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华尔街日报

阿利托和托马斯现在不能退休Alito and Thomas Can’t Retire Now

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2025年1月20日,塞缪尔·阿利托和克拉伦斯·托马斯在华盛顿。Chip Somodevilla / Pool / ReutersSamuel Alito and Clarence Thomas in Washington, Jan. 20, 2025. Chip Somodevilla / Pool / Reuters

共和党人正为最高法院感到担忧,且理由充分。三位保守派大法官已年过七旬。鉴于民主党在参议院拥有较大多数优势,任何空缺恐怕至少要等到2029年才能得到填补,如果共和党继续掌控白宫,时间还会更晚。舆论中出现了推动最年长大法官退休、以便跛脚鸭参议院确认继任者的议论。

Republicans are worried about the Supreme Court, with good reason. Three conservative justices are in their 70s. With a large Democratic Senate majority, any vacancy likely won’t be filled until at least 2029, and later if Republicans hold the White House. There has been chatter about pushing the oldest justices to retire so that the lame-duck Senate can confirm successors.

《华尔街日报》记者达米安·帕莱塔周三撰文称:“大法官塞缪尔·阿利托将面临辞职压力,或许最快本周就会出现。”法律学者戴尔·卡彭特周一在博客中写道,他听到保守派中出现“越来越多的猜测和支持”,而进步派则“相应地感到担忧”,猜测大法官阿利托(76岁)和克拉伦斯·托马斯(78岁)可能即将退休。(奇怪的是,无人将首席大法官约翰·罗伯茨(71岁)纳入讨论。)

“Justice Samuel Alito will be under pressure to resign, perhaps as soon as this week,” Journal reporter Damian Paletta wrote on Wednesday. Legal scholar Dale Carpenter blogged on Monday that he had heard “increasing speculation and support” from conservatives and “corresponding worry among progressives” about the possibility that Justices Alito, 76, and Clarence Thomas, 78, will retire imminently. (Curiously, no one has thrown Chief Justice John Roberts, 71, into the mix.) By all accounts, Justice Thomas has no plans to retire and may serve out his life term.

据各方消息,托马斯大法官没有退休计划,可能会终身任职。据彭博新闻社9月的一篇采访报道,阿利托大法官排除了跛脚鸭会期退休的可能。《纽约时报》周三援引“两位要求匿名的知情人士”称,这仍是他的立场。为了法院和国家的利益,大法官们坚持己见是正确的。

In a September Bloomberg News interview, Justice Alito ruled out a lame-duck retirement. The New York Times reported Wednesday that “two people close to the justice who spoke on the condition of anonymity” said that is still his position. For the good of the court and the country, the justices are right to stick to their guns.

正如伦理与公共政策中心的埃德·惠兰所指出,在跛脚鸭会期确认继任者远非板上钉钉。共和党目前掌握53个参议院席位,但到12月15日,俄亥俄州参议员乔恩·赫斯特德的任命将到期,席位将降至52个。这意味着仅需三名共和党议员倒戈,提名就会落空。惠兰推测,可能有六名共和党人会因程序、意识形态或与特朗普总统的恩怨而投反对票。

Confirming a successor during a lame-duck session would be far from a sure thing, as Ed Whelan of the Ethics and Public Policy Center notes. Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, dropping to 52 on Dec. 15, when Ohio Sen. Jon Husted’s appointment expires. That means as few as three GOP defections would sink a confirmation. Mr. Whelan speculates that six Republicans might vote “no” for reasons of procedure, ideology or bad blood with President Trump.

为避免因确认失败而产生空缺,大法官可以将退休以继任者获任命为条件,正如桑德拉·戴·奥康纳和斯蒂芬·布雷耶两位大法官所做的那样。他可以指定退休仅在继任者于1月3日前获确认时生效,或者在参议院控制权易手时,若条件未满足则撤回退休申请。

To avoid creating a vacancy after a failed confirmation, a justice could make retirement conditional on the appointment of a successor, as Justices Sandra Day O’Connor and Stephen Breyer did. He could either specify that his retirement is effective only if the successor is confirmed before Jan. 3 or rescind his retirement if its condition is unmet when the Senate changes hands.

至少有两位下级法院法官采取过这种做法。威斯康星州联邦地区法院首席法官兰道夫·兰达在2007年表示,他将仅在继任者于乔治·W·布什卸任前获任命的情况下才转为资深法官身份。兰达一直任职到2016年。第四巡回上诉法院法官詹姆斯·温恩在唐纳德·特朗普于2024年当选后撤回了其转为资深法官身份的计划,未作解释。他目前仍在职。

At least two lower-court judges have taken such an approach. Rudolph Randa, chief judge of a Wisconsin district court, said in 2007 that he would take senior status if and only if a successor was appointed before George W. Bush left office. Randa served until 2016. James Wynn of the Fourth Circuit withdrew his plan to assume senior status after Donald Trump was elected in 2024, offering no explanation. He is still active.

当法官表现出政治行为时,这是不体面的。如果最高法院大法官这样做,将是煽动性的。大法官的退休时间往往似乎是为了确保继任者意见相投,但现在宣布退休将是赤裸裸的政治行为。这将等同于从法官席位上承认左派认为法院仅仅是另一个政治机构的观点是正确的。

When a judge behaves in a political fashion, it is unseemly. If a Supreme Court justice did so, it would be inflammatory. Justices’ retirements often seem timed to ensure a congenial successor, but a retirement announcement now would be nakedly political. It would amount to an acknowledgment from the bench that the left is correct to think the court is merely another political body.

这将削弱下一次民主党同时控制白宫和国会时,抵制扩充大法官席位立法的任何努力。此类立法或许无论如何都会通过。但招致此类立法将成为一位大法官——尤其是一位原旨主义大法官——可耻的遗产。

That would undercut any effort to resist court-packing legislation the next time the Democrats control both the White House and Congress. Such legislation may be enacted anyway. But inviting it would be a shameful legacy for a justice, particularly an originalist justice.

我在7月采访阿利托大法官时,问他是否认为策略性退休通过制造法官具有政治性的印象而损害了法院。

When I interviewed Justice Alito in July, I asked if he thought strategic retirements undermine the court by creating the impression that judges are political.

“我其实没想过——我停顿一下是因为我以前没真正想过这个问题,”他说。“我的回答会和我回答那些声称投票取决于党派归属的人的回答一样。……这是相关性,不是因果性。原因不是与共和党或民主党的归属关系。原因是对法律和法院的看法,而这种看法与任命该大法官的总统所属的党派相关。”他没有直接回答关于退休的问题,但这一周让他有机会思考这个问题。塔兰托先生是本报的评论版专题编辑。

“I actually hadn’t thought about—I’m pausing because I hadn’t really thought about this before,” he said. “I would answer that in the same way as I would answer those who claim that voting is based on party affiliation. . . . It’s correlation, not causation. The cause is not affiliation with the Republican Party or the Democratic Party. The cause is a view of the law and the court that correlates with the party of the president who appointed the justice.”He didn’t directly answer the question about retirement, but this week has given him occasion to think about it. Mr. Taranto is the Journal’s editorial features editor.

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