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The Intercept

左翼有总统候选人吗?Is There a Left Candidate for President?

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2026年9月15日,在国会大厦,纽约州民主党众议员亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯在离开投票后与记者交谈。As she departs a vote, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., speaks with reporters at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 15, 2026.

2028年大选的角逐已经拉开帷幕,进步派人士都在问一个问题:谁将在下届总统大选中接过左翼的大旗?

The race for 2028 is already starting, and progressives are all asking one question: Who will take up the left’s mantle in the next presidential election?

许多自称左翼人士的显而易见的首选、众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯(民主党-纽约州)表示,她正认真考虑参选。在本周期中,奥卡西奥-科尔特斯陪同参议员伯尼·桑德斯(无党派-佛蒙特州)在全国各地为中期选举候选人助选,为一场植根于经济民粹主义和“反对寡头统治”的潜在总统竞选奠定了基础。

An obvious first choice for many self-described leftists, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., has said she is seriously considering a run. Ocasio-Cortez laid the groundwork for a potential presidential bid rooted in economic populism and “fighting oligarchy” while campaigning alongside Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., for midterm candidates around the country this cycle.

然而,民主党策略师指出,奥卡西奥-科尔特斯竞选民主党籍纽约州参议员查克·舒默2028年将卸任的席位会容易得多;甚至连现年75岁、被视为下任多数党领袖的舒默本人退休也是有可能的。

Democratic strategists, however, have pointed out it would be far easier for Ocasio-Cortez to run for Democratic New York Sen. Chuck Schumer’s seat in 2028; and it’s even possible the 75-year-old presumptive majority leader will retire.

目前没有另一位具有明星效应的民主党候选人能清晰地发起一场真正的进步派竞选——这让左翼面临着失去势头的威胁,而这种势头曾在初选期间推动了一股民主社会主义浪潮,并在周二激发了整个意识形态光谱上的竞选活动。

There isn’t a clear pick for another Democratic candidate with star power who could mount a truly progressive campaign — presenting the left with the threat of losing the momentum that fueled a democratic socialist wave during the primaries and animated campaigns across the ideological spectrum on Tuesday.

她的前发言人劳伦·希特表示,这不是奥卡西奥-科尔特斯的问题。

That, said her former spokesperson Lauren Hitt, is not Ocasio-Cortez’s problem.

“现在为进步派顾问进步派和温和派候选人的希特说:“我认为错误的参选理由会是因为没别人在进步派赛道上参选。她在中期选举中做了很多好的投入,也帮助建立了进步派的后备人才梯队,但确保有另一个人来参选不是她的工作。”那么,如果奥卡西奥-科尔特斯不从左翼参选,谁会出来呢?

“I think the wrong reason to run would be because nobody else is running in the progressive lane,” said Hitt, who now advises progressive and moderate candidates. “She has made a lot of good investments in the midterms and in helping build up the progressive bench, but it was not her job to make sure we had another person to run.”So if Ocasio-Cortez doesn’t run from the left, who will?

正在探索潜在总统竞选的候选人包括几位较新的面孔,以及一批与2016年和2020年初选中角逐民主党提名的温和派阵容非常相似的人物。

Candidates exploring potential presidential bids include a few newer faces alongside a very similar cast of moderates who campaigned for the Democratic nomination in the 2016 and 2020 primaries.

新泽西州参议员科里·布克、前交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格,甚至该党前任提名人卡玛拉·哈里斯等人的名字都在被提及;马里兰州民主党参议员克里斯·范霍伦也已为参选打下基础。最近连任的宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗长期被视为潜在竞争者,佐治亚州参议员乔恩·奥索夫也是如此,尽管他在上个月表示不打算参选。

Names like New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, and even the party’s former nominee Kamala Harris are making the rounds; Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., has also laid the groundwork for a run. The recently reelected Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro has long been viewed as a potential contender, as has Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, though he said last month he’s not planning on a run.

这些人都不一定会让人联想到奥卡西奥-科尔特斯,或是她背后那场运动的“鼻祖”、桑德斯本人。

None of them are people you would necessarily liken to someone like Ocasio-Cortez or the grandfather of the movement behind her, Sanders himself.

加利福尼亚州众议员罗·卡纳目前是公开考虑参选的最“进步”人选。卡纳曾担任桑德斯2020年总统竞选的全国联合主席,长期以来一直是反干预主义外交政策的代言人。他因支持加州征收财富税而招致科技亿万富翁的愤怒。

Rep. Ro Khanna of California is so far the most “progressive” person openly considering a run. Khanna served as national co-chair of Sanders’s 2020 presidential campaign, and he’s long been a voice for an anti-interventionist foreign policy. He drew the ire of tech billionaires for supporting a wealth tax in California.

然而,左翼人士对卡纳存在一种切实可感的怀疑态度,即使他们很难确切说出原因。今年早些时候,他在宣传一次约旦河西岸逮捕行动后,为自己支持资助以色列“铁穹”导弹防御系统进行辩护,这让一些人并不买账。(卡纳后来反对资助“铁穹”)。此外,作为一名百万富翁,他的个人财富也招致了右翼和左翼的批评。

Yet there’s a palpable skepticism around Khanna among leftists, even if they can’t quite put their finger on why. Some weren’t impressed when he defended his support for funding Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system after publicizing an arrest in the West Bank earlier this year. (Khanna later came out against funding the Iron Dome). And as a multimillionaire, he’s also drawn criticism from the right and the left for his personal wealth.

与奥卡西奥-科尔特斯一样,卡纳表示将支持纽约州民主党众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯竞选众议长,尽管其他候选人承诺不支持杰弗里斯或舒默,这两位温和派将在下一届会议中争取领导职位。

Like Ocasio-Cortez, Khanna has said he will back Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., for House Speaker despite pledges from other candidates to withhold their support for either Jeffries or Schumer, both moderates, for leadership positions next session.

虽然目前还非常早,但从周二的结果来看,无论哪位候选人决定争取进步派选票,都出现了一个统一的主题。

It’s still incredibly early, but there’s one unifying theme emerging from Tuesday’s results for whichever candidate decides to try to court the progressive vote.

“我只知道,民粹主义这条赛道敞开着,等待有人去占据,”“劳动家庭党”发言人拉维·曼格拉说。

“All I know is that the populist lane is wide open for someone to seize it,” said Ravi Mangla, the spokesperson for the Working Families Party.

过去两年的胜利,从佐赫兰·马姆达尼当选纽约市市长,到一批民主社会主义者和进步派人士将于1月进入国会,表明民主党能够利用选民对唐纳德·特朗普和极右翼的不满,选出主张进步政策的候选人。

Victories over the past two years, from Zohran Mamdani’s election as mayor of New York City to the clutch of democratic socialists and progressives heading to Congress in January, show that Democrats can marshal discontent with Donald Trump and the far right to elect candidates running on progressive policies.

“选民非常明确:人们非常、非常愤怒,”进步派民主党策略师格雷格·克里格说,他与Slingshot Strategies合作,并担任支持巴勒斯坦的超级政治行动委员会“美国优先事务”的发言人。“大家关注经济民粹主义,这超越了党内的意识形态分歧。”随着生活成本上升,候选人利用这种民粹主义,进步派面临的问题是如何最好地运用蓝色版本的经济民粹主义,对抗推动特朗普崛起的右翼版本。

”Voters were very clear: People are very, very angry,” said Greg Krieg, a progressive Democratic strategist who works with Slingshot Strategies and is the spokesperson for the pro-Palestine super PAC American Priorities. “There is a focus on economic populism that transcends the ideological splits in the party.”With the rising cost of living, and candidates tapping into that populism, the question for progressives is how to best wield the blue version of economic populism against the right-wing version that powered Trump’s rise.

“右翼民粹主义并没有真正击败左翼民粹主义,它只是多年来对抗一种企业垃圾,”克里格说。

“Right-wing populism didn’t really defeat left-wing populism, it just ran against a kind of corporate slop for many years,” Krieg said.

这一时代新的“餐桌议题”是一系列经济困境,选民越来越多地将其与财富和政治权力集中在少数人手中的力量联系起来。克里格说,民主党应该通过显性地对抗那些从人们口袋里掏钱的事情来回应,其中包括腐败和哄抬物价。

This era’s new “kitchen table” issues are a constellation of economic woes that voters are increasingly connecting to the forces concentrating wealth and political power in the hands of the few. Democrats should respond to that by fighting, visibly, against the things that take money out of people’s pockets, corruption and price-gouging among them, Krieg said.

“我认为,如果给美国人民在右翼民粹主义和左翼民粹主义之间做选择,他们会选择左翼民粹主义,”克里格说。“我认为现在这一点更是四倍真理,因为我们已经做过右翼民粹主义的实验,结果是一场彻底的惨败——所以让我们给他们那个选项。”

“I think that the American people, if they are presented a choice of right-wing populism and left-wing populism, will opt for the left-wing populism,” Krieg said. “And I think that’s quadruply true now that we’ve done the right-wing populism experiment and it’s been such a fiasco — so let’s give them that option.”

影响民主党如何应对2028年大选的因素正在成形。其中包括关于谁将领导众议院和参议院民主党党团的辩论,尽管任何阻止舒默或杰弗里斯担任领导角色的努力都面临极大困难。而民主党在下一场总统大选中的表现,将很大程度上取决于他们在特朗普最后一个任期的最后两年里,如何运用对国会的控制权。

The factors influencing how Democrats approach 2028 are taking shape now. They include the debate over who will lead the party in the House and Senate, though any effort to stop Schumer or Jeffries from leading roles would face long odds. And how Democrats fare in the next presidential race will depend in large part on what they do with their control of Congress during the last two years of Trump’s final term in office.

然后,还有那个助推奥卡西奥-科尔特斯、马姆达尼、华盛顿和洛杉矶的下一任市长,以及历史上最大一批社会主义国会议员崛起的团体:美国民主社会主义者组织(DSA)。

Then there is the group that helped power the rise of Ocasio-Cortez, Mamdani, the next mayors of Washington and Los Angeles, and the largest incoming bloc of socialist members of Congress in history: the Democratic Socialists of America.

任何获得DSA支持的候选人,都必须支持全民医保、向富人征税、绿色新政,以及对以色列实施美国武器禁运的政策。DSA曾在2016年和2020年两次初选中背书桑德斯,目前正在运作一个总统探索委员会,该委员会将在征求成员意见后,最终投票决定背书哪位候选人。

Any candidate that gets buy-in from DSA will have to support policies like Medicare for All, taxing the rich, a Green New Deal, and an embargo on U.S. arms to Israel. DSA, which endorsed both Sanders’s 2016 and 2020 primary bids, is running a presidential exploratory committee that will eventually vote to endorse a candidate after collecting input from its members.

DSA去年在其全国代表大会上通过决议,决定探索2028年背书事宜。其成员——遍布43个州的130个分会、超过12.5万人——对于他们是否希望看到奥卡西奥-科尔特斯参选,并不一定存在共识,该组织总统探索小组主席、全国政治委员会成员埃拉·蒂万表示。

DSA passed a resolution to explore a 2028 endorsement at its national convention last year. And there isn’t necessarily a consensus among its members — more than 125,000 people across 130 chapters in 43 states — on whether or not they want to see Ocasio-Cortez run, said Ella Teevan, who chairs the group’s presidential exploratory group and sits on its National Political Committee.

“伯尼的案子感觉略有不同,因为我认为成员们对伯尼的支持稍微更团结一些,尽管绝非全票通过,”蒂万说。“如果我们真的考虑背书奥卡西奥-科尔特斯,她的情况会稍微更有争议一些。但正如我所说,这正是美国民主社会主义者的魅力所在。”尽管奥卡西奥-科尔特斯并非稳操胜券,但美国民主社会主义者成员并未围绕任何其他候选人形成共识——也不清楚他们是否会这样做。

“The Bernie case feels just a little bit different because I think the membership was a little bit more united around Bernie, although by no means unanimously,” Teevan said. “If and when we do consider an AOC endorsement, hers will be a little bit more contentious. But like I said, that’s the beauty of DSA.”Though Ocasio-Cortez is no shoo-in, DSA members haven’t coalesced around any other candidate — and it’s not clear they will.

“我知道还有其他所谓的进步派可能正在考虑参加2028年总统竞选,但我认为对我们来说非常清楚,他们需要支持美国民主社会主义者的核心诉求,而美国大多数民众都支持这些诉求,”蒂万说。

“I know that there are other quote-unquote progressives who might be considering a presidential run in 2028, but I think it’s really clear for us that they need to support DSA’s core demands that most people in the United States support,” Teevan said.

“如果出现一位支持这些政策的候选人,我认为相当一部分成员会考虑我们是否应该背书他们,”她说。“但是的,我不认为目前在竞选阵容中有另一位天然的、具有知名度的人选,至少我目前想不到。”

“If a candidate were to come along who supported those policies, I think a considerable portion of membership would think about whether we should endorse them,” she said. “But yeah, I don’t think that there’s a natural other person with name recognition in the field that, at least, I can think of right now.”

奥卡西奥-科尔特斯的前发言人希特表示,还有可能出现目前尚未进入视野的候选人参选:“完全有可能出现一位进步派冠军来填补这一空缺,而我们目前甚至还没想到。”

And there may yet be candidates who enter the race who aren’t yet on the radar, said Hitt, Ocasio-Cortez’s former spokesperson: “It’s totally possible there’s a progressive champion who could fill that lane that we aren’t even thinking of yet.”

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