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法国世界报

特朗普-普京燃油协议为何有利于俄罗斯Why the Trump-Putin fuel agreement benefits Russia

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俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京在土库曼斯坦的土库曼巴希,2026年10月9日。加夫里尔·格里戈罗夫/卫星通讯社 via 美联社Russian President Vladimir Putin in Türkmenbaşy, Turkmenistan, October 9, 2026. GAVRIIL GRIGOROV/SPUTNIK VIA AP

唐纳德·特朗普自夸。弗拉基米尔·普京保持沉默。一如既往,俄罗斯总统在其美国同僚于10月9日星期五宣布达成柴油“协议”后的三天里未发表任何言论,随后又在周日宣布基辅与莫斯科之间达成能源停火协议。

Donald Trump boasts. Vladimir Putin remains silent. True to form, the Russian president did not utter a word for three days after his American counterpart announced on Friday, October 9, a "deal" on diesel, followed by an announcement on Sunday of an energy ceasefire agreement between Kyiv and Moscow.

在这两项声明之间,特朗普公开表达了普京的想法:美国总统在周六表示,乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基“选择不”结束战争,并“暗示”乌克兰人应选出“能够达成协议的新领导人”。实际上,这就是莫斯科所希望的:结束乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的无人机袭击,并用更易于妥协的领导人取代泽连斯基。

Between these two statements, Trump openly expressed what Putin thinks: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky "chose not to" end the war, declared the US president on Saturday, who "suggested" that Ukrainians elect "a new leader who can make a deal." In effect, that's what Moscow wants: an end to Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries and the replacement of Zelensky with a more accommodating leader.

但特朗普宣布的能源停火与普京的计划不一致。超过一年来,克里姆林宫一直通过拒绝任何临时停火来拖延谈判,认为停火将使乌克兰军队有机会重新集结。莫斯科要求达成一项全面和平协议,以“消除冲突的根源”——换句话说,就是按照莫斯科的条件达成协议。因此,特朗普再次制造混乱,令基辅感到惊讶,并在莫斯科引发沉默。

But Trump's announcement of an energy ceasefire doesn't align with Putin's plans. For over a year, the Kremlin had stalled negotiations by refusing any temporary end to fighting, arguing that a pause would allow the Ukrainian army to regroup. Moscow demanded a comprehensive peace agreement to "eliminate the root causes" of the conflict – in other words, an agreement on Moscow's terms. Trump, therefore, has once again sowed confusion, surprising Kyiv and prompting silence in Moscow.