保守派及弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗的盟友在巴西参议院选举中大获全胜,使右翼势力接近弹劾最高法院大法官所需的票数,并可能升级其与司法部门长期以来的对抗。
Conservatives and allies of Flávio Bolsonaro surged in Brazil’s Senate elections, moving the right close to the votes needed to impeach Supreme Court justices and likely escalating its long-running confrontation with the judiciary.
安德鲁·罗萨蒂报道 周日的参议院选举结果出炉之际,博尔索纳罗的表现也强于预期,使他在10月25日的总统决选中处于有利地位。如果当选,他在任期内最多可任命最高法院11名大法官中的4名。
By Andrew Rosati Sunday’s Senate result came alongside a stronger-than-expected showing by Bolsonaro that left him in a strong position to win the presidency in an Oct. 25 runoff. If elected, he could appoint as many as four of the Supreme Court’s 11 justices during his term.
或许更为重要的是,博尔索纳罗的自由党预计将把其15人的参议院党团规模扩大一倍左右。尽管仍需盟友支持才能达到弹劾最高法院大法官所需的54票(即三分之二多数),但其席位增加将使该党拥有更大杠杆来凑齐这一多数。在巴西年轻的民主历史上,从未有大法官以这种方式被罢免。
Perhaps more significant, Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party is expected to roughly double its 15-member Senate caucus. It would still need allies to reach the 54 votes, or two-thirds of the chamber, required to remove a Supreme Court justice, but its gains would give the party far more leverage to assemble such a majority. No justice has ever been removed that way in Brazil’s young democracy.
博尔索纳罗及其支持者长期以来一直与大法官们就调查虚假新闻传播一事发生冲突,后来又因2022年总统卢拉·达席尔瓦当选后的未遂政变事件而对立。
Bolsonaro and his supporters have long clashed with justices over investigations into the spread of fake news and, later, an attempted coup following President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s 2022 election victory.
最高法院判处其父、前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗27年监禁,罪名是试图推翻其在2022年大选中败给卢拉的结果。作为巴西右翼长期攻击的目标,最高法院在曝光多名大法官与丹尼尔·沃尔卡罗有关联后,面临新的审视。沃尔卡罗是已倒闭的马斯特银行前主人,该银行是重大银行欺诈调查的核心,沃尔卡罗目前已入狱。
The top court sentenced his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, to 27 years in prison for attempting to overturn his 2022 election defeat to Lula. Long a target of Brazil’s right, the court has faced renewed scrutiny after revelations that several justices had ties to Daniel Vorcaro, the jailed former owner of Banco Master SA, a defunct lender at the center of a major banking fraud investigation.
联邦警察也在调查弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗与沃尔卡罗的交易,涉嫌腐败等罪行,因为这位参议员曾寻求该银行家为一部关于其父亲的电影提供资金。即便如此,选民似乎仍回应了他将参议院推向右翼的号召。
Federal police are also investigating Flávio Bolsonaro’s dealings with Vorcaro for possible crimes including corruption after the senator sought funding from the banker for a film about his father. Even so, voters appeared to answer his call to shift the Senate to the right.
他的继母、前第一夫人米歇尔·博索纳罗在巴西利亚赢得一个席位,而他的兄弟卡洛斯在南部圣卡塔琳娜州当选。博索纳罗家族所属政党的成员也在里约热内卢——该家族的传统政治大本营——赢得了两个参议员席位。
His stepmother, former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, won a seat in Brasilia, while his brother Carlos was elected in the southern state of Santa Catarina. Members of the Bolsonaros’ party also captured both Senate seats in Rio de Janeiro, the family’s traditional political base.
在巴西人口最多的圣保罗州,这里也是一些最受瞩目竞选的所在地,保守派击败了卢拉的两位亲密盟友——前部长西蒙娜·特贝特和玛丽娜·席尔瓦。
In Sao Paulo, Brazil’s most populous state and home to some of the highest-profile contests, conservatives defeated two close Lula allies — former ministers Simone Tebet and Marina Silva.
如果弗拉维奥·博索纳罗赢得巴西最高职位,参议院选举结果也可能让右翼长期追求的目标触手可及。
The Senate results could also bring objectives long pursued by the right within reach if Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil’s top job.
这些目标包括更严厉的量刑,例如将刑事责任年龄降低至16岁,以及赦免因在2023年1月8日(卢拉就职几天后)冲击巴西利亚政府大楼而被定罪的暴乱者。
Those goals include tougher sentencing, such as lowering the age of criminal responsibility to 16, as well as granting amnesty to rioters convicted of storming government buildings in Brasilia on Jan. 8, 2023, days after Lula’s inauguration.