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莫迪领导的印度更公开地与特朗普较量,从“恐怖主义”到关税问题Modi’s India takes on Trump more openly, from ‘terrorism’ to tariffs

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本周在纽约举行的一场活动中,印度外交部长S·贾伊尚卡尔对美国政府提出了直言不讳的评价:美国在处理印度关于“恐怖主义”的关切时表现得缺乏敏感性;对印度的宿敌巴基斯坦态度有所缓和;同时推行以自我为中心的贸易政策,这些政策对全球南方国家造成了过度的不利影响。

Speaking at an event in New York this week, India’s Foreign Affairs Minister S Jaishankar offered a blunt assessment of Washington: It has been an insensitive partner to India’s concerns over “terrorism”; has warmed to its arch-rival Pakistan; and has pursued “self-centered” trade policies that have disproportionately hurt the Global South.

分析人士指出,这种批评性的态度标志着新德里在应对唐纳德·特朗普政府时的立场发生了变化,这背后是两国间紧张关系的不断升级。几十年来,印度一直在与其他友好国家存在分歧的问题上选择在幕后低调处理,避免公开冲突;尤其是在与华盛顿的关系上,这种做法一直得到了美国两党的广泛支持。然而,在经历了数月的紧张局势后,新德里开始更公开地批评美国政府的政策,以应对特朗普执政带来的不稳定性和不确定性。

That tone marks a new edge in how New Delhi is dealing with US President Donald Trump’s administration in Washington, analysts say, on the back of rising bilateral tensions between the capitals. For decades, India has dealt with divisive issues with otherwise friendly nations quietly behind the scenes, away from spectacle. That has especially been New Delhi’s approach with Washington, where the relationship has broadly enjoyed wide bipartisan support. However, after months of tensions, New Delhi is adopting a more openly critical tone towards Washington to address the volatility and uncertainty that Trump brings to the White House.

新德里态度的转变对纳伦德拉·莫迪总理来说也是一个关键时期——他正面临来自国内日益增加的压力和反对派的批评,指责他多次屈服于美国的压力。周三,莫迪与特朗普进行了电话通话,他称这次通话“富有成效”;但这种表述显得非常正式、冷淡,与他过去几年中将特朗普称为“好朋友”的说法形成了鲜明对比。

The changing tune in New Delhi also comes at a critical time for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who faces mounting domestic pressure and criticism from the opposition for allegedly bowing down to US pressure, time and again. On Wednesday, Modi held a telephone call with Trump, which the Indian PM called “productive” — a cold and formal depiction far removed from his description of the US president as a “good friend” in previous years.

查塔姆研究所(Chatham House)的南亚问题高级研究员奇蒂吉·巴杰帕伊(Chietigj Bajpaee)表示,贾伊尚卡尔的言论“如实反映了当前印美关系的真实状况”。他说:“显然,当初印度对特朗普连任抱有极大乐观态度时,两国关系的‘光彩’已经逐渐消退了。”

Chietigj Bajpaee, a senior research fellow for South Asia at the Chatham House think tank, said that Jaishankar’s remarks “offer a frank assessment” on the current state of the India-US relationship. “Clearly, the shine has come off the bilateral relationship after India was initially among the most optimistic about a second Trump term,” he said.

2026年9月26日,印度外交部长苏布拉马尼扬·贾伊尚卡尔在美国纽约联合国总部发表了第81届联合国大会的讲话。[ 了印美之间的矛盾与分歧。

Indian Minister of External Affairs Subrahmanyam Jaishankar addresses the 81st United Nations General Assembly at UN headquarters in New York City, US, September 26, 2026 [Eduardo Munoz/Reuters] India’s pain points Jaishankar addressed frictions between India and the US while speaking at an Asia Society event after the UN General Assembly in New York ended on Monday.

“当我回顾印美关系时,我发现世界上许多国家与美国的关系都更为紧张、更为复杂,”他说,“这或许并不能带来安慰,但这就是现实。”华盛顿是印度最大的贸易伙伴,2025年双边货物贸易额达到了1491亿美元;不过印美贸易仍呈现出印度顺差(顺差金额为584亿美元)的局面。

“If I stand back and look at the [India-US] relationship, I note that much of the world has had a more difficult relationship with the US,” he said. “I mean that may not be a consolation, but that’s a reality.” has been one of the flashpoints. Washington is India’s largest trading partner, with bilateral goods trade reaching $149.1 billion in 2025; but the relationship remains tilted towards India with a $58.4 billion goods surplus.

贾伊尚卡尔首先指出:“各国不应过于以自我为中心,只关注自己的利益,而忽视对他国的影响。”他特别提到了伊朗和乌克兰战争带来的经济连锁反应,强调“基本的常识”应确保各国的基本需求不会被忽视。

Jaishankar started by noting: “Countries should not be so self-centred that you’re in your own world and take your decision and say, ‘Well, it was not my intention to make your life difficult’.”The minister was partly referring to the economic spillover of the wars in Iran and Ukraine, urging that “sound common sense” should ensure that the basic needs of countries were not neglected.

随后,他谈到了印美之间的贸易谈判:虽然双方已经制定了达成协议的路线图,但至今尚未真正达成任何实质性协议。他强调:“除了人均收入差距外,两国的生产方式和社会结构也存在巨大差异。”

But then, he referred to the trade negotiations between India and the US, that have so far yielded a roadmap to a deal — but not a deal itself. “Apart from the per capita gap between India and the United States, the nature of production and the nature of society is very different,” he noted.

农业领域一直是双方争议最大的焦点之一,印度数十年来一直对其市场保持高度封闭,以保护本国农民利益。“人们曾期望谈判能迅速取得进展,但现实情况要复杂得多,这种预期受到了严峻考验,”他表示,并补充道,“在贸易协议方面,双方已基本达成共识。”此前,印度曾是美国总统特朗普施加的最严厉关税税率的目标国之一。

The agricultural sector has been among the most contested points between the two, where India has kept its market largely closed for decades to safeguard its farmers. “The expectation that it could rapidly move forward was tested against the ground reality, which was much more complex,” he said, adding that “there is more or less an understanding on the trade agreement.”At one point, India was among the countries facing the worst tariff rates imposed by Trump.

今年二月,美国最高法院裁定特朗普的全面关税政策无效后,其政府迅速转向其他手段,包括实施新的10%全球关税。本月早些时候,特朗普签署了一项法律,允许美国对购买俄罗斯石油的国家(如印度)征收高达100%的关税。

After the US Supreme Court struck down Trump’s sweeping tariffs in February, his administration swiftly turned to other tools, including a new 10 percent global tariff. Earlier this month, Trump signed a law under which the US can impose up to 100 percent tariffs on countries like India that purchase Russian oil.

贾尚卡尔指出了这些变化,指出谈判“去年给双边关系带来了一些波折”,并补充说,一旦协议达成,“将有助于改善双边关系”。曾担任加拿大和巴基斯坦高级专员以及波兰大使的退休外交官阿贾伊·比萨里亚(Ajay Bisaria)告诉半岛电视台,特别是针对华盛顿方面,“印度决定更加公开表态,因为外界存在大量公开批评,且有一种情绪认为美国在欺凌印度,而印度此前一直保持沉默”。

Jaishankar pointed to these changes, noting that the negotiations created “bumps last year for the relationship,” and added that once the deal is closed, it “would contribute to a better relationship.”Ajay Bisaria, a retired diplomat who served as high commissioner to Canada and Pakistan, and as ambassador to Poland, told Al Jazeera that with Washington, in particular, “India has decided to be more public because there has been a lot of public criticism and a sentiment that the US is bullying India and India has been silent.”

比萨里亚表示,即将在不到一个月内生效的对印度征收100%关税的新措施,“目前实际上是双边关系中的一个致命障碍”。“如果这一措施成为现实,那么印度所有[与美国接触的努力]都将受到审视。”“恐怖主义”但贸易并非双边关系中唯一的挑战。去年五月,双方关系出现重大裂痕:在印度控制的克什米尔地区发生武装分子袭击、造成26名平民死亡后,新德里与其宿敌巴基斯坦爆发了一场为期四天的战争。

The new 100 percent tariff on India, due to come into effect in less than a month, “is sort of a deal breaker in the relationship right now,” said Bisaria. “If that becomes reality, then all Indian efforts [to reach out to the US] would come under scrutiny.”‘Terrorism’But trade isn’t the only challenge in the relationship. A major rupture emerged in May last year, when New Delhi engaged in a four-day war with its bitter neighbour, Pakistan, after an attack by armed fighters in Indian-administered Kashmir killed 26 civilians.

新德里被抢了风头,因为特朗普总统宣布停火,并声称他威胁两国,若不停止战斗将对其经济造成损害。对印度而言,任何关于克什米尔的问题都是与巴基斯坦之间的严格双边事务,不容许所谓第三方干预。

New Delhi was upstaged as President Trump announced a ceasefire, claiming that he threatened both countries with economic damage if they didn’t stop fighting. For India, any question on Kashmir is strictly bilateral with Pakistan, with no room for so-called third-party intervention.

尽管如此,特朗普多次声称是他促成了这一关键停火——最近一次是在纽约联合国大会上——该停火结束了两个核武器邻国之间的战争。印度对这些说法感到不满。

Nevertheless, Trump has gone on to claim dozens of times that he brokered the crucial ceasefire — as recently as at the UNGA in New York — that halted the war between two nuclear-armed neighbours. India took offence to these claims.

另一方面,巴基斯坦领导人亲近特朗普,给予高度赞扬,并提名他角逐诺贝尔和平奖。自那以后,伊斯兰堡与华盛顿的关系日益密切,令新德里明显感到不快。

On the other hand, Pakistan’s leaders cozied up to Trump, showered high praise, and nominated him for a Nobel Peace Prize. Since then, the relationship between Islamabad and Washington has bloomed, to New Delhi’s obvious irk.

贾尚卡尔表示,对印度而言,“特别是恐怖主义问题至关重要”。“作为一个国家,或许很少有国家像我们这样,遭受来自邻国作为长期、有意识政策一部分的恐怖主义袭击,”贾尚卡尔在提及巴基斯坦时表示。

For India, Jaishankar said, “particularly important is the issue of terrorism.”“As a country, perhaps there are very few countries which have been subjected to the kind of terrorism that we have from a neighbour as part of a deliberate, conscious policy over many, many decades,” Jaishankar said, referring to Pakistan.

“现在,如果对我们如此重要的事情,对方缺乏足够的理解、认可或同理心,我认为这也会造成问题,”他补充说,印度的主要关切“未得到”其伙伴美国的充分理解。

“Now, if something which matters so deeply to us, there isn’t enough understanding or appreciation or empathy of that, I think that creates a problem too,” he said, adding that India’s primary concerns are “not fully appreciated” by its partner, the US.

前外交官比萨里亚表示,新德里在应对华盛顿时语气的转变“是从其经验中吸取的教训”。“在停火问题之后,双方的情绪发生了变化——而且情况变得更糟了。”

New Delhi’s changing tone while addressing Washington “is a lesson learnt from its experiences,” said Bisaria, the former diplomat. “After the ceasefire issue, the moods changed — and it all became worse.”

总部位于新德里的智库“观察者研究基金会”副总裁哈尔什·潘特表示,“特朗普政府痴迷于巴基斯坦问题,却未考虑印度的敏感情绪,这加剧了一种看法,即我们必须开始明确表达立场。”潘特在接受半岛电视台采访时,针对贾尚卡尔的言论指出:“当在最高层面看不到互惠时,计算方式就会改变,决策者便会选择将分歧公开化。”

Harsh Pant, vice president of the Observer Research Foundation, a New Delhi-based think tank, said that “the obsession with Pakistan in the Trump administration without taking India’s sensitivities into account contributed to the sense that, look, we need to start articulating it.”“When at the top level, you don’t see reciprocity, then calculations change and decisions are taken to bring differences out in the open,” Pant told Al Jazeera, referring to Jaishankar’s comments.

印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪在法国埃维昂莱班举行的七国集团峰会期间,于文化表演和音乐会前的家庭合影中向美国总统唐纳德·特朗普伸出手 [Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters]国内压力印度人是美国H-1B签证计划的最大受益者,该计划允许雇主聘用在专业领域受过培训的外国工人。但这一计划受到了特朗普的抨击。在其任内,华盛顿提高了申请人的门槛和费用,与此同时,其“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)运动的支持者对该计划的批评日益增多。

India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi offers a hand to US President Donald Trump during a family photo before a cultural performance and concert during the G7 summit, in Evian-les-Bains, France, June 16, 2026 [Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters] Domestic Pressure Indians have been the biggest beneficiaries of the US’s H1B programme which allows hiring of foreign workers with training in specialty fields. But that has come under fire from Trump, under whose watch Washington has raised barriers and fees for applicants, amid growing criticism of the scheme from supporters of his MAGA movement.

贾尚卡尔在提及特朗普的反移民政治时说道:“多年来,人员流动一直被视为一种经济收益。如今,至少在部分领域,人员流动的经济逻辑与政治逻辑相互冲突。”这位部长表示:“这当然在公众认知中是一个问题。”

“For many years, mobility was seen as an economic gain. Today the economics of mobility and the politics of mobility are at odds with each other, at least in some quarters,” Jaishankar said, referring to Trump’s anti-immigration politics. “That certainly in public perception is an issue,” the minister said.

新德里的国内压力似乎终于开始显现。“莫迪正感受到国内压力,明年将举行关键的地方选举,尤其是在存在一定反执政党情绪的背景下,”比萨里亚表示。“这意味着政府的姿态不应是任由美国欺凌。”

Domestic pressure appears to be finally catching up in New Delhi. “Modi is feeling domestic pressure, with key state elections coming up next year, especially amid some anti-incumbency,” said Bisaria. “It dictates that the government’s posture should not be one of taking bullying from the US.”

潘特指出,像移民这类问题影响着印度普通民众,印度拥有全球最大的人口。多年来,这种联系使美国成为“大量印度人的有吸引力伙伴”。但他表示,如今“同样的问题正成为关系中的负面拖累”。“印度公众对美国的情绪也在明显转变。我认为政府现在正在公开表达这种负面情绪,”潘特说。

Pant said issues like migration impact the general public in India, with the world’s largest population. For years, such connections made the US “an attractive partner for a large mass of Indians.”But today, he said,”the same issues are becoming a negative drag on the relationship.”“The public mood in India is also changing perceptibly towards the US. And I think the government is articulating that negative sentiment now publicly,” Pant said.

2025年2月13日星期四,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普与印度总理纳伦德拉·莫迪在华盛顿白宫东厅举行的新闻发布会上握手。“等待特朗普过去”当特朗普重返白宫开启第二个总统任期时,新德里战略界许多人曾对双边关系持乐观态度,因为美国前总统在第一个任期内与莫迪总理保持着良好的个人关系。但在随后的几个月里,局势开始恶化。

President Donald Trump and India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi shake hands during a news conference in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, February 13, 2025, in Washington. ‘Waiting out Trump’When Trump returned to the White House for his second presidential run, many in New Delhi’s strategic community were optimistic about bilateral relations, because of the US president’s warm personal relations with PM Modi during his first term. But things unravelled in the coming months.

不过,查塔姆研究所的巴贾皮表示,尽管美印分歧不断扩大,“双方都尚未放弃修复关系”。

Still, Chatham House’s Bajpaee said that despite widening divisions between the US and India, “both have not given up on reviving their relationship”.

他援引了贾尚卡尔的言论,指出印度并非唯一与美国关系紧张的国家。“相反,美印关系的下滑反映了特朗普政府交易性、且往往难以预测或反复无常的外交政策,”他告诉半岛电视台。

He pointed to Jaishankar’s remarks that India isn’t singled out in having a difficult relationship with the US. “Rather, the downturn in India-US relations is a reflection of the Trump administration’s transactional and often unpredictable or erratic foreign policy,” he told Al Jazeera.

“这为未来关系重置提供了潜在的出路。达成双边贸易协定是观察这一进程的关键节点,”巴贾皮补充道。

“This offers a potential off-ramp for an eventual reset in relations. The conclusion of a bilateral trade agreement is a key watchpoint for this,” Bajpaee added.

潘特表示,对新德里而言,“现在的问题只是等待特朗普任期结束”。不过,他笑着补充说,印度在这条等待的队伍中并非孤例。

For New Delhi, Pant said, “it is now just the question of waiting Mr. Trump out.”Though he added, with a laugh, that India is not alone in that queue.

“所有人都在等他退场。特朗普总统对国际交往的惯例和规范几乎毫无尊重。你该如何应对这样一个人?”潘特说道。

“Everyone is waiting him out. President Trump has little respect for conventions and norms of inter-state behaviour. How do you just deal with that individual?”Pant said.