过去一周,媒体上充斥着各种恐慌言论:比尔·盖茨在《Meet The Press》节目中警告称人工智能可能导致“数十亿人丧生”;Anthropic公司在准备IPO的过程中再次强调其技术对人类构成的“灾难性或生存威胁”;甚至连《周六夜现场》(SNL)也批评了达里奥·阿莫代(Dario Amodei)的悲观论调。
The last week has been full of fear-mongering: Bill Gates warning AI could cause “a billion deaths,” on Meet The Press, Anthropic once again touting its tech as posing “catastrophic or existential risks to humanity” in its filing ahead of a possible IPO, and even SNL calling out Dario Amodei’s doomerism.
然而本周,白宫开始扭转这种负面舆论,向美国人展示了人工智能真正能为他们带来的便利——比如无需等待数月、无需亲自前往办公室就能办理护照申请,可以轻松注册医疗保险、查询学生贷款还款情况,以及搜索联邦政府提供的职位信息。
But this week the White House is countering that narrative by showing Americans what AI can actually do for them — get a passport without waiting months for an appointment and trekking to some office, sign up for Medicare, check on student loan payments, and search for a federal job.
特朗普表示:“政府领域的这种创新,仅仅只是超级智能技术潜力的一部分罢了。”
“This kind of innovation in government is just a preview of what is possible with super intelligence,” Trump said.
周二,这场活动更像是一场苹果公司的产品发布会,而非传统的官僚研讨会。在安德鲁·梅隆礼堂(Andrew Mellon Auditorium)举行的这场活动中,联邦政府展示了如何在其全新设计的网站America.gov上运用人工智能技术。该网站利用人工智能让联邦政府的各项服务更加易于使用,并且仍在不断添加新功能。该网站由Grok和Gemini这两个人工智能系统支持,其中还包含一个能够回答用户问题的聊天机器人。
On Tuesday, at an event that felt less like a bureaucratic symposium and more like an Apple keynote, the federal government demonstrated how it is using AI on its newly unveiled and elegantly designed website, America.gov. The event at the Andrew Mellon Auditorium celebrated the government’s new website, which uses AI to make federal programs more accessible and is still in the process of introducing additional features. The new website is powered by Grok and Gemini and includes a chatbot that answers your questions.
所有这些功能都在短短几天内就得以实现——而这一切都是在上周才发出邀请之后迅速完成的。
And the function came together in a matter of days with invitations sent just this last week.
联邦政府能够如此迅速地推出新服务,实在是非常罕见的;尤其是考虑到2013年Healthcare.gov网站推出时出现的严重问题(当时网站运行混乱、用户体验极差)。当然,鉴于过去的经验,我们仍需保持谨慎态度……但这是一个令人鼓舞的开始。
It’s rare to see anything involving the federal government happen that quickly — let alone with a new website that looks this good, thanks to former Airbnb co-founder and US Chief Design Officer Joe Gebbia. Of course given the 2013 Healthcare.gov rollout debacle, perhaps we should still proceed with caution — but it’s an encouraging start.
想象一下:如果真的能够无需与国税局(IRS)打交道就能快速获得关于税收问题的有用信息,或者利用人工智能来识别欺诈行为(从而避免纳税人承担不必要的损失),那将是一场真正的变革。如果今天的情况能够说明什么的话,那就是:这样的变革是完全可能的。
Imagine actually being able to get a useful answer about taxes without dealing with the IRS or using AI to help identify fraud before taxpayers foot the bill? That would be transformative — and if today is any indication, it can happen.
但对于科技公司和技术乐观主义者来说,其中的教训是:与其告诉人们该有什么样的感受,不如切实展示技术的益处,并说明它如何能让生活变得更轻松。目前,超过半数的美国人对人工智能感到担忧多于兴奋,而改变这一现状的方法之一,就是展示它有多么实用。考虑到每天约有4000万人与政府网站进行交互,这足以改变许多人的想法。
But the lesson for technology companies and techno optimists is that actually demonstrating a technology’s benefit and showing how it can make life easier is better than telling people how to feel. One way to change the fact that more than half of all Americans are more concerned than excited about AI is to show how useful it can be. And given an estimated 40 million people interact with a government website every day, that can change a lot of minds.
这一切展示了一条截然不同的拥抱创新之路,共和党人和特朗普正主导着这一方向,表明联邦政府的服务可以更像是由数字原生创新者驱动,而不是像车管所(DMV)那样陈旧。共和党人正在进行另一场正确的押注:发展人工智能,将其应用于政府工作,并不让美国因过度监管而在这场竞赛中出局。
All of this is demonstrating a very different pro-innovation path that Republicans and Trump are owning, showing that the federal government’s services can feel more like they are powered by a digitally native innovator than someone at the DMV. Republicans are rightly taking another bet: developing AI, using it in government, and not regulating the US out of the race.
“我绝不会扼杀这项比工业革命还要重大的技术的发展,”特朗普今天重申道。
“I will never stifle the growth of technology that will be bigger than the industrial revolution,” Trump reiterated today.
这一举措也与民主党人及其捐赠者所传达的信息形成了鲜明对比——在某些情况下,正是这些信息加剧了人们的担忧。
This initiative also paints a dramatic contrast to the messaging — which, in some cases, is driving much of that concern — from Democrats and their donors.
在像盖茨(据报道他在上一个选举周期向卡玛拉捐赠了5000万美元)这样的“末日论者”大声疾呼警告的同时,民主党人正在推出法案,试图暂停前沿模型的发展,并以“超级智能”禁令来扼杀创新。这恰好与盖茨等民主党捐赠者的立场不谋而合,并将巩固Anthropic和OpenAI作为前沿实验室领跑者的地位。
At the same time that doomers like Gates (who reportedly donated $50 million to Kamala in the last election cycle) are shouting warnings, Democrats are rolling out bills to pause frontier models and stifle innovation with a “superintelligence” ban, which conveniently aligns with messaging from Democratic donors such as Gates and would cement Anthropic and OpenAI as the frontier-lab frontrunners.
与此同时,乐观主义者们正势头渐起。本周,在华盛顿特区PubKey酒吧举办的一场数据中心派对演变成了一场狂欢,吸引了近1000人参加。
And the optimists are gaining steam. This week, a data-center party hosted at the PubKey bar in Washington, DC, turned into an all-out rager with nearly 1,000 attendees.
诚然,许多经济分析师认为,人工智能几乎以一己之力支撑着市场和特朗普的经济。同样不可否认的是,人工智能及其可能达到的强大能力确实存在不确定性。OpenAI在证明其模型GPT-6.1 Astra更加安全之前,一直未予发布,这是正确且明智之举。
To be sure, many economic analysts suggest AI is almost single-handedly keeping the markets and Trump’s economy afloat. And, to be sure, there are indeed uncertainties about artificial intelligence and how powerful it could become. The fact that OpenAI has kept its model GPT-6.1 Astra from getting released until it’s proven safer is the right and smart thing to do.
但盖茨提出的由国际治理机构来监管的方案?我无法想象比一个类似联合国的机构来管理人工智能更糟糕的事情。或者伯尼·桑德斯与中国政府合作。或者奥卡西奥-科尔特斯试图完全阻止技术进步。
But Gates’s solution of an international governing body? I cannot imagine something worse than a UN-like body in charge of AI. Or Bernie Sanders working with the CCP. Or AOC trying to halt advancement altogether.
这些都不是美国式的解决方案。而本周我们看到,拥抱创新能为美国人带来更多益处,而非让他们感到恐惧。
Those are not American solutions. And this week, we saw that embracing innovation can do more for Americans than scaring them about it.