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美国通胀削弱风险偏好,比特币跌至近三个月低点Bitcoin Drops to Almost Three-Month Low as US Inflation Dims Risk Appetite

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摄影:卡米洛·弗里德曼/彭博社Photographer: Camilo Freedman/Bloomberg

比特币跌至约三个月来的最低水平,因为美国通胀上升速度快于预期,加上利率可能继续上升的信号,削弱了加密货币等风险资产的吸引力。

Bitcoin fell to its lowest level in around three months as a faster-than-estimated increase in US inflation and signals that interest rates could keep rising helped to diminish the appeal of risky assets such as cryptocurrencies.

这款原始数字货币一度下跌3%,报72,695美元,使该代币今年的跌幅扩大至约17%。更小、波动更大的代币跌幅更大,以太币和XRP均下跌超过5%,而Zcash暴跌约14%。

The original digital currency fell as much as 3% to $72,695, expanding the token’s loss for the year to around 17%. Smaller, more volatile tokens fell more, with Ether and XRP both down greater than 5%, while Zcash tumbled about 14%.

持续的下跌对加密货币多头来说尤其令人沮丧,因为许多本应支撑比特币主流吸引力的力量依然存在。监管机构态度友好,华尔街已为购买比特币构建了复杂的基础设施,投资者仍愿意追逐数字资产的投机回报。然而,上个月币安遭受的63亿美元黑客攻击等事件,继续动摇市场信心。

The ongoing slump is particularly dispiriting for crypto bulls because many of the forces that were supposed to sustain Bitcoin’s mainstream appeal remain in place. Regulators are friendly, Wall Street has built an elaborate infrastructure for buying Bitcoin, and investors are still willing to chase speculative returns in digital assets. Still, events such as last month’s $6.3 billion hack of Binance continue to rattle confidence in the market.

“令人遗憾的是,对市场而言,通胀故事看起来比我们希望的更广泛、更顽固,”STS Digital美国负责人杰夫·安德森写道。“12月的定价已从20个基点的紧缩转向27个基点,这种向更紧缩货币条件转变的消息,对本已脆弱的风险情绪来说并不受欢迎。”周二公布的一份政府报告显示,剔除食品和能源后的消费者价格指数较上月上涨0.3%,连续第三个月超出预期,总体价格跳升0.4%,必需品成本全面上涨。

“Unfortunately for markets, the inflation story looks broader and stickier than we had hoped,” wrote Jeff Anderson, head of US at STS Digital. “December pricing has moved from 20 to 27 basis points of tightening, and that shift toward firmer monetary conditions is unwelcome news for an already fragile risk sentiment.”The consumer price index, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% from a month earlier, topping estimates for a third straight month, and overall prices jumped 0.4% as the cost of essentials climbed across the board, a government report showed Tuesday.

与此同时,美联储官员警告称,12月可能需要加息半个百分点,货币市场增加了对美联储到2027年中期至少加息两次的押注,一些官员因顽固通胀而支持更激进的紧缩周期。

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials warned that a half-point rate increase in December may be needed, and money markets added to bets on at least two Fed hikes by mid-2027, with some officials backing a more-aggressive tightening cycle due to stubborn inflation.

“比特币方面,收益率上升和美元走强可能会加剧近期的抛售压力,”加密货币交易所Bitget的分析师刘易斯·黄写道,他指出,200日移动均线约为73,200美元,是值得关注的关键基准。“若持续跌破该水平,可能会加大更深回调的风险,”他补充道。

“For Bitcoin, higher yields and a stronger dollar could add to recent selling pressure,” wrote Lewis Huang, analyst at the crypto exchange Bitget, pointing to the 200-day moving average around $73,200 as a key benchmark to watch. “A sustained move below it could increase the risk of a deeper pullback,” he added.

加密货币公司的股价也承压。比特币储备公司Strategy Inc.下跌4.4%。美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase Global Inc.下跌4.1%,而稳定币发行商Circle Internet Group Inc.下跌4.4%。

Shares of crypto companies also struggled. Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy Inc. fell 4.4%. Coinbase Global Inc., the largest US crypto exchange, was down 4.1%, while stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Group Inc. dropped 4.4%.

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