《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学的最新民调显示，民主党在五个长期支持共和党的州中表现强劲，正试图在这些州翻转参议院席位，以赢得参议院的控制权。
Senate Races in Republican States Tilt Toward Democrats, Polls Find Democrats are performing strongly in five reliably Republican states where they are trying to flip Senate seats to win control of the chamber, new New York Times/Siena polls found.
距离中期选举还有一个月，根据《纽约时报》/锡耶纳大学的最新民调，民主党在五个长期支持共和党的州中已取得领先，或在激烈竞争中实现平局或接近平局，他们正试图在这些州翻转参议院席位，以赢得参议院的控制权。
A month before the midterm elections, Democrats have opened leads or battled their way to ties or near-ties in five reliably Republican states where they are trying to flip Senate seats to win control of the chamber, according to new New York Times/Siena University polls.
民调显示，在得克萨斯州和阿拉斯加州这两个一贯支持共和党的州，民主党在可能投票的选民中处于领先地位。在多年来逐渐向右倾的俄亥俄州，民主党也拥有微弱优势。共和党在艾奥瓦州则略有领先，而在自1932年以来从未选举过民主党参议员的堪萨斯州，民主党与共和党的支持率则不相上下。
Democrats lead among likely voters in the Senate races in Texas and Alaska, two states that consistently vote Republican, the polls found. They have an edge in Ohio, which has been tilting rightward for years. Republicans have a slim edge in Iowa, and Democrats are neck-and-neck with Republicans in Kansas, which has not voted for a Democratic senator since 1932.
民调指出，特朗普总统的极低支持率、民众对伊朗战争的反对，以及对高油价和物价上涨的不满，正在重塑选举格局。
President Trump’s deep unpopularity, disapproval of the Iran war and frustration over high gas prices and the cost of living are reshaping the electoral landscape, the polls found.
综合来看，尽管中期选举前的选区划分对共和党有利，但最新民调显示，民主党仍有多条途径可以夺回参议院多数席位。要赢得参议院控制权，民主党需要在三个关键战场州保住现有席位的同时，翻转四个由共和党控制的席位，这是一项艰巨的任务。
Taken together, the new polls suggest that the Democrats have multiple paths to retake the Senate majority, despite a challenging map that had favored Republicans going into the midterms. To win Senate control, Democrats need to flip four Republican-held seats while holding on to their current seats in three battleground states, a difficult task.
但已有迹象表明，这一目标正变得越来越有可能。周五，一个重要的共和党超级政治行动委员会（super PAC）宣布撤回对北卡罗来纳州参议院竞选的资金支持，表明该党对该州能否守住席位并不乐观。这个名为“参议院领导基金”（Senate Leadership Fund）的超级政治行动委员会计划将资源转向堪萨斯州，因为共和党对该州能否守住席位日益担忧。
But there are signs that it is increasingly possible. On Friday, a top Republican super PAC pulled its money out of the Senate race in North Carolina, signaling that the party is not optimistic about being able to defend its seat there. The super PAC, called the Senate Leadership Fund, plans to redirect resources to Kansas, where Republicans have growing concerns about holding their seat.
这些民调显示，民主党在这些共和党主导的州中竞争力正在增强。以下是关于这些《纽约时报》/锡耶纳民调的关键信息：您可以在这里查看完整结果和详细的方法论。如果您想了解我们如何进行民意调查以及其背后的原因，可以在这里查看常见问题解答，并提交您自己的问题。
The polling suggests Democrats are increasingly competitive in these Republican states. Here are the key things to know about these New York Times/Siena polls: You can see full results and a detailed methodology here. If you want toabout how and why we conduct our polls, you can see answers to frequently asked questions and submit your own questions here.