现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦将面对弗拉维奥·博索纳罗的挑战，后者是前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗之子，因策划军事政变而入狱。巴西总统由直接选举产生，候选人需获得超过50%的选票才能避免第二轮投票。投票于巴西利亚时间17:00/英国夏令时间21:00结束。
The incumbent, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is up against Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of the former president Jair Bolsonaro, who is in prison for plotting a military coup. The president in Brazil is directly elected, and candidates need more than 50% of the vote to avoid a second round. Polls close at 17.00 BRT / 21.00 BST.
选举如何运作 巴西总统由直接选举产生：每位选民的选票权重相等，不存在选举人团制度。若首轮投票中无候选人获得超过50%的有效票，将在三周后举行第二轮决选，由得票最高的两名候选人角逐。
How the election works Brazil’s president is directly elected: each voter’s ballot counts equally and there is no electoral college. If no candidate wins more than 50% of the valid votes cast in the first round, a second runoff election will be held three weeks later between the two candidates who polled highest.
根据民意调查，有两位领跑候选人。第一位是现任总统卢拉，80岁，巴西左翼资深人士，已任职三届。在其前两个任期（2003年至2011年）间，他被认为监督了一个由大宗商品推动的历史性增长和减贫时期。
According to opinion polls, there are two leading candidates. The first is the incumbent president, Lula, 80, a veteran of the Brazilian left who has served three terms. During his first two terms, between 2003 and 2011, he was credited with overseeing a historic period of commodity-fuelled growth and poverty reduction.
巴西总统限制连任两届，因此若他此次获胜，将无法参加2030年大选。2018年，卢拉因贪腐指控入狱，尽管其定罪在服刑580天后被撤销。
Brazilian presidents are limited to two consecutive terms, so if he wins this time he will not be able to stand in 2030. In 2018 Lula was jailed on corruption charges, although his conviction was quashed after 580 days behind bars.
卢拉的主要对手是极右翼候选人弗拉维奥·博索纳罗，雅伊尔·博索纳罗之子，后者目前在狱中。弗拉维奥现年45岁，是一名律师，曾任里约热内卢联邦参议员。老博索纳罗因在2022年大选失利后策划未遂政变，正服27年刑期，但他已为儿子背书竞选，并希望若儿子获胜能重获自由。
Lula’s principal opponent is the far-right candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, son of Jair Bolsonaro, who is in prison. Flávio is a 45-year-old lawyer and a former senator from Rio de Janeiro. Bolsonaro senior is serving a 27-year sentence for masterminding a failed coup after losing the 2022 election but has endorsed his son’s campaign and hopes to regain his freedom if he wins.
民调显示，无其他候选人能接近这两位领跑者，但对于10月25日的决选，民调中也无明显领先者。新领导人将于2027年1月5日就职。
Opinion polls suggest no other candidate will come close to the two frontrunners, but neither is there a clear leader in polling for the 25 October runoff. The new leader will take power on 5 January 2027.
其中最值得关注的州之一是米纳斯吉拉斯州，这是一个山区矿业和农业地区，面积大于法国，拥有2100万居民，也是巴西的风向标州。
One of the most important states to watch is Minas Gerais, a mountainous mining and agricultural region that is larger than France and has 21 million inhabitants, and is Brazil’s bellwether state.
自20世纪80年代民主回归以来，没有任何候选人能在未赢下米纳斯吉拉斯州的情况下当选总统。
Since democracy returned in the 1980s, no candidate has won the presidency without triumphing in Minas.
2018年，雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗在该州以超过170万票的优势击败了卢拉支持的候选人，并当选总统。
In 2018, Jair Bolsonaro beat Lula’s candidate there by more than 1.7m votes and was elected president.
四年后，卢拉以不足5万票的微弱优势夺回该州，并赢得了全国大选。历史表明，谁赢下米纳斯吉拉斯州，谁就能赢得大选。
Four years later, Lula reclaimed the state by fewer than 50,000 and also won the nationwide race. History suggests that whoever wins Minas, will win the election.