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特朗普离任前不得调查其企业盟友Do not investigate Trump’s corporate allies until he leaves office

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2026年11月5日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在华盛顿白宫椭圆形办公室发表讲话时,坚毅桌上放着一顶写有“VETO”(否决)字样的帽子。[法新社]A hat reading 'VETO' sits on the Resolute Desk as US President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington on November 5, 2026 [AFP]

在一个运作正常的宪政民主国家,企业腐败指控通常会引发立即调查。国会会要求提交文件、传唤高管,并将不法行为置于公众监督之下。

In a functioning constitutional democracy, allegations of corporate corruption would ordinarily invite immediate investigation. Congress would demand documents, summon executives and expose wrongdoing to public scrutiny.

随着民主党赢得参众两院的控制权,外界预期他们将大力行使这些监督权力。然而,在唐纳德·特朗普的美国,存在一个令人信服的理由,主张应当采取截然相反的做法。

With Democrats having won control of both houses of Congress, the expectation will be that they exercise these oversight powers vigorously. In Donald Trump’s America, however, there is a compelling argument for doing precisely the opposite.

如果目标是追究刑事责任,而非政治表演,即将上任的民主党多数派或许更明智的做法是:保存证据,但推迟针对特朗普企业盟友潜在刑事不法行为的公开国会调查和披露,直到他于2029年1月卸任为止,从而避免总统赦免令的可能性,防止相关责任人逃脱联邦刑事起诉。

If the objective is criminal accountability rather than political theatre, the incoming Democratic majorities might be better advised to preserve the evidence but postpone public congressional investigations and disclosures concerning potential criminal wrongdoing by Trump’s corporate allies until he leaves office in January 2029, thereby avoiding the possibility of presidential pardons that could place those responsible beyond the reach of federal criminal prosecution.

这听起来或许荒谬,但这是总统赦免权非同寻常的广泛性所决定的。根据美国宪法,总统可以在个人被指控、被调查或被定罪之前,就为其联邦罪行颁发赦免令。本被设想为一项特殊的仁慈权力,却可能沦为保护政治伙伴、富有捐助者和企业高管免受刑事追责的工具。

This may sound absurd, but it follows from the extraordinary breadth of the presidential pardon power. Under the US Constitution, a president may pardon individuals for federal crimes before they have been charged, investigated or convicted. What was conceived as an exceptional power of mercy can become an instrument for protecting political associates, wealthy benefactors and corporate executives from criminal accountability.

《华盛顿邮报》10月26日发表的一项调查显示,那些与特朗普建立了紧密关系的强大科技和国防公司,正日益担忧民主党控制国会的前景。包括Palantir、Anduril、OpenAI和Meta在内的公司,面临着国会就政府合同、政治捐款及其与政府关系展开审查的可能性。据报道,随着国会调查的前景逼近,一些高管正忙不迭地设法与民主党政客建立关系。

A Washington Post investigation published on October 26 reveals that powerful technology and defence companies that cultivated close relationships with Trump are increasingly anxious about the prospect of a Democratic Congress. Companies including Palantir, Anduril, OpenAI and Meta face possible congressional scrutiny over government contracts, political contributions and their relationships with the administration. Some executives are reportedly scrambling to establish relationships with Democratic politicians as the prospect of congressional investigations approaches.

财务利害关系重大。《华盛顿邮报》报道,15家由特朗普儿子们支持的公司获得了32亿美元的联邦合同、投资和贷款,其中大部分是在特朗普重返白宫后获得的。国会民主党人对潜在的利益冲突以及政治关联公司是否获得优待提出了质疑。这些关系为调查公共资源如何分配提供了正当理由。

The financial stakes are considerable. The Post reports that 15 companies backed by Trump’s sons received $3.2bn in federal contracts, investments and loans, most after Trump returned to the White House. Congressional Democrats have raised questions about potential conflicts of interest and whether politically connected companies received preferential treatment. These relationships provide legitimate grounds for investigating how public resources were allocated.

通常情况下,此类调查会被视为国会监督的一项基本职能而受到欢迎。但请设想一下,如果国会听证会发现了欺诈、贿赂或腐败的证据,会发生什么。调查结果可能会查明责任人,并确立刑事不法行为的确凿证据。特朗普随后可能会发布广泛的赦免令,保护相关人员免受联邦起诉。调查人员可能成功揭露了不法行为,却发现他们的努力反而为总统提供了一份待保护人员名单。

Ordinarily, such investigations would be welcomed as an essential exercise of congressional oversight. But consider what might happen if congressional hearings uncovered evidence of fraud, bribery or corruption. The findings could identify those responsible and establish compelling evidence of criminal misconduct. Trump could then issue sweeping pardons protecting the individuals concerned from federal prosecution. Investigators might succeed in exposing wrongdoing only to discover that their efforts had furnished the president with a list of people to protect.

特朗普的过往记录提供了充分理由,让人认真对待这种可能性。他的正式特赦记录包括赦免因证券欺诈、电信欺诈和其他金融犯罪被定罪的个人。2025年3月,他赦免了电动卡车制造商Nikola的创始人特雷弗·米尔顿,后者因欺诈投资者被定罪。他还赦免了与加密货币交易所BitMEX相关的公司实体HDR Global Trading Limited。该加密货币公司曾因违反《银行保密法》而认罪。多名与该公司有关联的个人也获得了赦免。

Trump’s record provides ample reason to take this possibility seriously. His official clemency record includes pardons for individuals convicted of securities fraud, wire fraud and other financial offences. In March 2025, he pardoned Trevor Milton, the founder of electric-truck manufacturer Nikola, who had been convicted of defrauding investors. He also pardoned HDR Global Trading Limited, the corporate entity associated with the cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX. The crypto firm had pleaded guilty to violating the Bank Secrecy Act. Several individuals associated with the company also received pardons.

对HDR Global Trading公司的特赦值得特别关注。特朗普不仅向公司高管,还向公司实体本身伸张了宽大处理,该公司曾对一项联邦罪行认罪。在企业财富与政治影响力巨大的时代,这对企业问责制的后果,理应获得远超目前的关注度。

The pardon of HDR Global Trading deserves particular attention. Trump extended clemency not only to company executives but to the corporation itself, which had pleaded guilty to a federal offence. The consequences for corporate accountability in an era of enormous corporate wealth and political influence deserve far greater attention than they have received.

最高法院在“加兰案”(Ex parte Garland,1866年)中为这一非同寻常的权力奠定了基础。法院将特赦权解释为延伸至犯罪发生后的联邦罪行,无论刑事诉讼是否已经启动。国会无法对其行使施加常规的立法限制。该裁决实际上承认了总统有权赦免联邦罪行,而无需等待刑事司法系统确立有罪。

The Supreme Court laid the groundwork for this extraordinary authority in Ex parte Garland (1866). The Court interpreted the pardon power as extending to federal offences after their commission, regardless of whether criminal proceedings had commenced. Congress could not impose ordinary legislative restrictions on its exercise. The ruling effectively recognised the president’s authority to forgive federal crimes without waiting for the criminal justice system to establish guilt.

其影响令人震惊。一名行政人员可能涉及数百万美元的欺诈,或一名政府承包商可能通过行贿获得合同。如果这些罪行属于联邦刑事管辖范围,一项足够宽泛的总统特赦便可消除涉案行为的刑事责任。总统特赦不能授权未来的犯罪、阻止州级起诉,或总体上消除民事责任。它们也无法阻止国会调查。但消除对过往罪行的联邦刑事惩罚,其后果已足够深远。

The implications are staggering. An executive might have committed fraud involving millions of dollars, or a government contractor might have secured contracts through bribery. If those offences fall within federal criminal jurisdiction, a sufficiently broad presidential pardon can extinguish criminal liability for the covered conduct. Presidential pardons cannot authorise future crimes, prevent state prosecutions or generally extinguish civil liability. Nor do they prevent congressional investigations. But the elimination of federal criminal punishment for past offences is consequential enough.

这绝非仅仅是特朗普一个人的问题。乔·拜登在2024年12月向其子亨特·拜登发布全面特赦,展示了同一宪法权力的非同寻常的触角。该特赦涵盖近11年间已犯或潜在的联邦罪行,范围远超亨特·拜登被起诉或定罪的具体指控。

This is not simply a Trump problem. Joe Biden demonstrated the extraordinary reach of the same constitutional power when he issued a sweeping pardon to his son Hunter Biden in December 2024. The pardon covered federal offences committed or potentially committed over almost 11 years, extending far beyond the specific charges on which Hunter Biden had been prosecuted or convicted.

在卸任前的最后几个小时里,拜登走得更远,向其家庭成员和多位公众人物发出了预防性赦免令,受赦者包括安东尼·福奇、退役将军马克·米利以及与国会针对“1月6日”袭击事件调查有关的个人。拜登将这些举措辩称为必要的保护,旨在防范即将上台的特朗普政府出于政治动机发起起诉。他声称的动机与包庇企业财务不当行为截然不同,且这些赦免并未确立受赦人有任何不法行为。

In his final hours in office, Biden went further, issuing preemptive pardons to members of his family and several public figures, including Anthony Fauci, retired General Mark Milley and individuals associated with the congressional investigation into the January 6 attack. Biden justified these measures as necessary protection against politically motivated prosecutions by the incoming Trump administration. His stated motivations differed from protecting corporate financial misconduct, and the pardons did not establish wrongdoing by their recipients.

尽管如此,他的行动展示了总统如何轻而易举地利用这项权力,在没有任何独立机构认定给予特赦合理的情况下,为特定个人挡住联邦刑事诉讼。

Nevertheless, his actions demonstrated how easily the power could be used to shield selected individuals from federal criminal proceedings without any independent determination that clemency was warranted.

这一先例应当让美国人感到不安,无论其政治立场为何。拜登的支持者可能认为他的做法是针对威胁性政治报复的正当防卫。特朗普则可以援引同一宪法权力,用于完全不同的目的。核心难点在于,这项法律赋予的权力,并不取决于总统的动机是否高尚、受益人是否配得、公共利益是否得到维护。

The precedent should trouble Americans regardless of their political loyalties. Biden’s supporters may regard his actions as justified protection against threatened political retribution. Trump can invoke the same constitutional authority for entirely different purposes. The central difficulty is that the legal power does not depend upon the president’s motives being honourable, the beneficiaries being deserving or the public interest being served.

这将我们带回国会民主党面临的特殊困境。既然总统仍保留赦免相关人的权力,为何还要搜集并公开所谓刑事不当行为的证据?为何在政府离任前就指出潜在被告并提出对他们的指控?特朗普无论如何可能都会发布预防性赦免。事实上,他已表明有此意愿,在11月2日的一次采访中宣称,将保护面临民主党调查的埃隆·马斯克及其他盟友,并在必要时给予赦免。因此,详尽的国会调查反而可能为他提供一份现成的潜在受益人名单。

This brings us back to the peculiar dilemma facing congressional Democrats. Why assemble and publicise evidence of alleged criminal misconduct while the president retains the authority to pardon those implicated? Why identify potential defendants and present the allegations against them before the administration leaves office? Trump might issue preemptive pardons regardless. Indeed, he has already signalled his willingness to do so, declaring in a November 2 interview that he would protect Elon Musk and other allies facing Democratic investigations and grant pardons if necessary. A detailed congressional investigation could therefore provide him with a convenient inventory of possible beneficiaries.

这并非主张销毁证据、压制举报人或阻止为制止正在进行的违法行为而必要的调查。记录必须得到保存,相关诉讼时效必须受到保护,非法做法必须被制止。国家当局必须保持行使其独立管辖权的自由。较为狭义的论点涉及可能挫败最终联邦起诉的国会公开披露的时机问题。即便是这种有限的推迟,也会给透明度和民主监督带来代价。

This is not an argument for destroying evidence, suppressing whistleblowers or preventing investigations necessary to stop ongoing illegality. Records must be preserved, relevant limitation periods protected and unlawful practices halted. State authorities must remain free to exercise their independent jurisdiction. The narrower argument concerns the timing of public congressional disclosures that could frustrate eventual federal prosecutions. Even that limited postponement carries costs for transparency and democratic oversight.

反对意见显而易见。公民有权知晓公共资金是否被挪用,以及政府合同是否被不当授予。推迟披露可能允许不法行为继续,让证人消失,或给涉案者提供额外的销毁证据机会。这些是不容轻易忽视的严重担忧。然而,即便必须考虑扣留可能构成犯罪证据的调查结果,作为维护刑事问责的一种手段,这一事实本身就暴露了宪法体系中一个令人不安的缺陷。

The objection is obvious. Citizens are entitled to know whether public money has been misused and whether government contracts have been awarded improperly. Delaying disclosure may permit wrongdoing to continue, allow witnesses to disappear or give those implicated additional opportunities to conceal evidence. These are serious concerns that cannot simply be brushed aside. Yet the fact that withholding potentially incriminating findings must even be considered as a means of preserving criminal accountability exposes a troubling defect in the constitutional system.

美国宪法已有近240年历史。它在若干方面需要根本性改革,但很少有条款能比总统赦免权更清楚地说明这种紧迫性。制宪者将这一权力赋予单一个人,期望其能以智慧和克制行使。他们几乎无法预见到一个时代的到来,在这个时代里,巨额企业财富、政治恩赐与总统权力会变得如此紧密交织。

The US Constitution is almost 240 years old. It requires fundamental reform in several respects, but few provisions illustrate the urgency more clearly than the presidential pardon power. The framers entrusted this authority to a single individual in the expectation that it would be exercised with wisdom and restraint. They could scarcely have anticipated an era in which vast corporate fortunes, political patronage and presidential power would become so closely intertwined.

宪法应当修正,以确立对总统赦免权的实质性限制。涉及总统家庭成员、个人财务利益或与政府不当行为有关联的政治盟友的赦免,应受到严格的宪法保障条款约束。涵盖数年未明确刑事行为的大范围预防性赦免,同样值得重新审视。一个依据宪法规定标准运作的独立赦免委员会,可以在不取消行政怜悯合法人道目的的前提下,对有争议的赦免进行审查。

The Constitution should be amended to establish meaningful limits on presidential clemency. Pardons involving the president’s family, personal financial interests or political associates implicated in misconduct connected to the administration should be subject to strict constitutional safeguards. Sweeping preemptive pardons covering years of unspecified criminal conduct also deserve reconsideration. An independent clemency commission, operating under constitutionally prescribed standards, could provide scrutiny of controversial pardons without eliminating the legitimate humanitarian purposes of executive mercy.

此类改革需要修宪。最高法院对现行赦免权的解释过于宽泛,致使普通立法无法对其进行简单限制。第五条使得宪法修改极为困难,但困难不能成为理由,仅因这项权力存在了两个多世纪,就继续保留一项极易遭受严重滥用的权力。

Such reforms would require constitutional amendment. The Supreme Court has interpreted the existing pardon power so expansively that ordinary legislation cannot simply curtail it. Article V makes constitutional change exceptionally difficult, but difficulty cannot justify preserving a power susceptible to serious abuse merely because it has existed for more than two centuries.

保留总统赦免权有充分理由。刑事司法系统会犯错,判刑可能过重,怜悯在司法体系中占有重要地位。但怜悯不得沦为政治关联者的特权,也不得成为总统保护其盟友免受刑事不法行为后果追究的机制。

There are compelling reasons to retain presidential clemency. Criminal justice systems make mistakes, sentences can be excessive, and mercy has an important place in the justice system. But mercy must not become a privilege reserved for the politically connected, or a mechanism through which presidents protect their associates from the consequences of criminal misconduct.

就目前而言,该体系扭曲的逻辑表明,那些寻求有意义的联邦刑事问责的人,或许明智的做法是推迟公开潜在罪行,直到特朗普卸任。对于一个以法治自豪的国家而言,这是一个惊人的命题。一个揭露腐败反而可能成为保护责任人手段的宪法体制,亟需修补。

For now, the perverse logic of the system suggests that those seeking meaningful federal criminal accountability might be wiser to postpone public exposure of potential offences until Trump leaves office. It is an astonishing proposition for a country that prides itself on the rule of law. A constitutional system in which exposing corruption can become the means of protecting those responsible is badly in need of repair.

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