果是平票且点名表代的趋势符合副总统意愿,副总统甚至不必亲自投票。根据规则,参议院平票视为否决。
Yes. In the case of a tie roll call vote, the vice president — who doubles as president of the Senate – can vote to break a tie vote. In fact, the VP doesn’t even have to cast a ballot if it’s a tie and the roll call vote is going the way he or she wants. By rule, tie votes go down to defeat in the Senate.
但如果我们在周三早晨(如果不是周五或周六早晨,又或是 12 月初的某个早晨,取决于竞争有多激烈)醒来,发现参议院以 50 比 50 僵持不下,该怎么办?
But what if we wake up Wednesday morning (if not Friday or Saturday morning or sometime in early December, depending on how hotly contested things are) to discover that the Senate is tied at 50-50?

参议院的 44 条常设规则中,没有任何一条充当决胜机制。建国先贤们没有提供一套打破平局、决定哪一方为多数党或少数党的制度。而且,并没有任何成文规定说总统所属的政党自动成为多数党。
There is nothing in the Senate’s 44 standing rules which serves as a tiebreaker. The Founders didn’t provide a system to bust up a tie and determine which side is in the majority or minority. And no, it’s not written down anywhere that the party of the President is automatically thrust into the majority.
也许足球的点球大战真有道理。至少有一套制度。如果参议院以 50 比 50 僵持不下,没有任何具体机制来理清哪个政党控制参议院。
Maybe soccer is on to something with penalty kicks. At least there’s a system. There’s nothing concrete to sort out which party controls the Senate if things are deadlocked at 50-50.
1881年,因辞职和政治博弈,参议院曾出现平局。1954年,参议院也曾在一段时间内处于平局状态。在1953年初至1955年初的两年国会任期内,近十分之一的参议员去世。
There was a tie was a Senate tie in 1881 after resignations and political maneuvering. The Senate was also tied for a period in 1954. Nearly ten percent of all senators died during the two-year Congress which stretched from early 1953 to early 1955.
然而,在近期的参议院历史上,曾出现过两次平局。这两次平局都反映了参议院为理清哪个党掌握多数席位所做的努力。一次平局发生在2000年大选后,另一次发生在2020年。这两次大选都花了一段时间才理清局势。到了2026年,阿拉斯加,我们在关注你。
However, the Senate featured two ties in recent Senate history. Both instances reflect what the Senate did to sort out which party captured the majority. One tie came after the 2000 election. The other in 2020. Both elections took a while to sort things out. In 2026, Alaska, we’re looking at you.
直到2000年12月初,才确定参议员玛丽亚·坎特韦尔(民主党-华盛顿州)击败了时任参议员斯莱德·戈顿(共和党-华盛顿州),从而形成了50比50的参议院席位分布。
It took until early December, 2000 to determine that Sen. Maria Cantwell, D-Wash., defeated then-Sen. Slade Gorton, R-Wash., establishing a 50-50 Senate.

事实上,2020年大选导致的参议院平局,直到新一届国会召开两天后的2021年1月6日才正式确立。是的,那就是国会山骚乱发生的那天。参议员乔恩·奥索夫(民主党-佐治亚州)和拉斐尔·沃诺克(民主党-佐治亚州)均在决选中获胜,确立了50比50的席位分布。
In fact, the tie for the Senate from the 2020 election wasn’t even established until two days into the new Congress on January 6, 2021. Yes. That was the day of the Capitol riot. Sens. Jon Ossoff, D-Ga., and Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., both won runoffs to set the 50-50 split.
2000年12月初,最高法院最终裁决了总统乔治·W·布什与副总统阿尔·戈尔之间的佛罗里达州选举争议。共和党原本掌控参议院。但随后,参议院多数党领袖特伦特·洛特(共和党-密西西比州)和少数党领袖汤姆·达施勒(民主党-南达科他州)设计了一项两党权力分享协议。这与副总统迪克·切尼的当选相一致。
In early December, 2000, the Supreme Court finally settled the Florida election dispute between President George W. Bush and Vice President Al Gore. Republicans had held the Senate. But then Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, R-Miss., and Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D., engineered a power-sharing agreement between the parties. This aligned with the election of Vice President Dick Cheney.
洛特将继续担任多数党领袖,共和党在技术上拥有“多数派”地位。但这项两党协议赋予了达施勒一些特殊的议场权力。共和党掌握每个委员会的主席职位。然而,每个委员会由两党成员均等组成。全体参议院必须批准这项协议。参议院也确实如此做了。
Lott would serve as the Majority Leader and the GOP technically had the "majority." But the bipartisan pact granted Daschle some special floor powers. Republicans chaired each committee. However, there was equal representation by both parties on each panel. The full Senate had to ratify this agreement. And it did just that.
这一过程需经历两次阻挠议事,每次都需60票赞成才能通过。一次是将提案提上议程进行辩论,另一次是终止辩论。随后只需简单多数即可通过。但这一切都不是问题。参议院以全体100名参议员一致同意的方式批准了它。为何会如此顺利?
Such a process is subject to two filibusters requiring 60 yeas. One to bring up the proposal for debate. Another to terminate the debate. Then a simple majority to pass it. But none of that was a problem. The Senate greenlighted it with all 100 senatorsg on. Why such smooth sailing?
共和党人担心民主党会阻挠小布什总统的议程,因此他们同意了该协议。民主党人同意是因为他们知道自己勉强算是占据多数;否则,他们将彻底沦为少数派。
Republicans feared Democrats would stall the agenda of President George W. Bush. So they got on board. Democrats agreed because they knew they were kinda, sorta in the majority.
前参议院共和党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell,共和党-肯塔基州)在2001年清楚地意识到了这些相同的动态。他坚持要求参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer,民主党-纽约州)逐字逐句地提出2001年洛特和达施勒敲定的同一份协议。
Otherwise, they were relegated to an outright minority. Former Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., was well aware of those same dynamics in 2001. He insisted that Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., propound – word-for-word – the same accord in 2021 which Lott and Daschle hammered out.
这将我们带到了2027年可能出现的平票局面。参议院是否有政治意愿——更不用说票数——达成此类协议?特朗普总统仍是总统。而副总统JD·万斯仍是参议院议长。他们会对此作何表态?目前尚不清楚。
Which brings us to a potential tie in 2027. Is there the political will in the Senate – let alone the votes – to agree to such a compact? President Trump is still president. And Vice President JD Vance is still President of the Senate. What would they say about that? Unclear.

参议院并非必须设立专门的“多数党”或“少数党”。“多数党领袖”这一概念相对较新——仅追溯至20世纪初。参议院是一个“平等”的机构。因此,建国者们并未预期一名参议员会掌握参议院的运作控制权。你在宪法中找不到“多数党领袖”一词。只有众议院议长和参议院议长。
The Senate isn’t compelled to present a dedicated "majority" or "minority." The concept of a "Majority Leader" is relatively new – only dating back to the early 20th Century. The Senate is a body of "equals." Thus, the Founders didn’t expect one senator to wield operational control of the Senate. You won’t find the words "Majority Leader" anywhere in the Constitution. Just Speaker of the House and President of the Senate.
如果出现50比50的参议院并陷入僵局,万斯会突然拥有更大权力吗?也许。作为参议院议长,他不能参与辩论。他只能主持会议并在票数相同时投下决定性一票。此外,万斯甚至是否想行使更多权力?这尚不清楚具体会是什么样子。而这一切会对他的2028年竞选总统计划产生什么影响?
If there’s a 50-50 Senate and an impasse, could Vance suddenly have more power? Maybe. As President of the Senate, he can’t debate. He can only preside over the body and break ties. Moreover, would Vance even want to assert more authority? It’s unclear what that could be. And what would all of this do to his plans to run for president in 2028?
事实上,一个没有权力分享协议的僵局参议院可能会让万斯陷入困境。不久前,副总统还花费大量时间主持参议院的日常辩论。但现在不一样了。如果没有既定的多数党,这些职责要么落到万斯身上,要么落到现任参议院临时议长、参议员查克·格拉斯利(共和党-爱荷华州)身上,要么落到可能出任的民主党参议院临时议长、参议员帕蒂·默里(民主党-华盛顿州)身上。
In fact, a deadlocked Senate with no power sharing agreement could potentially hamstring Vance. It wasn’t that long ago that the Vice President spent much of his time presiding over daily Senate debates. But not anymore. If there’s no set majority, those responsibilities either fall to Vance, current Senate President Pro Tempore Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, or the possible Democratic Senate President Pro Tempore Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash.
后两者分别是各自党派中资历最深的参议员。参议院临时议长是总统继任顺位第三位,仅次于副总统和众议院议长。权力分享协议有助于确定谁主持参议院。否则,万斯可能会被困在参议院里。
The latter two are the most senior senators from their respective parties. The President Pro Tempore is third in line to the presidency, following the Vice President and House Speaker. A power sharing agreement is what helps determine who presides over the Senate. Otherwise, Vance may be moored in the Senate.
因此,参议院解决“平局”有先例可循。但这取决于参议员的政治意愿。如果在议员就职问题上出现争议——比如阿拉斯加参议院选举或其他竞选演变成一场大混乱——人们可以预见国会山将出现有毒的政治氛围。可能没多少人愿意签署任何协议。
So there is precedent for settling a "tie" in the Senate. But it hinges on the political will of senators. And if there are disputes about seating Members – say the Alaska Senate race or another contest becomes a conflagration – one can anticipate a toxic climate on Capitol Hill. Few may be willing to sign on to anything.
参议院办事很大程度上依赖历史和先例。但如果缺乏政治意愿,参议员们可能只能诉诸“石头剪刀布”。或者也许是点球大战。
The Senate relies a lot on history and precedent to do things. But absent political will, senators may just resort to rock, paper, scissors. Or maybe, penalty kicks.