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共和党人正艰难应对伊朗战争资金困境Republicans reckon with Iran war funding quagmire

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伊丽莎白·弗兰茨/路透社Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters

参议院共和党人本周一直在内部的分歧中挣扎,重新选举约翰·图恩(John Thune)担任领袖,并承诺在他们作为多数党的最后两个月里,确认保守派法官的任命,同时避免政府关门。

Senate Republicans spent this week wrestling through divisions, reelecting John Thune as their leader, and pledging to confirm conservative judges while avoiding a government shutdown during their last two months in the majority.

他们仍未弄清楚如何在跛脚鸭期间利用他们最大的权力:另一项将把数十亿美元输送给五角大楼的大型单一政党法案。这样一个提案可能包含其他共和党人的优先事项;来自俄亥俄州的共和党参议员伯尼·莫雷诺(Bernie Moreno)将其称为该党执政时期的“最后晚餐”。

They still haven’t figured out how to use their greatest power in the lame duck: another big party-line bill that would send billions to the Pentagon. Such a proposal could contain other GOP priorities; Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio, dubbed it the “last supper” for the party’s reign.

共和党人只剩下最后几个星期来利用预算调解这一生硬的权力。在经历了9个月的战争后,这项权力允许他们绕过冗长辩论,向总统唐纳德·特朗普提供许多共和党人视为至关重要的资金,用于补充耗尽的军事储备和弹药。共和党人去年曾利用这一工具通过了一项党派税收法案,今年则用它来提供移民执法资金。随着民主党人权衡如果政府拨款法案包含针对伊朗冲突的资金就予以阻挠,利用该工具对图恩来说是一个至关重要的权衡。

Republicans have just a few more weeks to use the blunt power of budget reconciliation, which allows them to evade a filibuster to send President Donald Trump funding viewed as crucial by many in the Republican Party for depleted military reserves and ammunition after nine months of war. Using the tool, which Republicans wielded last year to pass a party line tax bill and this year for immigration enforcement funding, represents a crucial calculation for Thune to make as Democrats weigh blocking a government funding bill if it includes money for the Iran conflict.

但通过一项单一政党法案并不容易:它需要50张参议院选票、众议院的多数席位,以及两次不限时数的参议院马拉松式投票(vote-a-rama),而落败或即将退休的成员可能对忍受这些毫无兴趣。将为另一项大型单一政党法案奠定基础的参议院预算委员会主席、来自威斯康星州的共和党参议员罗恩·约翰逊(Ron Johnson)表示,他担心该党的行动不够迅速。

But passing a party-line bill is not going to be easy: It requires 50 Senate votes, a majority in the House, and two unlimited Senate vote-a-ramas that defeated or retiring members may have little interest in enduring. And Senate Budget Chair Ron Johnson, R-Wis., who would set the stage for another big party-line bill, said he’s worried the party isn’t moving quickly enough.

约翰逊周二对《semafor》表示:“目前,我没有得到白宫、参议院或众议院领导层的配合。所以如果这要发生,它将来自这里议员们的压力。”

“Right now, I’m not getting engagement from the White House, from either Senate or House leadership. So if that’s going to happen, it’s going to come from the pressure from members here,” Johnson told Semafor on Tuesday.

共和党内部在是否应向五角大楼追加拨款的问题上存在分歧,尤其是在伊朗战争仍在进行之际,因为许多共和党人将这场冲突视为本党在本月中期选举中惨败的主要原因之一。共和党人对国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯的领导力也日益感到沮丧,尽管他在周二避免了众议院弹劾,但国会共和党人仍就伊朗问题以及他阻挠军方晋升一事持续向他发问。共和党人表示,目前仍没有关于如何推进的蓝图。

Republicans are divided over whether they should shovel more money towards the Pentagon with the Iran war is ongoing, particularly since many in the GOP cite the conflict as one of the main reasons for the party’s brutal losses in this month’s midterm elections. Republicans are also growing more frustrated over the leadership of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who avoided a House impeachment on Tuesday but is facing sustained questions from congressional Republicans over Iran and his blocking of military promotions. And Republicans say there still isn’t a blueprint on how to move forward.

“我觉得我们会有个计划的,”参议员约翰·肯尼迪(共和党-路易斯安那州)在经历了一整天字面意义上长达数小时的共和党内部会议后表示。“如果你问我我们现在有没有计划,我要是连它跳起来、打着约德尔、咬我一口屁股都认不出来,那肯定是没有。”在纯党派法案中为五角大楼追加拨款一事上,幕后已出现实质性分歧。

“I think we’re going to have a plan,” said Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., after a day of literally hours of internal GOP meetings. “If you’re asking me if we have a plan right now, I wouldn’t recognize it if it jumped up and yodeled and bit me in the butt.”When it comes to more Pentagon funding in a party-line bill, there are real divisions emerging behind the scenes already.

一方是参议院军事委员会主席罗杰·威克(共和党-密西西比州),他表示“我们需要完成和解程序”。参议员吉姆·班克斯(共和党-印第安纳州)告诉《Semafor》,该党需要通过一项“强有力”的和解法案,且该法案不会针对伊朗:“这与为军队提供资金、给他们所需装备的关系,远大于与战争的关系。”但参议员兰德·保罗(共和党-肯塔基州)辩称,通过此类法案将是“听不进选民心声”的表现,并誓言予以反对。

e side is Senate Armed Services Chair Roger Wicker, R-Miss., who said “we need to get reconciliation done.”Sen. Jim Banks, R-Ind., told Semafor the party needs to pass a “strong” reconciliation bill and that it’s not going to be aimed at Iran: “That has a lot more to do with funding our military and giving them what they need than it does the war.”But Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., argued it would be “tone-deaf” to pass such a bill and vowed to oppose it.

他说,通过任何“为了推进或加强伊朗战争”的法案,“我认为那是不听取选民意见。”参议员乔什·霍利(共和党-密苏里州)表示,“我无法想象我们为什么要那么做。”参议员苏珊·柯林斯(共和党-缅因州)和丽莎·穆科斯基(共和党-阿拉斯加)均对动用和解程序持谨慎态度。

He said passing anything “to further or enhance the Iran war, I think that’s not listening to the electorate.”Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., said, “I can’t imagine why we would do that.”Both Sens. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, are wary of using reconciliation.

共和党不会将这项努力包装为伊朗战争拨款法案,但如果冲突持续,他们将难以自圆其说。许多共和党人从战争一开始就希望其尽快结束。

Republicans would not brand the effort as an Iran war funding bill, but they would have a difficult argument to make if the conflict continues. Many Republicans have wanted the war to end as soon as it started.

图恩本周多次表示,他不能确定自己或众议院议长迈克·约翰逊能否凑齐票数来通过另一项调解法案。他表示,五角大楼的资金是一个“必须解决的重大问题”,但他不知道自己是否拥有准备好通过预算决议并经受住漫长修正案投票的50名共和党人。

Thune said repeatedly this week that he’s not sure he or House Speaker Mike Johnson can round up the votes to get another reconciliation bill done. He said Pentagon funding is a “major issue that has to be addressed” but that he doesn’t know if he has 50 Republicans ready to pass a budget resolution and endure those prolonged amendment votes.

与图恩关系密切的共和党参议员约翰·霍文(共和党-北达科他州)辩称,随着下个月国会面临政府资金拨款期限的迫近,把一项党派色彩的拨款法案摆上台面是“我们与民主党人制造一些筹码的唯一途径”。

With a government funding deadline bearing down on Congress next month, putting a party-line funding bill on the table is “the only way we create some leverage with the Democrats,” argued Sen. John Hoeven, R-N.D., a close Thune ally.

霍文表示:“如果我们只是坐着等待他们来到谈判桌前,他们就会觉得自己握有筹码,因为他们在新的国会中将占多数。所以他们必须认识到的一点是,我们可以拼凑出一项调解法案。”

“If we just sit and wait for them to come to the table, they’ll figure they have leverage because they’ll have the majority in the new Congress. So the thing they have to recognize is we can put a reconciliation bill together,” Hoeven said.

共和党人在该调解法案应该包含什么内容的问题上存在相互冲突的优先事项。虽然五角大楼的资金对某些共和党人来说是最显而易见的必需品,但其他人则会极力主张纳入解决生活成本、选举、农业援助等问题的举措。

There are competing priorities among Republicans of what that reconciliation bill would do. While Pentagon funding is the most obvious must for some Republicans, others would push to include measures to address the cost of living, elections, farm aid, and more.

参议员吉姆·贾斯蒂斯(共和党-西弗吉尼亚州)表示:“我们试图做的是把18样东西塞进一个只能装4样东西的盒子里。我可能是它的支持者。因为极有可能会去尝试在其他人接管之前尽可能多地完成你能完成的事情。”贾斯蒂斯表示,就连对伊朗战争持批评态度的共和党人最终也不得不转变态度。他说:“不管你喜不喜欢,我们都在那里。如果我们的人在那里,而他们需要子弹,我们却无法给他们子弹,那这就是我们的耻辱。”

“What we’re trying to do is jam 18 things into a four-thing box,” said Sen. Jim Justice, R-W. Va. “I may be a proponent of it. Because it’s very possible to try to get as much done as you can possibly get done before the other folks take over.”Justice said even Republican critics of the Iran war would have to come around eventually. “We’re there, like it or not like it. And if we’ve got folks there, and they need bullets and we can’t give them the bullets, shame on us,” he said.

霍文表示:“无论你对这场战争感觉如何,事实上,如果我们不为军队提供资金,我们甚至会向那些希望尽早解决问题的人发出错误的信号。”

“However you feel about [the war], really, if we don’t fund the military, we’re sending the wrong signal for even the ones who want to settle out sooner,” Hoeven said.

欢迎来到期中选举后的第一场立法之战。民主党人开始联合起来反对任何资助伊朗战争的举动,这可能会让调解法案成为共和党人唯一的出路。但这仍然是一场充满风险的出路。

Welcome to the first legislative battle after the midterms. Democrats are starting to line up against anything funding the Iran war, which could leave reconciliation as Republicans’ only play. But it’s still a risky one.

存在后勤挑战:参议院今年剩余时间仅安排了四周的会期,尽管图恩表示愿意增加天数和周数以完成议程。如果共和党要推动一项纯党派法案,越早越好。如果他们等到12月下旬才行动,跛脚鸭疲劳将已出现,即将离任的共和党人将急于离开华盛顿。换句话说,现在已经很晚了。

There are logistical challenges: The Senate is only scheduled to be in session for four weeks the rest of the year, although Thune said he’s willing to add days and weeks to complete their agenda. If Republicans are going to move a big party-line bill, the earlier the better. If they wait until late in December to do it, lame-duck fatigue will have set in and outgoing Republicans will be itching to leave Washington. In other words, it’s already late.

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