
唐纳德·特朗普总统可能正是做出发动战争这一决定的人,该举动导致选民对共和党的支持率暴跌,并使该党在中期选举中惨败。但这场历史性的失利正在加速一股推力,要求由其他人来背锅:国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯。众议院最快可能于下周投票弹劾这位五角大楼的最高领导人。
President Donald Trump may have made the decision to launch the war that tanked voters’ support for the GOP and dealt them a midterm shellacking. But the historic losses are accelerating a push for someone else to take the fall: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. And the House could vote as soon as next week to impeach the Pentagon’s top leader.
许多对周二惨败感到震惊的共和党议员和盟友正迅速行动,将选举失利的责任推给赫格塞斯。他们在私下辩称,是他在说服特朗普攻击伊朗、却既无退出战略、又无应对必然出现的政治后果预案方面发挥了关键作用。
Many Republican lawmakers and allies alarmed by Tuesday’s wipeout are moving swiftly to pin blame for the election results on Hegseth, arguing behind the scenes that he played a chief role in convincing Trump to attack Iran with no exit strategy — and no plan for managing the inevitable political fallout.
尽管众参两院的共和党战略家私下承认,该党的问题远不止战争一项,引发了自2008年以来最惨重的失利,扭转局面将需要数年时间,但这场“逼宫”行动仍在推进。眼下,党魁及许多党内人士依然不愿直接指责特朗普应对困境负责。
The knives-out campaign comes despite private acknowledgement from House and Senate GOP strategists that the party’s problems extended far beyond the war, triggering 2008-level losses that will take years to reverse. But for now, party leaders – and many in their ranks – remain unwilling to directly blame Trump for their woes.
即使是在周二大劫中幸存下来的众议院共和党人中,也没人指望他们在特朗普任期还剩两年的情况下突然与总统决裂。然而,这种忠诚并不延伸至赫格塞斯。自接管五角大楼指挥权以来,这位好斗的国防部长在国会山鲜有盟友。
Even among House Republicans who survived Tuesday’s onslaught, there’s zero expectation they will suddenly break from the president with two years left in his term. Yet that fealty does not extend to Hegseth, the combative defense secretary who has made few friends on Capitol Hill since taking over command of the Pentagon.
预计众议院共和党人将在数天内投票直接谴责这位国防部长。肯塔基州众议员托马斯·马西——这位著名的反特朗普共和党议员——告诉CNN,他计划在国会下周复会时触发对赫格塞斯的弹劾投票——多位共和党消息人士表示,他们预计该动议将会通过。
House Republicans are expected to vote to directly repudiate the defense secretary in a matter of days. Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky, the famously anti-Trump GOP lawmaker, told CNN he plans to trigger a vote to impeach Hegseth when Congress returns next week — and multiple GOP sources said they expect it to pass.

多名共和党人向CNN表示,作为这场战争的直言不讳的鼓吹者,赫格塞斯夸大了美国迅速、轻松取胜的能力。他们在匿名条件下解释了为何党内许多人现在开始反对这位国防部长。他们指责赫格塞斯在几乎没有迹象表明持续轰炸让伊朗更接近投降的情况下,仍继续主张升级冲突。
Hegseth, a vocal cheerleader for the war, oversold the US’ ability to win the conflict quickly and easily, multiple Republicans argued to CNN, describing on condition of anonymity why many in their party are now turning against the defense secretary. They accused him of continuing to advocate for escalation despite little sign that continued bombing has brought Iran closer to surrender.
他们说,冲突此后已演变成泥潭,使美国在中东陷入无限期的纠缠,加剧了可负担性危机,并引发了选民在中期选举中对共和党的反叛。周三,副总统万斯发表了一项不同寻常的声明称,“我们输掉战争的原因就是战争本身”,尽管他并未将冲突的责任归咎于任何具体人员。
The conflict has since turned into a quagmire, they said, entangling the US in the Middle East indefinitely, worsening the affordability crisis, and triggering voters’ midterm revolt against the GOP. On Wednesday, Vice President JD Vance issued an extraordinary statement that “the reason we lost is the war,” though he did not assign any specific blame for the conflict.
“转向开始了”,一位前五角大楼高级官员谈及战争和赫格塞斯时表示。“这主要是一个国防部主导的行动,因为你们选择采取军事行动来解决一个外交政策问题。”尽管如此,尽管周围有人试图加大对赫格塞斯的施压,多名白宫官员告诉CNN,特朗普对其国防部长的信心尚未动摇,即使他一直在向盟友打听赫格塞斯的表现。
“The pivot is starting” on the war and Hegseth, a former senior Pentagon official said. “This has been primarily a Department of War-led effort because you chose to take military action to resolve a foreign policy matter.”Still, despite efforts around him to turn up the heat on Hegseth, Trump’s own confidence in his defense secretary hasn’t yet wavered even as he’s continued to survey allies about his performance, multiple White House officials told CNN.
特朗普个人喜欢赫格塞斯,并告诉助手,他认为赫格塞斯应该反击弹劾他的行动或针对其决策的调查。
Trump personally likes Hegseth, and has told aides that he believes he should fight back against efforts to impeach him or launch investigations into his decision-making.
“就在两天前,总统还和他在同一个房间里,告诉他:‘你是我最得力的人。你是我手下最得力的人。’”其中一位官员说。
“Just two days ago the president was in the room with him, telling him, ‘You’re my best guy. You’re the best guy I have,’” one of the officials said.
另一位了解特朗普想法的消息人士告诉CNN,如果特朗普选择推进对伊朗的额外打击,他可能也会感到有额外的必要留住赫格塞斯,尤其是参议院民主党人新获得多数席位,可能会使政府确认新内阁成员的工作变得更加复杂。
Trump may also feel an additional need to keep Hegseth around if he chooses to move forward with additional strikes against Iran, another source familiar with his thinking told CNN, especially with Democrats’ new majority in the Senate likely to complicate any administration efforts to confirm new Cabinet appointees.
周三,当被问及赫格塞斯的职位去留时,特朗普为战争努力进行了辩护,并否认有任何解雇他的计划,称他认为这位国防部长“干得非常好”。“如果让我重来一次,我还得这么干,”特朗普谈到他发动战争的决定时说道。
Pressed Wednesday on Hegseth’s job status, Trump defended the war effort and denied any plans to fire him, saying he thought the defense secretary was “doing a very good job.”“If I had it to do again, I’d have to do it again,” Trump said of his decision to go to war.

白宫也谴责民主党对五角大楼展开调查的前景,发言人劳伦·比斯在一份声明中辩称:“如果民主党选择进行虚假调查并推行激进左翼政策,他们就是选择与美国人民为敌。”但一些共和党人认为,特朗普找人为中期选举失利背锅可能只是时间问题,他们视赫格塞斯为显而易见的目标。
The White House also decried the prospect of Democratic investigations into the Pentagon, with spokeswoman Lauren Bis arguing in a statement that “if Democrats choose to pursue sham investigations and radical left policies, they are choosing to work against the American people.”But some Republicans feel it may be only a matter of time before Trump looks for someone to blame for the midterm losses, and they view Hegseth as an obvious target.
“如果总统认真考虑让谁为此负责,那就是皮特·赫格塞斯,”一位接近白宫的共和党人谈到这场选举惨败时说道。“从一开始,皮特在时间表、目标和任务方面要么不诚实,要么不准确——这两者都不可接受。”特朗普尚未发出解雇任何高级官员的信号。但在共和党遭遇中期选举重创之后,盟友和顾问普遍预计他最终会监督政府进行一定程度的人事调整。
“If the president is serious about anyone taking responsibility for it, it’s Pete Hegseth,” one Republican close to the White House said of the electoral thrashing. “Pete has been either dishonest or incorrect — neither of which are acceptable — about timelines, goals and objectives since the beginning.”Trump has not yet signaled plans to fire any top officials. But in the aftermath of the GOP’s midterm drubbing, allies and advisers widely expect him to eventually oversee some level of changes within the administration.
在特朗普的圈子里,一些人抓住赫格塞斯极可能遭弹劾这一点,作为让他成为替罪羊的额外理由,以应对对特朗普总统任期的尴尬谴责——他们主张,无论如何,他注定会成为民主党因战争而愤怒的核心攻击目标。
Within Trump’s orbit, some have seized on Hegseth’s likely impeachment as additional justification for making him the fall guy in the wake of an embarrassing rebuke of Trump’s presidency — contending that he’s bound to become a central target of Democrats’ ire over the war anyway.
赫格塞斯本人则对自己能够经受住即将到来的国会审查浪潮表现得强硬不屈。
Hegseth, for his part, has been defiant about his ability to withstand the forthcoming wave of congressional scrutiny.
虽然他曾有时与盟友讨论过自己潜在的未来抱负——包括可能在田纳西州竞选公职——但最了解特朗普的人认为这并非他的当前目标,知情人士透露。(与此同时,国会山一些共和党人私下对赫格塞斯在国会任职的前景感到恼火。)在周二中期选举结果出炉后的最初阶段,一位接近赫格塞斯的人士告诉CNN,特朗普的国防部长仍预计将留任,并准备应对弹劾行动。
While he has at times discussed his potential future ambitions with allies — including possibly running for office in Tennessee — those closest to Trump don’t believe that’s an immediate goal of his, people familiar with the discussions said. (Some Republicans on the Hill, in the meantime, privately bristle at the prospect of Hegseth serving in Congress.) In the immediate aftermath of Tuesday’s midterm election results, one person close to Hegseth told CNN that Trump’s defense secretary still expects to stay in his role and is prepared to fight an impeachment effort.
该人士称,赫格塞斯还已向白宫传达,他准备为五角大楼采取的每一项政策决定和行动负责,因为他相信自己有能力在公开听证会上为这些举措辩护——如果民主党在1月控制国会后发起听证会,局面很可能会变得剑拔弩张。
Hegseth has also communicated to the White House that he’s prepared to own every policy decision and action taken by the Pentagon, the person said, believing that he’s well-equipped to defend those moves in public hearings that would likely grow contentious if Democrats launch them after they take control of Congress in January.

五角大楼首席发言人肖恩·帕内尔在一份声明中表示,赫格塞斯“不会退缩,也不会被寻求党派得分或在不存在不当行为的情况下发起虚假调查的政客所吓倒”。“尽管民主党威胁要发起虚假的猎巫行动,我们将继续在战争部推行特朗普总统的议程——赫格塞斯部长100%致力于领导该部门,直到特朗普总统任期结束,”帕内尔说。
In a statement, chief Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell said that Hegseth “will not back down or be deterred by politicians seeking to score partisan points or launch phony investigations where no wrongdoing exists.”“We will continue to drive President Trump’s agenda at the Department of War — despite threats of sham witch hunts from Democrats — and Secretary Hegseth is 100% committed to leading the Department until the end of President Trump’s term in office,” Parnell said.
然而,一旦国会审查升级,特朗普的顾问和盟友已质疑赫格塞斯的决心能持续多久。甚至在周二之前,多名白宫官员、总统竞选团队成员和特朗普盟友就坦诚承认,依他们看来,伊朗战争是中期选举中最大的累赘。他们补充道,作为主张对伊朗采取军事行动的最积极推动者之一,赫格塞斯与这一累赘有着内在联系。
Yet once that congressional scrutiny ramps up, Trump advisers and allies have questioned how long Hegseth’s resolve might last. Even before Tuesday, several White House officials, members of the president’s political operation and Trump allies candidly acknowledged the Iran war was — in their view — their biggest liability for the midterms. And Hegseth, one of the biggest proponents of military action in Iran, is intrinsically linked to that liability, they added.
“我认为他大概率知道自己完了,但想要一个足够戏剧性的退场,好为竞选美国总统搭建跳板,”一位政府官员说。
“I think he probably knows he’s dead but would like an exit sufficiently dramatic that it gives him a launching pad to run for POTUS,” one administration official said.
对于反对政府在伊朗发动无限期战争的人来说,成功推动赫格塞斯离开五角大楼将标志着一场关键胜利——但这只是为结束这场冲突而进行的更广泛努力的第一步。
For skeptics of the administration’s open-ended war in Iran, successfully pushing Hegseth out of the Pentagon would mark a critical victory — but only the first step in a broader effort to bring the fight to an end.
毕竟,马西指出,特朗普一直主张继续在伊朗的战争,无论国内付出多大的政治和经济代价。
After all, Massie noted, Trump has continued to argue for continuing the war in Iran, no matter the political and economic price paid at home.
“你不会仅因一个问题就把选举搞砸成这样,”马西说。“如果他们只是摆脱了对唐纳德·特朗普的盲目追随,这完全是可以避免的。”
“You don’t screw up this badly an election with just one issue,” Massie said. “It was completely avoidable if they’d just broken out of the cultish following of Donald Trump.”