巴西总统大选首轮投票于周日拉开帷幕，政坛两大知名人物展开对决：卢拉对阵博索纳罗。但这并非前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗与现任国家元首的较量，而是他的长子弗拉维奥·博索纳罗。他虽不及父亲富有魅力，却同样秉承家族家长的激进意识形态。
The first round of Brazil’s presidential election on Sunday pits two well-known names in the political ring: Lula vs. Bolsonaro. But it’s not former president Jair Bolsonaro facing off against the incumbent head of state – it’s his eldest son, Flavio Bolsonaro. He’s less charismatic than his father but just as ideologically radical as the family patriarch.
巴西总统候选人弗拉维奥·博索纳罗于2026年9月28日在圣保罗的竞选集会上，手持印有其父、前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗头像的巴西国旗。© 阿曼达·佩罗贝利，路透社 “一号之子”能否成为博索纳罗家族的第二位总统？前巴西总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗五个孩子中的长子弗拉维奥，在民调中与现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦不相上下，随着国家周日迈向大选首轮投票。
Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro holds a Brazilian flag depicting his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, at a campaign rally in Sao Paulo on September 28, 2026. © Amanda Perobelli, Reuters Will “Son No. 1” become the second president from the Bolsonaro family? Flavio, the eldest of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro’s five children, is neck-and-neck in the polls with incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva as the country heads to the polls Sunday in the first round of the presidential election.
雅伊尔·博索纳罗极可能正密切关注这位45岁儿子的竞选。对这位家长而言，这不仅关乎家族荣誉。因在2022年大选失利后密谋政变被判处27年零3个月监禁，前总统必定全力为儿子加油。“小博索纳罗”作为自由党候选人，已承诺一旦登上巴西最高权力宝座，将立即赦免其父。但首先，长子必须击败现任总统卢拉。这绝非板上钉钉之事。
Jair Bolsonaro is likely following his 45-year-old son’s campaign closely. For the patriarch, this is not just a matter of family pride. Sentenced to 27 years and three months in prison after his convicting for plotting a coup following his 2022 election defeat, the former president is surely rooting for his son. “Bolsonaro Junior”, the Liberal Party’s candidate, has promised to grant his dad a pardon as soon as he assumes Brazil’s highest office. But first, the eldest son must defeat incumbent President Lula. That is not a foregone conclusion.
“博索纳罗品牌” 弗拉维奥·博索纳罗普遍被视为其父的影子。伦敦国王学院巴西研究所所长安德雷扎·阿鲁斯卡表示：“他不是一位‘富有魅力且广受欢迎的领袖’。”巴黎政治学院国际研究中心（CERI）巴西问题专家科内尔·韦耶斯补充道：“他也不是一位杰出的演说家，甚至给人以缺乏自信的印象。”
Brand Bolsonaro Flavio Bolsonaro is widely considered a shadow of his father. He is not a “charismatic and popular leader", said Andreza Aruska, director of the Brazil Institute at King’s College London. “He’s not a great orator either and he can come across as lacking in self-confidence,” added Corneel Weyers, a Brazil specialist at the Paris-based Center for International Studies (CERI) at Sciences Po.
虽然他打着博尔索纳罗的旗帜竞选，但儿子在竞选过程中也不得不与他被定罪和入狱的父亲保持一定距离。哥本哈根大学拉丁美洲专家格奥尔格·沃尔特·温克（Georg Walter Wink）曾研究巴西极右翼基础，他指出：“雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗不再那么受欢迎，略多于一半的人认为他应该服满刑期。”
While he is running under the Bolsonaro banner, the son has also had to maintain some distance from his convicted and jailed father on the campaign trail. “Jair Bolsonaro is no longer as popular, and slightly more than half the population believes he should serve his full sentence,” noted Georg Walter Wink, a Latin America specialist at the University of Copenhagen who has studied the foundations of Brazil’s far right.
但仍然是姓氏的力量，成功地让弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在民意调查中与卢拉在统计上势均力敌。
But it’s still the power of the family name that has managed to catapult Flavio Bolsonaro into a statistical dead heat with Lula in the opinion polls.
在7月份他的竞选活动正式启动时，舞台上播放了一段人工智能生成的视频，视频中他被监禁的父亲支持儿子。该视频引发了一场风暴，巴西最高法院要求对雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗（Jair Bolsonaro）人工智能克隆人的出现做出解释，博尔索纳罗被禁止在服刑期间发表公开声明。这位前总统不得不否认授权使用他的形象和声音进行Deepfake
At the official launch of his campaign in July, an AI-generated video of his jailed father endorsing the son was screened on stage. The video sparked a storm, with Brazil’s Supreme Court demanding an explanation about the appearance of the AI clone of Jair Bolsonaro, who is barred from making public statements while serving his sentence. The former president had to deny authorising the use of his image and voice for the deepfake