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白宫:在对抗伊朗政权的战争中,特朗普“掌握所有筹码”Trump ‘holds all the cards’ in war against Iran’s regime, White House says

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耶路撒冷 —— 随着伊朗失踪的最高领袖阿亚图拉·穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊在中期选举后嘲讽美国“崩溃”,白宫和中东专家认为,特朗普已处于击败流氓政权残余势力的有利位置。

JERUSALEM — With Iran’s missing-in-action Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei taunting Americans about the "collapse" of the U.S. after the midterm elections, the White House and Middle East experts argue Trump is positioned to defeat the remnants of the rogue regime.

据专家称,特朗普总统伊朗政策的剩余两年对其遗产有着深远影响,如果特朗普采取新的军事行动推翻哈梅内伊政权,可能为一个没有该地区最大恐怖主义国家赞助者——伊朗伊斯兰共和国——的新中东奠定基础。

The remaining two years of President Trump’s Iran policy have profound implications for his legacy and could lay the foundation for a new Middle East devoid of the region’s worst state sponsor of terrorism, the Islamic Republic of Iran, should Trump pursue new military actions to dislodge Khamenei’s regime, according to experts.

自从一次美以联合空袭击毙其父、前最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊及其家庭成员以来,哈梅内伊一直未公开露面。在共和党在中期选举中失利后,他在X平台上夸耀道:“美国崩溃的进程已加速。” 这位激进伊斯兰教士统治者的夸夸其谈遭到了白宫和伊朗神权国家问题权威专家的强硬回应。

Khamenei, who has not been seen in public since a joint U.S.-Israel airstrike killed his father, former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and members of his family, boasted on X following the Republican defeat in the midterms: "The process of the US's collapse has accelerated." The radical Islamist clerical ruler’s braggadocio was met with tough statements from the White House and leading Middle East experts on Iran’s theocratic state.

一名白宫发言人对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“美国处于非常强势的地位,控制着霍尔木兹海峡,而伊朗经济正在崩溃。伊朗已遭重创,局势将有两种走向:容易的方式或艰难的方式。特朗普总统掌握所有主动权,将做最有利于美国的事。”

A White House spokesperson told Fox News Digital that "The United States is in a very strong position with control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Iranian economy collapsing. Iran has been decimated, and things will go one of two ways; the easy way or the hard way. President Trump holds all the cards and will do whatever is best for the United States."

新任伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊自其父在美以联合空袭中丧生以来,未曾公开露面。(Vahid Salemi/AP;Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP)New Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not been seen in public since a joint U.S.-Israel airstrike killed his father. (Vahid Salemi/AP; Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP)

该发言人补充道:“只有特朗普总统知道他将做什么以及何时行动。” 过去一周,伊斯兰共和国加剧了其好战的反美和反西方言论及活动。为配合政权纪念其1979年11月4日非法占领美国大使馆并绑架人员的周年日,德黑兰推出了“笼中特朗普”展览,并上演了对特朗普的模拟处决。

The spokesperson added, "Only President Trump knows what he will do and when." The Islamic Republic ramped up its bellicose anti-American and anti-Western rhetoric and activities over the last week. Tehran presented a "Trump in a Cage" exhibit with a mock execution of Trump to coincide with the regime’s anniversary of its illegal seizure of the U.S. Embassy and kidnapping of its personnel on Nov. 4, 1979.

阿亚图拉们并未将其好战言论仅限于美国。伊朗国家控制媒体发布的一段AI生成视频显示,伊朗伊斯兰共和国武装部队总部发言人正在威胁西欧。该发言人称:“我们不像你们。伊朗不伤害无辜者。你们不是我们的敌人。但欧洲任何地方、任何人,如果协助美国伤害我们的妇女儿童,就是我们的敌人,我们将惩罚他们。”视频中出现了法国、德国和英国的军事目标。

The Ayatollahs did not restrict their jingoism to the U.S. An AI-generated video published by state-controlled Iranian media outlets shows the spokesperson of the headquarters of the Islamic Republic of Iran Armed Forces threatening Western Europe. The spokesperson said, "We are not like you. Iran does not harm innocents. You are not our enemy. But anyone, anywhere in Europe, who assists America in harming our women and children is our enemy, and we will punish them." The video features military targets in France, Germany and Britain.

伊朗新任最高领袖、已故伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊的次子穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊,出席2016年3月在伊朗德黑兰举行的一次会议。(Rouhollah Vahdati/ISNA/WANA/Reuters)Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of late Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, attends a meeting in Tehran, Iran, in this photo from March 2016. (Rouhollah Vahdati/ISNA/WANA/Reuters)

曾任美国国务院公共事务局波斯媒体分析师的纳维德·莫赫比对福克斯新闻数字版表示:“伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书穆赫辛·礼萨伊甚至声称,伊朗除了在战场和霍尔木兹海峡取得所谓胜利外,还在华盛顿给特朗普造成了政治失败。议会议长穆罕默德·巴盖尔·卡利巴夫同样将选举结果描绘为美国民众对战争的拒绝。”

Navid Mohebbi, who worked as a Persian media analyst for the State Department's Public Affairs Bureau, told Fox News Digital, "Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, went so far as to claim that Iran had inflicted a political defeat on Trump in Washington, in addition to its supposed victories on the battlefield and in the Strait of Hormuz. Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf similarly portrayed the election results as an American rejection of the war."

他补充说:“这是更广泛心理和政治战役的一部分。德黑兰连同美国亲政权评论人士,正试图推行一种极度夸大的叙事,即对抗伊斯兰共和国将给美国政客带来无法承受的选举代价。”

He added that "This is part of a broader psychological and political campaign. Tehran, along with commentators sympathetic to the regime in the United States, is trying to promote the wildly exaggerated narrative that confronting the Islamic Republic carries an unbearable electoral cost for American politicians."

莫赫比表示,“证据不支持‘伊朗战争单独导致共和党失败’这一说法。根据全国出口民调,只有4%的选民将外交政策列为国家面临的单一最重要问题。”短语“完成任务”已成为推翻伊斯兰共和国47年铁腕极权统治的代名词。

Mohebbi said the "evidence does not support the claim that the Iran war alone caused the Republican defeat. According to national exit polling, only 4% of voters identified foreign policy as the country’s single most important issue." The phrase "finish the job" has become synonymous with toppling the 47-year ironclad totalitarian rule of the Islamic Republic.

2026年2月28日星期六,以色列袭击德黑兰后,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在多位内阁成员陪同下,监控美国在伊朗的军事行动。(@WhiteHouse/X)President Donald Trump monitors U.S. military operations in Iran following an Israeli strike in Tehran alongside several Cabinet members on Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026. (@WhiteHouse/X)

“我认为特朗普总统应该完成这项任务,因为伊斯兰共和国构成的根本威胁依然没有解决,”莫赫比说,并补充道,“核问题远未结束。伊朗的高浓缩铀储备在国际核查下仍无法查证,且该政权保留了重建弹道导弹计划部分要素的能力。更重要的是,其潜在的战略行为以及对美国及其地区盟友的敌意并未发生根本性改变。”

"I believe President Trump should finish the job, because the fundamental threats posed by the Islamic Republic remain unresolved," Mohebbi said, adding, "The nuclear file is far from closed. Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile remains unaccounted for under international verification, and the regime has retained the ability to rebuild elements of its ballistic missile program. More importantly, its underlying strategic behavior and hostility toward the United States and its regional allies have not fundamentally changed."

前五角大楼官员西蒙娜·利丁告诉总部设在伦敦的“伊朗国际”新闻机构,伊斯兰共和国“必须终结”,且该政权永远不会改变其行为。她呼吁支持伊朗国内民众,并反对派遣美军地面部队。

Former Pentagon official Simone Ledeen told the London-based Iran International news organization the Islamic Republic "needs to end" and regime will never change its behavior. She called support for Iran’s people on the ground and opposes putting American troops on the ground.

资深伊朗问题观察家和专家指出,特朗普总统是第一位没有将伊朗核武器问题“踢皮球”推给后任的美国领导人。据本·夏皮罗等美国知名评论员称,他决定对抗伊朗非法的原子武器体系,是其政府最果断的外交政策成就之一。

Veteran Iran observers and experts have noted that President Trump was the first U.S. leader not to kick the Iran nuclear weapons problem down the road. His decision to confront Iran’s illegal atomic weapons system was one of the most decisive foreign policy achievements of his administration, according to popular American commentators like Ben Shapiro.

夏皮罗将特朗普针对伊朗的“史诗之怒”行动称为“我一生中见过的最勇敢的外交政策举措”。“你们看到他在伊朗所做的,不仅在政治勇气方面前所未有。我认为这已经并有可能成为改变美国世界角色的真正关键一招,不仅影响未来10年或20年,而是影响未来一个世纪,”夏皮罗3月在福克斯新闻节目《我的观点》中告诉拉拉·特朗普。

Shapiro termed Trump’s Operation Epic Fury campaign against Iran "the single bravest foreign policy move of my lifetime." "What you’re watching him [Trump] do in Iran is not only unprecedented in terms of its political courage. I think that it is and has the potential to be a true game changer for America’s role in the world, not only for the next 10 or 20 years, but for the coming century," Shapiro told Lara Trump on Fox News' "My View" in March. Mohebbi said: "There is also a critical factor that Washington must understand: the Islamic Republic is attempting to wait out the Trump administration.

莫赫比表示:“华盛顿还必须理解一个关键因素:伊斯兰共和国正试图熬过特朗普政府。即使特朗普今天谈判达成最强有力的协议,我认为德黑兰会将其视为一种临时安排,而非其战略方向的永久性改变。该政权判断,未来的民主党政府不会对其实施军事行动。一旦德黑兰认为军事威胁已不复存在,其行为将变得更加挑衅,在谈判桌上也会更加厚颜无耻。”另一种观点主张将针对伊朗政权的军事行动外包给以色列。

Even if Trump were to negotiate the strongest possible agreement today, I believe Tehran would view it as a temporary arrangement rather than a permanent change in its strategic direction. The regime calculates that a future Democratic administration would not resort to military action against it. Once Tehran believes the threat of military force is off the table, it will become even more defiant in its behavior and more brazen at the negotiating table." Another school of thought is to subcontract military actions to Israel against Iran’s regime.

伊朗问题专家马尔多·索格霍姆曾大量撰文论述伊斯兰共和国,他对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,德黑兰的策略一直是熬过美国的施压。

Mardo Soghom, an Iran expert who has written extensively about the Islamic Republic, told Fox News Digital that Tehran's strategy has always been to wait out U.S. pressure.

“他们原本指望再熬过特朗普政府两年的施压。现在他们相信做到了,”索格霍姆说。“我认为他应该全力支持以色列完成任务且不加干涉。美国应继续维持对伊朗的封锁并保障波斯湾航运,但除非必要打击防御坚固且极度危险的目标(如核设施),否则美国不应卷入持续攻击,因为其国内政治局势一团糟。”索格霍姆长期追踪伊朗政权媒体,他补充说,伊朗国家广播电台正在庆祝民主党获胜。

"They were hoping to ride out the Trump administration's pressures for two more years. Now they believe they have it," Soghom said. "I think he should give full support to Israel to do the job and not interfere. The U.S. should continue to maintain its blockade of Iran and facilitate shipping from the Persian Gulf, but except hitting well-protected and highly dangerous targets, such as nuclear sites if needed, the US should stay out of continuous attacks because its internal political situation is messed up." Soghom, who tracks Iranian regime media, added the Iranian state radio is celebrating the Democratic victory.

2026年2月28日星期六,以色列袭击德黑兰后,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普监控美国在伊朗的军事行动。(@WhiteHouse/X)President Donald Trump monitors U.S. military operations in Iran following an Israeli strike in Tehran on Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026. (@WhiteHouse/X)

“顺便提一下,47年前的今天,德黑兰的新伊斯兰政权批准其支持者袭击并占领美国大使馆,”他说。“这一选举结果将使他们更加大胆,他们不会倾向于与特朗普政府——甚至未来的民主党政府——妥协。就像在大多数其他事情上一样,特朗普在本可完成任务时没有完成任务。”反核伊朗联合组织(UANI)政策主任杰森·布罗德斯基对福克斯新闻数字版表示,伊朗视中期选举结果为对特朗普政府发动“史诗狂怒”行动所施加的政治代价。

"Incidentally, 47 years ago today, the new Islamic regime in Tehran gave the green light to its supporters to attack and seize the U.S. embassy," he said. "This election result will embolden them, and they'll not be inclined to compromise with the Trump admin — or even a future Democrat. Like in most other things, Trump did not finish the job when he could." Jason Brodsky, policy director at United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), told Fox News Digital that Iran sees the midterm election results as exacting a political cost from the Trump administration for launching Operation Epic Fury.

“它希望这些选举失利能阻止这一届和未来政府因伊朗的侵略和恐怖主义而对德黑兰发动军事行动,”布罗德斯基说,并补充道:“与此同时,伊朗决策者很可能在警惕地注视特朗普总统,因为美国总统即使在中期选举失利后,在外交政策方面仍拥有相当大的自由裁量权和权力。特朗普总统已被证明难以预测,且任期还剩两年多,这给美国留下了大量时间继续打击伊朗政权。”

"It hopes these electoral losses will deter this and future administrations from launching military operations against Tehran over its aggression and terrorism," Brodsky said, adding that "At the same time, Iranian decision-makers are likely eyeing President Trump warily as U.S. presidents, even after midterm election losses, still have considerable discretion and authority as it relates to foreign policy. President Trump has proven unpredictable and, with over two years left in office, that is a lot of time for the U.S. to continue to damage the Iranian regime."

布罗德斯基指出,虽然国会可以使事情复杂化并提出异议,但历史上,如果没有否决推翻多数,国会在制约行政部门在这一领域的行动方面选择有限。

Brodsky noted that while Congress can complicate and raise objections, historically, without a veto-proof majority, it retains limited options for checking executive branch operations in this space.

“2006年的中期选举在此具有启示意义,尽管当时反战情绪占主导,布什总统仍授权在伊拉克战争中增兵,”他说。

"The 2006 midterm elections are instructive here, where, despite the prevailing anti-war sentiment at the time, President Bush still authorized a surge in the Iraq War," he said.

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