
纽约,11月6日电 - 美元指数周五跳涨,有望录得七周来最大单日涨幅,因强于预期的美国就业报告推动其涨势延续。
NEW YORK, Nov 6 - The US dollar index jumped on Friday and was on pace for its biggest daily percentage gain in seven weeks as it extended gains after a stronger-than-expected US payrolls report.
美国劳工部称,美国上月非农就业岗位增加16.5万个,高于路透社调查的经济学家预估的6.5万个,此前9月增幅经上修为6万个,而失业率降至4.1%。
The Labor Department said US nonfarm payrolls jumped by 165,000 jobs last month, topping the 65,000 estimate of economists polled by Reuters, after an upwardly revised 60,000 gain in September, while the unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%.
该报告给美联储继续加息提供了空间,据CME“美联储观察”工具,市场预期央行在12月会议上至少加息25个基点的概率在报告公布后重回80%左右。
The report gives the Federal Reserve latitude to continue to hike interest rates, and market expectations for an increase of at least 25 basis points at the central bank’s December meeting moved back up towards 80% in the wake of the report, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
衡量美元兑一篮子货币汇率的美元指数飙升0.63%至102.12,欧元下跌0.55%至1.1157美元。美元有望录得自9月16日以来最大单日涨幅,欧元有望录得自10月7日以来最大单日跌幅。
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, surged 0.63% to 102.12, with the euro tumbling 0.55% at $1.1157. The dollar was on track for its biggest daily percentage gain since September 16, while the euro was on pace for its biggest daily drop since October 7.
周四因美股暴跌,市场预期美联储下月加息的概率曾降至约67%,标普500指数市值蒸发约3万亿美元,纳斯达克指数遭遇19个月来最大单日跌幅,市场担心美国中期选举后政府对人工智能建设实施更严厉监管会抑制经济增长。
Expectations the Fed would hike next month had fallen to about 67% on Thursday as US equities plummeted, with the S&P 500 wiping out about $3 trillion in market value while the Nasdaq suffered its biggest one-day percentage drop in 19 months on fears that tougher government regulations on the AI buildout after the US midterm elections would stunt economic growth.
议员、国会助手和倡导者表示,民主党计划在明年1月接管美国国会后,推出大量针对人工智能系统和数据中心建设的新立法。
Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, lawmakers, congressional aides and advocates said.
市场动态因数据而转变 就业数据公布前美元已走高,受避险需求提振,因人工智能股票抛售蔓延全球,尽管美股在交易早期已企稳,纳斯达克指数反弹近2%。
MARKET DYNAMICS SHIFT AFTER DATA The dollar was higher before the jobs data, buoyed by safe-haven demand, as the selloff in AI stocks spread worldwide, although US stocks had stabilized in the early stages of trading and the Nasdaq rallied nearly 2%.
受就业报告影响,美国国债收益率走高,10年期收益率上涨3.1个基点至4.868%,2年期收益率上涨5.5个基点至4.532%。
Treasury yields moved higher in the wake of the jobs report, with the 10-year yield up 3.1 bps to 4.868% and the 2-year yield rising 5.5 bps to 4.532%.





“无论何时,美元究竟是更多地按避险逻辑交易,还是更多地按利差逻辑交易,这始终是个老生常谈的问题。这两种逻辑有时此消彼长,甚至完全背离,并不合理,”位于康涅狄格州斯坦福德的Moneycorp交易与结构化产品主管尤金·爱普斯坦(Eugene Epstein)表示。
"It’s the same old conversation of, at any given moment, is the dollar trading more on a safe-haven basis, or is it trading more on an interest rate differential basis?
“现在尘埃略有落定,市场正在消化未来两年的新常态,我认为相关性未来应当开始变得更合理一些。”央行行长谈通胀纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯(John Williams)周五表示,美国经济增长在接连不断的冲击面前表现出了非凡的韧性,但通胀过高,将其降回2%至关重要。
And those things, sometimes it’s one or the other, and they can be completely at odds with one another, and it’s not really rational," said Eugene Epstein, head of trading and structured products at Moneycorp in Stamford, Connecticut. "Now that the dust is kind of settling a little bit, the market’s digesting the new normal for the next two years, I would argue that the correlations should start being a little more rational again going forward."
另外,欧洲央行首席经济学家菲利普·莱恩(Philip Lane)表示,央行的主要任务是确保高能源价格向其他价格的溢出影响有限,并能在“未来一到两年内”将通胀带回2%。
CENTRAL BANKERS ADDRESS INFLATION New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Friday that US economic growth has remained remarkably resilient in the face of successive shocks but inflation is too high and it is essential to bring it back to 2%.
英镑兑美元下跌0.62%至1.3366美元,回吐了周四的涨幅。周四英格兰银行加息,为三年多来首次加息,推动英镑升至逾七周高点。
Separately, the European Central Bank’s chief economist Philip Lane said the central bank’s main job is to ensure that any spillover from high energy prices to other prices is limited and that inflation can be returned to 2% "over the next year or two." Sterling dropped 0.62% to $1.3366, pulling back following a climb to a more than seven-week high on Thursday after the Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time in over three years.
日元兑美元贬值0.3%至158.20。日本首相高市早苗周五公布计划,拟动用日本央行出售上市交易基金(ETF)的收益,为其旗舰投资项目提供资金,因人工智能引发的市场暴跌恐冲击税收收入。
The Japanese yen weakened 0.3% against the greenback to 158.20. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi unveiled a plan on Friday to tap proceeds from the Bank of Japan’s sales of exchange-traded funds to finance her flagship investment projects, as the AI-fueled market rout threatened to dent tax revenue.