
消息人士周一表示,日本央行正考虑得出结论,认为日本的基础通胀率已达到约2%。
The Bank of Japan is considering making a conclusion that the country’s underlying inflation rate has reached around 2%, sources said Monday.
日本央行将在10月29日开始的为期两天货币政策会议结束后,最早于10月30日在下一季度《经济活动和价格展望》报告中表达这一看法。
The central bank will express its view as early as Oct. 30 in its next quarterly Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices report, to be released after the upcoming two-day monetary policy meeting from Oct. 29.
随着企业日益将更高的成本转嫁给消费者,人们认为日本央行2%的通胀目标触手可及。
With companies increasingly passing on higher costs to consumers, the BOJ’s 2% inflation target is believed to be coming within reach.
日本央行在制定货币政策时重视剔除暂时性因素的基础价格趋势。该行曾表示,基础通胀率将在2026财年下半年至2027财年之间的某个时候达到2%。
The BOJ attaches importance to underlying price trends, which exclude temporary factors, in formulating its monetary policy. The bank has said that the underlying inflation rate will reach 2% sometime between the second half of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027.
日本央行行长植田和男9月在最新一次货币政策会议结束后的新闻发布会上表示,基础通胀率“基本上正在达到2%”。关注焦点将是基础通胀率能否稳定在2%左右。日本央行认为,通胀存在再次放缓或涨速超出预期的风险。该行将密切关注基础通胀率能否维持在2%左右。
BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda told a news conference after the latest monetary policy meeting in September that the underlying inflation rate “is more or less reaching 2%.”The focus will be whether the underlying rate will stabilize around 2%. The BOJ believes there is a risk that inflation could slow again or rise faster than it expects. It will closely monitor whether the underlying rate will remain around 2%.
这一2%的通胀目标载于日本央行与日本政府2013年发布的联合声明,与总务省公布的价格指数(CPI)挂钩。但该指数容易受到暂时性因素影响。
The 2% inflation target, included in a 2013 joint statement between the BOJ and the government, is linked to the consumer price index (CPI), disclosed by the internal affairs ministry. But the index is swayed by temporary factors.
8月,受到密切关注的剔除生鲜食品价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.7%,但其涨幅受到政府汽油补贴负面影响的抑制。
In August, the closely followed core CPI, which excludes fresh food prices, rose 1.7% from a year earlier, with its rise curbed by the negative impact of government gasoline subsidies.
日本央行预计,如果基础通胀率维持在2%左右,暂时性因素消退后,CPI也将逐步稳定在这一水平。基础通胀率若保持在2%左右,该行的通胀目标便有望实现。
The BOJ expects that if the underlying inflation rate remains around 2%, the CPI will also stabilize around that level over time after temporary factors fade away. The central bank’s inflation target would be achieved if the underlying rate stays around 2%.