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共和党中期选举惨败后陷入震荡,特朗普对党内掌控力成疑Trump’s grip on his party is in question as Republicans reel from the midterm wipeout

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2026年11月6日星期五,总统唐纳德·特朗普抵达佛罗里达州西棕榈滩的唐纳德·J·特朗普总统国际机场后,在空军一号上向记者发表讲话。(美联社照片/杰奎琳·马丁)President Donald Trump talks to reporters after arriving on Air Force One, at President Donald J. Trump International Airport in West Palm Beach, Fla., Friday, Nov. 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

史蒂文·斯隆、托马斯·博蒙特 华盛顿报道 —— 共和党人毫不留情。

STEVEN SLOAN, THOMAS BEAUMONT WASHINGTON — Republicans aren’t holding back.

佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯将本周的选举形容为共和党的“灭绝级事件”。得克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹将其比作“水门事件级别的否决”。前副总统迈克·彭斯称之为“清算时刻”。尽管在让共和党在国会山沦落到几十年来最单薄阵容的中期选举中涌现出如此多的末世论言论,但对于该党该如何前行,几乎没有达成共识。

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantisdescribed this week’s elections as an “extinction-level event” for the GOP. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz likened it to a “Watergate-level repudiation.”Former Vice President Mike Pence called it a “reckoning.”For all the apocalyptic talk emerging from a midterm that relegated Republicans to their thinnest ranks on Capitol Hill in decades, there’s little agreement on how the party should move forward.

回归罗纳德·里根总统时期定义共和党的财政和国家安全保守主义根基,可能会疏远在唐纳德·特朗普总统领导下、在“让美国再次伟大”旗帜下被迎入党内的更强硬派保守派。

A return to the bedrock fiscal and national security conservatism that defined Republicans under President Ronald Reagan risks alienating the more hard-line conservatives welcomed into the party under President Donald Trump under the “Make America Great Again” banner.

但更深度地倾向于特朗普那套粗鄙的政治风格,可能会导致更多选民抛弃。

But leaning even further into Trump’s coarse brand of politics could lead to more voter rejection.

“我们需要进行灵魂搜索,”参议院领导力基金执行主任亚历克斯·拉查姆在接受采访时表示。该组织花费8.1亿美元支持共和党人。“我们首先需要理解并诚实承认,为何我们刚刚经历了这种规模的惨败。然后我们必须重整旗鼓,就前进道路达成一致。” 正如过去十年一样,核心问题在于特朗普将在塑造该党未来中扮演何种角色。

“We have soul-searching to do,” Alex Latcham, the executive director of the Senate Leadership Fund, which spent $810 million to support Republicans, said in an interview. “We need to first understand and honestly admit why we just endured a wipeout of this magnitude. And then we have to regroup and agree to a path forward.”As has been the case for the past decade, the central question is the role Trump will play in shaping the party’s future.

他对忠诚的坚持今年达到顶峰,他在共和党初选中进行干预,并施压选民将选举变成对他第二任期的公投。在竞选最后几周,他举办了数十场集会为候选人助选,其中大多数人最终落选。

His insistence on loyalty reached a zenith this year as he intervened in GOP primaries and pressed voters to make the elections a referendum on his second term. He held dozens of rallies in the final weeks of the campaign for candidates, most of whom lost their races.

自周二大选以来,他拒绝承认任何责任,将过错归咎于候选人。他的公开活动聚焦于他在华盛顿的宠儿项目,这些项目已被证明在选民中不受欢迎。周五,他提拔其部分最具争议政策的设计师斯蒂芬·米勒为白宫幕僚长。

Since Tuesday’s election, he’s refused to acknowledge any responsibility, placing blame on the candidates. His public events have focused on his pet projects in Washington, which have proven unpopular with voters. On Friday, he elevated Stephen Miller , the architect of some of his most contentious policies, to White House chief of staff.

在一次采访中,俄克拉荷马州共和党州长凯文·斯蒂特表示,选举结果“令人震惊”,但特朗普仍可能围绕移民等议题主导对话。州长将共和党目前的动态描述为一个领导人正处于第二任期深处的政党的自然过程。

In an interview, Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt , a Republican, said the election results were “shocking” but that Trump could still steer the conversation around issues such as immigration. The governor described the GOP’s current dynamic as a natural process for a party whose leader is deep in his second term.

“这只能说明,美国人在10年之后,基本上对在任者都相当厌倦了,”斯蒂特说。“我认为人们想要更多稳定。他们希望人们彼此友善,说‘嘿,我们都是美国人’。”其他人则更为直率。

“It just tells you that the American people, after 10 years, they’re pretty much tired of whoever’s in office,” Stitt said. “I think people want a little more stability. They want people to be nice to people, to say, ‘Hey, we’re all Americans.’”Others were more blunt.

长期保守派评论员塔克·卡尔森表示,中期选举标志着“特朗普时代的结束”。约翰·苏努努是一名共和党人,他在新罕布什尔州竞选参议员席位失败,他将责任归咎于特朗普。

Longtime conservative commentator Tucker Carlson said the midterms marked “the end of the Trump era.”John Sununu, a Republican who lost his bid for a Senate seat in New Hampshire, blamed Trump.

“似乎他或他的家人参与了华盛顿发生的每一笔交易和每一笔交易,”苏努努在SiriusXM上对前俄亥俄州共和党众议员约翰·卡西奇说。“我认为这两件事导致人们说,‘你知道,只要他还在任,我就不能投票给共和党人。’”共和党内部的争斗可能会迅速加剧。

“It seems like he or his family is in on every transaction and deal that goes on in Washington,” Sununu told John Kasich, a former Republican congressman from Ohio, on SiriusXM. “Those two things, I think, caused people to say, ‘You know, I just can’t vote for a Republican while he’s still in office.’”The GOP infighting is poised to intensify quickly.

下周共和党人返回国会山时,他们将不得不在路易斯安那州众议员史蒂夫·斯卡利斯和俄亥俄州众议员吉姆·乔丹之间做出选择,以领导该党在众议院的事务。他们可能会考虑是否弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯。12月11日之后,关于国防开支和维持联邦政府运作的投票也可能会很艰难。

When Republicans return to Capitol Hill next week, they’ll have to choose between Reps. Steve Scalise of Louisiana and Jim Jordan of Ohio to lead the party in the House. They may weigh whether to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth . There could also be tough votes on defense spending and keeping the federal government open after Dec. 11.

共和党全国委员会内部的领导权之争已经酝酿,委员会内部早期的讨论涉及限制特朗普在选举下一任主席方面的影响。现任联合主席KC·克罗斯比本周发布了一封信,将中期选举称为“严重挫折”,并宣布计划在委员会1月份在亚利桑那州举行的会议上竞选主席。特朗普周五宣布支持该党现任主席乔·格鲁特斯。

Already a leadership fight is brewing at the Republican National Committee, where there are early conversations about limiting Trump’s influence in picking the next chair. KC Crosbie, currently the co-chair, circulated a letter this week calling the midterms a “serious setback” and announcing plans to run for chair at the committee’s January meeting in Arizona. Trump announced his support Friday for the party’s current chair, Joe Gruters.

更不用说2028年共和党总统提名的新一轮角逐了。副总统JD·万斯被视为主要竞争者,如果他参选,将面临一系列广泛的对手。斯蒂特是呼吁举行“大规模开放初选”的共和党人之一。“我认为我们不应该册封任何人,”他说。

That’s to say nothing of the emerging contest for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. Vice President JD Vance , seen as a leading contender, will likely face a broad range of opponents if he enters the race. Stitt is among the Republicans calling for a “big open primary.”“I don’t think we should crown anybody,” he said.

共和党将面临压力,需要重振选民联盟,特别是拉美裔选民,他们曾在以往选举中助推该党取得成功,但本周却转向支持民主党。前众议员卡洛斯·库尔贝洛(共和党-佛罗里达州)表示,他认为国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥最有优势赢得拉美裔选民。

There will be pressure to revive the coalition of voters, particularly Latinos, who have lifted the party to success in previous elections but swung to Democrats this week. Former Rep. Carlos Curbelo, R-Fla., said he thought Secretary of State Marco Rubio is best positioned to win Latinos.

“共和党必须迅速夺回的两大核心选民群体是白人郊区选民和西班牙裔选民,”库尔贝洛在接受采访时说。“万斯今年在竞选路上奔波,但似乎未能在西班牙裔选民中扭转局面。”万斯的一名代表未就该表述置评。

“The two main constituencies that Republicans have to quickly regain are white suburban voters and Hispanic voters,” Curbelo said in an interview. “Vance was out on the campaign trail this year and it doesn’t appear that he was able to move the needle in terms of Hispanic voters.”A representative for Vance didn’t comment on that characterization.

不过,根据美联社选民投票——一项覆盖全美50个州、约8万名选民的大规模调查——对共和党的冲击是广泛的。

Still, the fallout for the GOP is broad, according to The AP Voter Poll , an expansive survey of about 80,000 voters in all 50 states.

在各自众议院选区支持共和党候选人的年轻共和党选民,不太可能赞同特朗普处理总统职务的方式,更倾向于认为他的政策恶化了经济。

Younger Republican voters who supported the Republican candidate in their House race were less likely to approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president, and more likely to say he worsened the economy with his policies.

约三分之二的30岁以下共和党选民表示赞同特朗普处理总统职务的方式,而65岁及以上共和党选民中这一比例约为十分之九。约三分之一的年轻共和党选民认为特朗普恶化了国家经济状况,而年长共和党选民中这一比例约为五分之二。

About two-thirds of Republican voters under 30 said they approved of how Trump was handling the presidency, compared with about 9 in 10 Republican voters age 65 and older. About one-third of younger GOP voters said Trump had worsened the country’s economic conditions, compared with about 2 in 10 older Republican voters.

与伊朗的战争似乎也分裂了共和党选民,约六成45岁以下共和党选民认为美国对伊朗采取军事行动是正确决定。在45岁及以上共和党选民中,这一比例上升至约八成。

The war with Iran also appeared to divide Republican voters, with about 6 in 10 Republican voters under 45 saying the U.S. made the right decision in taking military action against Iran. That rose to about 8 in 10 among Republican voters who were 45 and older.

年轻共和党选民更倾向于表示,美国对以色列的支持“太过强硬”。约一半30岁以下的共和党选民表示,美国对以色列的支持“太过强硬”,而在65岁及以上选民中,这一比例约为十分之一。

Young Republican voters were more likely to say the U.S. support for Israel was “too strong.”Roughly half of Republican voters under 30 said the country’s backing of Israel was “too strong,” compared with about 1 in 10 voters 65 and older.

尽管特朗普和众议院议长迈克·约翰逊(共和党-路易斯安那州)等共和党高层在竞选最后几周持乐观态度,但共和党策略师早已看到,民众对共和党的信心正在瓦解。

Despite rosy outlooks from top Republicans including Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., in the final weeks of the campaign, Republican strategists had long seen the country’s confidence in the party unraveling.

据两位出席活动的共和党参议院竞选消息人士透露,8月底,参议院领导基金在加利福尼亚州拉古纳海滩举办了一场捐助者务虚会,拉彻姆在会上告诉与会者,共和党在处理生活成本和经济问题上已失去选民的信任。两人因谈论一场私下会议而要求匿名。

In late August, the Senate Leadership Fund convened a donor retreat in Laguna Beach, California, where Latcham told the group that Republicans had lost the confidence of voters on handling the cost of living and the economy, according to two Republican Senate campaign sources who attended the event. They spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss a private meeting.

落败后,共和党人正试图以更宏观的视角看待问题,因为他们知道,要重新掌权可能需要经历多个选举周期。

In defeat, Republicans are trying to take a broader view, knowing that it may take several election cycles before they one day return to power.

众议员克里斯托弗·史密斯本周再次当选,赢得第24个任期,他是新泽西州在国会中的最后一名共和党人。他对共和党当前的困境持长远看法。“钟摆会来回摆动,”他对记者说。“这些都是周期。”

Rep. Christopher Smith was reelected to his 24th term this week and is New Jersey’s last Republican in Congress. He took a long view on the party’s current struggles. “The pendulum swings back and forth,” he told reporters. “These are cycles.

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