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败选的共和党人返回华盛顿,距任期结束仅剩55天,愿望清单却很长Defeated Republicans Return to Washington With 55 Days Left and a Long Wish List

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参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩和众议院议长迈克·约翰逊去年在华盛顿。Senate Majority Leader John Thune and House Speaker Mike Johnson in Washington last year.

华盛顿——在中期选举中遭民主党重创后,受挫的共和党议员周一蹒跚返回华盛顿,试图决定如何利用他们在众议院和参议院剩余的55天多数党地位。

WASHINGTON—Bruised Republican lawmakers limp back into Washington on Monday, trying to decide what to do with the remaining 55 days of their majorities in the House and Senate after being thumped by Democrats in the midterms.

跛脚鸭会期既是最后单党推动议程的机会,也是达成两党协议的契机,特别是在大型能源项目许可方面。但如果恶劣氛围占上风,预计只会通过少数必须通过的法案、确认一堆法官提名,国会将提前迎来圣诞假期。以下是国会复会后议程概览:在即将离任的众议员托马斯·马西(共和党-肯塔基州)推动下,众议院可能启动弹劾国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯的程序,指控他未经国会授权发动战争、无视旨在最大限度减少平民伤亡的法律等。这将迫使参议院进行审判,并需要三分之二多数票才能将其免职。

The lame-duck session is an opportunity for some final, single-party power plays and a chance to finish some bipartisan deals, particularly on permitting for major energy projects. But if the sour vibes prevail, expect only a few must-pass bills, a pile of judicial confirmations and an early Christmas for Congress. Here’s a quick look at what’s on tap as Congress returns: The House, prodded by departing Rep. Thomas Massie (R., Ky.), might move to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for waging war without congressional authorization and ignoring laws intended to minimize civilian casualties, among other charges. That would prompt the Senate to consider a trial, and it would require a two-thirds vote to remove him from office.

白宫高级官员将不得人心的伊朗战争归咎于赫格塞斯,并推动特朗普总统将其解职,但目前特朗普仍表示喜欢赫格塞斯,没有解雇他的计划。赫格塞斯表示不会退让。五角大楼官员称赫格塞斯没有离职计划,将留任并战斗到底。如果他确实卸任或被解职,共和党希望在年底前迅速确认其继任者。

Senior White House officials are blaming Hegseth for the unpopular Iran war and are pushing President Trump to oust him, but so far Trump still says he likes Hegseth and has no plans to fire him. Hegseth said he wouldn’t back down. Pentagon officials say Hegseth has no plans to leave and will stay and fight. If he does step aside or gets fired, Republicans would want to move quickly to confirm his replacement before the end of the year.

国防部长皮特·赫格塞思(安娜贝尔·戈登/合众国际社/彭博新闻社)Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth (Annabelle Gordon/UPI/Bloomberg News)

共和党将于周二在众议院和参议院举行领导层选举。最大看点在众议院,众议长迈克·约翰逊(共和党-路易斯安那州)不寻求少数党领袖职位。现任众议院多数党领袖史蒂夫·斯卡利斯(共和党-路易斯安那州)将与司法委员会主席吉姆·乔丹(共和党-俄亥俄州)对决,后者是党内右翼的宠儿。

Republicans will hold leadership elections in the House and Senate on Tuesday. The biggest contest is in the House, where House Speaker Mike Johnson (R., La.) isn’t seeking the minority leader job. Instead, current House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R., La.) will face off against Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R., Ohio), a favorite of the party’s right flank.

在参议院,约翰·图恩(共和党-南达科他州)预计将继续担任其党内领袖,尽管共和党遭遇一系列挫折并失去多数党地位。参议员罗恩·约翰逊(共和党-威斯康星州)试图争取支持,推迟投票。

In the Senate, John Thune (R., S.D.) is expected to remain his party’s leader despite the GOP suffering a series of defeats and losing the majority. Sen. Ron Johnson (R., Wis.) has tried to build support for delaying the vote.

参议院民主党领导层选举定于12月初举行。几位新当选的民主党参议员表示,他们不会投票支持参议员查克·舒默(民主党-纽约州)担任多数党领袖,但鉴于民主党在中期选举中的强劲表现,预计他将获得足够支持而当选。参议员布赖恩·沙茨(民主党-夏威夷州)将接任第二号人物职位。众议院民主党人也将在年底前选出新领导层。下届国会于1月开幕时,全体众议员将投票选举新议长——预计将是众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯(民主党-纽约州)。

The Senate’s Democratic leadership elections are set for early December. Several newly elected Democrats have said they won’t vote for Sen. Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) as majority leader, but he is expected to have plenty of support to win, after Democrats’ strong midterm performance. Sen. Brian Schatz (D., Hawaii) is set to step up into the No. 2 role. House Democrats are also set to pick new leaders before the end of the year. At the start of the next Congress in January, the full House will vote on its new speaker—set to be Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D., N.Y.).

联邦机构的拨款将于12月11日到期,除非国会通过立法,否则将引发政府停摆。

Federal agencies’ funding is scheduled to lapse on Dec. 11, triggering a government shutdown unless Congress passes legislation.

一种可能是通过短期延期拨款,维持政府运转至2027年初,由新的民主党多数派和特朗普就截至9月30日的本财年剩余时间达成协议。议员们也可能试图为部分机构通过全年拨款,但这在参议院需要民主党人的票。民主党人可能会坚持附加条件,例如以法律形式确立结束伊朗战争的机制,或对政府挪用或取消国会批准支出的权力施加更严格限制。

One possibility is a short-term extension that keeps the lights on until early 2027, leaving the new Democratic majority and Trump to hash out a deal for the rest of the fiscal year ending Sept. 30. Lawmakers also might try to pass full-year funding for some agencies, but they need Democratic votes in the Senate. Democrats might insist on conditions, such as a mechanism in law to end the war in Iran or tighter restrictions on the administration’s ability to shift or cancel congressionally approved spending.

本届国会早些时候,共和党利用特殊的预算协调程序,以党派路线通过了涉及税收和移民执法的共和党法案。此后,他们一直在考虑推出第三项协调法案,以实现特朗普想要的军费增额。他们也可能利用该程序提高债务上限,从而将一项必通过法案从民主党2027年的议程中移除。

Earlier this Congress, Republicans used a special budget-reconciliation procedure to pass party-line GOP measures related to taxes and immigration enforcement. They have since been considering a third reconciliation bill to deliver the military-spending boost that Trump wants. They could also use it to raise the debt limit, removing a must-pass bill from Democrats’ agenda in 2027.

但这项努力在大选前停滞不前,如今要使其起死回生,需要众议院和参议院付出巨大且协调一致的努力。共和党在两院仅占微弱多数。众议院出席情况可能参差不齐。议员们在任何法案的规模和内容上也存在分歧。

But that effort stalled before the election, and it would take a herculean, coordinated effort in the House and Senate to resurrect it now. Republicans have slim majorities in both chambers. House attendance might be spotty. And lawmakers are divided over the size and contents of any bill.

议员们为大选休会时,有几项两党协议正在考量之中,但没有一项跨过终点线。

Lawmakers broke for the election with a handful of bipartisan deals under consideration but none across the finish line.

首位的是一项许可法案,旨在加快重大建设项目审批,加速环境审查并推进能源基础设施建设。其部分主要民主党倡导者正敦促在跛脚鸭会期采取行动,这给该法案带来了一线机会。

At the top of the list is a permitting bill that would expedite major construction projects, speeding up environmental reviews and accelerating the build-out of energy infrastructure. Some of its leading Democratic advocates are urging action in the lame-duck session, which gives the measure a chance.

运动员和教练在国会大厦外参加“保护大学体育法案”新闻发布会。(汤姆·威廉姆斯/CQ Roll Call/ZUMA Press)Athletes and coaches attended a news conference outside the Capitol for the Protect College Sports Act. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call/ZUMA Press)

关于大学体育、加密货币和农业援助的立法可能更难推进。此外还有几项税收措施在考量之中。其中包括延长半导体制造税收抵免、一揽子税务管理流程改进、规范报税代理人、撤销对赌博损失扣除的更严格限制,以及设立影视制作新税收抵免。

Legislation on college sports, cryptocurrency and agricultural aid could be tougher. There are also a handful of tax measures under consideration. They include extension of a tax credit for semiconductor manufacturing, a collection of tax-administration process improvements, regulation of tax preparers, reversal of tighter deduction limits on gambling losses and a new tax credit for film production.

参议院共和党将致力于尽可能多地确认特朗普的司法提名人,在民主党接管参议院前将保守派锁定在终身任命的职位上。他们还有一批行政部门提名人需要确认。但最高法院短期内出现空缺的可能性微乎其微。法院中最年长、最保守的两位大法官——78岁的克拉伦斯·托马斯和76岁的塞缪尔·阿利托——均已表示近期无退休计划。

Senate Republicans will be focused on trying to confirm as many of Trump’s judicial nominees as possible, locking conservatives into lifetime appointments before Democrats take over. They also have a set of executive-branch nominees to confirm. But the chances of a Supreme Court vacancy arising soon are remote. The court’s two oldest and most conservative justices—Clarence Thomas, 78 years old, and Samuel Alito, 76—have signaled that they have no plans to retire soon.

目前,联邦上诉法院有四个空缺,联邦地区法院约有十几个空缺由特朗普的待定提名人填补。保守派法院观察人士称,参议院共和党在跛脚鸭会期迅速确认所有这些提名人至关重要。

Currently, there are four vacancies on the federal courts of appeals and about a dozen district-court vacancies for which Trump has pending nominees. Conservative court watchers say it is imperative for Senate Republicans to act swiftly to confirm all of those nominees during the lame-duck session.

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