字号·· | 护眼
海峡时报

IMF总裁:人工智能驱动增长若出现任何放缓,都将是各国央行需考量的因素IMF chief says any slowdown in AI-driven growth would be factor for central banks

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

华盛顿 - 国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃于11月6日表示,世界各国央行行长在评估抗击通胀的步骤时,都需要考虑人工智能(AI)驱动增长出现的任何放缓。

WASHINGTON - Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in artificial intelligence (AI)-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Kristalina Georgieva said on Nov 6.

格奥尔基耶娃说,对依赖人工智能投资热潮和高估值的担忧正在影响全球市场。

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

她在华盛顿国际货币基金组织总部对听众表示:“情况在起伏不定,这种情况很可能会持续下去。”她补充说,这种波动将使央行的工作变得更加复杂,因为物价稳定面临的风险一直在增加。

“Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue,” she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

11月5日,科技股大幅下挫,冲击波及各大市场,市场担心民主党在美国中期选举中获胜将加强对人工智能的监管审查,并减缓数据中心的建设步伐,导致投资者涌向债券寻求避险。

A steep rout in technology stocks on Nov 5 rippled through markets on fears that the Democrats’ victory in the United States midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data centre build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

政治紧张局势冲击了本已摇摇欲坠的人工智能交易,此前市场担心在人工智能相关基础设施上的巨额支出回报率,此次暴跌引发了追加保证金通知,令散户投资者和对冲基金都感到恐慌。

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge funds alike.

格奥尔基耶娃表示,人工智能投资热潮提振了一些国家的增长,有助于抵消中东战争引发的负面石油供给冲击,但也增加了通胀压力和金融稳定担忧。

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

国际货币基金组织在10月曾标示,人工智能投资热潮可能结束等因素(包括中东战争长期化)构成重大增长和金融稳定风险。

The IMF in October flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war.

当时它警告称,人工智能投资大幅下降可能导致资产价格急剧下跌,到2028年最终使全球GDP减少1.1%,其中美国产出下降1.8%。

At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP by 1.1% by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

格奥尔基耶娃在11月6日没有重申这一下行预测,但承认了近期的市场波动。

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Nov 6, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

“如果人工智能驱动的增长动力出现放缓,央行在评估对抗顽固通胀所需步骤时,就需要将其纳入考量,”她说。

“Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation,” she said.

路透社11月6日援引国会助手和倡导人士的话报道,民主党计划在明年1月接管美国国会后,推出大量针对人工智能系统和数据中心发展的新立法。

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting AI systems and data-centre development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Nov 6, citing congressional aides and advocates.

这将标志着与共和党主导的国会形成鲜明转变,后者主要致力于推动人工智能发展,并拒绝通过限制该技术的立法。

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.

阅读媒体原文 ↗