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大型石油公司是否应为气候变化买单?最高法院的一桩案件将有助于裁定。Should Big Oil pay for climate change? A Supreme Court case will help decide.

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科罗拉多州博尔德市寄望于通过这起具有开创性的诉讼,达成类似那些针对大型烟草企业和阿片类药物制造商的诉讼效果——即迫使这些企业支付数十亿美元的赔偿金与和解金,从而起到保护环境的作用。

Boulder, Colo., is hoping its novel lawsuit will be the environmental equivalent of the landmark litigation that produced billions in damages and settlements against Big Tobacco and opioid makers.

科罗拉多州米克市——凯瑟琳·凯利的家族与石油行业渊源颇深,但一场席卷她位于落基山脉、占地2000英亩的牧场所在山脊的野火,促使她开始重新审视这一切。

MEEKER, Colo. — Kathleen Kelley’s family long had close ties to the oil industry, but the wildfire that swept over the ridge that framed her rolling 2,000-acre ranch in the Rockies prompted a reckoning.

2025年8月爆发的“李氏大火”规模极为庞大,凯利形容它宛如一场“缓慢旋转的巨型火焰龙卷风”。这场大火在持续了二十余年的干旱背景下肆虐开来。凯利的父亲曾亲身经历过“沙尘暴时期”,他坦言从未见过如此严重的灾情。原本滋养着她饲养的400头牲畜的溪流也干涸殆尽,身为第四代牧场主的凯利被迫变卖牛群。

The Lee Fire in August 2025 was so massive that Kelley said it looked like a “giant, slow-motion” tornado of flame. It roared in amid a relentless drought that has stretched over two decades. Kelley’s late father, who lived through the Dust Bowl, said he had seen nothing like it. A stream that watered her 400 cattle turned to dust. Kelley, a fourth-generation rancher, was forced to sell her cows.

凯利称,大火吞噬干枯灌木丛时发出的声响宛如“喷气式发动机发生故障时的轰鸣声”。最终,她的牧场有98%的区域被大火焚毁。有一处地方,唯有一棵树孤零零地矗立在方圆数英里的焦黑土地上。

The sound of the fire ripping through the desiccated brush was like a “jet engine breaking down,” Kelley said. All told, 98 percent of her ranch was scorched. In one spot, all that stood was a single tree surrounded by acres of blackened earth.

“那一刻,我不禁想:这就是未来吗?今后我们无论走到哪里都要面对这种景象吗?”凯利说道。

“In that moment, you look at it and say, ‘Is this the future? Is this what we are stuck with everywhere?”

在凯利看来,将她的传统生活方式逼至绝境的罪魁祸首显而易见:气候变化。凯利的叔叔曾在雪佛龙公司工作,她的家族也曾计划在这片牧场上钻探石油,但“李氏大火”成了促使她下定决心的转折点。

Kelley said. To Kelley, there was a clear culprit pushing her way of life to the brink: climate change. Kelley’s uncle had worked for Chevron and her family once had plans to drill on the ranch, but the Lee Fire marked a tipping point for her.

现年71岁的凯利决定支持发起一起针对全球多家大型石油公司的诉讼,指控它们对气候变化问题负有责任。本周一,美国最高法院将受理此案,这也将是新任期内的首起相关案件。

Kelley, 71, decided to back a novel type of lawsuit targeting some of the world’s biggest oil companies over climate change. The Supreme Court will take it up Monday as the first case of its new term.

博尔德市及所在的县正试图向埃克森美孚以及加拿大的森科能源公司索赔,指控这两家公司数十年来蓄意向公众隐瞒气候变化的危害以及化石燃料在全球变暖中所起的作用。

The city and county of Boulder are seeking damages from ExxonMobil and Canada’s Suncor Energy, alleging they intentionally misled the public for decades about the impact of climate change and the role fossil fuels play in global warming.

这些公司否认存在任何不当行为,称博尔德正利用科罗拉多州法院推动气候政策,而制定此类政策本应是联邦政府和国会的职权范围。他们表示,最高法院应当驳回这起诉讼。

The companies deny any wrongdoing, saying Boulder is using Colorado state courts to pursue climate policy that is rightly in the purview of the federal government and Congress. They say the Supreme Court should toss out the suit.

这是由城市、县和州提起的约60起类似诉讼中的首次考验。这些诉讼的许多发起方都希望,它们能成为环保领域的标志性诉讼,就像此前针对烟草公司和药品制造商的诉讼那样,后者已就吸烟和阿片类药物问题判令赔偿数十亿美元。

The case is the first test of roughly 60 similar suits brought by cities, counties and states. Many are hoping they will be the environmental equivalent of the landmark litigation against tobacco companies and drugmakers that produced billions in damages over smoking and opioids.

这些诉讼的核心目的,是尝试回答一个随着每一场新山火、洪水和飓风的发生而愈发棘手的问题:全球变暖造成的影响应由谁来买单?

At their heart, the suits begin to try to answer a vexing question that only grows more urgent with each new wildfire, flood and hurricane: Who should pay for the effects of global warming?

要回答这个问题,就必须应对远比此前烟草或阿片类药物诉讼中任何案件都更加复杂艰巨的难题,包括是否真的能够从某场特定山火或天气事件中分离出气候变化所起的作用,并将责任归咎于某个特定行业。

Answering that question requires grappling with complexities far more daunting than anything in those earlier rounds of litigation over tobacco or opioids, including whether it is even possible to tease out the role of climate change in any particular wildfire or weather event and assign responsibility to a particular industry.

科罗拉多大学博尔德分校教授保罗·奇诺夫斯基曾撰写一份关于气候变化当地成本的报告。他说,没有任何城市、县,甚至州能够独自承担全球变暖带来的负担。

Paul Chinowsky, a University of Colorado at Boulder professor who produced a report on the costs of climate change locally, said no city, county or even state is going to be able to foot the burden for global warming alone. “Boulder just happens to be on the forefront,” Chinowsky said.

“博尔德只是恰好走在最前沿,”奇诺夫斯基说,“但它代表着全国成百上千座正在经历同样情况、试图回答同样问题的城市。”气候变化的新战线:博尔德市及博尔德县紧邻落基山脉高耸的峰峦,这座内陆城市和县看起来或许并不像全球变暖斗争的主要前线。

“But they are representative of literally hundreds and hundreds of cities across the country that are experiencing the same thing and trying to figure out the same question.”A new front for climate change Tucked against soaring Rocky Mountain peaks, the landlocked city and county of Boulder might not seem like a major front in the battle over global warming.

这片富裕地区是科罗拉多大学旗舰校区的所在地,并不面临海平面上升或飓风,但2021年的马歇尔火灾摧毁了1000多栋房屋,造成约20亿美元损失。

The affluent area that is home to the University of Colorado’s flagship campus does not contend with sea-level rise or hurricanes, but in 2021 the Marshall Fire destroyed more than 1,000 homes and caused about $2 billion worth of damage.

针对石油公司的诉讼早已提起,而此次灾害则鲜明地反映出气候变化在该地区带来的日益严峻的风险。诉讼文件中列举了野火、干旱、健康危害以及基础设施破坏等全球变暖带来的种种后果。

The lawsuit against the oil companies had already been filed, but the destruction dramatically illustrated the rising stakes of climate change in the area. The lawsuit lists wildfire, drought, health impacts and infrastructure damage among the impacts of global warming.

据科罗拉多州官方统计,该州历史上最严重的25场野火——包括马歇尔大火和李氏大火——均发生在过去25年间。多项研究也表明,气候变化导致野火发生频率增加且规模不断扩大。

All 25 of the largest or most destructive wildfires in Colorado’s history — including the Marshall and Lee fires — have occurred in the last quarter-century, according to the state. Studies have shown climate change has made wildfires more frequent and larger.

自2000年起,美国西南部地区便陷入“超级干旱”状态,致使科罗拉多河水量减少了三分之二,各水库水位也降至历史最低水平。这一状况迫使三个州大幅削减用水配额,同时有警告称这条为4000多万人提供水源的河流系统正濒临崩溃边缘。气候科学家指出,科罗拉多州或许正步入一种新的常态。

The “megadrought” that has gripped the Southwest since 2000 has shriveled the Colorado River by two-thirds and pushed reservoirs to record lows, prompting drastic cuts to three states and warnings a source of water for more than 40 million is close to collapse. Climate scientists have said the state may be witnessing a new normal.

奇诺夫斯基的报告估算,到2050年,博尔德市及县一级政府为应对全球变暖所带来的影响,可能需要支出9600万美元至1.57亿美元。这笔费用将用于实施多项举措:包括加固房屋以抵御野火、寻找新的水源,以及修补道路坑洼、防治日益泛滥的松树甲虫、增设避暑中心等大量小型工程。

Chinowsky’s report estimated it could cost Boulder city and county $96 million to $157 million to mitigate some of the effects of global warming through 2050. That includes big projects like hardening homes against wildfires and finding new sources of water, but also myriad smaller things such as fixing more potholes on roads, combating growing infestations of pine beetles and operating more cooling centers.

博尔德并非个例。随着全球气候持续变暖,数十个城市、州及原住民部落都在向各大石油公司索赔。佛蒙特州、旧金山、纽约、檀香山以及华盛顿特区均在其中。

Boulder is not alone. Dozens of cities, states and tribes are seeking damages from major oil companies as the world warms. Vermont, San Francisco, New York, Honolulu and D.C. are among them.

这些诉讼的共同依据是:石油公司曾私下开展研究,证实石油与天然气的使用会导致全球变暖,但却在公开场合刻意淡化相关科学结论。这些指控的依据是近年来陆续公开的石油公司内部报告与备忘录。

Many of the suits rest on claims that oil companies privately pursued studies that showed oil and gas use was contributing to global warming, but downplayed such science publicly. The allegations rely on internal reports and memos from oil companies that have been made public in recent years.

博尔德的诉讼指出,早在20世纪50年代,石油行业贸易组织“美国石油学会”便开始研究燃烧化石燃料所带来的影响。埃克森美孚与森科能源公司均为该组织的成员。

The Boulder suit claims as early as the 1950s the American Petroleum Institute, the oil industry trade group, began research on the effects of burning fossil fuels. Both ExxonMobil and Suncor are members.

这些努力最终促成了一份1968年发布的报告,报告指出大气中的二氧化碳含量正在上升,而燃烧化石燃料很可能是主要原因。报告还称:“毫无疑问,气候变化可能对环境造成严重损害。”此后又出现了更为严峻的警告。据诉讼文件显示,美国石油协会的一个特别工作组在1980年得出结论:到2025年,气候变化可能致使全球经济增长陷入停滞。该诉讼还指出,埃克森美孚公司当时已意识到应对气候变化需要耗费数十亿美元。

The efforts culminated in a 1968 report that said carbon dioxide was rising in the atmosphere and burning fossil fuels was likely the main driver. It found that “there seems to be no doubt that the potential damage to our environment could be severe.”Even more dire warnings followed. An API task force concluded in 1980 that climate change could effectively “halt” world economic growth by 2025, according to the lawsuit. The lawsuit says Exxon recognized it would cost billions to adapt to climate change.

诉讼称,尽管有这些研究结论,美国石油协会及各大石油公司仍斥资数百万美元用于广告和公关活动,试图抹黑气候变化研究或质疑全球变暖的实际影响。

Despite the studies, the API and oil companies spent millions on advertising and public relations to discredit climate change research or cast doubt on the effects of global warming, according to the lawsuit.

据诉讼记载,埃克森美孚的前身莫比尔石油公司在1997年于《纽约时报》刊登广告,声称“我们仍不清楚人为产生的温室气体在地球变暖过程中究竟起到何种作用”。2000年,埃克森美孚又发布广告,称气候科学“尚未定论”。博尔德市及县政府官员拒绝置评,但该市市长、民主党人亚伦·布罗克特在2月份的一份声明中表示,此案旨在纠正所谓的企业欺骗行为。

Mobil, a precursor to ExxonMobil, ran an ad in the New York Times in 1997, saying “we still don’t know what role man-made greenhouse gases might play in warming the planet.”Another Exxon ad in 2000 called climate science “unsettled.”Boulder city and county officials declined to comment, but Mayor Aaron Brockett (D) said in a statement in February the case is about making amends for the alleged deception.

“当地社区正承受着气候变化带来的日益沉重的代价,”布罗克特说道,“最高法院应当支持科罗拉多州追究这些企业所造成危害的责任的权利。”各石油公司则否认自己曾误导公众对全球变暖的认知。他们辩称,博尔德市提起的诉讼及其他类似诉讼,都是环保人士为向石油行业征收碳税而发起的协同行动。

“Local communities are living with the mounting costs of climate change,” Brockett said. “The Supreme Court should affirm Colorado’s right to hold these companies accountable for the harm they have caused.”The oil companies dismiss allegations they misled the public about global warming. They argue the Boulder suit and others are part of a coordinated campaign by environmentalists to impose a carbon tax on the oil industry.

此次最高法院审理的案件并不会对博尔德市提出的“石油企业刻意隐瞒气候变化影响”的指控进行验证,而是要确定该案是否能在科罗拉多州法院继续审理,抑或应被驳回。

The Supreme Court case will not test Boulder’s allegations of a cover-up of climate change impacts, but rather whether the case can go forward in Colorado state court or should be tossed out.

去年,科罗拉多州最高法院裁定博尔德市的诉讼可以继续进行,随后各石油公司便向最高法院提起上诉。

Colorado’s Supreme Court ruled last year Boulder’s suit could continue, before the oil companies appealed to the Supreme Court.

石油公司未予置评,但在法庭文件中称,博尔德的州法律诉求被联邦法律所取代。他们主张,根据宪法,温室气体排放本质上属于联邦层面的问题,因为污染会跨越州界。

The oil companies did not offer comment, but say in filings Boulder’s state claims are preempted by federal law. They argue greenhouse gas emissions are inherently a federal issue under the Constitution because the pollution crosses state lines.

公司方面称,允许案件继续审理将打开潘多拉魔盒,引发数千起类似诉讼,并可能面临数十亿美元的赔偿,这可能导致石油行业破产,并会对联邦政策造成严重破坏。

Allowing the case to go forward would open the floodgates to thousands of similar suits and potentially billions in damages that could bankrupt the oil industry and could wreak havoc with federal policy, the companies say.

“在这些案件中,州和地方政府试图通过追究能源公司全球行为的责任来控制国家能源政策,这种做法与我们的宪法架构以及联邦政府的政策和优先事项严重冲突,”公司在文件中写道。

“In these cases, state and local governments are attempting to assert control over the Nation’s energy policies by holding energy companies liable for worldwide conduct in ways that starkly conflict with our constitutional structure, as well as the policies and priorities of the federal government,” the companies wrote in a filing.

最高法院大法官小塞缪尔·A·阿利托于9月宣布回避该案。他未说明理由,但环保人士和法院监督团体敦促他退出,因为他持有两家并非案件当事方的石油公司的股票。

Supreme Court Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. recused himself from the case in September. He did not offer a rationale, but environmentalists and court watchdog groups urged him to step aside because he owned stock in two oil companies that are not part of the case.

特朗普政府站在埃克森美孚和苏宁能源一边,在法庭之友简报中辩称,科罗拉多州最高法院的裁决“在一个具有重大全国意义的问题上显而易见地错误”。

The Trump administration has sided with ExxonMobil and Suncor, arguing in a friend-of-the-court brief the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision was “manifestly wrong on a question of vast nationwide significance.”

唐纳德·特朗普总统曾将全球变暖称为“骗局”。他已放宽了石油和天然气钻探的相关规定。

President Donald Trump has referred to global warming as “a hoax.”He has eased rules on oil and gas drilling.

科罗拉多州西北部的八个县,其经济依赖石油和天然气,也希望驳回博尔德的诉讼。这些县包括凯利居住的里奥布兰科县和梅萨县。

Eight counties in northwest Colorado, whose economies rely on oil and gas, also want Boulder’s suit thrown out. They include Rio Blanco, where Kelley lives, and Mesa counties.

梅萨县专员科迪·戴维斯表示,他怀疑能否将博尔德面临的问题的法律责任归咎于一个行为主体,因为这是一个源头众多的全球性问题。即使可以,最终买单的也将是像他所在的这样的县。

Cody Davis, a Mesa County commissioner, said he was skeptical you could pin legal responsibility for the issues Boulder is facing on one actor that is part of a global problem with myriad sources. Even if you could, it would ultimately be counties like his that would pay the price.

“农村科罗拉多州严重依赖能源生产,因此这类诉讼的影响将使农村科罗拉多州在经济上陷入萧条,而对博尔德几乎没有影响,”戴维斯说。

“Rural Colorado is driven heavily by energy production, so the impact of a lawsuit like this is going to economically depress rural Colorado while hardly having an impact on Boulder,” Davis said.

逃离火海 2025年8月3日,凯利惊恐地接到了侄子的电话。当他告诉她李大火由闪电引发,让她尽快撤离时,凯利难以置信。他曾在其他大型火灾的事故处理小组工作过。

Fleeing the flames The panicked call from Kelley’s nephew came on Aug. 3, 2025. Kelley was incredulous when he told her to evacuate soon after the Lee Fire was sparked by lightning. He had worked incident teams on other major fires.

“我当时说:‘凯尔,离这儿18英里呢,有什么大不了的?我们会没事的,’”凯利回忆道。“他说:‘我们从未见过大火能这样顺山烧下来……你得走。’”凯利说,她习惯了过去那种通常只烧几英亩就被雨水扑灭的野火,但李大火不一样。

“I said, ‘Kyle, it’s 18 miles away what’s the big deal? We’ll be fine,’” Kelley recalls saying. “He said, ‘We’ve never seen a fire burn downhill the way this one has. … You gotta go.’”Kelley said she was used to the wildfires of the past that typically burned a handful of acres before rain extinguished the flames, but the Lee Fire was different.

在时速40英里的大风、创纪录的干旱和极度干燥的空气助燃下——一位火灾专家称这种干燥程度通常只在莫哈韦沙漠见到——大火迅速蔓延延烧。

Fed by 40 mph winds, record drought and exceptionally dry air — the kind one fire expert said was typically seen in the Mojave Desert— it exploded.

凯利说,灰烬先落下来,像雪一样轻轻飘落在牧场上。接着,附近的山丘上出现了火焰。“就像有人拿着一把军刀……劈开了地壳,”凯利说。“地狱的一切都倾泻而出。”凯利和丈夫带着三匹马、三只猫、两条狗和一只名叫“帅哥”的鬃狮蜥逃离了。

The ash came first, falling gently like snow on the ranch, Kelley said. Then the flames appeared in the hills nearby. “It was like somebody had taken a saber ... and cut open the crust of the Earth,” Kelley said. “Every piece of hell was pouring out.”Kelley and her husband gathered up three horses, three cats, two dogs and a bearded dragon lizard named El Guapo and fled.

几天后他们终于返回时,发现大火已将建筑物和围栏夷为平地。邻居们失去了牛只。

When they finally returned several days later, the couple found the flames had leveled buildings and fences. Neighbors lost cattle to the blaze.

大火烧过了她的房子,但因为房子是混凝土结构,大体上幸免于难。尽管如此,牧场仍遭受了约150万美元的损失。

The fire had swept over her home, but it was largely spared because it was constructed of concrete. Still, there was about $1.5 million worth of damage to the ranch.

凯利花光了养老积蓄来重建家园。她希望种植能从大气中吸收更多二氧化碳的草类,以帮助应对气候变化。她最终想把牛群带回来。

Kelley has spent down her retirement savings to rebuild. She hopes to plant grasses that will suck more carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere to help combat climate change. She’d like to eventually bring back cattle.

但未来依然充满不确定性。即使博尔德在诉讼中胜诉,她也不会直接受益。但她表示,提交法庭之友简报至关重要,以凸显牧场主的困境。

But the future remains uncertain. Even if Boulder prevails in its lawsuit, she wouldn’t directly benefit. But she said it was important to file a friend-of-the court brief in the case to highlight the plight of ranchers.

近日,她站在自家牧场的中心,四周是数英亩的草地,远处雷暴闪电。她指着一个曾用作给牛饮水的大卡车轮胎水槽,如今已干得见底。科学家表示,这场干旱是美国西南部1200年来最严重的一次。

On a recent day, she stood at the center of her ranch, amid acres of grassland as a thunderstorm flashed in the distance. She pointed to a large truck tire she once used as a trough to water cows. It was bone dry. Scientists said the dry spell was the Southwest’s worst in 1,200 years.

“我对明年夏天感到恐惧,”凯利谈到干旱时说。“倒闭的不只是我一个,将会有多个牧场主倒闭。”

“I’m terrified for next summer,” Kelley said of the drought. “It’s not just me that’s going to be out of business. It’s going to be multiple ranchers.”

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