
在将把人们的注意力集中在英国与欧盟关系的一周到来之际,首相在欧洲问题上的立场正促使议员们思考其领袖的个人策略。记者 哈里·法利、亨利·泽夫曼、杰克·芬威克 报道人们对首相推动与欧洲建立更紧密关系的关注度再度升温——这在其所在政党及其他政党内部引起了波澜。
Ahead of a week which will focus minds on the UK's relationship with the bloc, the prime minister's stance on Europe is causing MPs to think about their leaders' individual strategy. By Harry Farley, Henry Zeffman, Jack Fenwick There is renewed attention on the prime minister's push for closer relations with Europe - and that is causing ripples in his own party and others.
安迪·伯纳姆本周早些时候在内阁会议上表示:“我坚信,我们最终得到的脱欧结果比民众投票支持的更为彻底……没有理智的人认为保守党谈判达成的协议对国家有利。” 这番话是在将把人们的注意力集中在英国与欧盟关系的一周到来之际说出的。周四,在都柏林举行的欧洲领导人聚会上,伯纳姆将首次会见那些在他推销英国在欧盟未来愿景的过程中可能发挥关键作用的领导人。
Andy Burnham told his Cabinet earlier this week: "I firmly believe we have ended up with a harder Brexit than people voted for… no sensible person thinks the deal negotiated by the Tories is working for the country." It comes ahead of a week which will focus minds on the UK's relationship with the bloc. On Thursday, at a gathering of European leaders in Dublin, Burnham will for the first time meet those who could prove pivotal as he sells his vision for Britain's future in the bloc.
下周,他将发表一篇外交政策演讲,在其中——对伯纳姆而言——欧洲是核心支柱。随后他将前往布鲁塞尔参加英国-欧盟峰会,签署关于食品、能源和青年流动性的新协议。
And next week, he will deliver a speech on foreign policy, in which – for Burnham – Europe is a central plank. He will then travel to Brussels for a UK-EU summit to sign new agreements on food, energy and youth mobility.
谈及将在峰会上签署的新协议,伯纳姆对部长们表示:“我们将抓住让这个国家民众生活更好的机遇。“这里有一个巨大的奖赏。”
Talking about the new deal to be signed at the summit, Burnham said to ministers: "We will take opportunities that make people in this country better off. "There is a significant prize."
这正是首相决定为重返欧盟单一市场——以及随之而来的自由流动——甚至完全重返欧盟这一论点敞开大门的背后原因。但这一长远雄心正在分裂他的内阁和政党。
This lies behind the prime minister's decision to open the door to the argument about rejoining the EU single market - along with the freedom of movement that would bring - and even the EU altogether. But that longer-term ambition is dividing his cabinet and his party.
一些人欢迎他的做法,包括那些拥有曾支持脱欧选区的议员。例如,据了解,安吉拉·雷纳自2022年秋季以来一直在推动前首相基尔·斯塔默爵士在脱欧问题上采取更大胆的立场。
Some welcome his approach, including those with formerly Brexit-backing constituencies. Angela Rayner, for example, is understood to have been pushing former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer to be bolder on Brexit since at least autumn 2022.
住房大臣据称坚持认为,工党必须恪守其竞选纲领中的红线——不重返欧盟单一市场、关税同盟,也不恢复人员自由流动——但对在下届大选中改变这些立场持开放态度。
The housing secretary is said to have been insistent that Labour needs to stick to its manifesto red lines – not to return to the EU single market, customs union, or freedom of movement – but is open minded to changing those at the next election.
另一位内阁大臣表示:“在政治中你能做的最好的事就是讲真话。而真相是,脱欧对英国造成了巨大损害。
Another cabinet minister said: "The best thing you can do in politics is tell the truth. And the truth is that Brexit has been hugely damaging to Britain.
“我们不是在引领一场公共对话,我们是在争分夺秒地追赶公众。”但其他人正紧张地注视着一项策略,一位前大臣将其描述为“高风险”。
"We are not leading a public conversation here, we are racing to catch up with the public." But others are watching nervously at a strategy one former minister described as "high risk".
例如,内政大臣马哈茂德采取了更为谨慎的基调,警告重返欧盟以及继续留在欧盟之外都有“代价和后果”。
Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood, for example, has struck a more cautious tone warning about the "costs and consequences" of rejoining the EU as well as staying out.
商务贸易大臣雷诺兹支持与欧盟走得更近,并讨论英国的长期关系。
Jonathan Reynolds, the Business and Trade Secretary, is supportive of getting closer to the EU and discussing the UK's long term relationship.
但他此前曾警告不要加入欧盟关税同盟,对重返欧盟的前景也持犹豫态度,强调英国将面临何种条款、以及在未来几年随着民族主义政党在多个欧洲国家崛起,欧盟集团可能呈现何种面貌,这些都充满不确定性。一位来自过去的声音则有着不同的担忧。
But he has previously warned against joining the EU's customs union and is also unsure about the prospect of rejoining the EU, highlighting the uncertainty of what terms the UK would face, and what the bloc could look like in years to come with nationalist parties in the ascendancy in several European countries. A voice from the past has a different set of concerns.
卡梅伦勋爵告诉彭博社的米沙尔·侯赛因,开启关于重返欧盟的对话将会“非常漫长且痛苦”。
Lord Cameron told Bloomberg's Mishal Husain that starting a conversation about rejoining would be "very long and painful".
这位前首相警告,“与重返欧盟调情”也可能损害伯纳姆重新谈判保守党脱欧协议的努力。
The former prime minister warned "flirting with rejoining" could also harm Burnham's attempts to renegotiate the Conservative's Brexit deal.
“如果你开始无休止地散布我们实际上正走在重返欧盟道路上的这种观点,我认为你会面临达成一个较差伙伴关系协议的风险,因为当然欧盟国家只会想:‘反正这些家伙迟早要重新加入,给他们一个好的伙伴关系协议有什么意义呢?’”工党内部对首相做法的态度并非按可预测的路线划分。一名苏格兰工党议员个人反对脱欧,且其选区选民在公投中以压倒性多数支持留欧,他表示这是一个“真正的问题”。
"If you start endlessly producing this idea that we're actually on a path to rejoining, I think you're in danger of getting a less good partnership deal because of course the EU countries will just think: 'Well, these guys are gonna rejoin anyway, so what's the point in giving them a good partnership deal'." Attitudes in Labour towards the prime minister's approach don't divide along predictable lines. One Scottish Labour MP, personally opposed to Brexit and with a heavily Remain-voting constituency, said it was a "real problem".
“2014年我们举行了苏格兰独立公投,结果解决了独立问题,为期一代人。我怎么能向我的选民辩称这件事已尘埃落定,却又转过头说2016年脱欧公投的结果没有定论?我的看法是,你要接受民主。”不过目前这种反对尚未演变为公开倒戈,尽管工党议员加雷斯·斯内尔曾警告不要重启这场辩论。
"How can I argue to my constituents that we had a Scottish referendum in 2014 that settled independence for a generation. but then say the 2016 referendum isn't settled? My view is you accept democracy." For now though, that opposition hasn't broken out into public rebellion, although Labour MP Gareth Snell is one who has warned about reopening the debate.
斯托克波特选区的留欧票占比为69.4%,该选区议员在BBC的《威斯敏斯特一小时》节目中表示,重启辩论将“占用议会和政府大量时间”,而议员们本应处理其他事务。
The MP for Stoke-on-Trent, where the Leave vote was 69.4%, told the BBC's Westminster Hour that doing so would "monopolise an awful lot of time inside parliament, inside government" when there are other things MPs should be doing.
在对伯纳姆对欧洲持开放态度最不满的工党议员中,有两人坚称“目前没有计划”对首相发起任何有组织的批评。
Two Labour MPs among those most unhappy about Burnham's openness to Europe insisted "there are no plans" for any organised criticism of the prime minister.
尽管他们存有顾虑,尤其是对自由流动问题,但他们形容目前的心态是“观望”。如果首相的民调领先优势开始缩窄,这种暂时的休战恐将破裂。但伯纳姆的策略让其他政党难以应对。
Despite their concerns, particularly about free movement, they described their current mindset as "wait and see". That temporary truce is likely to fracture if the prime minister's lead in the polls begins to slide. But Burnham's strategy has left other parties struggling to react.

保守党强烈反对未来与欧盟规则对齐的任何举措,党魁凯米·巴德诺克称这将是一条红线,且“实际上会让我们倒退”。
The Conservatives have strongly opposed any move to align with EU rules into the future, with the party leader Kemi Badenoch saying that would be a red line and "actually take us backwards".
但一些保守党议员开始对伯纳姆在欧洲问题上的举措给本党带来的战略困境表达不安,担心该问题再次分裂保守党选民。
But some Conservative MPs are beginning to express unease about the strategic dilemma presented for their party by Burnham's moves on Europe, fearing that the issue could again divide Conservative voters.
近几个月来,巴德诺赫及其团队加大力度争取富裕选民回归,尤其是英格兰南部的选民,他们视伯纳姆的经济主张过于左倾。
In recent months Badenoch and her team have intensified efforts to win back affluent voters, especially in the south of England, who view Burnham's economic offer as too left-wing.
“问题在于,部分选民在脱欧后才刚刚重新愿意听我们的主张,”一名保守党议员表示,“现在他们将不断被提起这件事。”自由民主党一直以在威斯敏斯特最大党派中最亲欧的姿态自居。但一些自民党人如今担心,他们独特的立场可能被伯纳姆淹没。
"The problem is that some of those voters are only just giving us a hearing again after Brexit," one Conservative MP said, "and now they are going to keep being reminded of it." The Liberal Democrats have enjoyed being the most pro-European of the largest parties in Westminster. But some Lib Dems now fear their distinct position risks being drowned out by Burnham.
尽管民调显示公众情绪自2016年以来已发生变化,改革英国党仍表示对脱欧重返政治辩论“非常看好”。
Reform UK though say they are "very bullish" about the return of Brexit to political debate, despite polling that suggests public sentiment has shifted since 2016.
“如果他(伯纳姆)想以400亿英镑的重入欧账单、敞开大门的移民政策,以及对我们法律和法院控制权减弱为议题来争取大选,那我们非常乐意奉陪,”一名改革英国党战略师表示。
"If he [Burnham] wants to fight an election on a £40bn bill to rejoin, open door immigration, and less control over our laws and our courts then we are very up for that," a Reform UK strategist said.
该党认为,正如它将围绕工党构建进步的反脱欧联盟,它也将围绕改革英国党团结支持脱欧的选民,使其成为最反欧的政党。
The party believes that just as it would build a progressive anti-Brexit coalition around Labour, it would also unite Brexit supporters around Reform UK as the most anti-EU party.
