阻止众议院民主党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯（D-纽约州）当选议长的运动因一个致命缺陷而难以启动：没有其他人想要这个职位。
The movement to prevent House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) from becoming speaker is struggling to get off the ground due to a fatal flaw: Nobody else wants the job.
为何重要：尽管有电话联系和在线请愿，尽管有进步派持不同意见者的要求，杰弗里斯的登上议长之位已成为自我实现的预言。
Why it matters: Despite the phone calls and online petitions, the demands from progressive holdouts, Jeffries' ascent has become a self-fulfilling prophecy.
- 众议院中最常被提及的潜在挑战者似乎都不感兴趣：众议员杰米·拉斯金（D-马里兰州）周四告诉Axios，他的“梦想工作”是担任众议院司法委员会主席。
• The House Democrats most often floated as potential challengers don't appear to be interested: Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) told Axios on Thursday his "dream job" is to chair the House Judiciary Committee.
- “我绝不是议长候选人……我支持哈基姆，并投票给哈基姆，”拉斯金说。
• "I am not a candidate for speaker in any way. ... I am supporting Hakeem and voting for Hakeem," said Raskin.
众议员阿亚娜·普雷斯利（D-马萨诸塞州）据多位与她直接交谈过的众议院民主党人透露，她私下里告诉同事，她不想担任这个角色，尽管有一场在线运动试图推举她。
Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.) has privately told colleagues she doesn't want the role despite an online movement seeking to draft her, according to multiple House Democrats who have spoken directly with her.
- “普雷斯利众议员正与杰弗里斯领袖积极讨论如何利用这一多数席位、应对当下形势，并为人民带来成果，”发言人里卡多·桑切斯在给Axios的一份声明中说。
• "Congresswoman Pressley is in active conversations with Leader Jeffries about how to leverage this majority, meet the moment, and deliver for the people," spokesperson Ricardo Sanchez said in a statement to Axios.
- “她了解并感激来自其选区和全国各地人们对她领导力的支持浪潮。”
• "She is aware of and appreciates the groundswell of support from people in her district and across the country lifting up her leadership."
“他是唯一参选的，”众议员阿德莉塔·格里哈尔瓦（D-亚利桑那州）周四在被问及是否计划投票支持杰弗里斯当选议长时对Axios说。
"He's the only one running," Rep. Adelita Grijalva (D-Ariz.) told Axios on Thursday when asked if she plans to vote for Jeffries as speaker.
- 众议员德莉亚·拉米雷斯（D-伊利诺伊州）说：“我真的在鼓励我们的领导层让我能轻松地投票给唯一的参选人。但截至目前，……没有其他人提出自己的名字。”
• Said Rep. Delia Ramirez (D-Ill.): "I am really encouraging our leadership to make it easy for me to vote for the one person that's running. But as of right now, there's ... no one else that has put their name forward."
- “据我所知，杰弗里斯是唯一参选的人，”当选众议员兰迪·维尔加斯（D-加利福尼亚州）说。
• "As far as I've heard, Jeffries is the only person running," said Rep.-elect Randy Villegas (D-Calif.).
- 杰弗里斯在接受NY1采访时说：“有人可能在下周左右出现，但目前没有宣布挑战者，也没有任何迹象表明有人可能会提出自己的名字。”
• Jeffries said in a NY1 interview: "Someone could always emerge in the next week or so, but right now there are no declared challengers, no indication that anyone may put themselves forward."
幕后：这一次，在国会山上制造所有戏剧性场面的是参议院，而不是众议院。
The intrigue: For once it's the Senate, not the House, providing all the drama on Capitol Hill.
- 参议员克里斯·范霍伦（民主党-马里兰州）于周四晚间启动了他接替民主党领袖查克·舒默（民主党-纽约州）的竞选。
• Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) launched his bid to replace Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Thursday night. Yes, but:
不过，需要注意的是：据议员和助手透露，本周进步派草根群体继续用电话和电子邮件淹没现任和即将上任的众议院民主党人，敦促他们反对杰弗里斯。
The progressive grassroots have continued this week to swamp sitting and incoming House Democrats with calls and emails urging them to oppose Jeffries, according to lawmakers and aides.
- 当选众议员唐·伦纳德（民主党-俄亥俄州）告诉Axios，他收到了“雪崩般的消息”。
• Rep.-elect Don Leonard (D-Ohio) told Axios he has gotten an "avalanche of messages."
- 当选众议员梅拉特·基罗斯（民主党-科罗拉多州）表示，她“每天”都会接到“数百个”电话，敦促她反对杰弗里斯。
• Rep.-elect Melat Kiros (D-Colo.) said she is getting "hundreds" of calls "every day" urging her to oppose Jeffries.
- 一位支持杰弗里斯的资深众议院民主党人告诉Axios，打电话到他们办公室的人提出了“大约10位”不同议员作为可能的替代人选。
• A senior House Democrat who is supporting Jeffries told Axios the callers into their office have suggested "like 10" different members as possible alternatives. Jeffries has pushed back
杰弗里斯予以反驳针对Axios关于议员们被电话淹没的报道，杰弗里斯在NY1采访中表示：“没有任何迹象表明国会议员被任何电话所淹没。”
on Axios' reporting that members are being flooded with calls, saying in his NY1 interview: "There's no indication that members of Congress have been overwhelmed by any calls."
当前局势：杰弗里斯已开始在众议院民主党人11月18日举行领导层选举之前与持怀疑态度的人会面。预计他将轻松赢得议长提名，该提名由党团简单多数投票决定。
State of play: Jeffries has begun meeting with skeptics ahead of House Democrats' Nov. 18 leadership elections. He is expected to easily win the nomination for speaker, determined by a simple majority vote of the caucus.
- 真正的问题是，是否会有众议院民主党人在1月3日的众议院全院投票中反对他，从而使他在2022年成为领袖以来一直享有的党团一致支持化为泡影。
• The real question is whether any House Democrats will oppose him on the House floor on Jan. 3 and deny him the unanimous support he has enjoyed from his caucus since becoming leader in 2022.
- 杰弗里斯在周四的新闻发布会上对记者说：“我们将继续与众议院民主党党团的每一位成员交谈，包括现任成员和即将上任的成员，讨论我们大家能一起为美国人民做些什么。”
• "We're going to continue to talk to every single member of the House Democratic caucus, both current members and incoming members, about what we all can do together for the American people," Jeffries told reporters at a press conference on Thursday.
- 这位民主党领袖表示，他“相信我们正处于积极的轨道上”，但“不会想当然”。
• The Democratic leader said he is "confident that we're on a positive trajectory" but takes "nothing for granted."
言外之意：几位民主党众议员和当选众议员预测，鉴于当前草根压力正压向进步派，至少有一小部分人可能会公开反对他。
Between the lines: Several Democratic House members and members-elect predicted that, given the grassroots pressure bearing down on progressives right now, at least a handful are likely to openly oppose him.
他们说：莱纳德告诉Axios，他周三与杰弗里斯坐下来交谈，并分享了他从来电者那里听到的意见，包括“民主党建制派的品牌已经烂透了，而领袖的名字等同于民主党建制派。”
What they're saying: Leonard told Axios he sat down with Jeffries on Wednesday and shared what he has heard from callers, including "that the Democratic establishment brand is in the toilet and that the leader's name is synonymous with the Democratic establishment."
- 拉米雷斯表示，她已“开始与杰弗里斯对话”，并打算“下周进行更多对话”。
• Ramirez said she has "begun conversations" with Jeffries and intends to "have more next week."
- 当被问及杰弗里斯是否已与持怀疑态度的“集团”即新晋进步派会面时，她说：“据我所知，他们正在安排时间与他们会面。”
• Asked if Jeffries has met with the Jeffries-skeptic "Bloc" of incoming progressives, she said: "It is my understanding that that they're scheduling time to meet with them."
- 当选众议员理查德·奥赫达（民主党-北卡罗来纳州）和拉凯莎·沃马克（民主党-北卡罗来纳州）表示，杰弗里斯周三与北卡罗来纳州代表团成员会面，其中许多人是议长选举中的坚持反对者。
• Reps.-elect Richard Ojeda (D-N.C.) and LaKesha Womack (D-N.C.) said Jeffries met Wednesday with members of the North Carolina delegation, many of whom are holdouts in the speaker election.
- “我们仍在进行对话，我们仍在倾听……归根结底，我们将坐在一起，听取所有意见，并以此推进，”奥赫达说。
• "We're still having conversations, we're still listening ... at the end of the day, we're going to all sit together, we're going to listen to everything and we're going to move forward like that," said Ojeda. The bottom line:
底线：“我是说，目前，我甚至不知道是否有人站出来挑战他，”奥赫达补充道。
"I mean, right now, I don't even know if there's anybody that's stepping up against him," Ojeda added.