
在美国中期选举前,唐纳德·特朗普呼吁选民把投票视为对其总统任期的公投,并想象他的名字出现在选票上。选民听从了呼声,随后否决了他。面对特朗普2.0带来的两年动荡局面,民主党人有望赢得众议院,并夺取参议院的控制权。特朗普将不得不面对国会中愤怒的民主党人,这些人可能阻挠他的议程、决定政府支出,甚至发起弹劾程序。特朗普实际上很可能成为“跛脚”总统。
Before the US midterm elections, Donald Trump urged voters to treat the polls as a referendum on his presidency and imagine that his name was on the ballot. Voters listened, and then rejected him. The Democrats, who faced the brunt of two tumultuous years of Trump 2.0, are set to win the House of Representatives and also take control of the Senate. Trump will now have to contend with angry Democrats in Congress, who could block his agenda, decide on government spending, and also initiate impeachment proceedings. Trump is effectively likely to become a lame-duck president.
“蓝色海啸”(蓝色用于代表民主党)反映出选民对特朗普过去两年执政方向的强烈不满。生活成本上升、柴油价格上涨以及伊朗战争导致的经济后果,成为特朗普和共和党人的心头之患。与伊朗的战争已成为特朗普的主要政治弱点。
The 'Blue tsunami' (blue is used to represent the Democrats) reflects strong dissatisfaction with the direction in which Trump has taken the country over the past two years. Cost of living, rising cost of diesel, and the economic consequences due to the Iran war proved to be the bugbear for Trump and the Republicans. The war with Iran has become a major political vulnerability for TrumpThe Republicans entered the midterm polls with a slim majority in both chambers of Congress.
共和党人在中期选举前在国会两院都仅拥有微弱多数。这在特朗普于2025年1月重新上任后,为他提供了相当的立法支持。然而,民主党人正稳步改变华盛顿的权力格局。这基本意味着白宫内的特朗普将变得软弱,尽管他仍保留对关税、移民和外交政策等领域的行政权力。
It gave Trump considerable legislative support since his return to the White House in January 2025. However, the Democrats are well on course to change the balance of power in Washington. It essentially means a weak Trump in the White House, even though he will retain his executive powers over areas such as tariffs, immigration and foreign policy.
那么,民主党接管国会对唐纳德·特朗普意味着什么?请继续关注,我们将在简明扼要的要点中为您说明。立法议程可能碰壁随着民主党控制众议院和参议院,特朗普将更难通过新法律。他在税收、支出、医疗保健以及其他国内议题上的计划可能面临强烈阻力。
So, what does a Democratic takeover of Congress mean for Donald Trump? Stay with us, and we will explain to you in short, crisp points.LEGISLATIVE AGENDA MAY HIT A WALLWith Democrats controlling both the House and Senate, Trump will find it much harder to pass new laws. His plans on taxation, spending, healthcare and other domestic issues could face stiff resistance.
此外,民主党还可以利用其对国会的控制权,拒绝批准特朗普部分优先事项的资金。否决权然而,特朗普向来不以优雅接受失败著称,他炫耀手中的一张王牌——否决权。这位古怪的美国总统表示,如有必要,他将对民主党的立法行使“否决权”,并因此获得了“否决先生”的绰号。根据美国宪法,总统可以否决国会通过的立法。推翻总统否决需要参众两院各自拥有三分之二多数,若无共和党协助,民主党不大可能达到这一门槛。
Moreover, the Democrats could also use their control of Congress to refuse to approve funding for some of Trump's priorities. Veto PowerHowever, Trump, not known to accept defeats gracefully, has touted an ace up his sleeve - veto power. The eccentric US President said he would "veto" Democratic legislation if necessary, and gave him the moniker "Mr Veto". As per the US Constitution, a president can veto legislation passed by Congress. Overriding a presidential veto requires a two-thirds majority in both chambers, something Democrats are unlikely to achieve without help from Republicans.
此外,参议院60票的冗长辩论门槛可能成为民主党的障碍。在参议院,重要立法可通过一种称为“冗长辩论”的程序予以阻挠。要终止冗长辩论并进入表决,一方通常需要100票中的60票。在这种情况下,拥有52个参议院席位的民主党可能不得不与共和党进行谈判。
Moreover, the Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold could prove to be a hurdle for the Democrats. In the Senate, major legislation can be blocked through a procedure called a filibuster. To end it and move towards a vote, a party generally needs 60 votes out of 100. In such a scenario, the Democrats, with 52 Senate seats, may have to negotiate with Republicans.
总统唐纳德·特朗普和第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普在为2026年中期选举投下提前投票选票后与记者交谈针对特朗普的调查众议院多数党地位将使民主党控制该院的各个委员会。这反过来将赋予其在调查中传唤文件和证人的权力。
President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump speak with reporters after casting their early-voting ballots for the 2026 midterm electionsINVESTIGATIONS AGAINST TRUMPA majority in the House will give Democrats control of the body's committees. This, in turn, will give it the ability to subpoena documents and witnesses as part of investigations.
民主党已发出信号,将调查特朗普的家族企业、移民执法,以及与性犯罪者杰弗里·爱泼斯坦有关的事项。特朗普女婿贾里德·库什纳和长子小唐纳德·特朗普的商业交易预计将面临更严格的审查。
The Democratic Party has signalled they would investigate Trump's family business, immigration enforcement, and matters related to sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. The business dealings of Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner and son Donald Trump Jr. are expected to see greater scrutiny.
科罗拉多州众议员杰森·克劳暗示将从五角大楼入手,此前有报道称国防资金被引导至与特朗普家族有关联的公司。弹劾可能重回议程特朗普对弹劾程序并不陌生。在其首个总统任期内,众议院曾两次弹劾他,但他因参议院投票未达定罪门槛而得以留任。
Jason Crow, a Colorado Congressman, has hinted at starting with the Pentagon amid reports of defence money being steered toward companies linked to the Trump family.IMPEACHMENT MAY RETURN TO TABLETrump is not new to the impeachment process. During his first presidency, the House impeached him twice, but he was saved by the Senate.
民主党暗示可能重启针对特朗普的弹劾程序。众议院只需简单多数即可启动弹劾程序。这意味着民主党不需要共和党的支持。但这并不意味着特朗普会立即被免职。弹劾程序的启动将开启对特朗普涉嫌不当行为的调查。随后,众议院可由简单多数通过弹劾条款。程序随后移交参议院,由参议院进行弹劾审判。然而,定罪需要参议院三分之二多数票。
The Democrats have hinted at reopening impeachment proceedings against Trump.A simple majority in the House is enough to initiate impeachment proceedings. This means Democrats won't need Republican support. But it does not mean the immediate removal of Trump from office. The start of impeachment proceedings will kick off investigations into alleged misconduct by Trump. Following it, the House can approve articles of impeachment by a simple majority. The process then moves to the Senate, which conducts an impeachment trial. However, conviction requires a two-thirds majority vote in the Senate.
除非民主党能争取到一些共和党人支持,否则他们将在这一环节失利。但这相去甚远。从本质上讲,民主党控制众议院多数席位可能弹劾特朗普,但仅凭这一点无法将其免职。
This is where Democrats will fall short unless they can win over some Republicans. But that's a far cry. Essentially, a Democratic House majority could potentially impeach Trump, but it would not by itself have the power to remove him.APPOINTMENTS COULD FACE HURDLESThe Senate confirms senior government officials, ambassadors and federal judges, including Supreme Court nominees.
任命可能遇阻参议院负责批准高级政府官员、大使和联邦法官,包括最高法院大法官提名人。由民主党控制的参议院可能会拖延或否决特朗普的提名人选,使其更难填补关键职位和塑造司法体系。
A Democrat-controlled Senate could delay or reject Trump's nominees, making it harder for him to fill key positions and shape the judiciary.BUDGET BATTLESIn the US, Congress controls government spending.
预算博弈在美国,国会掌握政府支出大权。民主党基本上可以拒绝批准特朗普优先事项的资金,引发漫长的预算谈判,甚至可能导致政府关门。在这种情况下,不控制白宫的政党通常会利用这种筹码,包括债务上限增额,向多数党榨取让步。
Democrats could essentially refuse to approve funding for Trump's priorities, triggering prolonged budget negotiations and potentially even a government shutdown. In such a scenario, the party that doesn't control the White House typically uses such leverage, including debt-ceiling hikes, to extract concessions from the majority party.
那么,更大的启示是什么。民主党接管国会将严重削弱特朗普在其总统任期最后两年里对立法议程的铁腕控制。然而,他的行政权力将保持完整。这基本上会让特朗普更难按自己的意愿施政。美国选民在特朗普总统任期过半时给出了裁决。特朗普会听取吗?——完——
So, what is the larger takeaway.A Democrat takeover of Congress will severely weaken Trump's iron grip on legislative agenda in the final two years of his presidency. However, his executive powers will remain intact. It will essentially make it harder for Trump to govern on his own terms. Americans have given their verdict halfway into Trump's presidency. Will Trump listen?- Ends