11月3日美国中期选举中共和党惨败的冲击波波及全球。然而，可以说在以色列和中东地区，其战略后果将最为持久：中期选举结果在政治层面确认了一种转变，这种转变始于2023年10月7日哈马斯恐怖袭击后，以色列毁灭性的回应引发了公众舆论的变化。
The shockwave from the Republican debacle in the US midterm elections on November 3 was felt worldwide. Yet it is arguably in Israel and the Middle East that the strategic consequences will be most lasting: The midterm results confirmed, at the political level, a shift that began in public opinion after Israel's devastating response to the Hamas terrorist attacks on October 7, 2023.
甚至在选举前，就已知有60%的美国人对以色列政策持负面看法，这种不满在年轻人中尤为明显，包括年轻的美国犹太人。新当选的国会意识到了这一点：许多民主党人士已与以色列保持距离。乔·拜登的政策时代似乎已成往事，而来自美国以色列公共事务委员会（AIPAC）——一个亲以色列游说团体——的支持，现在更多是一种累赘而非资产。
Even before the election, it was known that 60% of Americans held an unfavorable view of Israeli policy, with this disapproval particularly pronounced among young people, including young American Jews. The newly elected Congress is aware of this: Many Democratic figures have distanced themselves from Israel. The era of Joe Biden's policy seems remote, and support from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), a pro-Israel lobby, is now more of a liability than an asset.
更令人担忧的是，共和党内部的分歧正在缩小：一方面是像副总统JD·万斯这样的人，合理地将共和党的失败归咎于与伊朗的战争——这推高了能源价格；另一方面是那些公开指责以色列政府有害影响的人。悖论在于，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡从唐纳德·特朗普那里获得了他未能从历任美国总统那里得到的东西，这很可能加速了美国对以色列无条件支持的终结。
More concerning still, the gap has narrowed between Republicans who, like Vice President JD Vance, reasonably attribute the Republican defeat to the war with Iran – which drove up energy prices – and those who openly blame the harmful influence of the Israeli government. The paradox is that by securing from Donald Trump what he had failed to obtain from previous US presidents, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu likely hastened the end of unconditional American support for Israel.
这是以色列的一个历史性转折点，因为美国的支持已成为其国家安全战略的核心组成部分。该战略是分阶段发展起来的。1948年，这个初建的国家以武力对抗拒绝联合国分治方案的阿拉伯国家联盟，确立了自身地位。1967年，六日战争是一个决定性时刻：以色列不仅证明了它能够抵御对手，还能击败对手。1973年赎罪日战争的突袭，以及50年后哈马斯的袭击，使以色列领导人确信，只有保持对所有地区强国的明显优势，才能确保国家安全。
This is a historic turning point for Israel, as American support has become a core component of its national security strategy. That strategy developed in stages. In 1948, the fledgling state asserted itself by force of arms against the united coalition of Arab states, which rejected the United Nations partition plan. In 1967, the Six-Day War was a decisive moment: Israel demonstrated not only that it could withstand its adversaries, but also defeat them. The surprise attack of the Yom Kippur War in 1973, and, 50 years later, the Hamas assault, convinced Israeli leaders that the country's security could only be ensured by maintaining a clear superiority over all regional powers.