北约最高军事指挥官周一阐述了一项分三阶段的军事战略，以应对可能针对联盟领土的袭击。他表示，该联盟将首先阻止初步攻击，其次挫败任何持续的攻势，并在必要时摧毁敌方部队及其作战能力。
NATO's top military commander on Monday outlined a three-stage military strategy to counter a potential attack against alliance territory, saying the bloc would first block an initial assault, then blunt any continued offensive, and, if necessary, break the enemy's forces and warfighting capabilities.
在2026年华沙安全论坛一场题为“胜利理论：如何在威慑与防御中实现对俄罗斯的军事成功？”的专题讨论会上，北约欧洲盟军最高司令（SACEUR）亚历克斯·格林凯维奇将军表示，该战略旨在使对手无法占领并控制北约领土。
Speaking at the Warsaw Security Forum 2026 during a panel titled "Theory of Victory: How Do We Achieve Military Success Against Russia in Deterrence and Defense?" Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, NATO's supreme allied commander Europe (SACEUR), said the strategy is designed to deny an adversary the ability to seize and hold NATO territory.
他说：“我的胜利理论很简单：我们将阻止初步攻击。如果攻击持续，我们将挫败攻势，阻止敌方推进。如有必要，我们将摧毁敌方部队以及针对我们的作战体系。”
"My theory of victory is simple: we will block the initial attack. If the attack persists, we will blunt it and prevent enemy advance. And if required, we will break the enemy's forces and the operational warfighting system that is arrayed against us," he said.
他强调，北约并不认为冲突“迫在眉睫或不可避免”，并指出该联盟具有防御性质，其主要目标是威慑侵略、维护和平。
He stressed that NATO does not consider a conflict "imminent or inevitable," describing the alliance as defensive and emphasizing that its primary objective is to deter aggression and preserve peace.
格林凯维奇说：“我们的联盟存在的目的就是为了维护和平，但切勿怀疑：如果战争爆发，我们将阻止并挫败任何攻击；如果攻击仍未停止，我们将摧毁对我们发动侵略的部队。”
"Our alliance exists to preserve peace, but let there be no doubt: should war come, we will block, blunt any attack, and then if it does not cease, we will break the forces conducting aggression against us," Grynkewich said.
他解释说，第一阶段即阻止攻击，将依靠前沿地面部队防止敌方部队推进并占领联盟领土，同时辅以空中、海上、太空和网络能力。
He explained that the first stage, blocking an attack, would involve forward land forces preventing enemy formations from advancing and seizing allied territory, supported by air, naval, space and cyber capabilities.
如果攻势持续，北约将借助先进传感器、自主系统以及跨领域协同行动来挫败攻势，使对手无法获得势头或掌握主动权。
If an offensive continued, NATO would seek to blunt it through advanced sensors, autonomous systems, and coordinated multi-domain operations, denying the adversary the ability to gain momentum or seize the initiative.
在最终阶段，该联盟不仅将打击敌方部队，还将针对支撑和维持这些部队的体系，包括指挥结构、后勤和补给能力。
In the final stage, the alliance would target not only enemy forces but also the systems supporting and sustaining them, including command structures, logistics, and replenishment capabilities.
乌克兰将凭借“更坚定的决心和更顽强的斗志”度过这个冬天。他表示，北约将把高精度尖端武器与大量价格实惠且可扩展的作战系统相结合，在陆、海、空、太空和网络空间持续施加军事压力。
Ukraine will get through winter with 'more resolve and more fight' He said NATO would combine high-end precision weapons with large numbers of affordable and scalable systems, applying sustained military pressure across land, air, sea, space, and cyberspace.
他补充说，此举的目标并非让对手遭受战略性失败，而是使其军队无法继续对联盟领土发动攻击。
The objective, he added, would not be to inflict a strategic defeat on an adversary but to render its forces incapable of continuing an attack against alliance territory.
“我们并非要给我们的对手造成战略性失败，也无需这样做。我们只是想阻止任何攻击行动，使其无法占领并控制我们的领土，”他说。
"We are not seeking to impose a strategic defeat on our adversary, nor do we need to do so. Rather, we are only seeking to stop any attack in its tracks, to deny the ability to seize and hold our territory," he said.
格里尼克维奇表示，这种方法也有助于北约在局势升级方面保持有利地位，并强调联盟只会针对参与攻击其自身的部队和系统采取行动。
Grynkewich said this approach would also help NATO maintain an advantageous position in terms of escalation, stressing that the alliance would act only against the forces and systems involved in attacking it.
他说，北约正通过演习、前沿部署以及对先进军事能力和更经济实用系统的投资，将这一战略转化为实际作战准备。
He said NATO is working to translate the strategy into operational readiness through exercises, forward deployments, and investments in both advanced military capabilities and more affordable systems.
当被问及欧洲与亚太地区同时发生冲突的可能性时，格里尼克维奇表示，北约的规划已将这一情景纳入考虑。
Asked about the possibility of a simultaneous conflict in Europe and the Asia-Pacific, Grynkewich said NATO's planning takes such a scenario into account.
谈及乌克兰时，他警告称，持续对能源基础设施发动攻击将使即将到来的冬天对平民尤为艰难。
Turning to Ukraine, he warned that continued attacks on energy infrastructure would make the coming winter particularly difficult for civilians.
“他们将度过这个冬天，并以更坚定的决心和更顽强的斗志从中走出，”格里尼克维奇补充道。
"They're going to get through this winter. They're going to come out of it with more resolve and more fight," Grynkewich added.
关于北约成员国对集体防御的政治承诺问题，格里尼克维奇表示，他对联盟对《北大西洋公约》第五条的承诺充满信心。该条款规定，对某一成员国的武装攻击即被视为对所有成员国的攻击。
On concerns about NATO members’ political commitment to collective defense, Grynkewich said he has confidence in the alliance's commitment to Article 5, which treats an armed attack against one member as an attack against all.
他还驳斥了人们对美国对北约承诺的质疑，指出美军已经部署在波兰以及联盟东部战线各地。
He also rejected doubts about the US commitment to NATO, noting that American troops are already deployed in Poland and across the alliance's eastern flank.