共和党人急需一个统一的宣传口径，而特朗普却不断制造新闻热点。
Republicans want a message. Trump keeps making news.
没人指望特朗普能严守宣传纪律，但不少人原本期望他本人或其幕僚至少能在竞选最后几周减少那些分散注意力的事件。发布时间：2026年10月18日18时00分2026年10月16日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在华盛顿特区的白宫南草坪上对记者发表讲话。
No one counts on Trump for message discipline, but some had hoped that he or his staff would at least limit the distractions in the final weeks of the campaign. Published: 2026-10-18T18:00:00Z President Donald Trump speaks to reporters on the South Lawn of the White House on Oct. 16, 2026 in Washington, D.C.
在中期选举前的最后两周，共和党人疲于应付特朗普引发的种种风波。
Republicans are playing whack-a-mole with President Donald Trump in the final two weeks of the midterms.
共和党候选人们竭力强调《一项宏伟而美好的法案》中的减税措施、特朗普为儿童群体所做的努力以及他在降低处方药价格方面的政绩。
GOP candidates are desperate to stick to tax cuts in the One Big Beautiful Bill, Trump accounts for children and the president’s work to lower the cost of prescription drugs.
然而在选举最后阶段，特朗普及其政府却迫使共和党人不得不应对一系列突发事件：比如福特胡德枪击案凶手被行刑的直播画面、由纳税人资金资助的特朗普政绩宣传广告，还有他与俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京达成的旨在降低柴油价格的协议。最近特朗普还决定不对已故参议员林赛·格雷厄姆推动的新制裁法案实施于俄罗斯，这一举动甚至引发了南卡罗来纳州参议员达琳·格雷厄姆的温和批评——她是林赛·格雷厄姆的妹妹，目前正在竞选连任。
Instead, in the midterms’ final stretch, Trump and his administration have forced Republicans on the trail to respond to live streaming the firing squad execution of the Fort Hood shooter, his taxpayer-funded political ads promoting his achievements and an announced deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin to try to bring down diesel costs. His latest move, exempting Russia from a new sanctions law sponsored by the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, even provoked mild criticism on Saturday from South Carolina Sen. Darline Graham, the late senator's sister who is running for re-election.
特朗普还攻击起共和党人：他指责众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查发布的广告批评了他的移民政策；批评阿肯色州参议员汤姆·科顿阻碍夏令时相关法案的通过；周四，他又抨击得克萨斯州参议员约翰·科宁——特朗普此举实际上断送了科宁的政治生涯；此外他还指责资深共和党策略师卡尔·罗夫损害了得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿的参议员竞选前景。
He’s also attacking Republicans: Rep. María Elvira Salazar for her ad targeting his immigration policies ; Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) for holding up a daylight saving time bill and, on Thursday, Texas Sen. John Cornyn, whose political career Trump effectively ended, as well as veteran GOP strategist Karl Rove, for hurting Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s Senate campaign .
接连不断的突发事件让众多共和党人不知所措。他们面临着在阿拉斯加州、艾奥瓦州、堪萨斯州及得克萨斯州等共和党大本营失去参议院席位的风险，对保住众议院控制权的希望也愈发渺茫。
The deluge has left many Republicans rudderless as they stare down the prospect of losing Senate seats in Republican strongholds like Alaska, Iowa, Kansas and Texas, and feeling increasingly despondent about their chances of keeping the House.
“我们正在同时了解很多这些事情，就像选民、民主党和其他人一样，这让事情变得更难以应对，”一位正在参与众议院和参议院竞选工作的资深共和党人士说，和本文中的其他人一样，他也获得了匿名，以便评估总统信息传递的影响。“你经常会措手不足，而且被期望实时做出反应。”
“We're learning about a lot of these things at the same time that the voters and the Democrats and everybody else is, and that just makes it a lot more difficult to navigate,” said one senior GOP operative working on House and Senate campaigns, who like others in this story was granted anonymity to assess the impact of the president’s messaging. “You're caught flat-footed a lot of the time, and you're expected to react to things in real time.”
在第二个任期的中期，没有人指望特朗普在信息上保持纪律。但随着他的民调降至历史最低点，而共和党人面临二十年来最艰难的选举前景，一些人曾希望他或他的团队至少能在竞选最后几周限制这些花边新闻。
Midway through a second term, no one counts on Trump for message discipline. But with his polls as low as they’ve ever been and Republicans facing their toughest election prospects in two decades, some had hoped that he or his staff would at least limit the sideshows in the final weeks of the campaign.
“他一直在分心，”一位正在参与多场中期选举的共和党人士说，“而且没有专注于选民关心的事情。这简直疯狂。”
“He has constantly been distracted,” said one GOP operative working on multiple midterm races, “and not focused on what the voters care about. It’s insane.”
这些头痛问题并不是导致选民不满或在特朗普在2024年以双位数优势赢得的州出现胶着竞争的原因。共和党承认，他们的一些候选人确实表现不好，而民主党的候选人确实表现很好——而且他们正面临一场残酷的中期选举周期，选民对总统发动的战争感到愤怒，并将其导致的更高油价归咎于他。
These headaches are not responsible for voter dissatisfaction or tight races in states Trump won by double digits in 2024. Republicans concede that some of their candidates are genuinely bad, Democratic ones are genuinely good — and they’re facing a brutal midterm cycle where voters are angry at the war the president started and blaming him for the higher gas prices it’s caused.
即便是特朗普也承认形势不好。他经常说，总统所属的政党在中期选举周期中经常失利。他坚持认为这场战争是必要的，以防止伊朗获得核武器，但他知道这正在让美国人在加油站付出更多代价。
Even Trump acknowledges the environment is bad. He routinely says that the president’s party often loses in midterm cycles. He maintains that the war was necessary to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons but knows it is costing Americans at the pump.
一些分散华盛顿政治精力的头条新闻——比如金伯利·吉尔福耶（Kimberly Guilfoyle），即美国驻希腊大使的辞职，或者围绕总统两位顶级政治助手在巴尔干地区工作的争议——不太可能在普通选民中引起广泛关注。
Some of the headlines distracting Washington’s political class — like the resignation of Kimberly Guilfoyle , U.S. ambassador to Greece, or the controversy surrounding the work two of the president’s top political aides in the Balkans — are unlikely to break through with average voters.
但另有86%的美国人，包括80%的共和党人，认为总统主导的纳税人资助广告是不恰当的，据近期路透社/伊普索斯民调显示。而总统提议从俄罗斯进口柴油的提案引发争议，导致密歇根州的参议员候选人迈克·罗杰斯、阿拉斯加州的丹·沙利文和爱荷华州的阿什利·欣森等几位共和党参议员公开反对。
But others have: 86% of Americans, including 80% of Republicans, said that the taxpayer-funded ads featuring the president were inappropriate, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll . And the president’s proposal to import diesel from Russia was so controversial that several Republican Senate candidates — Mike Rogers in Michigan, Dan Sullivan in Alaska and Ashley Hinson in Iowa — came out against it.
虽然预期总统不会在竞选期间进行详细政策演讲，但共和党人表示，特朗普的攻击和失误在民主党已占上风的选举周期中是不必要的麻烦。
While no one expects the president to take to the stump with a detailed policy speech, Republicans say that Trump’s attacks and misadventures are headaches they don’t need in a cycle where Democrats already have the upper hand.
“共和党通常会依赖白宫制定主题信息，”本周早些时候，前白宫顾问卡尔·罗夫在特朗普批评他之前表示。“看看上周每一天，白宫的信息是什么？几乎没有建设性的内容。”随后罗夫拒绝回应特朗普的最新攻击。
“Republicans would normally be counting on the White House to set a meta message,” Rove said earlier this week before Trump called him out. “Look at each day last week. What was the message from the White House? Little of it was constructive.”Rove then declined to respond to Trump’s latest barb.
特朗普最亲近的政治幕僚认为，总统在竞选中是净收益。他能提升投票热情并改变选民构成，足以助推共和党胜利。但这意味着必须将特朗普整体视为一个整体。
Trump’s closest political aides argue the president is a net positive on the trail. He can juice turnout and change the makeup of the electorate enough to nudge a Republican to victory. But that means taking Trump as a whole package.
“把特朗普从选举周期中剔除出去根本不现实，”一位熟悉MAGA Inc.（特朗普阵营超级政治行动委员会）思路的高级共和党人说。
“The idea that you can remove Trump from the election cycle is just not real,” said one senior Republican familiar with the thinking of MAGA Inc., the Trump-aligned super PAC.
就批评回应时，全国共和党委员会发言人娜塔莉·巴尔达萨尔表示，“共和党人可以一边走一边嚼口香糖。”
Asked about the criticisms, RNC press secretary Natalie Baldassarre said that “Republicans can walk and chew gum at the same time.”
她补充道：“总统将在未来两周继续遍布全国，在竞选路上突出政府的成就。”
“The president will continue barnstorming the country to highlight the administration's achievements on the campaign trail over the next two weeks,” she added.
白宫发言人戴维斯·英格尔补充道：“现在的选择再明确不过了：要么坚定推行特朗普总统那些广受认可且符合常理的政策，要么选择民主党那些极端自由主义的政策以及他们的阻挠行径。”白宫还列出了一份长长的清单，列举了总统所取得的各项政绩，其中包括他在竞选期间宣布的各项基础设施与制造业相关举措。
White House spokesperson Davis Ingle added that “the choice has never been more clear: doubling down on President Trump’s winning, commonsense agenda or the Democrats’ extreme liberal policies and obstruction.”The White House also provided a lengthy list of the president’s accomplishments, including recent infrastructure and manufacturing announcements he’s made on the campaign trail.
近期白宫内部动荡不安，多位总统高级幕僚相继离职或被要求离任，这无疑加剧了混乱局面。凯蒂·扎卡里亚在就任新闻秘书仅五天后，便于周五离开了该职位。此前，曾任新闻秘书的卡罗琳·莱维特、副幕僚长詹姆斯·布莱尔以及立法事务主管詹姆斯·布雷德，都曾是特朗普的核心亲信，如今也均已离开白宫。就连一直被视为“不可动摇”的幕僚长苏西·怀尔斯，如今也遭到了诸多非议。
It hasn’t helped that turmoil pervades the White House as several of the president’s top aides have left or been asked to leave. Katie Zacharia departed her role as press secretary Friday, five days after she took the job. Former press secretary Karoline Leavitt , deputy chief of staff James Blair and legislative director James Braid , who were once all part of Trump’s inner circle, have left the White House. The knives have even started to come for chief of staff Susie Wiles, who has been long seen as untouchable.
这些幕僚们曾多次试图劝阻总统不要抨击共和党人。他们努力向特朗普解释当下的政治局势，还与各候选人协作，确保他们的言论不会与总统立场相悖。不过这些努力并不总是奏效。
Aides have at points attempted to prevent the president from attacking Republicans. They’ve tried explaining to Trump the politics of the moment and worked with candidates to ensure their messaging doesn’t run afoul of the president. It hasn’t always been successful.
在特朗普指责罗夫与科宁之后，一位来自得克萨斯州的共和党顾问称此举“适得其反”。此人表示：“这样的做法不仅会让我们的选民疏远，还会惹恼我们这些党内人士。”
After Trump attacked Rove and Cornyn, a Texas-based GOP consultant called it “counterproductive.”“Not only are they turning off our voters but they’re also pissing off all of us,” the person said.
特朗普的支持者则坚称，那些忧心忡忡的人不过是那些十年来一直看走眼的“反特朗普派”罢了。他们指出，就在本周，特朗普在阿拉斯加州、亚利桑那州、肯塔基州、乔治亚州以及蒙大拿州都成功举办了集会。
Trump’s defenders insist the handwringing is just never-Trumpers who have been wrong for a decade about the president. They note the successful rallies Trump held just this week in Alaska, Arizona, Kentucky, Georgia and Montana.
“当‘让美国再次伟大’这样的全新政治联盟取得成功时，反对派便会组织力量，招募那些企图制造内部分裂的人，”长期为共和党效力且是特朗普盟友的迈克尔·卡普托说道，“总统团队对这种制造分裂的企图了如指掌，甚至能精准掌握到各个选区的情况。我坚信他们一定会把作为该联盟无可争议的领袖的特朗普派往最能发挥作用的场合。”
“When a novel coalition like MAGA is successful, the opposition organizes and recruits insider dividers,” said Michael Caputo, a longtime GOP operative and Trump ally. “The president’s team knows this divider effort down to the district level. I’m confident they are deploying President Trump, the undisputed leader of this coalition, where he is most effective.”
总统团队寄望于此举能够激发共和党人的投票热情，而不会对本就对总统心怀不满的民主党人产生太大影响。共和党运作人员认为，目前民主党人的投票热情已接近峰值；皮尤研究中心近期的一项民调显示，相较于共和党人，有17个百分点的民主党人表示自己“非常有动力”在11月参与投票。
The president’s team is betting that doing so will boost Republican enthusiasm more than it will energize Democrats already angry with the president. GOP operatives are counting on the fact that Democratic enthusiasm is already near its ceiling, with a recent Pew poll finding that Democrats were 17 percentage points more likely than their Republican counterparts to say they were “extremely motivated” to vote in November.
“这确实是个敏感举措，但我坚信它利大于弊。之所以这么说，是因为无论特朗普采取什么行动，民主党人都会踊跃去投票，这一点已成定局。真正不确定的因素在于：究竟有多少特朗普的支持者会在中期选举中走出家门投票。”前总统乔治·W·布什时期的白宫新闻秘书阿里·弗莱舍说道，“因此我认为总统出面此举几乎不会带来任何负面影响——因为从民主党人的角度来看，他们本来就会去投票。”点击阅读Politico上的原文。
“It’s a delicate thing but I’m convinced it’s a good thing. And the reason I say that is Democrats are pouring out to the polls no matter what Trump does, that die is cast. [The] uncast die is how many Trump voters will turn out to the polls in the midterm election,” said Ari Fleischer, White House press secretary for former President George W. Bush. “So I see little to no downside in the president being out there — because he’s already out there as far as the Democrats are concerned.”Read the original article on Politico