
共和党在中期选举竞选中聚焦犯罪和公共秩序问题,因为选民对其应对生活成本和与伊朗战争的方式感到沮丧。
Republicans are focusing on crime and public disorder in midterm election campaigns, as voters grow frustrated with their handling of the cost of living and the war with Iran.
马特·布朗 华盛顿报道 —— 政治广告警告民主党密谋削减警察经费。竞选活动邀请执法工会参与,并发表关于法律与秩序的强硬言论。巡回演讲吹嘘暴力犯罪率降至历史低位。从海岸到海岸,共和党在中期竞选中聚焦公共秩序、非法移民和暴力犯罪,因为选民对该党应对生活成本和与伊朗战争的方式感到厌倦。
MATT BROWN WASHINGTON — Political advertising warns about Democratic plots to defund the police. Campaign events feature law enforcement unions and tough talk about law and order. Stump speeches boast about record low levels of violent crime From coast to coast, Republicans are focusing on public disorder, illegal immigration and violent crime in midterm campaigns as voters sour on their party’s handling of the cost of living and the war with Iran.
这种信息传递反映了一种信念:尽管唐纳德·特朗普因向一名色情明星支付封口费而拥有犯罪记录,成为唯一被判重罪的总统,但“无法无天”在中期选举中仍是更安全的政治立足点。民主党试图通过招募有执法背景的候选人并强调自己的反犯罪计划来反击,但共和党认为这是在另一个充满挑战的年份中难得的进攻机会。
The messaging reflects a belief that lawlessness is safer political ground in the midterms despite Donald Trump’s own criminal record for paying hush money to a porn star, making him the only president to be convicted of a felony. Democrats have tried to counter the attacks by recruiting candidates with law enforcement backgrounds and emphasizing their own anti-crime plans, but Republicans believe it’s a rare opportunity to go on the offensive in an otherwise challenging year.
“你们知道吗,现在美国的暴力犯罪率是126年来最低?因为我们强调法治,”众议院议长迈克·约翰逊最近在路易斯安那州立大学对听众说道。犯罪率自20世纪90年代以来总体呈下降趋势,仅在新冠疫情期间短暂飙升。“我们拥有过去半个世纪最安全的边境。”特朗普周一晚在内布拉斯加州重提这一话题,警告他在重返白宫前国家的状况。“我们曾有边境人员涌入,犯罪前所未见,”他说。
“Do you know that right now we have the lowest violent crime rate in 126 years in America right now? Because we emphasize the rule of law,” House Speaker Mike Johnson recently told an audience at Louisiana State University. Crime rates have generally trended down since the 1990s with a brief spike during the COVID pandemic. “We have the most secure border we have had in the past half century.”Trump returned to the topic on Monday night in Nebraska warning about how the country used to be before he returned to the White House. “We had a border with people pouring in, crime like nobody’s ever seen,” he said.
共和党人称民主党将“削减警察经费” 在佐治亚州、密歇根州、内华达州、得克萨斯州和威斯康星州,竞选州长的共和党候选人纷纷攻击其民主党对手在打击犯罪上软弱,或警告他们可能削减警力经费。例如,得克萨斯州州长格雷格·阿博特猛烈抨击民主党提名人、州众议员吉娜·伊诺霍萨,指责她不支持一项立法,该立法将要求法官拒绝向被控暴力犯罪的非法移民提供保释。
Republicans say Democrats will ‘defund the police’ In Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Texas and Wisconsin, Republican candidates for governor have attacked their Democratic rivals as weak on crime or warned they could cut police funding. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, for instance, has lambasted Democratic nominee and state Rep. Gina Hinojosa for not supporting legislation that would require judges to deny bail to illegal immigrants charged with a violent crime.
伊诺霍萨以其民权律师的资历为竞选卖点,并批评阿博特的犯罪政策侵犯公民自由。
Hinojosa has campaigned on her tenure as a civil rights lawyer and criticized Abbott’s crime policies as violating civil liberties.
在佐治亚州,亿万富翁医疗高管里克·杰克逊竞选州长,多次攻击民主党对手、前亚特兰大市长基莎·兰斯·博托姆斯的任内表现。
Rick Jackson, a billionaire healthcare executive running in Georgia, has repeatedly attacked Democratic opponent Keisha Lance Bottoms over her tenure as Atlanta mayor.
“我成长于基莎·兰斯·博托姆斯抛弃的那种社区,”杰克逊在夏季的一场竞选集会上说。“我知道当政客削减警察经费时,谁会受到伤害。”在接受亚特兰大电视台11Alive采访时,博托姆斯强调其政府曾给警察和消防员加薪,并表示担任市长期间曾呼吁增加联邦公共安全经费。犯罪警告渗透国会竞选 美国众议院竞选也呈现类似局面。
“I grew up in the type of neighborhood Keisha Lance Bottoms abandoned,” Jackson said at a summer campaign rally. “I know who gets hurt when politicians defund the police.”In an interview with Atlanta station 11Alive Bottoms emphasized that her administration gave pay raises to police and firefighters, and said she called for increased federal funding for public safety during her time as mayor. Crime warnings pervade congressional races It’s a similar story in U.S. House races.
在弗吉尼亚州的第一国会选区,众议员罗布·惠特曼(Rob Wittman)攻击了他的民主党对手、前县检察官香农·泰勒(Shannon Taylor),称她在任职期间的“对犯罪软弱”记录。在密歇根州第十选区,共和党人迈克尔·布沙尔(Michael Bouchard)正在竞选铜星陆军上尉和当地长期治安官的儿子。他声称他的民主党对手、前检察官克里斯蒂娜·海因斯支持“觉醒、对犯罪软弱的社会主义政策”。
In Virginia’s first congressional district, Rep. Rob Wittman has attacked his Democratic opponent Shannon Taylor, a former county prosecutor, over her allegedly “soft on crime” record in office. In Michigan’s 10th district, Republican Michael Bouchard is running on his service as a Bronze Star Army captain and son of a longtime local sheriff. He’s claimed his Democratic opponent, former prosecutor Christina Hines, supports “woke, soft on crime, socialist policies.”
在科罗拉多州第八选区,众议员加布·埃文斯(Gabe Evans)与民主党挑战者曼尼·鲁蒂内尔(Manny Rutinel)共度警察时光。在威斯康星州的第三选区,众议员德里克·范·奥登希望通过将她描绘成一个想要取消对警察资金的共产主义者来赢得第三场与民主党候选人丽贝卡·库克的竞选。
In Colorado’s eighth district, Rep. Gabe Evans touts his time as a police officer against Democratic challenger Manny Rutinel. And in Wisconsin’s third district, Rep. Derrick Van Orden hopes to win a third race against Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke by painting her as a communist who wants to defund the police.
共和党人希望,通过再次发出有关犯罪和骚乱的警告,该党能够重振他们幻灭的基础,并赢回因负担能力等担忧而摇摆不定的持怀疑态度的温和派选民。
Republicans hope that by reprising warnings of crime and disorder the party can reenergize their disillusioned base and win back skeptical moderate voters who have drifted over concerns like affordability.
民主党竞争对手也做出了同样的回应。泰勒播放了一则广告,其中有13名当地治安官支持她的竞选活动。鲁蒂内尔与当地警方一起播放了广告,并推出了一项安全计划,呼吁增加警方资金和毒品预防计划。海因斯表示,她将继续优先考虑公共安全并起诉华盛顿的腐败行为。库克发誓要为国会警察部门提供全额资金。民主党人指出特朗普的犯罪记录,该策略是否有效还有待观察。
Democratic rivals have responded in kind. Taylor aired an ad featuring 13 local sheriffs who endorsed her campaign. Rutinel aired ads with local police and rolled out a safety plan that called for greater police funding and drug prevention programs. Hines said she’ll continue to prioritize public safety and prosecute corruption in Washington. Cooke has vowed to fully fund police departments in Congress. Democrats point to Trump’s criminal record It’s yet to be seen if the strategy will prove effective.
密苏里州共和党参议员、前州总检察长埃里克·施密特(Eric Schmitt)表示:“我们必须谈谈这个问题。我认为,在很多方面,我们都是自己成功的受害者,因为它不再是头条新闻。”“现在拥有完全安全的边境,甚至没有人谈论它。但这与我们以前相比是一项巨大的成就。”AP-NORC 9月份进行的一项民意调查发现,边境安全--特朗普和共和党人经常将边境安全与犯罪联系起来--是特朗普的相对优势,48%的美国成年人表示他们认可他在这个问题上的表现。
“We’ve got to talk about it. I think that in many ways, we are the victim of our own success because it’s off the headlines a little bit more,” said Sen. Eric Schmitt, a Missouri Republican and former state attorney general. “Having a completely secure border now, no one even talks about it. But that’s a huge accomplishment from where we were at before.”An AP-NORC poll conducted in September found that border security — which Trump and Republicans often link to crime — was a relative strength for Trump, with 48% of U.S. adults saying they approved of his performance on the issue.
但这与一年前相比仍然有所下降,当时他对边境安全的支持率为55%。并非党内所有人都相信共和党人大肆宣扬犯罪信息。
But that was still a decline from a year ago, when his approval on border security was at 55%. Not everyone in the party is sold on Republicans rehashing the crime message.
“我不认为这是选民面临的一个主要问题,”今年选择不寻求连任的北卡罗来纳州共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯(Thom Tillis)说。为了让蒂利斯的继任者竞选成为一场关于犯罪的全民公投,共和党人投放广告,声称民主党候选人罗伊·库珀在州长官邸的两届任期内对罪犯手下留情。
“I don’t see that bubbling up as a major issue for the voters,” said Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican who chose not to seek reelection this year. Aiming to make the race to succeed Tillis a referendum on crime, Republicans have run ads claiming that Democratic nominee Roy Cooper went easy on convicts during his two terms in the governor’s mansion.
黑人政治领导人批评这些广告是种族主义的,让人想起过去共和党竞选活动中使用狗哨来吸引郊区白人选民。
Black political leaders have criticized the ads as racist and reminiscent of past Republican campaigns that used dog whistles to appeal to suburban white voters.
特朗普在为库珀的共和党竞争对手迈克尔·沃特利(Michael Whatley)竞选的集会上援引了1988年臭名昭著的“威利·霍顿(Willie Horton)”广告,并在巨型显示器上展示了数十张有色人种的照片,明确表达了这一信息。
Trump made the message explicit when he invoked the infamous 1988 “Willie Horton” ad and displayed dozens of mugshots of men of color on a jumbotron during a rally stumping for Michael Whatley, Cooper’s Republican rival.
与该党的信息形成鲜明对比的是,蒂利斯指出了该州近年来的安全。
In contrast to his party’s messaging, Tillis noted his state’s safety in recent years.
“坦率地说,当我听到有人谈论夏洛特的犯罪时,我住的地方距离市中心有25分钟路程。我不担心晚上穿过夏洛特,”蒂利斯说。
“Frankly, when I hear somebody talking about crime in Charlotte, I live 25 minutes from downtown. I’m not worried about walking through Charlotte at night,” said Tillis.
全国民主党人认为,共和党人关于暴力犯罪的信息受到特朗普政府强硬的移民执法行动的削弱,该行动导致1月份两名美国抗议者被杀,多名无证人员被枪杀。他们指责特朗普腐败,并抨击共和党人涉嫌参与总统的自我交易。
National Democrats contend that Republicans’ message on violent crime is undercut by the Trump administration’s hardline immigration enforcement actions, which resulted in the killing of two American protesters in January and the fatal shootings of multiple undocumented people. They accuse Trump of corruption and have hammered Republicans for alleged complicity in the president’s self-dealing.
“这是我们见过的最大的犯罪组织,”现任白宫的亚利桑那州民主党参议员鲁本·加列戈说。
“This is the biggest criminal organization that we’ve ever seen,” said Sen. Ruben Gallego, an Arizona Democrat, of the current White House.
他补充说,“民主党人应该反击这样一个事实,如果不是因为他是总统,这个家伙现在就会领导某种黑手党。”
He added that, “Democrats should be pushing back with the fact that, if not for the fact that he was president, this guy would be leading some type of mafia right now.”
白宫发言人劳伦·比斯(Lauren Bis)表示,“极端民主党人正试图转移对犯罪议程的激进软弱态度。”
Lauren Bis, a White House spokeswoman, said “extreme Democrats are trying to deflect from their radical soft on crime agenda.”