欢迎收看《政治新闻台》，这是一份每日简报，为您带来 NBC 新闻政治团队来自白宫、国会山和竞选现场的最新报道与分析。在今天的节目中，我们将深入探讨总统对得克萨斯州的又一次访问。此外，安德烈亚·米切尔还将分析自 2023 年 10 月 7 日哈马斯袭击以色列以来，究竟发生了哪些变化，又有哪些并未改变。
In today’s edition, we dig into yet another visit to Texas from the president. Plus, Andrea Mitchell examines what has — and hasn’t — happened since Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel. — Adam Wollner Trump’s Texas two-step By Adam Wollner President Donald Trump is making his second trip in the past week to Texas tonight, highlighting how the midterm fight has shifted traditionally red terrain in the final stretch.
——亚当·沃勒纳特朗普的得克萨斯“两步走”战略作者：亚当·沃勒纳今晚，唐纳德·特朗普总统将在过去一周内第二次访问得克萨斯州，这凸显出中期选举的斗争已将传统共和党占优的地区拉入了最后冲刺的关键阶段。他计划在圣安东尼奥为州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿和国会候选人卡洛斯·德·拉·克鲁斯举行集会。帕克斯顿正与民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科展开一场激烈且耗资巨大的角逐。
He’s set to rally in San Antonio for state Attorney General Ken Paxton and congressional candidate Carlos De La Cruz. Paxton remains locked in a tight and expensive battle with Democrat James Talarico.
而在第 35 选区，德·拉·克鲁斯的竞选情况也比预期更具竞争性——该选区在去年重新划分选区时，被调整得更有利于共和党。尽管在 2024 年大选时，特朗普按照新的选区划分将能以 10 个百分点的优势赢得该选区，但《库克政治报告》与艾米·沃尔特仍将这场选举评为“略微倾向共和党”。
And De La Cruz’s race in the 35th District, which was redrawn in the redistricting process last year to be more favorable to Republicans, has been more competitive than expected. While Trump would have carried the district under its new lines by 10 points in 2024, the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter rates the race as “lean Republican.”
值得注意的是，今晚的集会上却不见州长格雷格·阿博特的身影。他以日程冲突为由作出解释。“首先，无论他何时现身，都会让支持者们感到兴奋，而且他确实很擅长组织并动员这些支持者参与投票，”阿博特昨天谈到特朗普时表示。“但由于我的日程安排非常紧凑，每天要去多个城市参加类似的活动，而当天我已经安排了其他活动，因此无法到场，”他补充道。
Notably absent from tonight’s rally? Gov. Greg Abbott, who cited a scheduling conflict.“Well, first, whenever he does show up, it leads to excitement among the base, and he does a good job of getting the base organized and turning out,” Abbott said yesterday of Trump. “Because of the schedule that I run, where I go to multiple cities a day doing events like this, already have events like this scheduled that day, and I will not be able to make it,” he added.
阿博特面临的连任挑战也比共和党在选举周期初期预期的更为艰难：他此前三次州长选举均以两位数优势获胜。然而，整体政治环境对共和党候选人而言却变得异常险峻。
Abbott is also facing a tougher re-election battle than Republicans anticipated at the outset of the cycle: He won his last three races for governor by double digits. But the broader political environment has proven treacherous for Republican candidates across the board.
目前，全国民主党人正面临越来越大的压力，要求他们为州长候选人吉娜·希诺霍萨（Gina Hinojosa）投入更多竞选资源，她在资金上处于对阵阿博特的巨大劣势。娜塔莎·科雷茨基（Natasha Korecki）报道称，包括国会议员在内的德克萨斯州拉丁裔领袖今天上午会见了民主党州长协会（Democratic Governors Association），讨论希诺霍萨的竞选活动。
And now, national Democrats are under growing pressure to spend more resources on behalf of gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa, who is at a major financial disadvantage against Abbott. Natasha Korecki reports that Latino leaders in Texas, including members of Congress, met with the Democratic Governors Association this morning to discuss Hinojosa’s campaign.
在一封信中，该州的一群拉丁裔利益相关者呼吁民主党州长协会在不到两周后提前投票开始之前，对这场竞选“做出300万美元的真正有意义的投资”。民主党州长协会最近承诺向该竞选投入100万美元，而伊利诺伊州州长JB·普里茨克（JB Pritzker）在之前已捐赠20万美元后，宣布将再向她的竞选团队提供100万美元。（《纽约时报》最先报道了这些捐款。）
In a letter, a group of Latino stakeholders in the state called on the DGA to “make a real meaningful investment of $3 million” into the race before early voting begins in less than two weeks. The DGA recently committed $1 million to the race, while Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker announced he would send $1 million to her campaign after already giving $200,000. (The New York Times first reported on those contributions.)
与此同时，阿博特并不是今年秋季选票上唯一一个似乎在寻求与特朗普保持一定距离的共和党人。密歇根州共和党参议员候选人迈克·罗杰斯（Mike Rogers）今天在一条新广告中表示，“我们现在需要结束这场关税战”。该州的共和党州长候选人约翰·詹姆斯（John James）昨晚也在一场辩论中就关税和伊朗战争问题与特朗普拉开了距离。
Meanwhile, Abbott isn’t the only Republican on the ballot this fall who appears to be seeking some distance from Trump. Michigan GOP Senate nominee Mike Rogers said in a new ad today that “we need to end this tariff war now.”The party’s candidate for governor in the state, John James, also put daylight between himself and Trump on tariffs and the Iran war at a debate last night.
辩论台上的更多内容：在缅因州参议院竞选中，共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯（Susan Collins）和民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊（Troy Jackson）围绕特朗普、生活成本和堕胎问题展开了互相攻击。在佐治亚州州长竞选中，民主党人凯莎·兰斯·博姆斯（Keisha Lance Bottoms）和共和党人里克·杰克逊（Rick Jackson）也围绕特朗普和经济问题进行了激烈的辩论。
More from the debate stage: In the Maine Senate race, Republican Sen. Susan Collins and Democrat Troy Jackson traded attacks over Trump, the cost of living and abortion. In Georgia’s race for governor, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson also sparred over Trump and the economy.
在艾奥瓦州州长竞选中，共和党人扎克·拉恩（Zach Lahn）的居住史成为了一个主要话题。三年后的10月7日袭击事件安德里亚·米切尔（Andrea Mitchell）分析三年前的今天，在一个假期的清晨，当成群的哈马斯恐怖分子冲过边境，在通宵音乐节上砍杀并绑架狂欢者，并在附近的定居点或基布兹横行时，以色列震惊了。总共有1200名以色列人和外国国民（包括46名美国公民）被杀害，251人被劫为人质。
And in the Iowa gubernatorial contest, Republican Zach Lahn’s residency history was a major topic. The Oct. 7 attack, three years later Analysis by Andrea Mitchell At dawn on a holiday weekend three years ago today, Israel was stunned when hordes of Hamas terrorists stormed across its border, slashing and and kidnapping revelers at an all-night music festival and rampaging through nearby settlements, or kibbutzim. In total, 1,200 Israelis and foreign nationals, including 46 U.S. citizens, were killed, while 251 were taken hostage.
一场战争由此拉开序幕，这场战争不仅摧毁了以色列对其军事优势的自信，最终也彻底改变了整个地区，并为当前与伊朗的战争埋下了伏笔。尽管实现了停火并释放了人质，但加沙地带的冲突，以及如今被占领的约旦河西岸地区，至今仍在持续低烈度对抗，并时有爆发。以色列为何会如此措手不及？尽管以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡阻止了对本国引以为傲的军队为何会被突袭的正式调查，但NBC新闻已证实了关于这场巨大情报失败的权威报道，其中包括一份令人震惊的叙述：一支全女性边境巡逻队发出的早期警告被男性上级忽视。
Thus began a war that shattered Israel’s confidence in its military superiority and ultimately transformed the region, sowing the seeds for the current war against Iran. Despite a ceasefire and hostage release, the conflict in the Gaza Strip and now the occupied West Bank continues at a slow burn with periodic outbreaks to this day. How could Israel have been so taken by surprise? Although Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has blocked an official investigation into how his country’s vaunted military could have been so blindsided, NBC News has confirmed authoritative reports on the colossal intelligence failure, including a stunning account that an all-woman border patrol’s early warnings were dismissed by male superiors.
令人费解的是，从大屠杀发生到以色列启动应对行动，竟耗时超过六小时。这场冲突造成的人员损失难以估量。根据数据，由哈马斯主导的加沙卫生部估计，加沙已有约7.5万人死亡，其中包括超过4.4万名儿童，另有数千人受伤。以色列方面称，其已有970名士兵阵亡。加沙大部分地区已被夷为平地，住房、学校和医院均遭摧毁。
Inexplicably, it took more than six hours after the massacre for the country to mobilize a response. The human cost is incalculable. By the numbers, the Hamas-led Gaza Health Ministry estimates that about 75,000 people, including more than 44,000 children, have died in Gaza. Thousands more have been injured. Israel says it has lost 970 soldiers. Gaza has largely been leveled, its housing, schools and hospitals destroyed.
国际刑事法院是联合国的一个机构，但既不被以色列也不被特朗普政府承认，该法院已就战争罪指控对双方提出诉讼。此外，这场冲突还引发了欧洲和美国抗议者对以色列的种族灭绝指控，而这一指控对于这个诞生于大屠杀幸存者避难所的国家而言，是一种极大的冒犯。根据拜登政府的一项计划，特朗普的特使史蒂夫·维特科夫及其女婿贾里德·库什纳最终促成了停火协议、幸存人质的释放以及人质遗体的归还。
The International Criminal Court, a United Nations entity that is not recognized by either Israel or the Trump administration, has cited both sides over allegations of war crimes. And the conflict has fueled cries of genocide against Israel by protesters in Europe and the U.S., an accusation that’s offensive to those in a country born as a refuge for survivors of the Holocaust. Based on a Biden administration plan, Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner finalized a ceasefire and release of surviving hostages, as well as the return of hostage remains.
白宫承诺称，其设立的“和平委员会”——由一群世界领导人组成，每位领导人均向由唐纳德·特朗普总统领导的一个非政府实体承诺捐赠10亿美元——本应负责招募一支多国维和部队，以解除哈马斯的武装，并促使以色列撤至边境缓冲区。特朗普曾表示，加沙地带可以重建为“中东的里维埃拉”。然而，这些计划均未实现。如今，内塔尼亚胡正面临三周后的一场激烈选举，这场选举已演变为对其在加沙战争中的表现以及未能阻止战争爆发的全民公投。
The White House promises that its Board of Peace — a group of world leaders each pledging $1 billion to a nongovernment entity led by President Donald Trump — is supposed to be recruiting a multinational peace-keeping force to disarm Hamas and get Israel to withdraw to a border buffer zone. Trump has said the Gaza Strip could be rebuilt as “The Riviera of the Middle East.”None of that has taken place. Now, Netanyahu faces a closely fought election in three weeks that has become a referendum on his conduct of the war in Gaza and failure to prevent it.
他的国家安全部长们正主导一项行动，试图在争议地区约旦河西岸尽可能多地占领巴勒斯坦村庄，以防范一个对建立巴勒斯坦国持较少反对态度的政府获胜。此外，以色列的战争行为已成为美国的一个政治议题，可能会影响今年一些关键的期中选举，以及民主党在2028年的提名竞赛。菲奥娜·格里森参与了相关研究。以上就是来自政治新闻部的全部内容。
His national security ministers are spearheading a campaign to seize as many Palestinian villages in the disputed West Bank as possible now as a hedge against a victory by a government less opposed to a Palestinian state. And Israel’s conduct of the war has become a political issue in the U.S. that could affect some of this year’s key midterm races as well as the Democratic Party’s nominating contest in 2028.
今天的简报由亚当·沃勒纳整理。如果您有任何反馈——无论是赞同还是反对——请发送邮件至 politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com。如果您喜欢这份简报，请分享给所有人。他们也可以在此处订阅。
Fiona Glisson contributed research. That’s all From the Politics Desk for now.