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美国通胀高于预期推升鹰派预期,全球市场走势分化Global markets mixed as hotter-than-expected US inflation fuels hawkish expectations

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周二,全球市场走势分化,美国月度消费者通胀高于预期,助长了美联储下个月加息的预期,尽管科技公司带来乐观情绪。预期利率可能需要维持高位更长时间,削弱了风险偏好。

Global markets traded on a mixed course on Tuesday as the hotter-than-expected monthly consumer inflation in the US fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike rates next month despite the optimism from tech firms. Expectations that interest rates may have to remain high for a longer period dampened risk appetite.

美国10月消费者价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.4%,超出预期的0.3%涨幅,但较9月的0.6%月度涨幅有所放缓。未公布年度数据。

The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% month-on-month in October, exceeding the 0.3% expected rise but slowing versus September’s 0.6% monthly increase. Annual figures were not released.

同时,剔除食品和能源的核心CPI环比上涨0.3%,高于预期的0.2%,与9月持平。

The core CPI excluding food and energy rose 0.3% month-on-month at the same time, above the 0.2% expectation but at the same pace as in September.

CPI衡量城市家庭为一篮子选定商品和服务支付的价格随时间的平均变化,是通胀的主要指标之一。

CPI measures the average change over time in the prices urban households pay for a selected basket of goods and services. It is one of the main indicators of inflation.

美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒在通胀数据公布前的讲话中支持加息。

Fed board member Christopher Waller supported a rate hike in his speech prior to the release of the inflation figures.

美联储官员表示,可能还需要至少两次25个基点的加息,但加息步伐将取决于短期经济和金融状况。

Fed officials said that at least two more 25-basis-point rate hikes could be needed but the pace of the hikes will have to depend on short-term economic and financial conditions.

市场此前预期美联储12月加息25个基点的概率为87%,但美联储官员近期表态助长了50个基点加息的预期。

The Fed was expected with an 87% probability to hike rates by 25 basis points in December, but recent statements from Fed presidents fueled expectations of a 50-basis-point rate hike.

周二,美国10年期、5年期和2年期国债收益率上升,美国国债市场周三因退伍军人节休市。

The US 10-year, five-year, and two-year Treasury bond yields rose on Tuesday and the US Treasury market is closed on Wednesday due to Veterans Day.

周二,美元指数小幅上涨0.2%至102.2,周三持平。周二,黄金下跌2.7%至每盎司4031美元,周三反弹0.6%至4054美元。

The US dollar index edged up 0.2% on Tuesday to 102.2, while trading flat on Wednesday. Gold dropped 2.7% to $4,031 per ounce on Tuesday and rebounded by 0.6% at $4,054 on Wednesday.

与此同时,卡塔尔表示,在解决美国与伊朗之间的危机方面已取得进展。

Meanwhile, Qatar said progress has been made in resolving the crisis between the US and Iran.

1月交割的布伦特原油周二下跌超过3.5%,跌破每桶90美元,随后在中东外交解决预期中稳定在每桶91.5美元;周三,受霍尔木兹海峡持续袭击以及美国原油库存可能出现超预期下降的预期影响,布伦特原油上涨1%,报每桶92.4美元。

Brent crude falls over 3.5% January-delivery Brent crude oil fell more than 3.5% on Tuesday and dipped below $ 90 a barrel amid diplomatic resolution expectations in the Middle East and later stabilized at $91.5, while trading up 1% at $92.4 a barrel on Wednesday amid continued attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and expectations of a larger-than-expected decline in US oil stocks.

据美国汽车协会(AAA)称,美国全境汽油平均价格降至每加仑3.98美元,创下自7月以来首次低于4美元。

The average price of gas across the US fell to $3.98 a gallon, below $4 for the first time since July, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA).

如果油价持续下跌,未来几个月通胀可能因能源和运输成本降低而放缓,但美元走强和债券收益率上升将在短期内限制风险偏好。

If oil prices decline sustainably, inflation could slow down in the coming months via lower energy and transport costs, but a strengthening dollar and rising bond yields limit risk appetite in the short term.

与此同时,Claude开发商Anthropic计划为其首次公开募股(IPO)筹集高达644亿美元,这将是华尔街有史以来最大规模的IPO之一。

At the same time, Claude developer Anthropic is aiming to raise up to $64.4 billion for its initial public offering (IPO), one of the largest on Wall Street ever.

美国、中国将管理AI风险:美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示,华盛顿和北京将合作管理人工智能(AI)风险。

US, China to manage AI risks: Bessent US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Washington and Beijing will cooperate to manage risks in artificial intelligence (AI).

据纽约联邦储备银行称,美国家庭债务在第三季度上升1.8%,达到19.1万亿美元。受通胀压力影响,纽约证券交易所周二交易走低。

The US household debt rose 1.8% in the third quarter to $19.1 trillion, according to New York Fed. The New York Stock Exchange traded lower on Tuesday amid inflationary pressures.

据报道,英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋曾遭到外国情报机构针对,导致股东起诉英伟达和黄仁勋。他们称,两人未披露该高管与前新加坡Megaspeed高管Alice Huang的恋情,从而误导投资者;Alice Huang据称曾为中国政府收集情报。在这些事态发展之后,英伟达股价下跌5.5%。

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang was reportedly targeted by foreign intelligence, leading shareholders to sue Nvidia and Huang. They alleged that they misled investors by not disclosing the executive’s affair with Alice Huang, a former executive at Singaporean Megaspeed, who has allegedly gathered intelligence on behalf of the Chinese government. Nvidia shares dropped 5.5% following these developments.

美国科技公司CoreWeave的股价在盘后交易中飙升14.8%,此前该公司公布的财报好于预期。

US tech firm CoreWeave’s shares soared 14.8% in after-hours trading following its better-than-expected earnings.

周二,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.3%,标准普尔500指数下跌0.38%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.7%。欧洲股市周二收高,但英国除外。

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%, the S&P 500 declined 0.38%, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.7% on Tuesday. European stock markets closed higher Meanwhile, European stock markets closed Tuesday higher, except for the UK.

英国央行副行长克莱尔·隆巴代利表示,她预测该行的政策利率将高于其他委员会成员,且利率水平不如预期的那么具有限制性。她没有排除连续加息的可能性,并称该行将在12月中旬前获得更多信息。

Bank of England (BoE) deputy governor Clare Lombardelli said she forecast the bank’s policy rate higher than that of other committee members and that the interest rate level was less restrictive than expected. She did not rule out consecutive rate hikes and said the bank will have more information by mid-December.

德国ifo研究所表示,柏林未能履行承诺,将通过私人基金筹集的新债务中超过一半用于桥梁、道路或气候项目等投资,反而将其用于工资和账单等日常开支。

Germany’s ifo Institute said Berlin did not deliver on its promise to channel more than half of the new debt it took via private funds into investments like bridges, roads, or climate projects, and had instead used it for daily spending like payroll and bills.

英国电信巨头沃达丰在4月至9月期间在其欧洲业务中裁员3000人,节省成本2.229亿美元。该公司计划到2030财年节省22亿美元,并将在德国再裁员2300人。

British telecom giant Vodafone laid off 3,000 workers in its European operations in April-September, raking in cost savings of $222.9 million. The firm aims to have saved $2.2 billion by the 2030 fiscal year and an additional 2,300 workers will be laid off in Germany.

德国DAX 40指数上涨0.31%,法国CAC 40指数上涨0.55%,意大利FTSE MIB 30指数上涨0.69%,而英国FTSE 100指数周二下跌0.29%。欧洲股指周三开盘呈上涨趋势。

Germany's DAX 40 rose 0.31%, France's CAC 40 climbed 0.55%, and Italy's FTSE MIB 30 was up 0.69%, while the UK's FTSE 100 fell 0.29% on Tuesday. European indexes started Wednesday on a positive trend.

接近周三收盘时,亚洲股市表现不一,尽管对AI需求的担忧有所缓解,但CoreWeave的强劲财报推动了日本和韩国市场的涨幅。

Near Wednesday’s close, Asian equity markets traded mixed, despite easing concerns over AI demand, with CoreWeave’s strong earnings driving up gains in the Japanese and South Korean markets.

台湾芯片巨头台积电股价上涨4.2%,此前该公司批准来自Anthropic和OpenAI的最高10亿美元投资。

Taiwanese chip giant TSMC’s shares rose 4.2% after approving investments of up to $1 billion from Anthropic and OpenAI.

日本日经225指数上涨1.3%,韩国综合指数上涨2.5%,而中国上证综合指数下跌0.2%,香港恒生指数下跌0.9%。

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.3%, and South Korea’s Kospi gained 2.5%, while China's Shanghai Composite fell 0.2%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng was down 0.9%.

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